Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for KNF in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every KNF insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open KNF in Gekko
NYSE: KNF
Knife Riv (KNF) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$49.44−0.40 (−0.8%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeKnife River fell this week, with shares dropping 5.1% on 11 October and another 5.0% on 7 October, extending a sharp decline. The primary driver was RBC Capital's downgrade of KNF to Sector Perform from Outperform, with its price target cut to $58.00 from $103.00, citing input cost inflation, potential impact on contract volumes, and concerns tied to activist investor Starboard's involvement. Separately, T. Rowe Price filed an amended Schedule 13G/A reporting beneficial ownership of 10.8% of KNF shares as of 30 September 2026, while denying beneficial ownership status.
KNF closed at $49.44, down 0.8%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $59.99 and 200-day average of $75.77, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. The stock's one-month return stands at -14.2%, its three-month return at -38.2%, and its six-month return at -42.9%. The GekkoIndex reads 64.1, placing it in the Accumulation zone, down 1.6 over five days. Price sits 45.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $90.74.
Knife River next reports earnings on 3 November 2026, 22 days away, a date that falls inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; its last earnings reaction was -14% on an EPS miss ($0.77 actual versus $1.11 estimate). No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged +8.5% over the next 20 trading days across 3 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst consensus stands at 5 buy, 2 hold, 1 sell across 8 firms, with a consensus target of $84.38.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Knife Riv price vs fair value
Close $49.44200-day averageGekko Fair Value $90.74
Knife Riv quick facts
- Market cap
- $2.81B
- P/E ratio
- 21.3
- Forward P/E
- 13.6
- EPS, TTM
- $2.46
- Revenue, TTM
- $3.31B
- Profit margin
- 4.2%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 0.60
- Volume
- 484,093 avg 1.15M
- 1-year return
- −25.6%
- Typical daily move
- ±5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.7%
- 50-day average
- $59.99
- 200-day average
- $75.77
- Next earnings
- Nov 3
- Shares outstanding
- 56.75M
Knife Riv swing-trade checklist
Knife Riv scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $49.44 is below the 50-day ($59.99) and 200-day ($75.77) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
64.1, Accumulation
Reading 64.1 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
45.5% below
Price is 45.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 22 days
Reports on Nov 3, 2026, 22 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+8.5% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +8.5% over 3 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Knife Riv stock chart and price history
Knife Riv closed at $49.44 on Oct 12, 2026, −25.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $49.16 to $96.28.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −14.2%
- 3 months
- −38.2%
- 6 months
- −42.9%
- 1 year
- −25.6%
The full KNF chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open KNF in Gekko
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About Knife Riv
Knife River produces construction materials drawn from the earth, such as crushed stone, sand and gravel, and turns a portion of that output into asphalt and ready-mix concrete. Alongside these products, it carries out contracting work including heavy-civil construction, paving and site grading and development, making it a supplier of both raw materials and the labor to put them to use.
The company runs its operations through six segments: Pacific, Northwest, Mountain, North Central, South and Energy Services. Its work is directed mainly toward government customers at the federal, state and municipal level, supporting public infrastructure such as roads, bridges, airports, schools and other civic buildings.
Knife River traces its founding to 1917 and operates out of Bismarck, North Dakota. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker KNF.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Non-energy minerals
- Industry
- Construction materials
- Website
- kniferiver.com
Knife Riv GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Knife Riv’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.1, in the Accumulation zone, down 1.6 points over five sessions.
64.1Accumulation
Down 1.6 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 26 | +3.0% | +4.2% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 244 | −0.1% | −0.2% | ||
| Neutral | 377 | −0.1% | −0.5% | ||
| Distribution | 32 | −0.5% | +3.0% | ||
| Selling | 3 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average KNF share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the KNF price, zone by zone.Track KNF in Gekko
Is Knife Riv stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Knife Riv trades 45.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $90.74, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Knife Riv shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$90.74
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
45.5% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 39.8% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open KNF in Gekko
Knife Riv insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Knife Riv, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in KNF were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for KNF, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open KNF in Gekko
Buybacks
Knife Riv has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2025
- $2.65M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.09%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold KNF.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Knife Riv earnings: next date and track record
Knife Riv reports on Nov 3, 2026 (22 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 3, 2026
22 days away
- EPS estimate
- $2.65
- Revenue estimate
- $1.30B
3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.2%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $0.77 est $1.11 | $938.6M est $931.4M | −14.0% |
| May 5, 2026 | −$1.39 est −$1.32 | $410.1M est $387.1M | +1.3% |
| Feb 17, 2026 | $0.56 est $0.44 | $755.1M est $726.0M | +12.3% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $2.52 est $2.45 | $1.20B est $726.6M | +18.1% |
| Aug 5, 2025 | $0.89 est $1.27 | $833.7M est $1.26B | +3.4% |
| May 6, 2025 | −$1.21 est −$0.89 | $353.5M est $864.1M | −5.2% |
| Feb 13, 2025 | $0.41 est $0.40 | $657.2M est $343.1M | +4.9% |
| Nov 4, 2024 | $2.60 est $2.81 | $1.11B est $652.4M | −6.0% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Knife Riv stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Knife Riv is $84.38, +70.7% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$84.38consensus 12-month target, +70.7% from the last close
Now $49.44Avg $84.38
Low $54High $97
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | RBC Capital | $58 | +17.3% |
| Oct 5 | Wells Fargo | $54 | +9.2% |
| Sep 25 | B. Riley Securities | $65 | +31.5% |
| Sep 24 | Bank of America Securities | $97 | +96.2% |
| Sep 24 | Oppenheimer | $80 | +61.8% |
−0.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+8.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 3 years
±5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Knife Riv seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Knife Riv averaged +8.5% across the last 3 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.5% | 2 of 3 |
| Next 10 trading days | −2.5% | 1 of 3 |
| Next 15 trading days | −0.5% | 1 of 3 |
| Next 20 trading days | +8.5% | 3 of 3 |
| Next 30 trading days | +8.7% | 3 of 3 |
For scale, KNF’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.7%.
Knife Riv market cap and key statistics
Knife Riv’s market cap is $2.81B, with a P/E ratio of 21.3 and revenue of $3.31B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $2.81B
- P/E ratio
- 21.3
- Forward P/E
- 13.6
- EPS, TTM
- $2.46
- Gekko Fair Value
- $90.74
Trading
- Volume
- 484,093
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.15M
- 52-week high
- $96.28
- 52-week low
- $49.16
- Shares outstanding
- 56.75M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $3.31B
- Profit margin
- 4.2%
- Return on equity
- 9.1%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −13.5%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.60
- Typical daily move
- ±5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.7%
Knife Riv stock news this week
Coverage of Knife Riv this week reads negative: 0 positive, 1 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
- Knife River (NYSE:KNF) Stock Falls 5.1% – Here’s WhyDefense World, Oct 11
- RBC Capital Downgrades Knife River Corp. (KNF) to Sector PerformStreetInsider, Oct 9
- RBC Capital cuts Knife River stock rating on cost inflation concernsInvesting.com Nigeria, Oct 9
- A Look at Knife River Corp (KNF) After 5.0% Decline -- GF Value $89.63 vs Price $50.54GuruFocus, Oct 7
- T. Rowe Price reports over 10% of Knife River (KNF) shares but denies beneficial ownership.Stock Titan, Oct 7
Knife Riv peers
Knife Riv’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| CRHCRH | Accumulation | 28.8% below |
| VMCVulcan Materials | Accumulation | 7.4% below |
| MLMMartin Marietta Materials | Accumulation | 9.7% below |
| AMRZAmrize | Accumulation | 34.4% below |
| JHXJames Hardie Industries | Accumulation | 11.9% below |
| ACAArcosa | Neutral | 25.3% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Knife Riv stock FAQ
What is Knife Riv’s market cap?
Knife Riv’s market cap is $2.81B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $49.44, with 56.75M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 21.3.
What is the Knife Riv stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Knife Riv is $84.38, +70.7% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Knife Riv stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Knife Riv is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $49.44 is 45.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $90.74. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Knife Riv report earnings next?
Knife Riv is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026 (22 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.65 per share on revenue of $1.30B. Knife Riv beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.2% on average across the report.
What is Knife Riv’s 52-week high and low?
Knife Riv’s 52-week high is $96.28 and its 52-week low is $49.16; it closed at $49.44 on Oct 12, 2026, −25.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $108.83 on Jan 22, 2025.
Is Knife Riv stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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