Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for TX in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every TX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TX in Gekko
Gekko Brief
AI summaryTernium's stock this week is framed by continued attention to its Pesqueria project, with commentary highlighting that completion of the $4B expansion is expected to boost steel capacity, cost competitiveness, and EBITDA by 5–10% from 2028 to 2030. A separate piece cited a rating of buy with a 14.5% upside to a $65.52 fair value based on DCF analysis, alongside references to reduced capex and rising free cash flow supporting projections of a 7% dividend yield.
Shares closed at $54.47, down 1.6%, remaining above both the 50-day average of $53.77 and the 200-day average of $45.52, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 61.9, placing Ternium in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 11.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $48.89, and the stock trades within its 52-week range of $33.01 to $58.73, up 56.9% over the past year.
Ternium's next earnings date falls on 27 October 2026, 28 days out, which lands inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The prior report on 4 August showed EPS of $1.75 against a $1.22 estimate, with an 8% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 3 of the last 8 quarters. Seasonality over five years shows an average 20-day return of 1.7% from this point, positive in 3 of those years. Analyst consensus across 7 firms includes 3 buy and 4 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $58.77.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Ternium price vs fair value
Close $54.47200-day averageGekko Fair Value $48.89
Ternium quick facts
- Market cap
- $10.69B
- P/E ratio
- 15.6
- Forward P/E
- 8.5
- EPS, TTM
- $3.57
- Revenue, TTM
- $16.00B
- Profit margin
- 4.4%
- Dividend yield
- 3.96%
- Beta
- 1.17
- Volume
- 266,631 avg 466,628
- 1-year return
- +56.9%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.6%
- 50-day average
- $53.77
- 200-day average
- $45.52
- Next earnings
- Oct 27
- Shares outstanding
- 196.3M
Ternium swing-trade checklist
Ternium scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $54.47 is above the 50-day ($53.77) and 200-day ($45.52) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
61.9, Accumulation
Reading 61.9 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
11.4% above
Price is 11.4% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 28 days
Reports on Oct 27, 2026, 28 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+1.7% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.7% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Ternium stock chart and price history
Ternium closed at $54.47 on Sep 28, 2026, +56.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $33.01 to $58.73.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −2.4%
- 3 months
- +25.2%
- 6 months
- +40.5%
- 1 year
- +56.9%
The full TX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TX in Gekko
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About Ternium
Ternium manufactures and sells a wide array of steel goods, moving product across Mexico, Argentina, Brazil, the United States and several other nations in Central and South America such as Paraguay, Chile, Bolivia, Uruguay, Colombia, Guatemala, Costa Rica, Honduras, El Salvador and Nicaragua. The business is known for spanning nearly every stage of steelmaking, turning out early-stage forms like slabs and billets as well as finished pieces including bars, beams, tubes, roofing and insulated panels used in construction.
The company is structured around two main areas of activity. One, its Steel division, handles this broad output along with pig iron and energy sales, while the other, Mining, focuses on producing and marketing iron ore and pellets. Beyond these core lines, Ternium also offers medical, social and engineering services, handles scrap recycling, and functions as a distributor, reaching both major industrial clients and smaller businesses in fields such as construction, automotive, appliances, agriculture, packaging, transport and energy.
Ternium traces back to 1961 and keeps its headquarters in Luxembourg City, Luxembourg, operating under the ownership of Techint Holdings S.à r.l. Its stock is listed under the ticker TX.
- Sector
- Non-energy minerals
- Website
- ternium.com
Ternium GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Ternium’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.9, in the Accumulation zone, up 7.8 points over five sessions.
61.9Accumulation
Up 7.8 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 35 | +1.0% | +2.6% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 165 | −0.4% | +1.1% | ||
| Neutral | 385 | +0.6% | +1.3% | ||
| Distribution | 40 | +0.4% | +1.1% | ||
| Selling | 0 | Not available | |||
Average TX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TX price, zone by zone.Track TX in Gekko
Is Ternium stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Ternium trades 11.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $48.89, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Ternium shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$48.89
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
11.4% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TX in Gekko
Ternium insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Ternium, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in TX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for TX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TX in Gekko
Ternium earnings: next date and track record
Ternium reports on Oct 27, 2026 (28 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 27, 2026
28 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.94
- Revenue estimate
- $4.62B
3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.6%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Ternium reported strong Q2 2026 results with adjusted EBITDA rising 50% sequentially and EBITDA margin reaching 16.5%. Mexico shipments increased as government anti-dumping measures improved steel volumes and commercial market restocking progressed. The Pesqueria slab facility remains on track for early 2027 start-up. Balance sheet stayed strong with $112 million net cash position as peak Mexico capex investment is now behind them.
- Guidance
- Management expects volumes to continue recovering gradually in Q3 2026 in Mexico. Capital expenditures are expected to decline further as the peak investment program in Mexico is complete. The Pesqueria slab facility start-up is targeted for early 2027.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $1.75 est $1.22 | $4.34B est $4.41B | +8.0% |
| May 5, 2026 | $0.66 est $0.90 | $3.93B est $3.93B | +13.2% |
| Feb 18, 2026 | $0.87 est $0.70 | $3.77B est $3.76B | +0.6% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $0.25 est $0.79 | $3.95B est $3.92B | −4.3% |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $1.28 est $0.65 | $3.95B est $4.40B | +2.8% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $0.34 est $0.65 | $3.93B est $3.91B | −1.2% |
| Feb 18, 2025 | −$0.42 est $0.84 | $3.88B est $4.35B | −0.7% |
| Nov 5, 2024 | $0.16 est $0.63 | $4.43B est $4.39B | +6.3% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Ternium stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ternium is $58.77, +7.9% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$58.77consensus 12-month target, +7.9% from the last close
Now $54.47Avg $58.77
Low $40High $67.50
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8 | J.P. Morgan | $67.50 | +23.9% |
| Sep 8 | J.P. Morgan | $67.50 | +23.9% |
| Sep 4 | J.P. Morgan | $67.50 | +23.9% |
| Sep 3 | Morgan Stanley | $65 | +19.3% |
| Aug 27 | UBS | $59 | +8.3% |
+1.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+1.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Ternium seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Ternium averaged +1.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −0.3% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +0.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +0.4% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +1.7% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −0.4% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, TX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.6%.
Ternium market cap and key statistics
Ternium’s market cap is $10.69B, with a P/E ratio of 15.6 and revenue of $16.00B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $10.69B
- P/E ratio
- 15.6
- Forward P/E
- 8.5
- EPS, TTM
- $3.57
- Gekko Fair Value
- $48.89
Trading
- Volume
- 266,631
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 466,628
- 52-week high
- $58.73
- 52-week low
- $33.01
- Shares outstanding
- 196.3M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $16.00B
- Profit margin
- 4.4%
- Return on equity
- 4.4%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +59.5%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.17
- Typical daily move
- ±2.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.6%
- Dividend yield
- 3.96%
Ternium stock news this week
3 headlines about Ternium from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Ternium S.A. (TX) Stock Price, News, Quote & HistoryYahoo! Finance Canada, Sep 25
- Ternium: Reducing CapEx And Increasing FCF Support 7% Dividend Yield ProjectionsSeeking Alpha, Sep 23
- Nykredit A S Buys New Stake in Ternium S.A. $TXMarketBeat, Sep 21
Ternium stock FAQ
What is Ternium’s market cap?
Ternium’s market cap is $10.69B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $54.47, with 196.3M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 15.6.
What is the Ternium stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ternium is $58.77, +7.9% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Ternium stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Ternium is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $54.47 is 11.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $48.89. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Ternium report earnings next?
Ternium is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026 (28 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.94 per share on revenue of $4.62B. Ternium beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.6% on average across the report.
What is Ternium’s 52-week high and low?
Ternium’s 52-week high is $58.73 and its 52-week low is $33.01; it closed at $54.47 on Sep 28, 2026, +56.9% over the past year.
Is Ternium stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, gekkoindex and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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