Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for BHP in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every BHP insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BHP in Gekko
BHP (BHP) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$86.27−0.29 (−0.3%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:16 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryBHP closes at $86.27, down 0.3%, sitting between its 50-day average of $88.15 and 200-day average of $78.02. The GekkoIndex reads 63.2, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, up 1.3 over the past five readings. Against a Gekko Fair Value of $70.05, the current price sits 23.2% above that level. Over the past year the stock has returned 62.3%, though the past month shows a decline of 6.5%, and the 52-week range spans $51.83 to $98.71.
The week's notable development concerns labor relations at BHP's Port Hedland iron ore operations in Western Australia, where the Combined BHP Ports Unions announced on 15 September that they will pursue arbitration after failing to reach agreement with the company on a new wage deal. The dispute centers on wage terms at one of BHP's key iron ore export hubs.
No confirmed date is set for the next earnings report; the last release on 17 August showed actual EPS of $2.76 against an estimate of $2.67, with the stock reacting 2.7% afterward, part of a streak of 2 beats over 8 quarters and an average absolute reaction of 1.6%. Seasonality data covering 5 years shows the next 20 trading days from this point averaging a 3.6% gain, with gains recorded in 4 of those 5 years. Two analyst firms currently hold the stock, with a consensus target of $76.25, implying downside of 11.6% from current levels. The gap to Gekko Fair Value bears watching given the current premium.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $86.27200-day averageGekko Fair Value $70.05
Key stats
- Market cap
- $219.2B
- P/E ratio
- 21.9
- Forward P/E
- 16.4
- EPS, TTM
- $3.84
- Revenue, TTM
- $58.76B
- Profit margin
- 16.7%
- Dividend yield
- 2.03%
- Beta
- 0.85
- Volume
- 2.02M avg 2.42M
- 1-year return
- +62.3%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.8%
- 50-day average
- $88.15
- 200-day average
- $78.02
- Next earnings
- —
- Shares outstanding
- 2.54B
BHP swing-trade checklist
BHP scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 4 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $86.27 sits between the 50-day ($88.15) and 200-day ($78.02) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
63.2, Accumulation
Reading 63.2 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
23.2% above
Price is 23.2% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskno data
No data
No confirmed report date on the calendar.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+3.6% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.6% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
BHP stock chart and price history
BHP closed at $86.27 on Sep 18, 2026, +62.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $51.83 to $98.71.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −6.5%
- 3 months
- −1.8%
- 6 months
- +28.1%
- 1 year
- +62.3%
The full BHP chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BHP in Gekko
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About BHP
BHP mines and processes natural resources at sites across Australia, Europe, Asia, North America and South America. Its work centers on copper, iron ore and coal, though the broader mineral list extends to uranium, gold, zinc, lead, molybdenum, silver and cobalt, alongside metallurgical and thermal coal output. The company is generally recognized for these large-scale mining activities.
Operations are structured around Copper, Iron Ore and Coal divisions, with additional involvement in nickel, covering everything from extraction through smelting and refining, plus early-stage work on potash. BHP also runs supporting functions such as towing, freight, marketing and trading, and finance and administrative services that tie its resource operations together.
BHP was founded in 1851 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia. Its shares trade under the ticker BHP.
- Sector
- Non-energy minerals
- Website
- bhp.com
BHP GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
BHP’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.2, in the Accumulation zone, up 1.3 points over five sessions.
63.2Accumulation
Up 1.3 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 12 | +4.3% | +7.8% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 187 | +0.6% | +2.7% | ||
| Neutral | 385 | +0.6% | +1.6% | ||
| Distribution | 31 | −3.8% | −3.7% | ||
| Selling | 0 | Not available | |||
Average BHP share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BHP price, zone by zone.Track BHP in Gekko
Is BHP stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
BHP trades 23.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $70.05, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what BHP shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$70.05
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 18, 2026
23.2% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BHP in Gekko
BHP insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for BHP, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in BHP were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for BHP, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BHP in Gekko
Buybacks
BHP has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2023
- $87.00M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.04%
From company filings.
BHP earnings: next date and track record
BHP beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 1.6% on average across the report.
2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±1.6%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | $2.76 est $2.67 | $31.16B est $30.21B | +2.7% |
| Feb 16, 2026 | $2.24 est $2.40 | $27.90B est $27.29B | +1.2% |
| Oct 20, 2025 | $0.00 est $1.16 | — | +0.7% |
| Aug 18, 2025 | $2.12 est $2.09 | $25.98B est $26.05B | −0.8% |
| Feb 17, 2025 | $0.87 est $1.84 | $25.18B est $25.05B | +0.8% |
| Aug 26, 2024 | $0.00 est $3.06 | $28.43B est $28.46B | +0.9% |
| Mar 18, 2024 | $0.36 est $2.87 | $27.23B est $27.32B | +1.7% |
| Feb 19, 2024 | $1.34 est $2.61 | $27.23B est $27.14B | −3.7% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
BHP stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for BHP is $76.25, −11.6% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$76.25consensus 12-month target, −11.6% from the last close
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18 | Bank of America Securities | — | — |
| Aug 11 | Bernstein | $61.50 | −28.7% |
| Jul 16 | Bank of America Securities | $45.87 | −46.8% |
| Jul 15 | Bernstein | — | — |
| Jun 22 | Bank of America Securities | $91 | +5.5% |
+2.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+3.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
BHP seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, BHP averaged +3.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +3.5% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +2.7% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +3.6% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +1.5% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, BHP’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.8%.
BHP market cap and key statistics
BHP’s market cap is $219.2B, with a P/E ratio of 21.9 and revenue of $58.76B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $219.2B
- P/E ratio
- 21.9
- Forward P/E
- 16.4
- EPS, TTM
- $3.84
- Gekko Fair Value
- $70.05
Trading
- Volume
- 2.02M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.42M
- 52-week high
- $98.71
- 52-week low
- $51.83
- Shares outstanding
- 2.54B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $58.76B
- Profit margin
- 16.7%
- Return on equity
- 24%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −9.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.85
- Typical daily move
- ±2.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.8%
- Dividend yield
- 2.03%
BHP stock news this week
1 headline about BHP from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
BHP stock FAQ
What is BHP’s market cap?
BHP’s market cap is $219.2B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $86.27, with 2.54B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 21.9.
What is the BHP stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for BHP is $76.25, −11.6% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is BHP stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate BHP is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $86.27 is 23.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $70.05. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
What is BHP’s 52-week high and low?
BHP’s 52-week high is $98.71 and its 52-week low is $51.83; it closed at $86.27 on Sep 18, 2026, +62.3% over the past year.
Is BHP stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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