Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for BHP in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every BHP insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BHP in Gekko
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeBHP draws attention this week from a Copper South Australia expansion assessment, with RBC Capital Markets forecasting that the operation could add 200,000 tonnes to annual copper output, a contribution the firm ties to BHP's goal of reaching 2 million tonnes by 2035. Separately, the company's BMA subsidiary has launched a gas drainage trial at the Broadmeadow mine in Central Queensland, aimed at improving safety, productivity and emissions outcomes. Both items concern operational and production developments rather than financial results.
Shares closed at $80.14, up 2.6%, sitting between the 50-day average of $85.73 and the 200-day average of $81.68, a trend picture that is mixed rather than directional. The GekkoIndex reads 64, placing BHP in the Accumulation zone. Against this, the price stands 11.3% above the Gekko Fair Value of $71.98, a gap that counts as a headwind on the current read.
The next earnings report is due 15 February 2027, some 102 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window, with the prior report on 17 August 2026 showing an EPS beat of $2.76 versus $2.67 estimated and a 2.7% reaction. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 5% return over 5 years, rising in 4 of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the fair-value gap.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
BHP price vs fair value
Close $80.14200-day averageGekko Fair Value $71.98
BHP quick facts
- Market cap
- $203.7B
- P/E ratio
- 20.5
- Forward P/E
- 15.7
- EPS, TTM
- $3.91
- Revenue, TTM
- $58.76B
- Profit margin
- 16.7%
- Dividend yield
- 2.17%
- Beta
- 0.89
- Volume
- 2.91M avg 2.97M
- 1-year return
- +42.7%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.7%
- 50-day average
- $85.73
- 200-day average
- $81.68
- Next earnings
- Feb 15 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 2.54B
BHP swing-trade checklist
BHP scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $80.14 sits between the 50-day ($85.73) and 200-day ($81.68) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
64, Accumulation
Reading 64 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
11.3% above
Price is 11.3% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 102 days
Next report Feb 15, 2027, 102 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+5.0% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
BHP stock chart and price history
BHP closed at $80.14 on Nov 4, 2026, +42.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $52.18 to $98.71.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −7.9%
- 3 months
- −8.8%
- 6 months
- −5.0%
- 1 year
- +42.7%
The full BHP chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BHP in Gekko
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About BHP
BHP mines and processes natural resources at sites across Australia, Europe, Asia, North America and South America. Its work centers on copper, iron ore and coal, though the broader mineral list extends to uranium, gold, zinc, lead, molybdenum, silver and cobalt, alongside metallurgical and thermal coal output. The company is generally recognized for these large-scale mining activities.
Operations are structured around Copper, Iron Ore and Coal divisions, with additional involvement in nickel, covering everything from extraction through smelting and refining, plus early-stage work on potash. BHP also runs supporting functions such as towing, freight, marketing and trading, and finance and administrative services that tie its resource operations together.
BHP was founded in 1851 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia. Its shares trade under the ticker BHP.
- Sector
- Non-energy minerals
- Website
- bhp.com
BHP GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
BHP’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64, in the Accumulation zone, up 2.9 points over five sessions.
64Accumulation
Up 2.9 points over five sessions.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 14 | +4.2% | +7.8% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 214 | +0.4% | +2.2% | ||
| Neutral | 391 | +0.5% | +1.3% | ||
| Distribution | 31 | −3.8% | −5.0% | ||
| Selling | 0 | Not available | |||
Average BHP share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BHP price, zone by zone.Track BHP in Gekko
Is BHP stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
BHP trades 11.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $71.98, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what BHP shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$71.98
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
11.3% Overvalued
At the end of Sep 2026 the price was 21.9% above the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BHP in Gekko
BHP insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for BHP, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in BHP were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for BHP, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BHP in Gekko
Buybacks
BHP has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2023
- $87.00M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.04%
From company filings.
BHP earnings: next date and track record
BHP reports on Feb 15, 2027, before the open (102 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Feb 15, 2027
Expected before the open, 102 days away
- EPS estimate
- $2.53
- Revenue estimate
- $29.82B
2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±1.6%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | $2.76 est $2.67 | $31.16B est $30.21B | +2.7% |
| Feb 16, 2026 | $2.24 est $2.40 | $27.90B est $27.29B | +1.2% |
| Oct 20, 2025 | $0.00 est $1.16 | — | +0.7% |
| Aug 18, 2025 | $2.12 est $2.09 | $25.98B est $26.05B | −0.8% |
| Feb 17, 2025 | $0.87 est $1.84 | $25.18B est $25.05B | +0.8% |
| Aug 26, 2024 | $0.00 est $3.06 | $28.43B est $28.46B | +0.9% |
| Mar 18, 2024 | $0.36 est $2.87 | $27.23B est $27.32B | +1.7% |
| Feb 19, 2024 | $1.34 est $2.61 | $27.23B est $27.14B | −3.7% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
BHP stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for BHP is $78.14, −2.5% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$78.14consensus 12-month target, −2.5% from the last close
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | Bernstein | $64 | −20.1% |
| Oct 20 | Bank of America Securities | — | — |
| Oct 1 | Bank of America Securities | $96 | +19.8% |
| Aug 18 | Bank of America Securities | — | — |
| Aug 11 | Bernstein | $61.50 | −23.3% |
+2.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+5.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
BHP seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, BHP averaged +5.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +0.9% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +1.9% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +5.0% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +7.1% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, BHP’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.7%.
BHP market cap and key statistics
BHP’s market cap is $203.7B, with a P/E ratio of 20.5 and revenue of $58.76B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $203.7B
- P/E ratio
- 20.5
- Forward P/E
- 15.7
- EPS, TTM
- $3.91
- Gekko Fair Value
- $71.98
Trading
- Volume
- 2.91M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.97M
- 52-week high
- $98.71
- 52-week low
- $52.18
- Shares outstanding
- 2.54B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $58.76B
- Profit margin
- 16.7%
- Return on equity
- 24%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −9.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.89
- Typical daily move
- ±2.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.7%
- Dividend yield
- 2.17%
BHP stock news this week
Coverage of BHP this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 6 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- BHP’s Copper South Australia expansion could add 200,000 tonnes to annual output, RBC saysProactive financial news, Nov 4
- BHP Group Limited (BHP1.F) Seasonal Returns Chart - Yahoo FinanceYahoo! Finance Canada, Nov 3
- BHP Group Limited Sponsored ADR $BHP Stock: Bank Julius Baer & Co. Ltd Zurich Decreases PositionDefense World, Nov 3
- BHP Group Limited (BHP1.F) Seasonal returns chartYahoo Finance Australia, Nov 3
- BHP Group Limited (BHPLF) Seasonal Returns Chart - Yahoo FinanceYahoo! Finance Canada, Oct 31
- BHP Group Limited (BHP.AX) Seasonal Returns ChartYahoo! Finance Canada, Oct 30
BHP stock FAQ
What is BHP’s market cap?
BHP’s market cap is $203.7B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $80.14, with 2.54B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 20.5.
What is the BHP stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for BHP is $78.14, −2.5% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is BHP stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate BHP is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $80.14 is 11.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $71.98. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does BHP report earnings next?
BHP is expected to report on Feb 15, 2027, before the market opens (102 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.53 per share on revenue of $29.82B. BHP beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 1.6% on average across the report.
What is BHP’s 52-week high and low?
BHP’s 52-week high is $98.71 and its 52-week low is $52.18; it closed at $80.14 on Nov 4, 2026, +42.7% over the past year.
Is BHP stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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