NASDAQ: RGC

Regencell Bioscience (RGC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$7.13−0.22 (−3.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Regencell this week drew fresh scrutiny after reporting a wider full-year net loss of $11.7 million, or $2.37 per share, for the period ending June 30, 2026, up from $3.58 million a year earlier, with no product sales revenue generated. The company also released its Annual Report on Form 20-F detailing the loss alongside increased general and administrative expenses. Coverage has focused on whether the company's valuation, including a cited price-to-book ratio of 2,889x, can be justified given the absence of revenue and ongoing losses.

Shares closed at $7.13, down 3% on the day, sitting between the 50-day average of $5.98 and the 200-day average of $18.78. The stock has returned 26.4% over one month and 26.2% over three months, but is down 77.9% over six months and 61.3% over one year, with a typical daily move of 7.3%. The GekkoIndex reads 50.6, placing it in the Neutral zone, while the price sits 19.6% above the Gekko Fair Value of $5.96.

The next earnings date falls on 28 October 2026, 16 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window, with the last reaction at 3.1% and an average absolute reaction of 9.4% across the last four quarters. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged -3.9% over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current window.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Regencell Bioscience price vs fair value

$7.13$5.96Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $7.13200-day averageGekko Fair Value $5.96

Regencell Bioscience quick facts

Market cap
$3.53B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
—
EPS, TTM
−$0.02
Revenue, TTM
$0
Profit margin
0%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.17
Volume
129,936 avg 137,419
1-year return
−61.3%
Typical daily move
±7.3%
Typical 20-day move
±19.6%
50-day average
$5.98
200-day average
$18.78
Next earnings
Oct 28
Shares outstanding
494.5M
52-week range
$4.51$69.00

Regencell Bioscience swing-trade checklist

Regencell Bioscience scores 0 supportive, 3 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

0 supportive3 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $7.13 sits between the 50-day ($5.98) and 200-day ($18.78) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    50.6, Neutral

    Reading 50.6 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    19.6% above

    Price is 19.6% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 16 days

    Reports on Oct 28, 2026, 16 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    −3.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −3.9% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Regencell Bioscience stock chart and price history

Regencell Bioscience closed at $7.13 on Oct 12, 2026, −61.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $4.51 to $69.00.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Regencell Bioscience share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$30$40$50NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct7.13

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+26.4%
3 months
+26.2%
6 months
−77.9%
1 year
−61.3%
The full RGC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open RGC in Gekko

Follow Regencell Bioscience through every session

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About Regencell Bioscience

Regencell Bioscience works within Traditional Chinese Medicine, directing its efforts toward treatments for neurocognitive conditions and related forms of degeneration. Its research and development work centers on bringing TCM-based solutions to market, with particular attention paid to attention deficit hyperactivity disorder and autism spectrum disorder. This focus on neurocognitive health built around traditional medicine practices defines its presence in the space.

The company's work spans the full process of developing these treatments, from early research through to eventual market introduction, suggesting an operation built around translating TCM approaches into usable therapeutic solutions for the conditions it targets.

Regencell Bioscience was established in 2014 and is headquartered in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker RGC.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Health technology
Industry
Pharmaceuticals: major
Website
regencellbioscience.com

Regencell Bioscience GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Regencell Bioscience’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 50.6, in the Neutral zone, up 7.2 points over five sessions.

010050.6Neutral

Up 7.2 points over five sessions, from the Distribution zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying47−10.6%−15.9%−16.5%−12.0%
Accumulation130+0.3%−0.6%+5.2%+19.8%
Neutral (current zone)134+3.5%+1.9%−0.1%−6.5%
Distribution14−10.3%+16.2%+14.9%−7.4%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average RGC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the RGC price, zone by zone.Track RGC in Gekko

Is Regencell Bioscience stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Regencell Bioscience trades 19.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $5.96, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Regencell Bioscience shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$5.96

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

19.6% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open RGC in Gekko

Regencell Bioscience insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Regencell Bioscience, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for RGC in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every RGC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RGC in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in RGC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for RGC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RGC in Gekko

Buybacks

Regencell Bioscience has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$1.78M
As a share of market cap
0.05%

From company filings.

Regencell Bioscience earnings: next date and track record

Regencell Bioscience reports on Oct 28, 2026 (16 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 0 of its last 4 reports.

0 of 4reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.4%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+5.7%Jun ’22−3.7%Oct ’22−0.3%Jan ’23−7.9%Oct ’23−1.2%Jan ’24+33.2%Oct ’24−19.9%Jun ’25+3.1%Oct ’25
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 24, 2025$0.00
est $0.00
———+3.1%
Jun 26, 2025−$0.14———−19.9%
Oct 25, 2024$0.00
est $0.00
———+33.2%
Jan 26, 2024$0.00———−1.2%
Oct 27, 2023−$0.01———−7.9%
Jan 30, 2023−$0.01———−0.3%
Oct 31, 2022−$0.30
est $0.00
———−3.7%
Jun 2, 2022−$0.29
est $0.00
———+5.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Regencell Bioscience seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Regencell Bioscience averaged −3.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+2.2%2021+7.2%2022−38.2%2023+5.1%2024−22.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−3.3%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−12.4%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.9%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−3.9%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−9.9%2 of 5

For scale, RGC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 19.6%.

Regencell Bioscience market cap and key statistics

Regencell Bioscience’s market cap is $3.53B and revenue of $0 over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.53B
EPS, TTM
−$0.02
Gekko Fair Value
$5.96

Trading

Volume
129,936
Avg volume, 20 days
137,419
52-week high
$69.00
52-week low
$4.51
Shares outstanding
494.5M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$0
Profit margin
0%
Return on equity
-128.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.17
Typical daily move
±7.3%
Typical 20-day move
±19.6%

Regencell Bioscience stock news this week

Coverage of Regencell Bioscience this week reads negative: 0 positive, 0 neutral and 4 negative headlines.

News sentiment negative

Regencell Bioscience peers

Regencell Bioscience’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
LLYEli Lilly+0.1%Neutral14.7% above
JNJJohnson & Johnson+0.8%Neutral3.2% below
ABBVAbbVie+1.3%Distribution28.2% above
MRKMerck−0.2%Neutral8.0% below
AZNAstraZeneca−0.7%Accumulation41.7% below
PFEPfizer−0.1%Neutral8.0% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Regencell Bioscience stock FAQ

What is Regencell Bioscience’s market cap?

Regencell Bioscience’s market cap is $3.53B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $7.13, with 494.5M shares outstanding.

Is Regencell Bioscience stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Regencell Bioscience is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $7.13 is 19.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $5.96. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Regencell Bioscience report earnings next?

Regencell Bioscience is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026 (16 days away). Regencell Bioscience beat the earnings estimate in 0 of its last 4 reports, moving 9.4% on average across the report.

What is Regencell Bioscience’s 52-week high and low?

Regencell Bioscience’s 52-week high is $69.00 and its 52-week low is $4.51; it closed at $7.13 on Oct 12, 2026, −61.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $83.60 on Jun 16, 2025.

Is Regencell Bioscience stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 0 of the 5 items with data read as supportive, 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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