NYSE: PBA

Pembina Pipeline (PBA) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Pembina Pipeline Corp. Industrial services sector, oil & gas pipelines industry. Market cap $27.64B.

$47.53−0.11 (−0.2%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:19 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Pembina Pipeline closes at $47.53, down 0.2%, sitting between its 50-day average of $48.96 and 200-day average of $44.96. The GekkoIndex reads 64.2, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, up 1.2 over five days. Price sits 5.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $44.95. Over the past year the stock has returned 20.2%, with a 6-month return of 6.5% and a 1-month return of -2%.

The lone recent headline, dated 16 September, centers on Pembina's midstream energy infrastructure business and its positioning within the current crude and supply-route environment affecting the broader energy complex. It offers a general assessment of the company's standing rather than any specific catalyst, deal, or guidance update.

The next earnings report is set for 5 November 2026, 46 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day window. The last report, on 6 November 2025, showed EPS of $0.31 against an estimate of $0.45, with a -1.8% reaction; average absolute reaction across recent quarters has been 1.8%. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 0.5% return over five years, rising in three of those years. Consensus analyst target stands at $47.11, implying -0.9% versus current price.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $47.53200-day averageGekko Fair Value $44.95

Key stats

Market cap
$27.64B
P/E ratio
23
Forward P/E
20.8
EPS, TTM
$2.07
Revenue, TTM
$7.96B
Profit margin
22.4%
Dividend yield
6.13%
Beta
0.70
Volume
1.54M avg 985,827
1-year return
+20.2%
Typical daily move
±1.8%
Typical 20-day move
±3.8%
50-day average
$48.96
200-day average
$44.96
Next earnings
Nov 5
Shares outstanding
581.6M
52-week range
$36.20$51.58

Pembina Pipeline swing-trade checklist

Pembina Pipeline scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $47.53 sits between the 50-day ($48.96) and 200-day ($44.96) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    64.2, Accumulation

    Reading 64.2 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    5.7% above

    Price is 5.7% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 46 days

    Next report Nov 5, 2026, 46 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +0.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.5% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Pembina Pipeline stock chart and price history

Pembina Pipeline closed at $47.53 on Sep 18, 2026, +20.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $36.20 to $51.58.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−2.0%
3 months
+3.0%
6 months
+6.5%
1 year
+20.2%
The full PBA chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open PBA in Gekko

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About Pembina Pipeline

Pembina Pipeline moves and handles oil, natural gas, and related liquids for companies operating across North American energy basins. It is known for its extensive network of pipelines carrying conventional, oil sands, heavy oil, and transmission volumes, alongside storage and rail terminalling capacity that supports producers moving hydrocarbons to market.

The company runs three main lines of business. Its pipeline operations transport large volumes of oil equivalent daily and include surface storage and rail terminal facilities. A separate facilities division processes and stores natural gas, condensate, and natural gas liquids such as ethane, propane, and butane, using fractionation plants and underground cavern storage tied to pipeline and rail assets. A third division buys and sells hydrocarbon liquids and natural gas, drawing largely on supply from the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin and other producing regions.

Pembina Pipeline was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker PBA.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Industrial services
Industry
Oil & gas pipelines
Website
pembina.com

Pembina Pipeline GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Pembina Pipeline’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.2, in the Accumulation zone, up 1.2 points over five sessions.

010064.2Accumulation

Up 1.2 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying15+1.1%+1.0%+1.2%+3.1%
Accumulation (current zone)185+1.1%+1.7%+3.1%+4.2%
Neutral4040.0%+0.1%+0.4%+3.0%
Distribution570.0%+0.4%+0.8%+1.0%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average PBA share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the PBA price, zone by zone.Track PBA in Gekko

Is Pembina Pipeline stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Pembina Pipeline trades 5.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $44.95, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Pembina Pipeline shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$44.95

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

5.7% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open PBA in Gekko

Pembina Pipeline insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Pembina Pipeline, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for PBA in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every PBA insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PBA in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in PBA were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for PBA, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PBA in Gekko

Pembina Pipeline earnings: next date and track record

Pembina Pipeline reports on Nov 5, 2026 (46 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 0 of its last 1 report.

0 of 1reports beat the EPS estimate
±1.8%average move across the report
0 of 1reports followed by a gain

Last earnings call, Nov 6, 2025 AI summary

What they said
Pembina Pipeline reports Q3 2025 results with solid EBITDA of $1.034B, on track to meet full-year guidance in the $4.25B-$4.35B range, and updates 2025 guidance with narrowed range. Core messaging emphasizes resilient, fee-based cash flows, long-term LNG exposure via Cedar LNG with PETRONAS, and ongoing capital allocation to balance sheet and growth. Marketing and NGLs faced margin volatility; marketing benefited from lower option value than expected, leading to tightened guidance. Executives discuss renewed demand from oil sands, pipeline recontracting, and potential upside from Greenlight project phases with in-service expected around 2030. They acknowledge headwinds from commodity prices (WEA 60s), regulatory/operational risks, and Cedar LNG capex. The call includes multiple Q&A sessions focusing on pricing, volume outlook, Greenlight timelines, Cedar LNG, PGI ownership, balance sheet, and project execution.
Guidance
- Updated and narrowed 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance to range of $4.25B-$4.35B (3Q update). - Expects full-year 2025 EBITDA within original guidance range and plans mid-December guidance for 2026 and capital budget. - Cedar LNG capex remains a significant investment with 2026 peak spending; long-term free cash flow neutrality targeted; balance sheet comfortable in 3.5x-4x range; 2026 may see some free cash flow negative due to Cedar LNG while remaining within target leverage.
Risks flagged
- Commodity price volatility (lower oil/gas prices affecting margins, especially propane and NGL margins). - Regulatory and policy environment, including federal government support for infrastructure, potential permitting delays. - execution risk on large projects (Cedar LNG expansion, Greenlight, PGI) and potential delays in FIDs. - Market competition and recontracting pressure in conventional pipelines. - Currency and interest rate / macro uncertainties affecting capex financing and tolls.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Nov 6, 2025$0.31
est $0.45
−31.1%$1.28B
est $1.41B
−9.0%−1.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Pembina Pipeline stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Pembina Pipeline is $47.11, −0.9% from the last close.

$47.11consensus 12-month target, −0.9% from the last close
+3.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+0.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Pembina Pipeline seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Pembina Pipeline averaged +0.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+10.6%2021−10.5%2022+0.9%2023+7.4%2024−5.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−2.1%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.1%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.8%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+0.5%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+0.4%3 of 5

For scale, PBA’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.8%.

Pembina Pipeline market cap and key statistics

Pembina Pipeline’s market cap is $27.64B, with a P/E ratio of 23 and revenue of $7.96B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$27.64B
P/E ratio
23
Forward P/E
20.8
EPS, TTM
$2.07
Gekko Fair Value
$44.95

Trading

Volume
1.54M
Avg volume, 20 days
985,827
52-week high
$51.58
52-week low
$36.20
Shares outstanding
581.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$7.96B
Profit margin
22.4%
Return on equity
10.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+26.2%

Risk and income

Beta
0.70
Typical daily move
±1.8%
Typical 20-day move
±3.8%
Dividend yield
6.13%

Pembina Pipeline stock news this week

1 headline about Pembina Pipeline from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Pembina Pipeline peers

Pembina Pipeline’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
ENBEnbridge+0.1%Accumulation0.8% below
WMBWilliams Companies+1.0%Accumulation3.5% above
EPDEnterprise Products Partners+0.5%Neutral14.2% below
ETEnergy Transfer+0.6%Neutral36.3% below
KMIKinder Morgan+2.1%Neutral15.5% below
TRPTC Energy−1.3%Accumulation5.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Pembina Pipeline stock FAQ

What is Pembina Pipeline’s market cap?

Pembina Pipeline’s market cap is $27.64B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $47.53, with 581.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 23.

What is the Pembina Pipeline stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Pembina Pipeline is $47.11, −0.9% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Pembina Pipeline stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Pembina Pipeline is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $47.53 is 5.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $44.95. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Pembina Pipeline report earnings next?

Pembina Pipeline is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026 (46 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.46 per share on revenue of $1.43B.

What is Pembina Pipeline’s 52-week high and low?

Pembina Pipeline’s 52-week high is $51.58 and its 52-week low is $36.20; it closed at $47.53 on Sep 18, 2026, +20.2% over the past year.

Is Pembina Pipeline stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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