NYSE: NGL

NGL ENERGY PARTNERS (NGL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$14.67−0.07 (−0.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week, shares of NGL Energy Partners fell 3.5% to $14.74, with one assessment flagging the stock as overvalued relative to its own fair value estimate. The company also appeared alongside Western Midstream and Global Partners in a broader industry outlook piece, and separate coverage noted that U.S. natural gas liquids exports are now projected to grow by more than 10% this year, with international buyers looking to replace disrupted Middle Eastern supplies.

NGL closed at $14.67, down 0.5%, sitting between its 50-day average of $16.70 and 200-day average of $14.41, a trend picture the checklist describes as mixed. The stock's one-month return stands at -16.6%, though its one-year return remains at 135.1%. The GekkoIndex reads 66.9, placing NGL in the Accumulation zone, up 5.1 over the past five readings. Price sits 7.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $15.82.

Earnings are scheduled for 3 November 2026 after the close, 22 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 4 August showed EPS of $0.17 against a $0.11 estimate, producing a 6.3% reaction, with average absolute earnings-day moves near 9%. Over the last 90 days, insiders made 3 open-market purchases totaling $5,689,538. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 11.5% return over 5 years, rising in 4 of them. The consensus target sits near $5, implying -65.9% versus the current price.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

NGL ENERGY PARTNERS price vs fair value

$15.82$14.67Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $14.67200-day averageGekko Fair Value $15.82

NGL ENERGY PARTNERS quick facts

Market cap
$1.83B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
46.1
EPS, TTM
−$2.75
Revenue, TTM
$3.52B
Profit margin
-3.8%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.84
Volume
183,178 avg 204,151
1-year return
+135.1%
Typical daily move
±4.2%
Typical 20-day move
±9.2%
50-day average
$16.70
200-day average
$14.41
Next earnings
Nov 3 after close
Shares outstanding
123.8M
52-week range
$6.04$19.06

NGL ENERGY PARTNERS swing-trade checklist

NGL ENERGY PARTNERS scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $14.67 sits between the 50-day ($16.70) and 200-day ($14.41) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    66.9, Accumulation

    Reading 66.9 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    7.3% below

    Price is 7.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 3 open-market insider purchases.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 22 days

    Reports on Nov 3, 2026, 22 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +11.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +11.5% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

NGL ENERGY PARTNERS stock chart and price history

NGL ENERGY PARTNERS closed at $14.67 on Oct 12, 2026, +135.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $6.04 to $19.06.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
NGL ENERGY PARTNERS share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$5$10NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct14.67

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−16.6%
3 months
−4.5%
6 months
+12.8%
1 year
+135.1%
The full NGL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NGL in Gekko

Follow NGL ENERGY PARTNERS through every session

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About NGL ENERGY PARTNERS

NGL Energy Partners moves, stores, blends and markets essential energy commodities, including crude oil, natural gas liquids, refined petroleum products and renewable fuels. It is also known for its water solutions work, managing the water produced during oil and gas extraction through transportation, treatment, recycling and disposal services, alongside recovery of crude oil and handling of drilling byproducts.

The partnership organizes its business into three segments. Water Solutions covers the handling of produced and flowback water along with related services such as solids disposal and tank washouts. Crude Oil Logistics buys crude from producers and marketers and transports it to refineries, reselling at pipeline stations, terminals, barges, rail facilities and trading hubs while also offering storage and pipeline transport. Liquids Logistics distributes natural gas liquids, refined products and biodiesel to commercial, retail and industrial customers across the United States and Canada, supported by proprietary terminals, third party storage, common carrier pipelines, leased railcars and a marine export facility for butane in Chesapeake, Virginia. NGL Energy Holdings LLC serves as its general partner.

Founded in 1940 and based in Tulsa, Oklahoma, NGL Energy Partners trades on the NYSE under the ticker NGL.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Industrial services
Industry
Oil & gas pipelines
Website
nglenergypartners.com

NGL ENERGY PARTNERS GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

NGL ENERGY PARTNERS’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.9, in the Accumulation zone, up 5.1 points over five sessions.

010066.9Accumulation

Up 5.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying23+0.1%+0.5%+1.5%+15.7%
Accumulation (current zone)192+0.3%+0.2%+0.7%+3.5%
Neutral389+1.5%+3.2%+6.4%+15.7%
Distribution68+1.1%+2.1%+3.8%+13.2%
Selling10−0.3%+0.6%+2.0%+6.3%

Average NGL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NGL price, zone by zone.Track NGL in Gekko

Is NGL ENERGY PARTNERS stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

NGL ENERGY PARTNERS trades 7.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $15.82, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what NGL ENERGY PARTNERS shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$15.82

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

7.3% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 32.0% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$16$15Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NGL in Gekko

NGL ENERGY PARTNERS insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 3 open-market purchases in NGL ENERGY PARTNERS worth $5.69M, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$5.69Min 3 open-market purchases

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Aug 26RAYMOND JOHN T
director
Purchase300,000$5.09M
Aug 26COLLINGSWORTH JAMES M
director
Purchase10,808$182K
Aug 25RAYMOND JOHN T
director
Purchase25,500$414K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in NGL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for NGL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NGL in Gekko

Buybacks

NGL ENERGY PARTNERS has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2026
$298.2M
As a share of market cap
16.29%
Trailing four quarters
$370.1M

From company filings.

NGL ENERGY PARTNERS earnings: next date and track record

NGL ENERGY PARTNERS reports on Nov 3, 2026, after the close (22 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 1 of its last 7 reports.

1 of 7reports beat the EPS estimate
±9%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−1.6%Nov ’24−20.8%Feb ’25+1.2%May ’25+11.1%Aug ’25+26.6%Nov ’25−2.8%Feb ’26+1.9%May ’26+6.3%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary

What they said
NGL Energy Partners reported record Q1 FY2027 results with consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $186.2M, up ~30% YoY. Water Solutions segment generated $179.9M EBITDA (91% of total), up 26% YoY, driven by record produced water disposal volumes of 3.32M barrels/day (+19.6% YoY). The LEX II Extension pipeline project was executed, expanding capacity to 560,000 barrels/day. Total volume commitments reached 1.77M barrels/day (~53% of total volumes).
Guidance
Management raised FY2027 adjusted EBITDA guidance by $10M to a range of $725M-$735M. Leverage reduction is expected to continue throughout FY2027, with potential Class D preferred redemption later this fiscal year. FY2028 is expected to mirror FY2027 growth.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 4, 2026$0.17
est $0.11
+54.5%$990.0M
est $346.1M
+186.0%+6.3%
May 28, 2026−$0.71
est $0.18
−494.4%$949.5M
est $941.5M
+0.8%+1.9%
Feb 3, 2026$0.10
est $0.16
−37.5%$909.8M
est $804.4M
+13.1%−2.8%
Nov 4, 2025$0.02—$674.7M
est $700.8M
−3.7%+26.6%
Aug 7, 2025−$0.27
est −$0.11
−145.5%$622.2M
est $512.4M
+21.4%+11.1%
May 29, 2025−$0.12
est $0.01
−1,300.0%−$819.8M
est $1.05B
−177.8%+1.2%
Feb 10, 2025−$0.12
est $0.13
−192.3%$1.55B
est $1.07B
+45.1%−20.8%
Nov 12, 2024−$0.21
est $0.08
−362.5%$1.35B
est $1.56B
−13.4%−1.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

NGL ENERGY PARTNERS stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for NGL ENERGY PARTNERS is $5.00, −65.9% from the last close.

$5.00consensus 12-month target, −65.9% from the last close
+0.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+11.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

NGL ENERGY PARTNERS seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, NGL ENERGY PARTNERS averaged +11.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+0.4%2021+12.4%2022+5.0%2023−13.1%2024+55.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.3%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.1%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.2%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+11.5%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+9.0%2 of 5

For scale, NGL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.2%.

NGL ENERGY PARTNERS market cap and key statistics

NGL ENERGY PARTNERS’s market cap is $1.83B and revenue of $3.52B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.83B
Forward P/E
46.1
EPS, TTM
−$2.75
Gekko Fair Value
$15.82

Trading

Volume
183,178
Avg volume, 20 days
204,151
52-week high
$19.06
52-week low
$6.04
Shares outstanding
123.8M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.52B
Profit margin
-3.8%
Return on equity
-37.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+1,129.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.84
Typical daily move
±4.2%
Typical 20-day move
±9.2%

NGL ENERGY PARTNERS stock news this week

3 headlines about NGL ENERGY PARTNERS from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

NGL ENERGY PARTNERS peers

NGL ENERGY PARTNERS’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
ENBEnbridge+0.2%Accumulation0.9% above
WMBWilliams Companies+3.0%Neutral11.5% above
EPDEnterprise Products Partners−0.7%Accumulation18.0% below
KMIKinder Morgan+1.4%Neutral7.6% below
ETEnergy Transfer+1.1%Accumulation35.8% below
TRPTC Energy+0.4%Neutral5.2% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

NGL ENERGY PARTNERS stock FAQ

What is NGL ENERGY PARTNERS’s market cap?

NGL ENERGY PARTNERS’s market cap is $1.83B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $14.67, with 123.8M shares outstanding.

What is the NGL ENERGY PARTNERS stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for NGL ENERGY PARTNERS is $5.00, −65.9% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is NGL ENERGY PARTNERS stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate NGL ENERGY PARTNERS is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $14.67 is 7.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $15.82. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does NGL ENERGY PARTNERS report earnings next?

NGL ENERGY PARTNERS is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026, after the market closes (22 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.22 per share on revenue of $838.8M. NGL ENERGY PARTNERS beat the earnings estimate in 1 of its last 7 reports, moving 9% on average across the report.

What is NGL ENERGY PARTNERS’s 52-week high and low?

NGL ENERGY PARTNERS’s 52-week high is $19.06 and its 52-week low is $6.04; it closed at $14.67 on Oct 12, 2026, +135.1% over the past year.

Is NGL ENERGY PARTNERS stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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