NASDAQ: LOPE

Grand Canyon Education (LOPE) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$160.28+0.48 (+0.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's attention centers on Grand Canyon Education's recent quarterly results and analyst responses to them. The company reported Q2 2026 revenue of $264.05 million, a 6.69% increase year-over-year, with net income rising 10.35% to $45.85 million and non-GAAP diluted EPS of $1.81 versus $1.69 estimated. BMO Capital trimmed its price target from USD 185 to USD 182 while maintaining an Outperform rating, and Barrington reaffirmed a Buy rating with a USD 200.00 target. Stock also crossed above its 200-day moving average this week, and a filing noted Reinhart Partners LLC increasing its stake in the third quarter.

LOPE closes at $160.28, up 0.3%, sitting between its 50-day average of $150.45 and 200-day average of $158.33. The GekkoIndex reads 48.1, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down 3.1 over five days. Price sits 17% below Gekko Fair Value of $193.08, a gap that bears watching.

Earnings are scheduled for 4 November 2026 after close, 22 days out and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report saw an 8.8% reaction despite the EPS beat, with 7 beats in the last 8 quarters. Seasonality from this point has averaged an 8.1% move over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective windows. Analyst consensus among 3 firms is unanimously Buy, with a consensus target of 194 implying 21% upside.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Grand Canyon Education price vs fair value

$193.08$160.28Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $160.28200-day averageGekko Fair Value $193.08

Grand Canyon Education quick facts

Market cap
$4.18B
P/E ratio
19.4
Forward P/E
13.3
EPS, TTM
$8.26
Revenue, TTM
$1.14B
Profit margin
19.6%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.58
Volume
147,953 avg 314,982
1-year return
−22.6%
Typical daily move
±2.9%
Typical 20-day move
±5.1%
50-day average
$150.45
200-day average
$158.33
Next earnings
Nov 4 after close
Shares outstanding
26.07M
52-week range
$134.27$223.04

Grand Canyon Education swing-trade checklist

Grand Canyon Education scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $160.28 sits between the 50-day ($150.45) and 200-day ($158.33) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    48.1, Neutral

    Reading 48.1 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    17.0% below

    Price is 17% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +8.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +8.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Grand Canyon Education stock chart and price history

Grand Canyon Education closed at $160.28 on Oct 12, 2026, −22.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $134.27 to $223.04.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Grand Canyon Education share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$140$180$200$220NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct160.28

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+6.0%
3 months
+7.6%
6 months
−3.3%
1 year
−22.6%
The full LOPE chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open LOPE in Gekko

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About Grand Canyon Education

Grand Canyon Education supplies a wide range of support services to colleges and universities across the United States. Its work spans technology tools such as learning management systems and administrative platforms, along with academic services like curriculum design, faculty training, class scheduling, and skills and simulation lab setup. It is recognized for helping schools manage the operational side of running academic programs rather than teaching courses itself.

The company also assists with student-facing functions, including admissions support, financial aid guidance, and coordination of field placements, plus broader counseling services. It runs marketing and communications work for partner institutions, covering lead generation, digital campaigns, branding, research, media planning, and data analytics, and it handles back-office functions such as finance, accounting, human resources, auditing, and procurement. Through its subsidiary Orbis Education Services, LLC, Grand Canyon Education also supports healthcare-focused academic programs at 27 universities.

Grand Canyon Education was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker LOPE.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Commercial services
Industry
Miscellaneous commercial services
Website
gce.com

Grand Canyon Education GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Grand Canyon Education’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 48.1, in the Neutral zone, down 3.1 points over five sessions.

010048.1Neutral

Down 3.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying38−1.0%+0.2%+4.7%+12.2%
Accumulation204+0.8%+1.8%+3.7%+6.1%
Neutral (current zone)389+0.2%0.0%−0.6%−0.7%
Distribution450.0%−0.3%−2.0%−7.0%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average LOPE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the LOPE price, zone by zone.Track LOPE in Gekko

Is Grand Canyon Education stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Grand Canyon Education trades 17.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $193.08, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Grand Canyon Education shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$193.08

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

17.0% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 27.4% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$193$160Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open LOPE in Gekko

Grand Canyon Education insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Grand Canyon Education, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for LOPE in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every LOPE insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LOPE in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in LOPE were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for LOPE, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LOPE in Gekko

Buybacks

Grand Canyon Education has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$75.28M
As a share of market cap
1.80%
Trailing four quarters
$342.7M

From company filings.

Grand Canyon Education earnings: next date and track record

Grand Canyon Education reports on Nov 4, 2026, after the close (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.1%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+17.0%Nov ’24+0.9%Feb ’25+4.3%May ’25+16.1%Aug ’25−9.6%Nov ’25−4.8%Feb ’26−3.5%Apr ’26−8.8%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Grand Canyon Education (GCE) held its Q2 2026 earnings call highlighting consistent financial performance, strategic positioning amid industry disruption, and a newly amended master services agreement (MSA) with Grand Canyon University (GCU). Management emphasized that GCE's financials remain stable, reporting non-GAAP diluted EPS of $1.81 for Q2 2026 versus $1.53 a year earlier. The amended MSA (effective July 1, 2026) runs for an initial 15 years through June 30, 2041, restructures service fees to 60% of tuition and academic-related fees only, removes GCU's ability to terminate for convenience, and is estimated to reduce service revenue by approximately $20 million annually while having an immaterial effect on operating income. Management expressed confidence in GCE's resilience to AI-driven changes in search and lead generation, defended the company’s positioning in delivering high-quality programs including nursing, counseling, and the new law school, and welcomed new student loan rules limiting certain master’s borrowing. During Q&A, management reiterated confidence about enrollment sources, hybrid program profitability, differentiated tuition, and margin expansion through lower student acquisition costs.
Guidance
No formal quarterly or annual revenue/EPS guidance was issued. Management disclosed: - Non-GAAP diluted income per share: $1.81 (Q2 2026) vs $1.53 (Q2 2025). - Amended MSA expected to reduce service revenue by approximately $20 million annually but with an immaterial impact on operating income. - Hybrid onsite programs are profitable this year with potential site-level margins of 20%+. (No forward-looking numeric guidance beyond these disclosures.)
Risks flagged
Management highlighted industry headwinds including structural shifts from AI and rapid market transitions, potential increased rate of small private university closures (citing WASC warnings), regulatory changes affecting student loans, and a reduction in service revenue from the amended MSA (~$20M annually). Other risks were noted generically in the SEC disclosure statement referencing factors in 10-K/10-Q/8-K.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$1.81
est $1.69
+7.1%$264.0M
est $261.9M
+0.8%−8.8%
Apr 30, 2026$2.86
est $2.78
+2.9%$308.8M
est $307.8M
+0.3%−3.5%
Feb 18, 2026$3.21
est $3.19
+0.6%$308.1M
est $308.1M
0.0%−4.8%
Nov 5, 2025$1.78
est $1.78
0.0%$261.1M
est $307.9M
−15.2%−9.6%
Aug 6, 2025$1.53
est $1.37
+11.7%$247.5M
est $240.9M
+2.7%+16.1%
May 6, 2025$2.57
est $2.51
+2.4%$289.3M
est $239.1M
+21.0%+4.3%
Feb 19, 2025$2.95
est $2.94
+0.5%$292.6M
est $289.6M
+1.0%+0.9%
Nov 6, 2024$1.48
est $1.47
+0.7%$238.3M
est $239.7M
−0.6%+17.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Grand Canyon Education stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Grand Canyon Education is $194.00, +21.0% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$194.00consensus 12-month target, +21.0% from the last close
Low $182High $200
Buy3
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 5BMO CapitalBuy, maintained$182+13.6%
Oct 2BarringtonBuy, reiterated$200+24.8%
Oct 1BarringtonBuy, reiterated$200+24.8%
Sep 30Truist FinancialBuy, maintained——
Sep 22Truist FinancialBuy, maintained——
−0.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+8.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Grand Canyon Education seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Grand Canyon Education averaged +8.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−4.6%2021+28.3%2022+17.2%2023+24.0%2024−20.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.0%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.0%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.5%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+8.1%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+8.4%3 of 5

For scale, LOPE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.1%.

Grand Canyon Education market cap and key statistics

Grand Canyon Education’s market cap is $4.18B, with a P/E ratio of 19.4 and revenue of $1.14B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.18B
P/E ratio
19.4
Forward P/E
13.3
EPS, TTM
$8.26
Gekko Fair Value
$193.08

Trading

Volume
147,953
Avg volume, 20 days
314,982
52-week high
$223.04
52-week low
$134.27
Shares outstanding
26.07M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.14B
Profit margin
19.6%
Return on equity
31%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+18.2%

Risk and income

Beta
0.58
Typical daily move
±2.9%
Typical 20-day move
±5.1%

Grand Canyon Education peers

Grand Canyon Education’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
SHOPShopify+3.1%Distribution25.9% above
CTASCintas+0.9%Neutral14.1% above
PYPLPayPal+0.8%Neutral0.8% below
XYZBlock−0.1%Neutral7.5% above
CPAYCorpay−0.7%Neutral17.5% below
FISVFiserv+1.3%Accumulation39.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Grand Canyon Education stock FAQ

What is Grand Canyon Education’s market cap?

Grand Canyon Education’s market cap is $4.18B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $160.28, with 26.07M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 19.4.

What is the Grand Canyon Education stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Grand Canyon Education is $194.00, +21.0% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Grand Canyon Education stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Grand Canyon Education is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $160.28 is 17.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $193.08. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Grand Canyon Education report earnings next?

Grand Canyon Education is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, after the market closes (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.76 per share on revenue of $270.1M. Grand Canyon Education beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.1% on average across the report.

What is Grand Canyon Education’s 52-week high and low?

Grand Canyon Education’s 52-week high is $223.04 and its 52-week low is $134.27; it closed at $160.28 on Oct 12, 2026, −22.6% over the past year.

Is Grand Canyon Education stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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