NYSE: LBRT

Liberty Energy (LBRT) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$18.98−0.02 (−0.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's news for Liberty Energy centers on CFO Michael Stock's series of share sales under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan, including a sale of 3,333 shares at $20 per share on October 6 and another totaling $60,560 at $18.17 per share, alongside the announcement that third-quarter 2026 financial results will be released after market close on 21 October 2026. The company's prior quarter, reported 22 July 2026, showed revenue of $1.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $151 million, with management highlighting investments in AI-driven DigiPrime technology, the slurry last-mile sand system, and power generation capacity aimed at data center and hyperscaler customers.

LBRT closed at $18.98, down slightly on the day and below both its 50-day average of $19.72 and 200-day average of $24.89, with the stock down 24.9% over three months and 31.9% over six months, though up 51.1% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 63.1, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 16.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $22.71.

Earnings are due 21 October 2026, 9 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the last report produced an 11.5% average absolute reaction and a 21.1% move following a $0.09 EPS actual versus $0.07 estimate. Over the last 90 days, one open-market insider purchase valued at $250,009 has been recorded. Seasonality over 5 years shows an average 20-trading-day return of 10.8% from this point, with gains in 3 of those years. Analyst consensus across 12 firms includes 8 buy and 4 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $28.61.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Liberty Energy price vs fair value

$22.71$18.98Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $18.98200-day averageGekko Fair Value $22.71

Liberty Energy quick facts

Market cap
$3.10B
P/E ratio
25.5
Forward P/E
29.5
EPS, TTM
$0.74
Revenue, TTM
$4.20B
Profit margin
2.9%
Dividend yield
1.80%
Beta
0.72
Volume
2.34M avg 3.86M
1-year return
+51.1%
Typical daily move
±4.8%
Typical 20-day move
±9.3%
50-day average
$19.72
200-day average
$24.89
Next earnings
Oct 21 after close
Shares outstanding
163.2M
52-week range
$11.52$34.48

Liberty Energy swing-trade checklist

Liberty Energy scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $18.98 is below the 50-day ($19.72) and 200-day ($24.89) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    63.1, Accumulation

    Reading 63.1 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    16.4% below

    Price is 16.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 9 days

    Reports on Oct 21, 2026, 9 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +10.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +10.8% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Liberty Energy stock chart and price history

Liberty Energy closed at $18.98 on Oct 12, 2026, +51.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $11.52 to $34.48.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Liberty Energy share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$15$25$30$35NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct18.98

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−9.4%
3 months
−24.9%
6 months
−31.9%
1 year
+51.1%
The full LBRT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open LBRT in Gekko

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About Liberty Energy

Liberty Energy provides hydraulic fracturing and wireline work to onshore oil and gas producers across North America, supplying the pumping, perforating, and related equipment these drilling operations depend on. Its offerings extend to proppant handling, data analytics, and other supporting technologies used alongside its core fracturing services.

The company runs its pressure pumping business through roughly 30 active frac fleets as of the end of 2021, and it also owns two sand mines in the Permian Basin to support its proppant supply. Its work is concentrated in major North American shale regions, among them the Permian Basin, the Eagle Ford Shale, the Denver-Julesburg Basin, the Williston Basin, and the Powder River Basin, where it serves land-based exploration and production companies.

Liberty Energy traces its start to 2011, when it was established as Liberty Oilfield Services Inc., before taking its present name in April 2022. The company is headquartered in Denver, Colorado, and its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker LBRT.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Industrial services
Industry
Oilfield services/Equipment
Website
libertyenergy.com

Liberty Energy GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Liberty Energy’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 4.1 points over five sessions.

010063.1Accumulation

Up 4.1 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying38+2.3%+4.9%−3.9%−1.9%
Accumulation (current zone)246+0.8%−0.1%−1.2%−1.8%
Neutral353−0.1%+0.9%+3.3%+6.9%
Distribution38+1.2%+0.3%−2.9%−0.2%
Selling7Too few readings yet

Average LBRT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the LBRT price, zone by zone.Track LBRT in Gekko

Is Liberty Energy stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Liberty Energy trades 16.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $22.71, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Liberty Energy shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$22.71

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

16.4% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 19.2% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$23$19Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open LBRT in Gekko

Liberty Energy insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Liberty Energy worth $250K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$250Kin 1 open-market purchase

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Jul 30Arjun N Murti
Director
Purchase14,053$250K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in LBRT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for LBRT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LBRT in Gekko

Buybacks

Liberty Energy has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2025
$924K
As a share of market cap
0.03%
Trailing four quarters
$94.39M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold LBRT.

0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Liberty Energy earnings: next date and track record

Liberty Energy reports on Oct 21, 2026, after the close (9 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±11.5%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−7.6%Oct ’24−4.3%Jan ’25+6.1%Apr ’25−0.8%Jul ’25+24.1%Oct ’25+14.2%Jan ’26+14.1%Apr ’26−21.1%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Liberty Energy reported a solid Q2 2026 with revenue of $1.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $151 million, driven by record operational metrics and higher product sales. Management emphasized strategic investments in AI-driven DigiPrime technology, the commercial rollout of the slurry last-mile sand system, and a deliberate buildout of power generation capacity to serve data center/hyperscaler customers via ESAs and development JVs (notably with PowerBridge). The company reiterated a multi-year plan to build ~3 GW of generation capacity by 2029 (with initial MWs online late 2027 and meaningful P&L impact in 2028), funded primarily through project-level financing and phased CapEx. Management highlighted operational strengths and customer traction but also flagged macro and commodity volatility, product margin pressure (sand/chemicals), higher deposit requirements from equipment OEMs, and permitting/community engagement as execution risks.
Guidance
CapEx guidance: $1.5 billion for 2026 (company forecast). Power generation build target: 3 gigawatts by 2029 with $5–6 billion estimated total CapEx to build the 3 GW. Timeline: some early-stage generation online late 2027; meaningful income statement impact beginning in 2028; full income-statement contribution for the 3 GW by end of 2029. Financial target for power generation projects: 5–6 year cash-on-cash payback, ~17%–18% unlevered return. No specific revenue or EPS guidance provided for FY or FY27 beyond these project/timing expectations.
Risks flagged
Key risks mentioned include: commodity price volatility (WTI and natural gas), margin compression in product businesses (sand and chemicals), supply chain constraints and inflation increasing CapEx and upfront deposit requirements for generation equipment, timing and uncertainty around grid interconnection (batch processes like ERCOT batch 0), permitting and community engagement for large generation/data center campuses, and macro-driven customer reaction that can flex activity quickly (especially private operators).
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 22, 2026$0.09
est $0.07
+28.6%$1.19B
est $1.09B
+8.6%−21.1%
Apr 22, 2026$0.06
est −$0.13
+146.2%$1.02B
est $958.8M
+6.5%+14.1%
Jan 28, 2026$0.05
est −$0.16
+131.3%$1.04B
est $881.8M
+17.8%+14.2%
Oct 16, 2025−$0.06
est −$0.06
−3.6%$947.4M
est $961.7M
−1.5%+24.1%
Jul 24, 2025$0.61
est $0.16
+281.2%$1.04B
est $969.8M
+7.5%−0.8%
Apr 16, 2025$0.04
est $0.03
+33.3%$977.5M
est $948.5M
+3.1%+6.1%
Jan 29, 2025$0.10
est $0.09
+11.1%$943.6M
est $978.4M
−3.6%−4.3%
Oct 16, 2024$0.45
est $0.58
−22.4%$1.14B
est $1.13B
+0.6%−7.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Liberty Energy stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Liberty Energy is $28.61, +50.7% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$28.61consensus 12-month target, +50.7% from the last close
Low $19High $36
Buy8
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 2Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained$28+47.5%
Sep 30UBSBuy, maintained$31+63.3%
Sep 30CitiBuy, maintained$27.50+44.9%
Sep 29ScotiabankHold, initiated$19+0.1%
Sep 28BarclaysBuy, upgraded$27+42.3%
−1.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+10.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Liberty Energy seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Liberty Energy averaged +10.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−13.2%2021+25.2%2022+5.0%2023−11.2%2024+42.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+9.9%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+12.1%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+11.3%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+10.8%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.0%3 of 5

For scale, LBRT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.3%.

Liberty Energy market cap and key statistics

Liberty Energy’s market cap is $3.10B, with a P/E ratio of 25.5 and revenue of $4.20B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.10B
P/E ratio
25.5
Forward P/E
29.5
EPS, TTM
$0.74
Gekko Fair Value
$22.71

Trading

Volume
2.34M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.86M
52-week high
$34.48
52-week low
$11.52
Shares outstanding
163.2M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$4.20B
Profit margin
2.9%
Return on equity
6.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−39.5%

Risk and income

Beta
0.72
Typical daily move
±4.8%
Typical 20-day move
±9.3%
Dividend yield
1.80%

Liberty Energy stock news this week

Coverage of Liberty Energy this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 4 neutral and 3 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Liberty Energy peers

Liberty Energy’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
FTITechnipFMC−0.7%Accumulation4.2% above
HALHalliburton−1.0%Accumulation28.1% below
NOVNOV−1.6%Accumulation30.8% below
WFRDWeatherford International−2.2%Accumulation45.3% below
AROCArchrock+0.1%Accumulation3.7% below
KGSKodiak Gas Services−1.4%Accumulation5.8% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Liberty Energy stock FAQ

What is Liberty Energy’s market cap?

Liberty Energy’s market cap is $3.10B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $18.98, with 163.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 25.5.

What is the Liberty Energy stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Liberty Energy is $28.61, +50.7% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Liberty Energy stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Liberty Energy is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $18.98 is 16.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $22.71. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Liberty Energy report earnings next?

Liberty Energy is expected to report on Oct 21, 2026, after the market closes (9 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.09 per share on revenue of $1.21B. Liberty Energy beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 11.5% on average across the report.

What is Liberty Energy’s 52-week high and low?

Liberty Energy’s 52-week high is $34.48 and its 52-week low is $11.52; it closed at $18.98 on Oct 12, 2026, +51.1% over the past year.

Is Liberty Energy stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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