Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for AESI in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every AESI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AESI in Gekko
NYSE: AESI
Atlas Energy Solutions (AESI) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$11.96−0.33 (−2.7%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeThis week's attention centers on Atlas Energy Solutions' expansion into AI-linked power infrastructure, with its ProjectCo unit securing two purchase commitments for 283 MW of Caterpillar natural gas generation equipment, backed by cost reimbursement agreements with a leading AI lab. Stephens & Co. has been active on the name, reiterating an Overweight/Buy rating while adjusting its price target between $20 and $22, with the latest note flagging an anticipated third-quarter 2026 miss on EBITDA and cash flow per share versus consensus. A Q3 2026 earnings preview also circulated, projecting an EPS of -$0.2267 on revenues of $267.17 million.
AESI closed at $11.96, down 2.7%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $12.48 and 200-day average of $13.46, with the shorter average also below the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 61.8, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 11.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $13.49. One-month return stands at -15.5% and three-month at -18.6%, while the 52-week range spans $7.64 to $20.13.
Earnings arrive 2 November, after close, 20 days out and within a typical 20-day holding window; the prior quarter's reaction was 1.3% despite a miss. Seasonality over the past 3 years shows a -2.8% average return across the next 20 trading days, positive in just 1 of those years. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Analyst coverage spans 8 firms, with 3 buy, 4 hold, and 1 sell ratings, and a consensus target of $17.85.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Atlas Energy Solutions price vs fair value
Close $11.96200-day averageGekko Fair Value $13.49
Atlas Energy Solutions quick facts
- Market cap
- $1.49B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- 44.3
- EPS, TTM
- −$0.95
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.07B
- Profit margin
- -11.1%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.16
- Volume
- 1.63M avg 3.66M
- 1-year return
- +8.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±6.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±8.9%
- 50-day average
- $12.48
- 200-day average
- $13.46
- Next earnings
- Nov 2 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 124.9M
Atlas Energy Solutions swing-trade checklist
Atlas Energy Solutions scores 2 supportive, 0 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive0 mixed3 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $11.96 is below the 50-day ($12.48) and 200-day ($13.46) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
61.8, Accumulation
Reading 61.8 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
11.3% below
Price is 11.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 21 days
Reports on Nov 2, 2026, 21 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−2.8% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.8% over 3 years, rising in 1 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Atlas Energy Solutions stock chart and price history
Atlas Energy Solutions closed at $11.96 on Oct 12, 2026, +8.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $7.64 to $20.13.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −15.5%
- 3 months
- −18.6%
- 6 months
- +2.1%
- 1 year
- +8.0%
The full AESI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AESI in Gekko
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About Atlas Energy Solutions
Atlas Energy Solutions provides proppant and supply chain management services used in oil and gas production. Its offerings support operators working the Permian Basin, a region that stretches across West Texas and New Mexico, and the company is best known for supplying this sector with the materials and logistics needed to keep drilling operations running.
The company concentrates its work on the Permian Basin, positioning itself around the needs of oil and natural gas producers active there. Its business centers on getting proppant to customers efficiently, pairing the physical material with the supply chain coordination that production in the basin requires.
Atlas Energy Solutions was established in 2017 and is based in Austin, Texas. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker AESI.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Industrial services
- Industry
- Oilfield services/Equipment
- Website
- atlas.energy
Atlas Energy Solutions GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Atlas Energy Solutions’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.8, in the Accumulation zone, up 3.1 points over five sessions.
61.8Accumulation
Up 3.1 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 53 | +2.1% | +3.0% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 253 | +0.4% | −0.3% | ||
| Neutral | 306 | −0.8% | −0.3% | ||
| Distribution | 67 | +1.5% | +1.4% | ||
| Selling | 3 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average AESI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AESI price, zone by zone.Track AESI in Gekko
Is Atlas Energy Solutions stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Atlas Energy Solutions trades 11.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $13.49, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Atlas Energy Solutions shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$13.49
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
11.3% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 21.4% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AESI in Gekko
Atlas Energy Solutions insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Atlas Energy Solutions, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in AESI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for AESI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AESI in Gekko
Buybacks
Atlas Energy Solutions has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2026
- $1.23M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.08%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold AESI.
0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Atlas Energy Solutions earnings: next date and track record
Atlas Energy Solutions reports on Nov 2, 2026, after the close (21 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 0 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 2, 2026
Expected after the close, 21 days away
- EPS estimate
- −$0.23
- Revenue estimate
- $264.8M
0 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.5%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 3, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Atlas Energy Solutions reported Q2 2026 revenue of $293.2 million and adjusted EBITDA of $49.5 million (17% margin). Key highlight was signing their first behind-the-meter power purchase agreement: a 120 MW deal with an investment-grade tech infrastructure provider, requiring ~$190 million capex and generating ~$55 million annualized adjusted free cash flow (sub-3.5-year payback). The oilfield power fleet is targeting 180-200 MW deployed by year-end, mostly under long-term agreements.
- Guidance
- The 120 MW Socorro, TX facility commissions Q4 2026, with revenue recognition beginning Q2 2027. Project capital fits within existing capital guidance with no budget increase. Deal pipeline has evolved such that 2-4 projects (vs. prior 8-10 assumption) could contract remaining uncommitted capacity, suggesting larger deal sizes ahead.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | −$0.18 est −$0.12 | $293.2M est $282.2M | +1.3% |
| May 4, 2026 | −$0.36 est −$0.20 | $265.6M est $256.4M | +12.2% |
| Feb 23, 2026 | −$0.22 est −$0.22 | $249.4M est $240.3M | −11.4% |
| Nov 3, 2025 | −$0.19 est −$0.03 | $259.6M est $270.6M | −14.1% |
| Aug 4, 2025 | −$0.04 est $0.14 | $288.7M est $283.4M | +0.5% |
| May 5, 2025 | $0.08 est $0.18 | $297.6M est $291.2M | −13.0% |
| Feb 24, 2025 | $0.06 est $0.18 | $271.3M est $272.9M | −5.9% |
| Oct 28, 2024 | $0.19 est $0.25 | $304.4M est $281.6M | +1.7% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Atlas Energy Solutions stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Atlas Energy Solutions is $17.85, +49.2% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$17.85consensus 12-month target, +49.2% from the last close
Now $11.96Avg $17.85
Low $12High $20
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | Stephens | $20 | +67.2% |
| Oct 2 | Bank of America Securities | $15 | +25.4% |
| Sep 29 | Scotiabank | $14 | +17.1% |
| Sep 28 | Barclays | $14 | +17.1% |
| Sep 3 | Citi | $17 | +42.1% |
−0.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−2.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 3 years
±6.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Atlas Energy Solutions seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Atlas Energy Solutions averaged −2.8% across the last 3 years, rising in 1 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −3.8% | 0 of 3 |
| Next 10 trading days | −4.6% | 0 of 3 |
| Next 15 trading days | −1.4% | 1 of 3 |
| Next 20 trading days | −2.8% | 1 of 3 |
| Next 30 trading days | −14.2% | 0 of 3 |
For scale, AESI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.9%.
Atlas Energy Solutions market cap and key statistics
Atlas Energy Solutions’s market cap is $1.49B and revenue of $1.07B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $1.49B
- Forward P/E
- 44.3
- EPS, TTM
- −$0.95
- Gekko Fair Value
- $13.49
Trading
- Volume
- 1.63M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 3.66M
- 52-week high
- $20.13
- 52-week low
- $7.64
- Shares outstanding
- 124.9M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.07B
- Profit margin
- -11.1%
- Return on equity
- -9.9%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −96.2%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.16
- Typical daily move
- ±6.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±8.9%
Atlas Energy Solutions stock news this week
Coverage of Atlas Energy Solutions this week reads positive: 5 positive, 3 neutral and 3 negative headlines.
- Atlas Energy Solutions Q3 2026 Earnings Date and EstimatesMarketBeat, Oct 9
- 27,086 shares were withheld for taxes as Atlas Energy Solutions (AESI) counsel's stock grants vested.Stock Titan, Oct 8
- Atlas Energy Solutions (AESI) Could Be 31% Undervalued As AI Power Deals Draw AttentionSimply Wall Street, Oct 8
- Form 4 Atlas Energy Solutions Inc For: 7 October By Investing.comInvesting.com Nigeria, Oct 7
- Atlas Energy Solutions Stock Gets AI Backed Power Equipment OrdersSimply Wall Street, Oct 6
- Stephens & Co. maintains Overweight rating on Atlas Energy Solutions, $20 price targetTradingView, Oct 6
Atlas Energy Solutions peers
Atlas Energy Solutions’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| FTITechnipFMC | Accumulation | 4.2% above |
| HALHalliburton | Accumulation | 28.1% below |
| NOVNOV | Accumulation | 30.8% below |
| WFRDWeatherford International | Accumulation | 45.3% below |
| AROCArchrock | Accumulation | 3.7% below |
| KGSKodiak Gas Services | Accumulation | 5.8% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Atlas Energy Solutions stock FAQ
What is Atlas Energy Solutions’s market cap?
Atlas Energy Solutions’s market cap is $1.49B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $11.96, with 124.9M shares outstanding.
What is the Atlas Energy Solutions stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Atlas Energy Solutions is $17.85, +49.2% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Atlas Energy Solutions stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Atlas Energy Solutions is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $11.96 is 11.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $13.49. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Atlas Energy Solutions report earnings next?
Atlas Energy Solutions is expected to report on Nov 2, 2026, after the market closes (21 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.23 per share on revenue of $264.8M. Atlas Energy Solutions beat the earnings estimate in 0 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.5% on average across the report.
What is Atlas Energy Solutions’s 52-week high and low?
Atlas Energy Solutions’s 52-week high is $20.13 and its 52-week low is $7.64; it closed at $11.96 on Oct 12, 2026, +8.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $26.86 on Jan 28, 2025.
Is Atlas Energy Solutions stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value) and 3 as headwinds (trend, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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