NYSE: NOV

NOV (NOV) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$19.50−0.36 (−1.8%)

Gekko Brief

NOV closed at $19.50 on 28 September 2026, -1.8% on the day. The price sits between the 50-day ($20.45) and 200-day ($19.33) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $12.29 to $21.93. The GekkoIndex reads 66.5, in the Accumulation zone, up 2 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $27.57, so the price is 29.3% below it.

The next earnings report is due on 27 October 2026, 28 days away. Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 2 times, with an average move of 5.7% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +10.6% over the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

10 firms rate the stock: 4 buy, 4 hold and 2 sell, with a consensus target of $22.24. A typical daily move is about 3.3%, and a typical 20-day move about 6.6%. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 items read supportive and 1 reads as a headwind (earnings risk).

Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

NOV price vs fair value

▲$27.57$19.50Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $19.50200-day averageGekko Fair Value $27.57

NOV quick facts

Market cap
$6.95B
P/E ratio
73.7
Forward P/E
15.6
EPS, TTM
$0.27
Revenue, TTM
$8.64B
Profit margin
1.1%
Dividend yield
1.63%
Beta
0.94
Volume
4.05M avg 3.02M
1-year return
+46.1%
Typical daily move
±3.3%
Typical 20-day move
±6.6%
50-day average
$20.45
200-day average
$19.33
Next earnings
Oct 27
Shares outstanding
356.5M
52-week range
$12.29$21.93

NOV swing-trade checklist

NOV scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $19.50 sits between the 50-day ($20.45) and 200-day ($19.33) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    66.5, Accumulation

    Reading 66.5 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    29.3% below

    Price is 29.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 28 days

    Reports on Oct 27, 2026, 28 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +10.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +10.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

NOV stock chart and price history

NOV closed at $19.50 on Sep 28, 2026, +46.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $12.29 to $21.93.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
NOV share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$12$14$16$18$22NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep19.50

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−6.1%
3 months
+5.8%
6 months
−1.9%
1 year
+46.1%
The full NOV chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NOV in Gekko

Follow NOV through every session

Put NOV on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About NOV

NOV designs, builds and markets equipment and systems used in drilling and producing oil and gas, along with some tools for industrial and renewable energy uses. It is known for supplying hardware that ranges from drill pipe and drill bits to rig structures, pressure pumping equipment and subsea production systems, along with the after-sales support that goes with them, such as spare parts, repairs, rentals, remote monitoring and field service.

The company runs through three segments. Wellbore Technologies covers drilling tools, solids control, tubular services and related instrumentation. Completion & Production Solutions handles fracturing equipment, coiled tubing and wireline tools, onshore pumping and lift systems, and offshore production technology, along with industrial pumps and mixers. Rig Technologies supplies rig substructures, cranes, pipe handling systems, mud pumps, pressure control gear, and equipment for offshore construction and pipelay work.

NOV was founded in 1862 and is based in Houston, Texas, having previously operated under the name National Oilwell Varco, Inc. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker NOV.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Industrial services
Industry
Oilfield services/Equipment
Website
nov.com

NOV GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

NOV’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.5, in the Accumulation zone, up 2 points over five sessions.

010066.5Accumulation

Up 2 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying30+1.2%+1.5%+2.6%+5.2%
Accumulation (current zone)243+1.4%+2.6%+2.5%+1.0%
Neutral373−0.5%−1.0%−0.4%+1.8%
Distribution20−1.7%−3.0%−2.0%+0.1%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average NOV share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NOV price, zone by zone.Track NOV in Gekko

Is NOV stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

NOV trades 29.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $27.57, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what NOV shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$27.57

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

29.3% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NOV in Gekko

NOV insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NOV, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NOV in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every NOV insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NOV in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in NOV were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for NOV, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NOV in Gekko

Buybacks

NOV has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$63.00M
As a share of market cap
0.91%
Trailing four quarters
$295.0M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds NOV.

1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

NOV earnings: next date and track record

NOV reports on Oct 27, 2026 (28 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.7%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+2.9%Oct ’24+15.0%Feb ’25−2.7%Apr ’25−6.7%Jul ’25+8.0%Oct ’25−2.8%Feb ’26−1.0%Apr ’26−6.9%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 AI summary

What they said
NOV reported Q2 2026 revenues of $2.13 billion (up 4% sequentially, down 2.5% YoY) with net income of $112 million ($0.31 EPS). Adjusted EBITDA was $283 million, including a ~$40 million AIPA tariff benefit; excluding this, EBITDA was $243 million with ~80% incremental conversion on sequential revenue growth. Tariff expenses rose ~$20 million YoY. Safety metrics improved for the second consecutive quarter. Middle East logistics remain challenging but stabilizing.
Guidance
Management expects capital equipment orders to pick up later in 2026 with a more significant increase in 2027. Shorter-cycle offerings (drill pipe, fiberglass) remain strong. Operational improvements are expected to continue outpacing inflationary pressures despite ongoing geopolitical and commodity price uncertainty.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 28, 2026$0.31
est $0.16
+93.8%$2.13B
est $2.08B
+2.4%−6.9%
Apr 27, 2026$0.11
est $0.15
−26.7%$2.05B
est $2.05B
−0.1%−1.0%
Feb 4, 2026$0.02
est $0.25
−92.0%$2.28B
est $2.17B
+5.0%−2.8%
Oct 27, 2025$0.11
est $0.25
−56.0%$2.18B
est $2.17B
+0.4%+8.0%
Jul 28, 2025$0.29
est $0.30
−3.3%$2.19B
est $2.11B
+3.6%−6.7%
Apr 28, 2025$0.19
est $0.25
−23.9%$2.10B
est $2.10B
+0.1%−2.7%
Feb 4, 2025$0.41
est $0.36
+13.9%$2.31B
est $2.25B
+2.8%+15.0%
Oct 24, 2024$0.33
est $0.37
−10.8%$2.19B
est $2.34B
−6.5%+2.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

NOV stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for NOV is $22.24, +14.1% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$22.24consensus 12-month target, +14.1% from the last close
Low $18High $26
Buy4
Hold4
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 20Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$21+7.7%
Aug 20Morgan StanleyHold, maintained$21+7.7%
Aug 19Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$24+23.1%
Aug 19Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained$24+23.1%
Jul 31BarclaysSell, maintained$20+2.6%
+2.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+10.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

NOV seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, NOV averaged +10.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+9.0%2021+50.2%2022−3.4%2023−3.7%2024+2.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+4.0%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.6%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+5.5%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+10.6%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+16.9%4 of 5

For scale, NOV’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.6%.

NOV market cap and key statistics

NOV’s market cap is $6.95B, with a P/E ratio of 73.7 and revenue of $8.64B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$6.95B
P/E ratio
73.7
Forward P/E
15.6
EPS, TTM
$0.27
Gekko Fair Value
$27.57

Trading

Volume
4.05M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.02M
52-week high
$21.93
52-week low
$12.29
Shares outstanding
356.5M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$8.64B
Profit margin
1.1%
Return on equity
1.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+7.6%

Risk and income

Beta
0.94
Typical daily move
±3.3%
Typical 20-day move
±6.6%
Dividend yield
1.63%

NOV stock news this week

1 headline about NOV from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

NOV peers

NOV’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
FTITechnipFMC−2.0%Accumulation4.7% above
HALHalliburton−1.6%Accumulation30.4% below
WFRDWeatherford International−3.5%Accumulation41.6% below
AROCArchrock−1.0%Accumulation5.7% below
KGSKodiak Gas Services−1.7%Accumulation6.5% below
WHDCactus−0.7%Accumulation2.5% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

NOV stock FAQ

What is NOV’s market cap?

NOV’s market cap is $6.95B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $19.50, with 356.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 73.7.

What is the NOV stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for NOV is $22.24, +14.1% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is NOV stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate NOV is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $19.50 is 29.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $27.57. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does NOV report earnings next?

NOV is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026 (28 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.25 per share on revenue of $2.19B. NOV beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.7% on average across the report.

What is NOV’s 52-week high and low?

NOV’s 52-week high is $21.93 and its 52-week low is $12.29; it closed at $19.50 on Sep 28, 2026, +46.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $24.83 on Jan 27, 2023.

Is NOV stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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