Oct 12 close
Keel Infrastructure's shares extend a third straight weekly decline, with project delays, cost overruns, and regulatory issues cited as the stock fell from $4.15 to the mid-$3 range before slipping further to $2.95. Research firm Northwise Project has flagged a concentration risk, while coverage also points to a cash-rich balance sheet of $715.5 million against long-term debt of $1.03 billion. The company continues its transformation from Bitcoin mining toward HPC/AI regional data center development, with permitting, leasing, and power-securing efforts underway across priority sites.
The close of $2.95 sits between the 50-day average of $3.52 and the 200-day average of $3.47, with the stock down 17% over one month and 34% over three months, though still up 25% over six months. The GekkoIndex reads 69, placing KEEL in the Accumulation zone. Gekko Fair Value stands at $4.61, putting price 36% below that mark.
Earnings are set for 12 November, 30 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the last report showed a loss of $0.02 per share against a $0.08 estimate, with an 11.9% average absolute reaction historically. Insider buying over the past 90 days totals 4 purchases worth $525,657. Consensus among 6 firms stands at 5 buy, 1 hold, with a target of $6.55. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 12.7% gain across 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Keel Infrastructure scores 5 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
5 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds
Averages disagree
Close $2.95 sits between the 50-day ($3.52) and 200-day ($3.47) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart69, Accumulation
Reading 69 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex36.0% below
Price is 36% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair valueLeans bullish
Last 90 days: 4 open-market insider purchases.
See smart moneyReports in 31 days
Next report Nov 12, 2026, 31 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings+12.7% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +12.7% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonalityA description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Keel Infrastructure closed at $2.95 on Oct 12, 2026, −29.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $1.68 to $7.37.
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Put KEEL on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Keel Infrastructure builds and owns data centers along with the energy systems that support them, serving computing needs across North America. Its work centers on facilities designed to handle demanding workloads, including those tied to artificial intelligence, giving it a role in the physical backbone that powers such computing.
The company pairs infrastructure development with ownership, meaning it both creates and retains these assets rather than simply operating them for others. Its focus spans two connected areas, digital infrastructure and the energy capacity needed to run it, reflecting how closely computing demand and power supply are linked in its approach.
Keel Infrastructure was founded in 2017 and is based in New York, New York. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker KEEL.
Keel Infrastructure’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 69, in the Accumulation zone, up 7.3 points over five sessions.
Up 7.3 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 61 | +2.6% | +2.1% |
| Accumulation (current zone) | 234 | −0.9% | −0.9% |
| Neutral | 182 | +2.3% | +11.2% |
| Distribution | 61 | +5.3% | +16.2% |
| Selling | 15 | +2.6% | +46.3% |
Average KEEL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
Keel Infrastructure trades 36.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $4.61, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Keel Infrastructure shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$4.61
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
36.0% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 44.5% below the estimate.
Insiders filed 4 open-market purchases in Keel Infrastructure worth $526K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
$526Kin 4 open-market purchases
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21 | Gagnon Benjamin director, officer: Chief Executive Officer | Purchase | $129K |
| Aug 20 | WILSON LIAM DANIEL officer: Chief Operating Officer | Purchase | $100K |
| Aug 17 | Liam Daniel Wilson Chief Operating Officer | Purchase | $100K |
| Aug 14 | Benjamin Gagnon Chief Executive Officer | Purchase | $196K |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
No trades in KEEL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Keel Infrastructure has been buying back its own shares.
From company filings.
3of the funds Gekko tracks hold KEEL.
Keel Infrastructure reports on Nov 12, 2026, before the open (31 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 7 reports.
Nov 12, 2026
Expected before the open, 31 days away
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | −$0.02 est −$0.08 | — est $32.05M | −15.2% |
| May 11, 2026 | −$0.09 est −$0.04 | $36.99M est $34.59M | +2.5% |
| Mar 26, 2026 | −$0.11 est −$0.02 | $52.39M est $63.33M | −11.8% |
| Nov 13, 2025 | −$0.15 est −$0.02 | $69.25M est $61.82M | −18.6% |
| Aug 12, 2025 | −$0.05 est −$0.02 | $77.80M est $81.04M | +3.3% |
| May 14, 2025 | −$0.07 est −$0.03 | $66.85M est $75.84M | −7.8% |
| Mar 27, 2025 | $0.03 | $56.16M est $63.10M | −14.6% |
| Nov 13, 2024 | −$0.08 est −$0.10 | $44.85M est $56.84M | −21.6% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Keel Infrastructure is $6.55, +122.0% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 | Clear Street | — | — |
| Aug 11 | Clear Street | $5 | +69.5% |
| Aug 11 | Northland Securities | $7 | +137.3% |
| Aug 11 | Clear Street | $5 | +69.5% |
| Aug 11 | H.C. Wainwright | $5.50 | +86.4% |
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Keel Infrastructure averaged +12.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +7.5% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +7.2% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.9% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +12.7% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −2.6% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, KEEL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 19.3%.
Keel Infrastructure’s market cap is $1.78B and revenue of $188.1M over the last twelve months.
Coverage of Keel Infrastructure this week reads negative: 2 positive, 1 neutral and 4 negative headlines.
Keel Infrastructure’s market cap is $1.78B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $2.95, with 617.6M shares outstanding.
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Keel Infrastructure is $6.55, +122.0% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
On Gekko’s estimate Keel Infrastructure is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $2.95 is 36.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $4.61. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
Keel Infrastructure is expected to report on Nov 12, 2026, before the market opens (31 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.08 per share on revenue of $18.97M. Keel Infrastructure beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 7 reports, moving 11.9% on average across the report.
Keel Infrastructure’s 52-week high is $7.37 and its 52-week low is $1.68; it closed at $2.95 on Oct 12, 2026, −29.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $9.36 on Nov 10, 2021.
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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