Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$109.83−0.69 (−0.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's news flow for FRT centers on a series of analyst price target trims. Barclays cut its target to $118 from $123 while maintaining an Equalweight rating, Mizuho lowered its target to $117 from $130 while keeping an Outperform rating, and Evercore ISI reduced its target to $123 from $125 while maintaining an In Line rating. Separately, an article on dividend stocks for higher rates named FRT alongside UHT and PCTN.F as a value-oriented dividend payer positioned for a rising rate environment.

FRT closed at $109.83, down 0.6%, with the stock sitting between its 50-day average of $117.86 and 200-day average of $112.30. Shares are down 6.1% over one month and 12.4% over three months, though still up 10.8% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 72.7, placing the stock in the Buying zone, while the gap to Gekko Fair Value of $124.42 stands at -11.7%.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 30 October 2026 after close, 31 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. At the last report, EPS of $1.56 beat the $0.74 estimate, though the stock reacted -2%. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged 0.7% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them. Analyst consensus stands at 8 buy and 6 hold ratings across 14 firms, with a consensus target of $132.26.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Federal Realty Investment Trust price vs fair value

$124.42$109.83Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $109.83200-day averageGekko Fair Value $124.42

Federal Realty Investment Trust quick facts

Market cap
$9.49B
P/E ratio
22.3
Forward P/E
34.7
EPS, TTM
$4.95
Revenue, TTM
$1.34B
Profit margin
32.7%
Dividend yield
4.10%
Beta
0.92
Volume
1.28M avg 880,061
1-year return
+10.8%
Typical daily move
±1.6%
Typical 20-day move
±3.9%
50-day average
$117.86
200-day average
$112.30
Next earnings
Oct 30 after close
Shares outstanding
86.89M
52-week range
$90.03$128.21

Federal Realty Investment Trust swing-trade checklist

Federal Realty Investment Trust scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $109.83 sits between the 50-day ($117.86) and 200-day ($112.30) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    72.7, Buying

    Reading 72.7 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    11.7% below

    Price is 11.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 31 days

    Next report Oct 30, 2026, 31 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +0.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.7% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Federal Realty Investment Trust stock chart and price history

Federal Realty Investment Trust closed at $109.83 on Sep 28, 2026, +10.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $90.03 to $128.21.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Federal Realty Investment Trust share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$100$120NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep109.83

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−6.1%
3 months
−12.4%
6 months
+6.8%
1 year
+10.8%
The full FRT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open FRT in Gekko

Follow Federal Realty Investment Trust through every session

Put FRT on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Federal Realty Investment Trust

Federal Realty Investment Trust focuses on owning, managing and redeveloping retail properties, with most of its holdings clustered in coastal metropolitan regions along the Eastern Seaboard, from Washington D.C. to Boston, as well as West Coast cities like San Francisco and Los Angeles. It is recognized for building mixed-use neighborhoods that combine shopping, dining, housing and office space, including developments such as Santana Row in San Jose, Pike & Rose in North Bethesda, and Assembly Row in Somerville.

The trust concentrates its investments in areas where local demand for retail space outpaces what is currently available, aiming for steady, long-term growth. Its portfolio includes 106 properties totaling about 25 million square feet of commercial space, home to roughly 3,100 tenants, along with close to 3,200 residential units built into these projects.

Federal Realty has raised its quarterly dividend for 54 consecutive years and is included in the S&P 500 index. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker FRT.

Sector
Finance
Website
federalrealty.com

Federal Realty Investment Trust GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Federal Realty Investment Trust’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 72.7, in the Buying zone, down 7.7 points over five sessions.

010072.7Buying

Down 7.7 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)23+1.0%+2.7%+2.0%+0.6%
Accumulation170+0.3%+0.1%+0.7%+1.7%
Neutral4040.0%+0.1%+0.3%+1.6%
Distribution28−0.3%+1.3%+2.2%+3.1%
Selling0Not available

Average FRT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the FRT price, zone by zone.Track FRT in Gekko

Is Federal Realty Investment Trust stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Federal Realty Investment Trust trades 11.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $124.42, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Federal Realty Investment Trust shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$124.42

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

11.7% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open FRT in Gekko

Federal Realty Investment Trust insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Federal Realty Investment Trust, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for FRT in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every FRT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FRT in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in FRT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for FRT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FRT in Gekko

Buybacks

Federal Realty Investment Trust has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
$55K
As a share of market cap
0.00%
Trailing four quarters
$9.41M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold FRT.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Federal Realty Investment Trust earnings: next date and track record

Federal Realty Investment Trust reports on Oct 30, 2026, after the close (31 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±1.9%average move across the report
1 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−2.2%May ’24+0.7%Aug ’24−1.8%Oct ’24−5.0%Feb ’25−1.8%May ’25−1.1%Aug ’25−0.2%Nov ’25−2.0%Feb ’26

Last earnings call, Feb 12, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Federal Realty reported strong Q4 2025 results with 6.4% bottom line FFO growth in the quarter and 4.3% for the full year. Portfolio ended 96.1% leased and 94.1% occupied. The company completed 2.3M square feet of comparable leasing deals for the year at 15% rollover, generating $11M in incremental new rent. Recent acquisitions totaled $340M including Annapolis Town Center and Village Pointe at initial 7% yields.
Guidance
Management provided 2026 guidance of approximately 6% FFO growth at the midpoint. The company allocated $280M for new residential development projects including properties in Bala Cynwyd, Hoboken, and Santana Row.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Feb 12, 2026$1.56
est $0.74
+111.7%$327.5M
est $328.6M
−0.3%−2.0%
Nov 5, 2025$0.69
est $0.80
−13.8%——−0.2%
Aug 6, 2025$0.89
est $0.74
+20.3%$311.5M
est $314.9M
−1.1%−1.1%
May 8, 2025$0.71
est $0.71
0.0%$309.2M
est $309.2M
0.0%−1.8%
Feb 13, 2025$0.75
est $0.74
+1.4%$311.4M
est $307.5M
+1.3%−5.0%
Oct 30, 2024$0.70
est $0.74
−5.4%$303.6M
est $311.5M
−2.5%−1.8%
Aug 1, 2024$0.69
est $0.71
−2.8%$296.1M
est $300.6M
−1.5%+0.7%
May 2, 2024$0.66
est $0.67
−1.5%$291.3M
est $293.6M
−0.8%−2.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Federal Realty Investment Trust stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Federal Realty Investment Trust is $132.26, +20.4% from the last close, from 14 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$132.26consensus 12-month target, +20.4% from the last close
Low $117High $149
Buy8
Hold6
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 14 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 28BarclaysHold, maintained$118+7.4%
Sep 24Mizuho SecuritiesBuy, maintained$117+6.5%
Sep 21Evercore ISIHold, maintained$123+12.0%
Sep 17ScotiabankBuy, maintained$126+14.7%
Sep 15BarclaysHold, maintained$123+12.0%
+2.0%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+0.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Federal Realty Investment Trust seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Federal Realty Investment Trust averaged +0.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−0.6%2021+9.0%2022−4.4%2023−1.5%2024+1.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.7%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.7%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.1%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+0.7%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.1%3 of 5

For scale, FRT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.9%.

Federal Realty Investment Trust market cap and key statistics

Federal Realty Investment Trust’s market cap is $9.49B, with a P/E ratio of 22.3 and revenue of $1.34B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$9.49B
P/E ratio
22.3
Forward P/E
34.7
EPS, TTM
$4.95
Gekko Fair Value
$124.42

Trading

Volume
1.28M
Avg volume, 20 days
880,061
52-week high
$128.21
52-week low
$90.03
Shares outstanding
86.89M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.34B
Profit margin
32.7%
Return on equity
12.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−45.6%

Risk and income

Beta
0.92
Typical daily move
±1.6%
Typical 20-day move
±3.9%
Dividend yield
4.10%

Federal Realty Investment Trust stock news this week

Coverage of Federal Realty Investment Trust this week reads negative: 1 positive, 0 neutral and 3 negative headlines.

News sentiment negative

More stocks

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Federal Realty Investment Trust stock FAQ

What is Federal Realty Investment Trust’s market cap?

Federal Realty Investment Trust’s market cap is $9.49B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $109.83, with 86.89M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 22.3.

What is the Federal Realty Investment Trust stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Federal Realty Investment Trust is $132.26, +20.4% from the last close. Of the 14 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Federal Realty Investment Trust stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Federal Realty Investment Trust is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $109.83 is 11.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $124.42. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Federal Realty Investment Trust report earnings next?

Federal Realty Investment Trust is expected to report on Oct 30, 2026, after the market closes (31 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.72 per share on revenue of $336.2M. Federal Realty Investment Trust beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 1.9% on average across the report.

What is Federal Realty Investment Trust’s 52-week high and low?

Federal Realty Investment Trust’s 52-week high is $128.21 and its 52-week low is $90.03; it closed at $109.83 on Sep 28, 2026, +10.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $140.51 on Jan 4, 2022.

Is Federal Realty Investment Trust stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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