NYSE: CTVA

Corteva (CTVA) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Corteva, Inc. Process industries sector, agricultural commodities/milling industry. Market cap $53.86B.

$80.53−1.00 (−1.2%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Corteva closes at $80.53, down 1.2%, sitting between its 50-day average of $83.07 and 200-day average of $78.16. The GekkoIndex reads 64, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, and price stands 3.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $78.13.

The week's news centers on regulatory and legal matters alongside analyst commentary. Corteva, Chemours and DuPont reached a $455 million PFAS settlement with North Carolina and 11 local entities, later described as a $590 million settlement addressing Fayetteville Works contamination, the largest environmental damages recovery in the state's history. Separately, California and 20 other attorneys general along with nine cities filed a motion seeking to block Corteva's planned spinoff of its seed business into a new company, Vylor, alleging the move shields PFAS liability. On the analyst side, Argus reiterated a "Buy" rating with a $91 price target, while KeyBanc reiterated a Sector Weight rating after Corteva's investor day, raising Seed EBITDA forecasts for 2027-2029 but trimming Crop Protection EBITDA estimates on muted pricing.

Over the next 44 days, earnings are due 3 November 2026, falling outside a typical 20-trading-day hold. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current window. Seasonality from this point has averaged -2% over 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 2 of them. Consensus among 15 firms includes 11 buy and 4 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $92.60.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $80.53200-day averageGekko Fair Value $78.13

Key stats

Market cap
$53.86B
P/E ratio
49.1
Forward P/E
19.3
EPS, TTM
$1.66
Revenue, TTM
$17.81B
Profit margin
5.7%
Dividend yield
0.89%
Beta
0.58
Volume
7.32M avg 5.14M
1-year return
+14.0%
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±4.8%
50-day average
$83.07
200-day average
$78.16
Next earnings
Nov 3
Shares outstanding
667.2M
52-week range
$60.54$90.97

Corteva swing-trade checklist

Corteva scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $80.53 sits between the 50-day ($83.07) and 200-day ($78.16) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    64, Accumulation

    Reading 64 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    3.1% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3.1% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 44 days

    Next report Nov 3, 2026, 44 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −2.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Corteva stock chart and price history

Corteva closed at $80.53 on Sep 18, 2026, +14.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $60.54 to $90.97.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+2.5%
3 months
+2.5%
6 months
+3.2%
1 year
+14.0%
The full CTVA chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CTVA in Gekko

Follow Corteva through every session

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About Corteva

Corteva works in agriculture, supplying farmers with tools meant to raise yields and manage crop health. Its offerings include seed genetics and trait technologies designed to help crops withstand weather, disease, insects and herbicide use, along with improved nutritional qualities, plus digital tools that support decisions on product selection and profitability.

The business is divided into two segments. The Seed segment focuses on germplasm, traits and related digital farming support, while the Crop Protection segment supplies herbicides, insecticides, nitrogen stabilizers, pasture and range management products, and technologies applied to seeds and soil to guard against weeds, pests and disease. Its customers sit within the agricultural input trade, and it operates across the United States, Canada, Latin America, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East and Africa.

Corteva traces its founding to 1802 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker CTVA.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Process industries
Industry
Agricultural commodities/Milling
Website
corteva.com

Corteva GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Corteva’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64, in the Accumulation zone, up 8.5 points over five sessions.

010064Accumulation

Up 8.5 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying14+2.1%+5.0%+9.6%+14.9%
Accumulation (current zone)182+0.9%+2.4%+3.4%+4.6%
Neutral394+0.4%+0.4%+0.9%+4.3%
Distribution69+0.2%+1.0%+2.1%+1.7%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average CTVA share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CTVA price, zone by zone.Track CTVA in Gekko

Is Corteva stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Corteva trades 3.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $78.13, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Corteva shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$78.13

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

3.1% above fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CTVA in Gekko

Corteva insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Corteva, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CTVA in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CTVA insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CTVA in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CTVA were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CTVA, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CTVA in Gekko

Buybacks

Corteva has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$250.0M
As a share of market cap
0.46%
Trailing four quarters
$1.05B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds CTVA.

1added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Corteva earnings: next date and track record

Corteva reports on Nov 3, 2026 (44 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.7%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−5.0%Nov ’24−5.1%Feb ’25+7.1%May ’25−1.7%Aug ’25+2.6%Nov ’25+2.6%Feb ’26+0.1%May ’26−13.0%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Corteva reported strong Q2/H1 2026 results with net sales up 4%, operating EBITDA up 10%, and operating EPS up 14% year-over-year. Seed segment saw organic growth across all regions driven by premium genetics and trait adoption, plus growing licensing revenue. Crop protection delivered volume gains on new differentiated products with flat pricing. Company is on track for October 1 separation into two independent entities.
Guidance
Corteva raised its full year 2026 outlook following strong first-half execution. Management expressed continued confidence in guidance while monitoring crop protection pricing pressure and external macro factors including currency, trade flows, and geopolitical uncertainty.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$2.30
est $2.24
+2.7%$6.38B
est $6.60B
−3.3%−13.0%
May 5, 2026$1.50
est $1.17
+28.2%$4.91B
est $4.64B
+5.7%+0.1%
Feb 3, 2026$0.22
est $0.22
−1.3%$3.91B
est $4.24B
−7.8%+2.6%
Nov 4, 2025−$0.23
est −$0.45
+48.9%$2.62B
est $2.47B
+6.0%+2.6%
Aug 6, 2025$2.20
est $1.89
+16.4%$6.46B
est $6.27B
+3.0%−1.7%
May 7, 2025$1.13
est $0.87
+29.3%$4.42B
est $4.54B
−2.8%+7.1%
Feb 5, 2025−$0.06
est $0.20
−130.0%$3.98B
est $4.04B
−1.5%−5.1%
Nov 6, 2024−$0.76
est −$0.45
−68.9%$2.33B
est $2.70B
−13.7%−5.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Corteva stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Corteva is $92.60, +15.0% from the last close, from 15 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$92.60consensus 12-month target, +15.0% from the last close
Low $83High $103
Buy11
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 15 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 18Argus ResearchBuy, maintained$91+13.0%
Sep 17KeyBancHold, maintained
Sep 17CitiHold, maintained$91+13.0%
Sep 16BarclaysBuy, maintained$91+13.0%
Sep 16BMO CapitalBuy, reiterated$95+18.0%
+3.4%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−2.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Corteva seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Corteva averaged −2.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+4.3%2021−1.7%2022−1.9%2023+0.6%2024−13.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.8%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.7%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−3.3%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−2.0%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.9%3 of 5

For scale, CTVA’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.8%.

Corteva market cap and key statistics

Corteva’s market cap is $53.86B, with a P/E ratio of 49.1 and revenue of $17.81B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$53.86B
P/E ratio
49.1
Forward P/E
19.3
EPS, TTM
$1.66
Gekko Fair Value
$78.13

Trading

Volume
7.32M
Avg volume, 20 days
5.14M
52-week high
$90.97
52-week low
$60.54
Shares outstanding
667.2M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$17.81B
Profit margin
5.7%
Return on equity
4.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−9.9%

Risk and income

Beta
0.58
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±4.8%
Dividend yield
0.89%

Corteva stock news this week

Coverage of Corteva this week reads neutral: 6 positive, 7 neutral and 5 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Corteva peers

Corteva’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
ADMArcher-Daniels-Midland−2.9%Neutral10.0% above
BGBunge−2.7%Accumulation2.2% below
PPCPilgrim's Pride+1.8%Accumulation38.0% below
AGROAdecoagro−2.0%Neutral17.3% above
SEBSeaboard+0.6%Neutral7.7% above
CALMCal-Maine Foods−0.4%Buying29.8% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Corteva stock FAQ

What is Corteva’s market cap?

Corteva’s market cap is $53.86B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $80.53, with 667.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 49.1.

What is the Corteva stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Corteva is $92.60, +15.0% from the last close. Of the 15 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 11 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Corteva stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Corteva is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $80.53 is 3.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $78.13. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Corteva report earnings next?

Corteva is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026 (44 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.41 per share on revenue of $2.65B. Corteva beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.7% on average across the report.

What is Corteva’s 52-week high and low?

Corteva’s 52-week high is $90.97 and its 52-week low is $60.54; it closed at $80.53 on Sep 18, 2026, +14.0% over the past year.

Is Corteva stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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