Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for AGRO in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every AGRO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AGRO in Gekko
NYSE: AGRO
Adecoagro (AGRO) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$10.07−0.36 (−3.5%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryAdecoagro this week announced the early redemption of all $234.9 million of its 6.000% Senior Notes due 2027, scheduled for October 28, 2026, with holders to receive 100% of principal plus $6.17 in accrued interest per $1,000 note. The move is aimed at reducing the company's nearest debt maturity and strengthening its balance sheet. This follows the Q2 2026 earnings call, in which Adecoagro reported record consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $258 million year-to-date and $173 million for the quarter, attributed largely to strong fertilizer segment performance, alongside gross sales of $535 million in Q2 and cane crushing of 3.5 million tons, up 3% year over year.
AGRO closed at $10.07, down 3.5%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $10.67 and 200-day average of $10.76, with the 50-day also below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 65.7, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 4.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $9.65.
The next earnings date falls on 10 November 2026, 42 days out, beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point in the calendar have averaged a 2.4% gain over 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Analyst coverage from 3 firms shows 1 buy and 2 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $13.40.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Adecoagro price vs fair value
Close $10.07200-day averageGekko Fair Value $9.65
Adecoagro quick facts
- Market cap
- $5.68B
- P/E ratio
- 27.5
- Forward P/E
- 19.3
- EPS, TTM
- $0.38
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.65B
- Profit margin
- 3%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- -0.04
- Volume
- 729,703 avg 767,048
- 1-year return
- +24.8%
- Typical daily move
- ±4.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.2%
- 50-day average
- $10.67
- 200-day average
- $10.76
- Next earnings
- Nov 10
- Shares outstanding
- 144.3M
Adecoagro swing-trade checklist
Adecoagro scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $10.07 is below the 50-day ($10.67) and 200-day ($10.76) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
65.7, Accumulation
Reading 65.7 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
4.4% above
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.4% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 42 days
Next report Nov 10, 2026, 42 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+2.4% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.4% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Adecoagro stock chart and price history
Adecoagro closed at $10.07 on Sep 28, 2026, +24.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $6.89 to $15.89.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −5.8%
- 3 months
- +4.2%
- 6 months
- −28.3%
- 1 year
- +24.8%
The full AGRO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AGRO in Gekko
Follow Adecoagro through every session
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About Adecoagro
Adecoagro grows and processes agricultural goods across Argentina, Brazil, Chile, and Uruguay. Its work spans crops such as soybean, corn, wheat, peanut, sunflower, and cotton, along with rice grown and marketed in white, brown, and rough forms, and dairy items including raw and powdered milk, cheese, cream, and flavored milk products. The company also breeds and develops seed genetics as part of its farming activities.
The business is structured around two segments, one covering farming and the other covering sugar, ethanol, and energy. On the energy side, it cultivates sugarcane to make sugar, ethanol, biomethane, and electricity, and it sells carbon credits. It further generates power from biogas captured from dairy cattle effluents, offers grain storage, conditioning, and drying and handling services, and takes on land transformation work, buying underdeveloped farmland and applying production technology to improve it.
Adecoagro trades on the NYSE under the ticker AGRO.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Process industries
- Industry
- Agricultural commodities/Milling
- Website
- adecoagro.com
Adecoagro GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Adecoagro’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 65.7, in the Accumulation zone, up 8.8 points over five sessions.
65.7Accumulation
Up 8.8 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 49 | −0.9% | +2.2% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 225 | +0.8% | +0.9% | ||
| Neutral | 359 | −0.4% | +0.9% | ||
| Distribution | 35 | +4.0% | +5.1% | ||
| Selling | 4 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average AGRO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AGRO price, zone by zone.Track AGRO in Gekko
Is Adecoagro stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Adecoagro trades 4.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $9.65, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Adecoagro shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$9.65
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026
4.4% above fair value · About fair value
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AGRO in Gekko
Adecoagro insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Adecoagro, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in AGRO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for AGRO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AGRO in Gekko
Buybacks
Adecoagro has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
- $213K
- As a share of market cap
- 0.00%
- Trailing four quarters
- $11.57M
From company filings.
Adecoagro earnings: next date and track record
Adecoagro reports on Nov 10, 2026 (42 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 7 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 10, 2026
42 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.36
- Revenue estimate
- $664.2M
2 of 7reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.8%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 11, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Adecoagro reported record consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $258 million year-to-date and $173 million in Q2 2026, driven primarily by strong fertilizer segment performance. Gross sales reached $535 million in Q2 and $928 million accumulated. The company crushed 3.5 million tons of cane in Q2, up 3% YoY. The Carapo Mill acquisition is expected to be highly accretive by utilizing surplus cane capacity without impacting deleveraging targets.
- Guidance
- Fertilizer segment annual performance expected to exceed initial projections due to higher-than-expected first-half prices. Management maintains full-year net debt-to-EBITDA target despite Carapo Mill acquisition. Sugar/ethanol margins expected to improve as cane productivity investments continue paying off.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | $0.13 est $0.20 | $531.0M est $602.0M | −3.8% |
| May 11, 2026 | $0.28 est $0.07 | $398.7M est $408.9M | −0.5% |
| Mar 16, 2026 | −$0.15 est −$0.09 | $415.9M est $372.0M | +15.1% |
| Nov 11, 2025 | $0.07 est $0.33 | $304.2M est $376.1M | −1.5% |
| Aug 18, 2025 | −$0.14 est $0.26 | $382.1M est $402.0M | −8.6% |
| May 12, 2025 | $0.18 est −$0.09 | $324.0M est $281.2M | 0.0% |
| Nov 13, 2024 | $0.19 est $0.69 | $471.5M est $405.0M | −5.0% |
| Aug 12, 2024 | $0.09 | $261.8M est $379.0M | +12.2% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Adecoagro stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Adecoagro is $13.40, +33.1% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$13.40consensus 12-month target, +33.1% from the last close
Now $10.07Avg $13.40
Low $13High $13.20
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27 | UBS | $13.20 | +31.1% |
| Aug 12 | Bank of America Securities | $13 | +29.1% |
| Aug 11 | Morgan Stanley | $13 | +29.1% |
| Jul 20 | UBS | $15.20 | +50.9% |
+0.9%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+2.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Adecoagro seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Adecoagro averaged +2.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −0.7% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −1.8% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +1.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +2.4% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −0.3% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, AGRO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.2%.
Adecoagro market cap and key statistics
Adecoagro’s market cap is $5.68B, with a P/E ratio of 27.5 and revenue of $1.65B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $5.68B
- P/E ratio
- 27.5
- Forward P/E
- 19.3
- EPS, TTM
- $0.38
- Gekko Fair Value
- $9.65
Trading
- Volume
- 729,703
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 767,048
- 52-week high
- $15.89
- 52-week low
- $6.89
- Shares outstanding
- 144.3M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.65B
- Profit margin
- 3%
- Return on equity
- 3.7%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +55.6%
Risk and income
- Beta
- -0.04
- Typical daily move
- ±4.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.2%
Adecoagro stock news this week
Coverage of Adecoagro this week reads positive: 4 positive, 0 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Adecoagro S.A. (AGRO) To Redeem All $234.9M 6.000% Notes Due 2027TradingView, Sep 28
- Notes due in 2027 are scheduled for repayment in October 2026 by Adecoagro (AGRO).Stock Titan, Sep 28
- Adecoagro Announces Early Redemption of its 6.000% Senior Notes due 2027TradingView, Sep 28
- Adecoagro stock falls 3.13 percent as results date nearsAD HOC NEWS, Sep 23
- Adecoagro Q2 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptBenzinga, Sep 21
Adecoagro peers
Adecoagro’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| CTVACorteva | Accumulation | 1.4% above |
| ADMArcher-Daniels-Midland | Accumulation | 4.9% above |
| BGBunge | Accumulation | 7.0% below |
| PPCPilgrim's Pride | Accumulation | 38.5% below |
| SEBSeaboard | Accumulation | 5.2% above |
| CALMCal-Maine Foods | Buying | 31.1% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Adecoagro stock FAQ
What is Adecoagro’s market cap?
Adecoagro’s market cap is $5.68B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $10.07, with 144.3M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 27.5.
What is the Adecoagro stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Adecoagro is $13.40, +33.1% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Adecoagro stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Adecoagro is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $10.07 is 4.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $9.65. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Adecoagro report earnings next?
Adecoagro is expected to report on Nov 10, 2026 (42 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.36 per share on revenue of $664.2M. Adecoagro beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 7 reports, moving 5.8% on average across the report.
What is Adecoagro’s 52-week high and low?
Adecoagro’s 52-week high is $15.89 and its 52-week low is $6.89; it closed at $10.07 on Sep 28, 2026, +24.8% over the past year.
Is Adecoagro stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (fair value) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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