Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for ADM in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every ADM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ADM in Gekko
NYSE: ADM
Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$85.18−2.91 (−3.3%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:19 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryADM closed at $85.18, down 3.3% on the session, though the stock remains above both its 50-day average of $82.51 and its 200-day average of $73.32. The GekkoIndex reads 53.5, placing it in the Neutral zone, up 6.5 over the past five readings. Price sits 10% above Gekko Fair Value of $77.44.
Recent activity centers on institutional positioning rather than company news. Bank of America Corp DE acquired 2,357,278 shares in the second quarter, valued at approximately $180,096,000, while BlackRock Inc. purchased a new stake. Corient Private Wealth LP trimmed its holdings by 41.2%, selling 46,487 shares, and Waverly Advisors LLC reduced its position by 20.7%. Engineers Gate Manager LP raised its stake by 88.2% to 42,582 shares valued at approximately $3.25 million, and National Pension Service holds 955,109 shares valued at $72.97 million after a 3.0% reduction. Separately, ADM released its fourth annual regenerative agriculture report covering farmer support and supply chain outcomes.
The next earnings date is 3 November 2026, 44 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter produced adjusted EPS of $1.84 against a $1.42 estimate, with a -0.6% reaction. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -0.5% across 5 years, rising in 2 of them. Three covering analysts currently hold ratings with a consensus target of $80.10, about -6% below the current price. No insider, Congress, or unusual options signals appear in their respective windows.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $85.18200-day averageGekko Fair Value $77.44
Key stats
- Market cap
- $41.05B
- P/E ratio
- 23.2
- Forward P/E
- 16.2
- EPS, TTM
- $3.80
- Revenue, TTM
- $82.10B
- Profit margin
- 2.2%
- Dividend yield
- 2.42%
- Beta
- 0.61
- Volume
- 10.63M avg 3.98M
- 1-year return
- +39.4%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.8%
- 50-day average
- $82.51
- 200-day average
- $73.32
- Next earnings
- Nov 3
- Shares outstanding
- 482.0M
Archer-Daniels-Midland swing-trade checklist
Archer-Daniels-Midland scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $85.18 is above the 50-day ($82.51) and 200-day ($73.32) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
53.5, Neutral
Reading 53.5 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
10.0% above
Price is 10% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 44 days
Next report Nov 3, 2026, 44 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−0.5% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.5% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Archer-Daniels-Midland stock chart and price history
Archer-Daniels-Midland closed at $85.18 on Sep 18, 2026, +39.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $55.58 to $88.75.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +5.5%
- 3 months
- +13.4%
- 6 months
- +24.1%
- 1 year
- +39.4%
The full ADM chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ADM in Gekko
Follow Archer-Daniels-Midland through every session
Put ADM on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Track ADM in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.
About Archer-Daniels-Midland
Archer-Daniels-Midland works across the agricultural supply chain, buying, moving, storing, processing and delivering commodities and ingredients used in food, animal feed, energy and industrial products. It handles oilseeds, corn, wheat and other grains, turning them into items such as vegetable oils, sweeteners, starches, flours, alcohols, citric acid, feed products and distillers' grains, alongside more specialized flavors, colors, proteins, fibers and health-related ingredients like probiotics and botanical extracts. It is also known for import, export and trading activity in agricultural goods, plus structured trade finance and futures brokerage through its role as a commission merchant.
The company operates through three divisions: Ag Services and Oilseeds, Carbohydrate Solutions, and Nutrition. Its work ranges from raw material sourcing and basic processing to formulated animal feed, pet food manufacturing on a contract and private label basis, and ingredient development for nutrition and health applications. This mix of activities serves customers across food production, animal agriculture, energy and industrial manufacturing, with operations extending into markets including the United States, Switzerland, the Cayman Islands, Brazil, Mexico and the United Kingdom.
Shares of Archer-Daniels-Midland are listed on the NYSE under the ticker ADM.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Process industries
- Industry
- Agricultural commodities/Milling
- Website
- adm.com
Archer-Daniels-Midland GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Archer-Daniels-Midland’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 53.5, in the Neutral zone, up 6.5 points over five sessions.
53.5Neutral
Up 6.5 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 43 | −0.5% | +0.7% | ||
| Accumulation | 195 | +1.1% | +2.8% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 375 | 0.0% | +1.0% | ||
| Distribution | 48 | +0.6% | +0.8% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average ADM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ADM price, zone by zone.Track ADM in Gekko
Is Archer-Daniels-Midland stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Archer-Daniels-Midland trades 10.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $77.44, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Archer-Daniels-Midland shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$77.44
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
10.0% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ADM in Gekko
Archer-Daniels-Midland insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Archer-Daniels-Midland, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in ADM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for ADM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ADM in Gekko
Buybacks
Archer-Daniels-Midland has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2024
- $1.00B
- As a share of market cap
- 2.44%
- Trailing four quarters
- $4.00B
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds ADM.
0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Archer-Daniels-Midland earnings: next date and track record
Archer-Daniels-Midland reports on Nov 3, 2026 (44 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 3, 2026
44 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.53
- Revenue estimate
- $22.86B
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.9%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- ADM reported a strong Q2 2026 driven by constructive biofuels margins, improved operational execution across crushing and Ag Services, and momentum in Nutrition (notably Flavors and Specialty Ingredients). Adjusted EPS was $1.84 for the quarter, total segment operating profit was $1.5 billion, trailing four-quarter adjusted ROIC was 7.8%, and cash flow from operations before working capital changes was $1.8 billion for H1. Management raised full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $5.15–$5.60 (from $4.15–$4.70) and reiterated disciplined capital allocation, a $1.3–$1.5 billion CapEx range, and continued dividend payments. Key strategic initiatives discussed include debottlenecking/brownfield capacity unlocks (phase 1 ~ $100 million), decarbonization (Broadwing project and carbon capture/sequestration), natural colors growth pathway (~$1B market opportunity, $80–$100M potential Nutrition OP over a few years), and precision fermentation pilots. Management emphasized execution, operational leverage in Nutrition, and favorable policy/energy tailwinds for biofuels.
- Guidance
- Raised full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $5.15–$5.60 (previously $4.15–$4.70). CapEx range maintained at $1.3–$1.5 billion (phase 1 brownfield expansions ~ $100 million). Updated 45Z low-carbon outlook: increased full-year expectation from 150 to 250. North America crush coverage ~90% for Q3 and ~30% for Q4; global crush coverage ~70% for Q3. Management expects the second half to be stronger than the first and sees Q3 possibly higher than Q4 under current assumptions.
- Risks flagged
- Geopolitical disruptions (Ukraine export cessation and related logistics issues); commodity and energy price volatility and mark-to-market timing impacts; dependence on policy outcomes (RVO and biofuels policy) and China purchasing behavior; weather and crop risk; variability in crush and ethanol margins; execution risks for debottlenecks, decarbonization projects, and precision fermentation; potential insurance recoveries uncertain.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $1.84 est $1.42 | $22.68B est $22.75B | −0.6% |
| May 5, 2026 | $0.71 est $0.66 | $20.49B est $21.35B | +2.3% |
| Feb 3, 2026 | $0.87 est $0.89 | $18.56B est $21.06B | −1.1% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $0.92 est $0.85 | $20.37B est $20.77B | −6.3% |
| Aug 5, 2025 | $0.93 est $0.82 | $21.19B est $22.03B | +4.4% |
| May 6, 2025 | $0.70 est $0.66 | $20.18B est $22.08B | +0.8% |
| Feb 4, 2025 | $1.14 est $1.14 | $21.50B est $22.77B | −7.1% |
| Nov 18, 2024 | $1.09 est $1.19 | $19.94B est $21.48B | −0.7% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Archer-Daniels-Midland stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Archer-Daniels-Midland is $80.10, −6.0% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$80.10consensus 12-month target, −6.0% from the last close
Now $85.18Avg $80.10
Low $79High $90
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15 | BMO Capital | — | — |
| Sep 10 | Barclays | $90 | +5.7% |
| Aug 5 | BMO Capital | $82 | −3.7% |
| Aug 5 | Barclays | $90 | +5.7% |
| Aug 5 | Morgan Stanley | $79 | −7.3% |
+1.0%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−0.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Archer-Daniels-Midland seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Archer-Daniels-Midland averaged −0.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −3.1% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −2.9% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −1.7% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −0.5% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −0.7% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, ADM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.8%.
Archer-Daniels-Midland market cap and key statistics
Archer-Daniels-Midland’s market cap is $41.05B, with a P/E ratio of 23.2 and revenue of $82.10B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $41.05B
- P/E ratio
- 23.2
- Forward P/E
- 16.2
- EPS, TTM
- $3.80
- Gekko Fair Value
- $77.44
Trading
- Volume
- 10.63M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 3.98M
- 52-week high
- $88.75
- 52-week low
- $55.58
- Shares outstanding
- 482.0M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $82.10B
- Profit margin
- 2.2%
- Return on equity
- 7.6%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +315.6%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.61
- Typical daily move
- ±3.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.8%
- Dividend yield
- 2.42%
Archer-Daniels-Midland stock news this week
Coverage of Archer-Daniels-Midland this week reads positive: 7 positive, 1 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Corient Private Wealth LP Trims Holdings in Archer Daniels Midland Company $ADMMarketBeat, Sep 19
- 2,357,278 Shares in Archer Daniels Midland Company $ADM Bought by Bank of America Corp DEMarketBeat, Sep 18
- Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) Declines More Than Market: Some Information for InvestorsZacks Investment Research, Sep 16
- ADM's Fourth Annual Regenerative Agriculture Report Highlights Growing Resilience Across the Food SystemBusiness Wire, Sep 15
- Is Archer-Daniels-Midland Stock Outperforming the Nasdaq?Yahoo Finance, Sep 14
- Archer Daniels Midland Company $ADM Shares Purchased by Engineers Gate Manager LPMarketBeat, Sep 14
Archer-Daniels-Midland peers
Archer-Daniels-Midland’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| CTVACorteva | Accumulation | 3.1% above |
| BGBunge | Accumulation | 2.2% below |
| PPCPilgrim's Pride | Accumulation | 38.0% below |
| AGROAdecoagro | Neutral | 17.3% above |
| SEBSeaboard | Neutral | 7.7% above |
| CALMCal-Maine Foods | Buying | 29.8% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Archer-Daniels-Midland stock FAQ
What is Archer-Daniels-Midland’s market cap?
Archer-Daniels-Midland’s market cap is $41.05B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $85.18, with 482.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 23.2.
What is the Archer-Daniels-Midland stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Archer-Daniels-Midland is $80.10, −6.0% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Archer-Daniels-Midland stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Archer-Daniels-Midland is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $85.18 is 10.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $77.44. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Archer-Daniels-Midland report earnings next?
Archer-Daniels-Midland is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026 (44 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.53 per share on revenue of $22.86B. Archer-Daniels-Midland beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.9% on average across the report.
What is Archer-Daniels-Midland’s 52-week high and low?
Archer-Daniels-Midland’s 52-week high is $88.75 and its 52-week low is $55.58; it closed at $85.18 on Sep 18, 2026, +39.4% over the past year.
Is Archer-Daniels-Midland stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
See Archer-Daniels-Midland the way Gekko members do
Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.
Join 1,349 other traders using Gekko
Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.