Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for ADM in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every ADM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ADM in Gekko
NYSE: ADM
Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$70.84+0.24 (+0.3%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeADM's week centers on third-quarter results and their aftermath. The company reported adjusted earnings of $1.77 per share on revenue of $22.335 billion, beating EPS estimates but missing on revenue, with total segment operating profit climbing 64% to $1.4 billion on strength in North American biofuels. Management lifted 2026 EPS guidance for the third time, to $5.50-$5.80, and raised expectations for the 45Z clean fuel production tax credit net benefit to $350 million for 2026, while the CEO pointed to continued biofuel margin strength into 2027. Stephens cut its price target to $75 from $85 while keeping an equal-weight rating, and separately records tied to a 2023 Illinois plant explosion detailed safety lapses at the Decatur facility. The stock's reaction to the report was a 6.5% move.
The shares close at $70.84, down between the 50-day average of $81.46 and the 200-day average of $76.61, reflecting a mixed trend. The GekkoIndex reads 80.8, placing ADM in the Buying zone, and the price sits 9.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $78.13.
The next earnings date falls on 2 February 2027, outside a typical 20-trading-day hold. Smart money activity over the last 30 days shows 1 unusual options signal with call premium of $4,939,880 and no put premium. Seasonality over 5 years shows a -1.9% average for the next 20 trading days, rising in 1 of those years, worth noting alongside the consensus target of $80.3 from 5 firms, all rated hold.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Archer-Daniels-Midland price vs fair value
Close $70.84200-day averageGekko Fair Value $78.13
Archer-Daniels-Midland quick facts
- Market cap
- $34.14B
- P/E ratio
- 20.8
- Forward P/E
- 14.1
- EPS, TTM
- $3.65
- Revenue, TTM
- $82.10B
- Profit margin
- 2.2%
- Dividend yield
- 2.68%
- Beta
- 0.62
- Volume
- 5.42M avg 3.07M
- 1-year return
- +17.9%
- Typical daily move
- ±3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.9%
- 50-day average
- $81.46
- 200-day average
- $76.61
- Next earnings
- Feb 2
- Shares outstanding
- 482.0M
Archer-Daniels-Midland swing-trade checklist
Archer-Daniels-Midland scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $70.84 sits between the 50-day ($81.46) and 200-day ($76.61) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
80.8, Buying
Reading 80.8 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
9.3% below
Price is 9.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 89 days
Next report Feb 2, 2027, 89 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−1.9% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.9% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Archer-Daniels-Midland stock chart and price history
Archer-Daniels-Midland closed at $70.84 on Nov 4, 2026, +17.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $55.58 to $88.75.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −13.8%
- 3 months
- −8.6%
- 6 months
- −9.2%
- 1 year
- +17.9%
The full ADM chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ADM in Gekko
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About Archer-Daniels-Midland
Archer-Daniels-Midland works across the agricultural supply chain, buying, moving, storing, processing and delivering commodities and ingredients used in food, animal feed, energy and industrial products. It handles oilseeds, corn, wheat and other grains, turning them into items such as vegetable oils, sweeteners, starches, flours, alcohols, citric acid, feed products and distillers' grains, alongside more specialized flavors, colors, proteins, fibers and health-related ingredients like probiotics and botanical extracts. It is also known for import, export and trading activity in agricultural goods, plus structured trade finance and futures brokerage through its role as a commission merchant.
The company operates through three divisions: Ag Services and Oilseeds, Carbohydrate Solutions, and Nutrition. Its work ranges from raw material sourcing and basic processing to formulated animal feed, pet food manufacturing on a contract and private label basis, and ingredient development for nutrition and health applications. This mix of activities serves customers across food production, animal agriculture, energy and industrial manufacturing, with operations extending into markets including the United States, Switzerland, the Cayman Islands, Brazil, Mexico and the United Kingdom.
Shares of Archer-Daniels-Midland are listed on the NYSE under the ticker ADM.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Process industries
- Industry
- Agricultural commodities/Milling
- Website
- adm.com
Archer-Daniels-Midland GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Archer-Daniels-Midland’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 80.8, in the Buying zone, up 14.7 points over five sessions.
80.8Buying
Up 14.7 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 43 | −0.5% | +0.7% | ||
| Accumulation | 210 | +1.0% | +2.6% | ||
| Neutral | 395 | −0.1% | +0.8% | ||
| Distribution | 48 | +0.6% | +0.8% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average ADM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ADM price, zone by zone.Track ADM in Gekko
Is Archer-Daniels-Midland stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Archer-Daniels-Midland trades 9.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $78.13, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Archer-Daniels-Midland shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$78.13
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
9.3% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 3.6% above the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ADM in Gekko
Archer-Daniels-Midland insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Archer-Daniels-Midland, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in ADM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for ADM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ADM in Gekko
Buybacks
Archer-Daniels-Midland has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2024
- $1.00B
- As a share of market cap
- 2.93%
- Trailing four quarters
- $4.00B
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
1signal, 100% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 13, $4.94M in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds ADM.
0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
Archer-Daniels-Midland earnings: next date and track record
Archer-Daniels-Midland reports on Feb 2, 2027 (89 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Feb 2, 2027
89 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.38
- Revenue estimate
- $22.12B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.6%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | $1.77 est $1.60 | $22.34B est $23.27B | −6.5% |
| Aug 4, 2026 | $1.84 est $1.42 | $22.68B est $22.75B | −0.6% |
| May 5, 2026 | $0.71 est $0.66 | $20.49B est $21.35B | +2.3% |
| Feb 3, 2026 | $0.87 est $0.89 | $18.56B est $21.06B | −1.1% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $0.92 est $0.85 | $20.37B est $20.77B | −6.3% |
| Aug 5, 2025 | $0.93 est $0.82 | $21.19B est $22.03B | +4.4% |
| May 6, 2025 | $0.70 est $0.66 | $20.18B est $22.08B | +0.8% |
| Feb 4, 2025 | $1.14 est $1.14 | $21.50B est $22.77B | −7.1% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Archer-Daniels-Midland stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Archer-Daniels-Midland is $80.30, +13.4% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$80.30consensus 12-month target, +13.4% from the last close
Now $70.84Avg $80.30
Low $75High $90
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | Barclays | $90 | +27.0% |
| Nov 4 | BMO Capital | $82 | +15.8% |
| Nov 4 | Stephens | $75 | +5.9% |
| Nov 3 | J.P. Morgan | $75 | +5.9% |
| Oct 27 | Morgan Stanley | $79 | +11.5% |
+0.7%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−1.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Archer-Daniels-Midland seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Archer-Daniels-Midland averaged −1.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −1.8% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +0.4% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −0.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −1.9% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −2.3% | 1 of 5 |
For scale, ADM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.9%.
Archer-Daniels-Midland market cap and key statistics
Archer-Daniels-Midland’s market cap is $34.14B, with a P/E ratio of 20.8 and revenue of $82.10B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $34.14B
- P/E ratio
- 20.8
- Forward P/E
- 14.1
- EPS, TTM
- $3.65
- Gekko Fair Value
- $78.13
Trading
- Volume
- 5.42M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 3.07M
- 52-week high
- $88.75
- 52-week low
- $55.58
- Shares outstanding
- 482.0M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $82.10B
- Profit margin
- 2.2%
- Return on equity
- 7.6%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +315.6%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.62
- Typical daily move
- ±3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.9%
- Dividend yield
- 2.68%
Archer-Daniels-Midland stock news this week
Coverage of Archer-Daniels-Midland this week reads positive: 12 positive, 4 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
- Archer Daniels Midland (NYSE:ADM) Stock Price Target Cut by StephensMarketBeat, Nov 4
- ADM Declares Cash DividendBusiness Wire, Nov 4
- Records reveal ADM’s safety lapses before 2023 Illinois explosionAGDAILY, Nov 4
- ADM Q3 Earnings Call Highlights Biofuels Strength and 2027 OutlookZacks Investment Research, Nov 4
- ADM raises expectations for 45Z net benefit to $350 million for 2026Ethanol Producer Magazine, Nov 4
- ADM CEO Sees No Biofuel Margin Collapse, Expects Strength Into 2027Benzinga, Nov 3
Archer-Daniels-Midland peers
Archer-Daniels-Midland’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| BGBunge | Buying | 19.5% below |
| CTVACorteva | Accumulation | 27.2% below |
| PPCPilgrim's Pride | Neutral | 33.9% below |
| SEBSeaboard | Buying | 14.6% below |
| CALMCal-Maine Foods | Neutral | 27.4% below |
| AGROAdecoagro | Accumulation | 42.7% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Archer-Daniels-Midland stock FAQ
What is Archer-Daniels-Midland’s market cap?
Archer-Daniels-Midland’s market cap is $34.14B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $70.84, with 482.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 20.8.
What is the Archer-Daniels-Midland stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Archer-Daniels-Midland is $80.30, +13.4% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Archer-Daniels-Midland stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Archer-Daniels-Midland is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $70.84 is 9.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $78.13. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Archer-Daniels-Midland report earnings next?
Archer-Daniels-Midland is expected to report on Feb 2, 2027 (89 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.38 per share on revenue of $22.12B. Archer-Daniels-Midland beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.6% on average across the report.
What is Archer-Daniels-Midland’s 52-week high and low?
Archer-Daniels-Midland’s 52-week high is $88.75 and its 52-week low is $55.58; it closed at $70.84 on Nov 4, 2026, +17.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $98.88 on Apr 21, 2022.
Is Archer-Daniels-Midland stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in Archer-Daniels-Midland?
Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Archer-Daniels-Midland over the last 30 days, with $4.94M of flagged premium in calls and $0 in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 13, 2026 with $4.94M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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