NASDAQ: CALM

Cal-Maine Foods (CALM) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$63.44−0.91 (−1.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Cal-Maine Foods moves this week on a swing from profit to a first-quarter net loss of US$58.62 million, with sales at US$539.61 million, a 41.5% drop, and a loss of USD 1.26 per diluted share. Stephens lowered its price target on the stock from USD 80.00 to USD 70.00 while maintaining an Equal Weight rating, noting the new target sits below the broader analyst consensus of USD 84.17. Separately, the company points to early signs of rebalancing in the U.S. conventional egg market, with rising demand and a reduced layer flock easing oversupply, though it says it cannot predict when wholesale prices will recover. A visit from Senator Roger Marshall highlighted biosecurity measures at a Cal-Maine facility in Kansas.

The stock closes at $63.44, down 1.4%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $75.69 and 200-day average of $79.52, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 68.7, placing it in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 31.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $93.08.

Over the next 20 trading days, there is no earnings report expected, with the next date set for 6 January 2027, 85 days out. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 2.8% gain over 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Analyst coverage currently stands at 4 firms, all with hold ratings, and a consensus target of $68.33.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Cal-Maine Foods price vs fair value

$93.08$63.44Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $63.44200-day averageGekko Fair Value $93.08

Cal-Maine Foods quick facts

Market cap
$2.98B
P/E ratio
52.7
Forward P/E
19.8
EPS, TTM
$1.23
Revenue, TTM
$2.53B
Profit margin
2.3%
Dividend yield
1.72%
Beta
0.23
Volume
932,895 avg 1.48M
1-year return
−30.7%
Typical daily move
±4.2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.2%
50-day average
$75.69
200-day average
$79.52
Next earnings
Jan 6 before open
Shares outstanding
46.71M
52-week range
$61.88$95.57

Cal-Maine Foods swing-trade checklist

Cal-Maine Foods scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $63.44 is below the 50-day ($75.69) and 200-day ($79.52) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    68.7, Accumulation

    Reading 68.7 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    31.8% below

    Price is 31.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 86 days

    Next report Jan 6, 2027, 86 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.8% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Cal-Maine Foods stock chart and price history

Cal-Maine Foods closed at $63.44 on Oct 12, 2026, −30.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $61.88 to $95.57.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Cal-Maine Foods share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$70$80$90$100NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct63.44

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−14.2%
3 months
−23.7%
6 months
−16.5%
1 year
−30.7%
The full CALM chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CALM in Gekko

Follow Cal-Maine Foods through every session

Put CALM on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Cal-Maine Foods

Cal-Maine Foods manages shell eggs from farm to shelf, covering production, grading, packaging, marketing and distribution. Beyond standard eggs, it produces specialty lines including nutritionally enhanced, free-range, organic and brown eggs, sold under names such as Egg-Land's Best, Land O' Lakes, Farmhouse Eggs and 4-Grain, as well as eggs packaged for other retailers' own labels.

Its customers range from large supermarket chains and warehouse clubs to independent grocers, foodservice operators and everyday consumers. Sales activity is concentrated in the southwestern, southeastern, mid-western and mid-Atlantic regions of the United States, reflecting a broad regional distribution rather than a single market focus.

The company was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Ridgeland, Mississippi. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker CALM.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Process industries
Industry
Agricultural commodities/Milling
Website
calmainefoods.com

Cal-Maine Foods GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Cal-Maine Foods’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68.7, in the Accumulation zone, down 9.1 points over five sessions.

010068.7Accumulation

Down 9.1 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying63−0.8%−0.6%+0.1%+0.2%
Accumulation (current zone)167−0.1%−0.1%+0.3%+4.3%
Neutral399+0.6%+0.8%+1.4%+3.1%
Distribution52−0.1%+0.8%+1.7%+5.6%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average CALM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CALM price, zone by zone.Track CALM in Gekko

Is Cal-Maine Foods stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Cal-Maine Foods trades 31.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $93.08, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Cal-Maine Foods shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$93.08

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

31.8% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 28.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$93$64Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CALM in Gekko

Cal-Maine Foods insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Cal-Maine Foods, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CALM in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CALM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CALM in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CALM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CALM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CALM in Gekko

Buybacks

Cal-Maine Foods has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Aug 29, 2026
$5.06M
As a share of market cap
0.17%
Trailing four quarters
$136.2M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds CALM.

0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Cal-Maine Foods earnings: next date and track record

Cal-Maine Foods reports on Jan 6, 2027, before the open (86 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.8%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+0.8%Oct ’240.0%Jan ’25−0.9%Apr ’25+12.2%Jul ’25−1.6%Oct ’25−4.6%Jan ’26−1.3%Apr ’26+1.0%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Cal-Maine Foods reported Q4 fiscal 2026 results amid industry oversupply driving conventional egg prices to historically low inflation-adjusted levels. Prepared Foods reached 10.9% of Q4 net sales, with Specialty Eggs and Prepared Foods combined at 53% of quarterly net sales. The company completed acquisitions of Creighton Brothers assets and Van's Food brand, and announced a $54 million investment to expand Prepared Foods capacity by ~30% beginning H1 fiscal 2028.
Guidance
Management expects Prepared Foods production capacity to grow over 60% from end of fiscal 2026 through H1 fiscal 2028. Supply conditions show early rebalancing signals with moderating flock growth. USDA projects per capita egg consumption increases in both 2026 and 2027.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 22, 2026−$0.76
est $0.08
−1,021.2%$552.6M
est $563.8M
−2.0%+1.0%
Apr 1, 2026$1.06
est $1.17
−9.0%$667.0M
est $642.5M
+3.8%−1.3%
Jan 7, 2026$2.13
est $1.95
+9.2%$769.5M
est $796.6M
−3.4%−4.6%
Oct 1, 2025$4.00
est $2.71
+47.6%$922.6M
est $960.3M
−3.9%−1.6%
Jul 22, 2025$7.04
est $3.70
+90.3%$1.10B
est $883.7M
+24.9%+12.2%
Apr 8, 2025$10.39
est $10.75
−3.3%$1.42B
est $1.44B
−1.7%−0.9%
Jan 7, 2025$4.48
est $3.03
+47.8%$954.7M
est $689.2M
+38.5%0.0%
Oct 1, 2024$3.06
est $2.33
+31.3%$785.9M
est $704.7M
+11.5%+0.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Cal-Maine Foods stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Cal-Maine Foods is $68.33, +7.7% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$68.33consensus 12-month target, +7.7% from the last close
Low $60High $75
Buy0
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 5Goldman SachsHold, maintained$60−5.4%
Oct 1BMO CapitalHold, maintained$75+18.2%
Oct 1StoneXHold, reiterated——
Oct 1Goldman SachsHold, maintained$60−5.4%
Oct 1StephensHold, reiterated$70+10.3%
+0.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+2.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Cal-Maine Foods seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Cal-Maine Foods averaged +2.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+7.8%2021+7.3%2022+3.9%2023−0.1%2024−6.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.5%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.1%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.0%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.8%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+1.5%4 of 5

For scale, CALM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.2%.

Cal-Maine Foods market cap and key statistics

Cal-Maine Foods’s market cap is $2.98B, with a P/E ratio of 52.7 and revenue of $2.53B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.98B
P/E ratio
52.7
Forward P/E
19.8
EPS, TTM
$1.23
Gekko Fair Value
$93.08

Trading

Volume
932,895
Avg volume, 20 days
1.48M
52-week high
$95.57
52-week low
$61.88
Shares outstanding
46.71M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.53B
Profit margin
2.3%
Return on equity
2.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−89.8%

Risk and income

Beta
0.23
Typical daily move
±4.2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.2%
Dividend yield
1.72%

Cal-Maine Foods peers

Cal-Maine Foods’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
ADMArcher-Daniels-Midland−0.1%Accumulation5.8% above
BGBunge+0.5%Accumulation9.6% below
CTVACorteva+1.3%Buying72.7% below
PPCPilgrim's Pride−0.3%Neutral38.7% below
AGROAdecoagro−0.5%Accumulation6.6% above
SEBSeaboard−0.4%Accumulation5.2% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Cal-Maine Foods stock FAQ

What is Cal-Maine Foods’s market cap?

Cal-Maine Foods’s market cap is $2.98B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $63.44, with 46.71M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 52.7.

What is the Cal-Maine Foods stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Cal-Maine Foods is $68.33, +7.7% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Cal-Maine Foods stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Cal-Maine Foods is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $63.44 is 31.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $93.08. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Cal-Maine Foods report earnings next?

Cal-Maine Foods is expected to report on Jan 6, 2027, before the market opens (86 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.87 per share on revenue of $575.5M. Cal-Maine Foods beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.8% on average across the report.

What is Cal-Maine Foods’s 52-week high and low?

Cal-Maine Foods’s 52-week high is $95.57 and its 52-week low is $61.88; it closed at $63.44 on Oct 12, 2026, −30.7% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $126.40 on Jul 23, 2025.

Is Cal-Maine Foods stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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