Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for AVO in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every AVO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AVO in Gekko
NASDAQ: AVO
Mission Produce (AVO) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$11.56−0.18 (−1.5%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeMission Produce holds its 2026 Investor Day this week, unveiling five-year targets that call for doubling sales and tripling profit by 2035, with specific goals of $4 billion in sales and $450 million in adjusted EBITDA. Coverage also highlights the company's Peru operations, where fiscal 2026 exportable avocado production is expected at 120-130 million pounds to support growth, alongside a push for mid-single-digit growth targets and expanded Fair Trade certification across its sourcing. Separately, Stephens reaffirmed an Overweight rating with a $15 price target, citing results that exceeded quarterly earnings and revenue estimates.
AVO closed at $11.56, down 1.5% on the day and sitting below both its 50-day average of $12.80 and 200-day average of $12.90, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The stock has fallen 11.1% over one month, 13.5% over three months, and 21.5% over six months, though it is down only 1.3% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 76.3, placing it in the Buying zone, and the price sits 19.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $14.29.
The next earnings date is 17 December 2026, after the close, falling outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonality data shows that, from this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 6.8% gain over five years, rising in 4 of them. Analyst consensus from two firms, both rated buy, carries a target of $16.50, implying 42.7% upside.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Mission Produce price vs fair value
Close $11.56200-day averageGekko Fair Value $14.29
Mission Produce quick facts
- Market cap
- $1.02B
- P/E ratio
- 393
- Forward P/E
- 13.8
- EPS, TTM
- $0.03
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.34B
- Profit margin
- 0.1%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 0.44
- Volume
- 1.22M avg 1.10M
- 1-year return
- −1.3%
- Typical daily move
- ±4.2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.9%
- 50-day average
- $12.80
- 200-day average
- $12.90
- Next earnings
- Dec 17 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 87.68M
Mission Produce swing-trade checklist
Mission Produce scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $11.56 is below the 50-day ($12.80) and 200-day ($12.90) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
76.3, Buying
Reading 76.3 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
19.1% below
Price is 19.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 66 days
Next report Dec 17, 2026, 66 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+6.8% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.8% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Mission Produce stock chart and price history
Mission Produce closed at $11.56 on Oct 12, 2026, −1.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $10.07 to $15.53.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −11.1%
- 3 months
- −13.5%
- 6 months
- −21.5%
- 1 year
- −1.3%
The full AVO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AVO in Gekko
Follow Mission Produce through every session
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About Mission Produce
Mission Produce grows, processes, packs and ships avocados, managing the fruit from the farm through to the point of sale in the United States and other countries. It is recognized for handling the full avocado supply chain rather than just one stage of it.
The company runs its business through two segments, International Farming and Marketing and Distribution, and rounds out its offering with services such as ripening fruit on request, tailoring packaging, and coordinating delivery logistics. Its customers include retailers, wholesalers, and foodservice operators who rely on it to supply avocados ready for sale or use.
Mission Produce was established in 1983 and is headquartered in Oxnard, California. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker AVO.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Process industries
- Industry
- Agricultural commodities/Milling
- Website
- missionproduce.com
Mission Produce GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Mission Produce’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 76.3, in the Buying zone, up 16.3 points over five sessions.
76.3Buying
Up 16.3 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 53 | +1.3% | +7.6% | ||
| Accumulation | 180 | +0.5% | +2.8% | ||
| Neutral | 386 | +0.5% | +0.6% | ||
| Distribution | 57 | −2.8% | −5.5% | ||
| Selling | 6 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average AVO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AVO price, zone by zone.Track AVO in Gekko
Is Mission Produce stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Mission Produce trades 19.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $14.29, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Mission Produce shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$14.29
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
19.1% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 16.4% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AVO in Gekko
Mission Produce insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Mission Produce, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in AVO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for AVO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AVO in Gekko
Buybacks
Mission Produce has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jul 31, 2026
- $7.20M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.71%
From company filings.
Mission Produce earnings: next date and track record
Mission Produce reports on Dec 17, 2026, after the close (66 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Dec 17, 2026
Expected after the close, 66 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.34
- Revenue estimate
- $434.7M
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.2%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jun 8, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Mission Produce's Q2 fiscal 2026 was marked by record Mexican avocado supply creating multi-year low prices, compressing per-unit margins despite 15% year-over-year volume growth. Marketing and Distribution gross profit increased ~5% on a first-half basis versus prior year. U.S. avocado consumption hit new highs, up strong double digits with 1.6 million new households entering the category. The Calavo acquisition closed May 28, earlier than anticipated.
- Guidance
- Management expects strong performance for the remainder of the year as supply normalizes across growing regions, per-unit margins recover, and customer relationships remain solid. International farming adjusted EBITDA is concentrated in Q3 and Q4.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2026 | $0.01 est $0.05 | $278.6M est $260.7M | +6.4% |
| Mar 12, 2026 | $0.10 est $0.07 | $278.6M est $260.7M | −8.8% |
| Dec 18, 2025 | $0.31 est $0.23 | $319.0M est $293.9M | +0.5% |
| Sep 8, 2025 | $0.26 est $0.13 | $357.7M est $320.3M | +3.6% |
| Jun 5, 2025 | $0.12 est $0.03 | $380.3M est $296.2M | +4.3% |
| Mar 10, 2025 | $0.10 est $0.01 | $334.2M est $285.6M | −14.3% |
| Dec 18, 2024 | $0.28 est $0.08 | $354.4M est $268.4M | −6.5% |
| Sep 9, 2024 | $0.23 est −$0.01 | $324.0M est $231.0M | +21.1% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Mission Produce stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Mission Produce is $16.50, +42.7% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$16.50consensus 12-month target, +42.7% from the last close
Now $11.56Avg $16.50
Low $17High $18
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17 | Lake Street | $18 | +55.7% |
| Sep 10 | Roth MKM | $17 | +47.1% |
| Sep 9 | Lake Street | $18 | +55.7% |
+7.6%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+6.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Mission Produce seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Mission Produce averaged +6.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.6% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +0.1% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +1.9% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +6.8% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +2.2% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, AVO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.9%.
Mission Produce market cap and key statistics
Mission Produce’s market cap is $1.02B, with a P/E ratio of 393 and revenue of $1.34B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $1.02B
- P/E ratio
- 393
- Forward P/E
- 13.8
- EPS, TTM
- $0.03
- Gekko Fair Value
- $14.29
Trading
- Volume
- 1.22M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.10M
- 52-week high
- $15.53
- 52-week low
- $10.07
- Shares outstanding
- 87.68M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.34B
- Profit margin
- 0.1%
- Return on equity
- 0.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −4.2%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.44
- Typical daily move
- ±4.2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.9%
Mission Produce stock news this week
Coverage of Mission Produce this week reads positive: 11 positive, 3 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Mission Produce® Unveils Five-Year Financial Targets and Strategies at 2026 Investor Day; John Pawlowski SharesAndNowUKnow, Oct 12
- Is Mission Produce's Peru Business Ready to Drive Growth?TradingView, Oct 12
- Mission Produce Inc: Targets Mid-Single-DigitMoomoo, Oct 11
- Mission Produce champions Fair Trade certification, showcases new era of fresh at IFPAProduce News, Oct 10
- Mission Produce, Inc. Rings the Nasdaq Stock Market Closing BellNasdaq, Oct 9
- Mission Produce Expands Fair Trade Avocado Certification GloballyThe Packer, Oct 9
Mission Produce peers
Mission Produce’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| ADMArcher-Daniels-Midland | Accumulation | 5.8% above |
| BGBunge | Accumulation | 9.6% below |
| CTVACorteva | Buying | 72.7% below |
| PPCPilgrim's Pride | Neutral | 38.7% below |
| AGROAdecoagro | Accumulation | 6.6% above |
| SEBSeaboard | Accumulation | 5.2% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Mission Produce stock FAQ
What is Mission Produce’s market cap?
Mission Produce’s market cap is $1.02B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $11.56, with 87.68M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 393.
What is the Mission Produce stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Mission Produce is $16.50, +42.7% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Mission Produce stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Mission Produce is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $11.56 is 19.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $14.29. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Mission Produce report earnings next?
Mission Produce is expected to report on Dec 17, 2026, after the market closes (66 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.34 per share on revenue of $434.7M. Mission Produce beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.2% on average across the report.
What is Mission Produce’s 52-week high and low?
Mission Produce’s 52-week high is $15.53 and its 52-week low is $10.07; it closed at $11.56 on Oct 12, 2026, −1.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $20.79 on Nov 11, 2021.
Is Mission Produce stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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