Camden Property Trust (CPT) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$98.40+0.28 (+0.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Camden Property Trust draws mixed analyst attention this week. Truist Securities lowered its price target to $108 from $123 while maintaining a Buy rating, citing a reduction in its 2027 estimate despite a slight increase for 2026. A separate consensus reading shows a "Hold" rating from 16 sell-side analysts with an average target of $115.35, while other coverage points to a buy rating tied to Camden's Sun Belt repositioning, including the California divestiture valued in the $1.63 billion range. The company also announced a quarterly dividend of $1.06 per share, with an ex-dividend date of September 30th.

CPT closes at $98.40, up 0.3%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $107.04 and 200-day average of $107.05, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The stock trades near its 52-week low of $96.53, well off its 52-week high of $119.81. The GekkoIndex reads 69.9, placing it in the Accumulation zone. Gekko Fair Value stands at $99.91, putting the current price 1.5% below that level.

Camden's next earnings report is scheduled for 5 November 2026, 37 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Analyst consensus across 17 firms shows 4 buy, 11 hold and 2 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $115.42 implying 17.3% upside. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -2.9% across 5 years, with gains in only 1 of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the absence of insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the current window.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Camden Property Trust price vs fair value

$99.91$98.40Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $98.40200-day averageGekko Fair Value $99.91

Camden Property Trust quick facts

Market cap
$9.89B
P/E ratio
32.4
Forward P/E
62.5
EPS, TTM
$3.03
Revenue, TTM
$1.58B
Profit margin
20.6%
Dividend yield
4.33%
Beta
0.78
Volume
1.45M avg 1.12M
1-year return
−7.2%
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±4.1%
50-day average
$107.04
200-day average
$107.05
Next earnings
Nov 5
Shares outstanding
115.7M
52-week range
$96.53$119.81

Camden Property Trust swing-trade checklist

Camden Property Trust scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $98.40 is below the 50-day ($107.04) and 200-day ($107.05) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    69.9, Accumulation

    Reading 69.9 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    1.5% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (1.5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 37 days

    Next report Nov 5, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −2.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.9% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Camden Property Trust stock chart and price history

Camden Property Trust closed at $98.40 on Sep 28, 2026, −7.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $96.53 to $119.81.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Camden Property Trust share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$100$105$110$115NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep98.40

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−7.0%
3 months
−15.7%
6 months
+1.5%
1 year
−7.2%
The full CPT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CPT in Gekko

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About Camden Property Trust

Camden Property Trust works in residential real estate, focused on apartment communities. Its activities span owning, developing, renovating, and purchasing multi-family properties, along with the ongoing operation and management of these residential complexes across the country.

The company's holdings include stakes in numerous apartment communities comprising tens of thousands of units, with additional properties currently in the construction pipeline that will add further homes and locations to its portfolio once completed. Camden has also drawn attention for its workplace, having appeared for many consecutive years on a national ranking of best companies to work for, and it has placed among large companies in an employee-driven workplace survey.

Shares of Camden Property Trust trade under the ticker CPT.

Sector
Finance
Website
camdenliving.com

Camden Property Trust GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Camden Property Trust’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 69.9, in the Accumulation zone, down 4.9 points over five sessions.

010069.9Accumulation

Down 4.9 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying43+0.7%+1.8%+4.2%+5.7%
Accumulation (current zone)195+0.1%0.0%0.0%+1.6%
Neutral3710.0%+0.1%+0.1%0.0%
Distribution16−1.9%−1.2%+0.2%−1.7%
Selling0Not available

Average CPT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CPT price, zone by zone.Track CPT in Gekko

Is Camden Property Trust stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Camden Property Trust trades 1.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $99.91, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Camden Property Trust shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$99.91

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

1.5% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CPT in Gekko

Camden Property Trust insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Camden Property Trust, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CPT in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CPT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CPT in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CPT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CPT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CPT in Gekko

Buybacks

Camden Property Trust has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$170.2M
As a share of market cap
1.72%
Trailing four quarters
$703.7M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold CPT.

0added0opened2trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Camden Property Trust earnings: next date and track record

Camden Property Trust reports on Nov 5, 2026 (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.2%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+6.6%May ’24+6.7%Aug ’24−3.1%Oct ’24+2.5%Feb ’25+6.2%May ’25−4.6%Jul ’25+1.9%Oct ’25+1.7%Jan ’26

Last earnings call, Jan 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Camden Property Trust presented a cautiously optimistic Q4 2025 earnings call. Management highlighted that Camden finished 2025 strong, beating original core FFO guidance by $0.13 per share, and emphasized their strong balance sheet. They announced marketing their 11 California operating communities for sale (preliminary value $1.5B–$2B, assumed midyear close), with plans to reinvest ~60% by 1031 exchange into Sunbelt markets and use ~$650M for share repurchases (nearly $400M already completed). The company provided 2026 same-property revenue guidance midpoint of ~75 bps (roughly flat to 2025) and expects modest improvement with acceleration in the second half of 2026. Management reiterated that new supply has peaked and is declining, that Sunbelt markets should outperform, and that absorption during 2025 was strong. They discussed transactions (sales and acquisitions in 2025), development pipeline (starts penciled late 2026), and cost trends (development costs down ~5–8%). The call acknowledged headwinds including regulatory change in Colorado affecting utility rebilling (estimated $1.8M or ~19 bps same-store NOI), elevated legal and non-core costs (~$14M), and continued macro uncertainty and soft 2025 job revisions. Management expressed confidence in redeploying California sale proceeds into Sunbelt stabilized acquisitions and share buybacks, while noting development economics remain challenging and that timing and execution risks exist.
Guidance
2026 same-property revenue guidance midpoint ~75 basis points (essentially flat vs. 2025); improvement expected over the course of 2026 with modest acceleration in H2. Assumptions around California portfolio sale: midyear close; ~60% (~$1.1B) redeployed via 1031 into Sunbelt acquisitions (projected ~summer), ~$650M modeled for share repurchases (nearly $400M completed); Board approved new $600M repurchase authorization. No net impact to 2026 core FFO guidance assumed from the California sale/acquisition/buyback timing (variability included in guidance ranges). Development starts expected late 2026; development returns penciled mid-5% untrended on some controlled sites; development costs recently down ~5–8%.
Risks flagged
Regulatory risk in Denver (Colorado HB25-1090) eliminates billing for common area utilities — estimated $1.8M impact (~19 bps same-store NOI). Elevated legal and non-core costs (~$14M noncore adjustments) tied to ongoing legal matters. Timing and execution risk around marketing/closing of California portfolio sale, redeployment within 1031 window, and acquisition competition; if proceeds cannot be reinvested, potential tax consequences/special dividend. Development risk: projects hard to pencil, delayed starts, market oversupply in certain markets (Austin, downtown Nashville). Macroeconomic/job growth uncertainty could delay demand recovery.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jan 29, 2026$0.39
est $0.36
+8.9%$390.8M
est $393.4M
−0.7%+1.7%
Oct 30, 2025$0.21
est $0.29
−26.0%$395.7M
est $397.9M
−0.6%+1.9%
Jul 31, 2025$1.70
est $0.33
+408.7%$396.5M
est $396.7M
0.0%−4.6%
May 1, 2025$1.72
est $0.36
+379.4%$390.6M
est $388.9M
+0.4%+6.2%
Feb 6, 2025$0.37
est $0.36
+2.8%$386.3M
est $386.2M
0.0%+2.5%
Oct 31, 2024$0.34
est $0.28
+21.4%$387.2M
est $389.4M
−0.6%−3.1%
Aug 1, 2024$0.40
est $0.40
0.0%$387.2M
est $385.2M
+0.5%+6.7%
May 2, 2024$0.77
est $0.41
+87.8%$383.1M
est $387.1M
−1.0%+6.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Camden Property Trust stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Camden Property Trust is $115.42, +17.3% from the last close, from 17 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$115.42consensus 12-month target, +17.3% from the last close
Low $102High $132
Buy4
Hold11
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 17 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 25Truist FinancialBuy, maintained$108+9.8%
Sep 21Evercore ISIHold, maintained$110+11.8%
Sep 17ScotiabankSell, maintained$102+3.7%
Sep 15UBSHold, maintained$105+6.7%
Sep 14Evercore ISIHold, maintained$114+15.9%
0.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−2.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Camden Property Trust seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Camden Property Trust averaged −2.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+6.2%2021−2.8%2022−11.2%2023−3.9%2024−2.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.8%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.0%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.4%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−2.9%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.8%1 of 5

For scale, CPT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.1%.

Camden Property Trust market cap and key statistics

Camden Property Trust’s market cap is $9.89B, with a P/E ratio of 32.4 and revenue of $1.58B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$9.89B
P/E ratio
32.4
Forward P/E
62.5
EPS, TTM
$3.03
Gekko Fair Value
$99.91

Trading

Volume
1.45M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.12M
52-week high
$119.81
52-week low
$96.53
Shares outstanding
115.7M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.58B
Profit margin
20.6%
Return on equity
7.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−75.7%

Risk and income

Beta
0.78
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±4.1%
Dividend yield
4.33%

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Camden Property Trust stock FAQ

What is Camden Property Trust’s market cap?

Camden Property Trust’s market cap is $9.89B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $98.40, with 115.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 32.4.

What is the Camden Property Trust stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Camden Property Trust is $115.42, +17.3% from the last close. Of the 17 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 11 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Camden Property Trust stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Camden Property Trust is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $98.40 is 1.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $99.91. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Camden Property Trust report earnings next?

Camden Property Trust is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026 (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.25 per share on revenue of $385.1M. Camden Property Trust beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.2% on average across the report.

What is Camden Property Trust’s 52-week high and low?

Camden Property Trust’s 52-week high is $119.81 and its 52-week low is $96.53; it closed at $98.40 on Sep 28, 2026, −7.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $180.37 on Dec 31, 2021.

Is Camden Property Trust stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (fair value) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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