NYSE: HLI

Houlihan Lokey (HLI) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$129.54+0.47 (+0.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week Houlihan Lokey adds Chris McMillan as a Managing Director in its FinTech Group, focused on digital assets and based in Charlotte, alongside the naming of Prabha Sipi Bhandari as Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary, succeeding Christopher Crain, who moves to a senior advisor role. A stockholder investigation notice from a law firm has also circulated, without further detail on scope or outcome.

HLI closes at $129.54, up 0.4%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $132.02 and its 200-day average of $150.54, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Shares are down 1% over one month, 2.5% over three months, and 36.9% over the past year, against a 52-week range of $112.83 to $208.78. The GekkoIndex reads 62, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, and price sits 7.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $140.61.

The next earnings report is set for 29 October 2026 after close, 30 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the prior report on 29 July showed adjusted EPS of $1.35 against a $1.64 estimate, with an 11.8% reaction, and Corporate Finance revenue of $303 million, down 24% year-over-year. Over the last 90 days, smart money shows 1 insider purchase worth $500,570 and 3 Congressional buys with no sales. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 2% gain over 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst consensus stands at 5 buy and 2 hold ratings among 7 firms, with a $153.50 price target.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Houlihan Lokey price vs fair value

$140.61$129.54Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $129.54200-day averageGekko Fair Value $140.61

Houlihan Lokey quick facts

Market cap
$9.05B
P/E ratio
21.7
Forward P/E
15
EPS, TTM
$5.95
Revenue, TTM
$2.52B
Profit margin
16.1%
Dividend yield
1.96%
Beta
0.97
Volume
717,169 avg 865,263
1-year return
−36.9%
Typical daily move
±3.4%
Typical 20-day move
±5.5%
50-day average
$132.02
200-day average
$150.54
Next earnings
Oct 29 after close
Shares outstanding
54.20M
52-week range
$112.83$208.78

Houlihan Lokey swing-trade checklist

Houlihan Lokey scores 5 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

5 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $129.54 is below the 50-day ($132.02) and 200-day ($150.54) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    62, Accumulation

    Reading 62 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    7.9% below

    Price is 7.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase; Congress 3 buys / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 30 days

    Next report Oct 29, 2026, 30 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Houlihan Lokey stock chart and price history

Houlihan Lokey closed at $129.54 on Sep 28, 2026, −36.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $112.83 to $208.78.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Houlihan Lokey share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$120$140$160$180$200NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep129.54

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−1.0%
3 months
−2.5%
6 months
−6.8%
1 year
−36.9%
The full HLI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open HLI in Gekko

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About Houlihan Lokey

Houlihan Lokey works as an investment bank, giving advice on deals, fundraising, restructuring and valuation rather than lending or trading on its own account. Clients turn to it for guidance through mergers and acquisitions, capital raising, and the recapitalisation of businesses under financial strain, along with independent opinions on what companies and assets are worth. It has built a name around this advisory mix rather than around underwriting or asset management.

The firm runs through three main units. One handles broad corporate finance work, helping public and private organisations buy and sell businesses and raise capital through routes such as loans, high-yield debt, IPOs, follow-on offerings and private placements, while also advising financial sponsors on deal structures. Another focuses on financial restructuring, working with debtors and creditors on reorganisation plans, exchange offers, viability reviews and debtor-in-possession financing. The third provides valuation and fairness or solvency opinions covering businesses, illiquid securities and intellectual property, and supports dispute resolution. Its clients span corporations, institutions and government bodies.

Founded in 1972 and headquartered in Los Angeles, California, Houlihan Lokey also operates offices across the United States, Europe, the Middle East and Asia-Pacific. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker HLI.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Finance
Industry
Investment banks/Brokers
Website
hl.com

Houlihan Lokey GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Houlihan Lokey’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62, in the Accumulation zone, up 1.9 points over five sessions.

010062Accumulation

Up 1.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying38+1.4%+1.5%+3.1%+4.2%
Accumulation (current zone)208−0.2%+0.1%0.0%−1.0%
Neutral387+0.2%+0.1%+0.4%+1.3%
Distribution36−0.1%+1.6%+1.7%+6.0%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average HLI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the HLI price, zone by zone.Track HLI in Gekko

Is Houlihan Lokey stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Houlihan Lokey trades 7.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $140.61, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Houlihan Lokey shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$140.61

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

7.9% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open HLI in Gekko

Houlihan Lokey insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Houlihan Lokey worth $501K, and members of Congress disclosed 3 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$501Kin 1 open-market purchase

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Aug 5Lindsey J Alley
Chief Financial Officer
Purchase4,020$501K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

3trades disclosed: 3 purchases and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Gilbert Cisneros
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 11
traded Aug 7
Gilbert Ray Cisneros
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 7
traded Jul 16
Gilbert Ray Cisneros
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 7
traded Jul 15

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Houlihan Lokey has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$50.00M
As a share of market cap
0.55%
Trailing four quarters
$195.7M

From company filings.

Houlihan Lokey earnings: next date and track record

Houlihan Lokey reports on Oct 29, 2026, after the close (30 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.2%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+3.6%Oct ’24−0.4%Jan ’25+7.4%May ’25−0.8%Jul ’25−9.7%Oct ’25−6.0%Jan ’26+2.2%May ’26−11.8%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Houlihan Lokey reported Q1 fiscal 2027 revenues of $511 million and adjusted EPS of $1.35, results management called disappointing but characterized as a temporary disruption rather than a structural reset. Corporate Finance was the primary source of weakness, with CF revenues of $303 million, down 24% year-over-year, driven by extended deal timelines and delayed larger-fee transactions—particularly in software and consumer-facing sectors and in Europe. Financial Restructuring performed in line with expectations with $119 million of revenue and elevated pipeline activity, while Financial & Valuation Advisory grew 13% to $89 million, benefiting from large-cap activity. Deal counts were generally flat in CF (127 deals) but average fees declined, whereas FVA reported 1,042 fee events (+9%). Management reiterated long-term targets: maintain adjusted compensation expense ratio at 61.5% and expect adjusted non-compensation expense growth for the year to be similar to last year. They emphasized strong backlog, record levels of new business activity and pipeline, confidence in medium-term outlook, continued investment in technology and AI, and opportunistic M&A (Intrepid disclosed) to drive growth and market share gains. No quantitative revenue or EPS guidance for the next quarter or year was provided. Management highlighted restructuring as likely to remain elevated for the year and noted the Morningstar partnership is strategic with de minimis near-term revenue impact.
Guidance
Maintain adjusted compensation expense ratio target at 61.5% for fiscal 2027; expect adjusted non-compensation expense growth for full fiscal year to be similar to last year; restructuring activity expected to remain at elevated levels for fiscal 2027; no change to financial modeling for Morningstar partnership; no specific revenue or EPS guidance issued.
Risks flagged
Macro-driven headwinds including the war in the Middle East, software sector disruption and resulting valuation declines, extended deal timelines that disproportionately delay larger-fee transactions, softer European markets, sponsor caution (particularly affecting sponsor-driven business), potential for renewed geopolitical escalation that could re-freeze deal activity, and potential pricing pressure in valuation services from technology/AI (though management views AI as net opportunity).
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 29, 2026$1.35
est $1.64
−17.7%$511.0M
est $602.4M
−15.2%−11.8%
May 6, 2026$1.63
est $1.97
−17.3%$635.6M
est $679.2M
−6.4%+2.2%
Jan 28, 2026$1.94
est $1.85
+4.9%$717.1M
est $697.2M
+2.9%−6.0%
Oct 30, 2025$1.84
est $1.68
+9.5%$659.5M
est $651.8M
+1.2%−9.7%
Jul 29, 2025$2.14
est $1.68
+27.4%$605.3M
est $580.0M
+4.4%−0.8%
May 7, 2025$1.96
est $1.62
+21.0%$666.4M
est $628.3M
+6.1%+7.4%
Jan 28, 2025$1.64
est $1.52
+7.9%$634.4M
est $625.7M
+1.4%−0.4%
Oct 30, 2024$1.46
est $1.31
+11.5%$575.0M
est $537.9M
+6.9%+3.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Houlihan Lokey stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Houlihan Lokey is $153.50, +18.5% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$153.50consensus 12-month target, +18.5% from the last close
Low $145High $177
Buy5
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 18Morgan StanleyBuy, reiterated$177+36.6%
Aug 3BMO CapitalBuy, maintained$145+11.9%
Jul 31Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained——
Jul 30KBWBuy, reiterated$153+18.1%
Jul 30Seaport GlobalHold, maintained——
0.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+2.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Houlihan Lokey seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Houlihan Lokey averaged +2.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+9.1%2021+7.2%2022−7.0%2023+6.2%2024−3.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.9%0 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.4%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.0%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.0%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+9.5%3 of 5

For scale, HLI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.5%.

Houlihan Lokey market cap and key statistics

Houlihan Lokey’s market cap is $9.05B, with a P/E ratio of 21.7 and revenue of $2.52B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$9.05B
P/E ratio
21.7
Forward P/E
15
EPS, TTM
$5.95
Gekko Fair Value
$140.61

Trading

Volume
717,169
Avg volume, 20 days
865,263
52-week high
$208.78
52-week low
$112.83
Shares outstanding
54.20M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.52B
Profit margin
16.1%
Return on equity
17.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−19.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.97
Typical daily move
±3.4%
Typical 20-day move
±5.5%
Dividend yield
1.96%

Houlihan Lokey peers

Houlihan Lokey’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GSGoldman Sachs−1.6%Accumulation13.7% below
SCHWCharles Schwab−0.5%Buying13.9% below
IBKRInteractive Brokers−0.8%Accumulation10.2% below
HOODRobinhood Markets−1.3%Neutral1.5% above
BNYBank of New York Mellon−0.8%Accumulation8.6% below
CMECME−1.1%Accumulation4.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Houlihan Lokey stock FAQ

What is Houlihan Lokey’s market cap?

Houlihan Lokey’s market cap is $9.05B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $129.54, with 54.20M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 21.7.

What is the Houlihan Lokey stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Houlihan Lokey is $153.50, +18.5% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Houlihan Lokey stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Houlihan Lokey is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $129.54 is 7.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $140.61. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Houlihan Lokey report earnings next?

Houlihan Lokey is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, after the market closes (30 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.63 per share on revenue of $618.6M. Houlihan Lokey beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.2% on average across the report.

What is Houlihan Lokey’s 52-week high and low?

Houlihan Lokey’s 52-week high is $208.78 and its 52-week low is $112.83; it closed at $129.54 on Sep 28, 2026, −36.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $211.78 on Sep 23, 2025.

Is Houlihan Lokey stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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