NYSE: VIRT

Virtu Financial (VIRT) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$51.97−1.43 (−2.7%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's news around Virtu Financial centers on international expansion, with the company extending its POSIT block-trading network to the Saudi Exchange, now covering 245 liquid stocks. The move adds an institutional trading channel that could support order flow and fees. Separate coverage also revisited valuation questions, asking whether investors are undervaluing VIRT at current levels.

VIRT closed at $51.97, down 2.7%, with its close sitting between the 50-day average of $59.64 and the 200-day average of $49.36, reflecting a mixed trend. The stock's one-month return stands at -22.5%, though the six-month return remains positive at 22.2%. The GekkoIndex reads 72.5, placing VIRT in the Buying zone. Price sits 16.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $62.51.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 4 November 2026, before the open, 36 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. In the last reported quarter, EPS of $1.44 missed the $1.55 estimate, with a 1.4% reaction, following a run of 7 beats in 8 quarters. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged +2.5% across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Analyst consensus from 5 firms shows 2 buy, 2 hold, and 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $66.71.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Virtu Financial price vs fair value

$62.51$51.97Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $51.97200-day averageGekko Fair Value $62.51

Virtu Financial quick facts

Market cap
$11.06B
P/E ratio
8.8
Forward P/E
8.4
EPS, TTM
$5.98
Revenue, TTM
$3.26B
Profit margin
16.9%
Dividend yield
1.81%
Beta
0.62
Volume
1.19M avg 1.03M
1-year return
+48.2%
Typical daily move
±3.6%
Typical 20-day move
±6.5%
50-day average
$59.64
200-day average
$49.36
Next earnings
Nov 4 before open
Shares outstanding
88.30M
52-week range
$31.55$68.76

Virtu Financial swing-trade checklist

Virtu Financial scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $51.97 sits between the 50-day ($59.64) and 200-day ($49.36) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    72.5, Buying

    Reading 72.5 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    16.9% below

    Price is 16.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 36 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.5% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Virtu Financial stock chart and price history

Virtu Financial closed at $51.97 on Sep 28, 2026, +48.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $31.55 to $68.76.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Virtu Financial share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$60$70NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep51.97

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−22.5%
3 months
−10.6%
6 months
+22.2%
1 year
+48.2%
The full VIRT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open VIRT in Gekko

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About Virtu Financial

Virtu Financial builds its business around giving traders access to market data, analytics, and connectivity tools that span the globe. Clients use its systems to place trades, tap into liquidity, run advanced analysis, and connect through technology platforms that work across multiple brokers and dealers rather than favoring one. The firm serves customers trading equities, ETFs, currencies, futures, fixed income, cryptocurrencies, and other commodities in markets worldwide, and this broad reach across asset classes is a defining feature of its work.

Internally, Virtu splits its operations into two segments, one focused on market making and the other on execution services. Its analytics offerings also give clients tools for both before and after a trade takes place, along with data products and compliance support, so they can manage risk and carry out investment decisions across different markets.

Founded in 2008, Virtu Financial is based in New York City, and its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker VIRT.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Finance
Industry
Investment banks/Brokers
Website
virtu.com

Virtu Financial GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Virtu Financial’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 72.5, in the Buying zone, up 7.1 points over five sessions.

010072.5Buying

Up 7.1 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)33−1.4%−2.2%+0.9%+11.0%
Accumulation157+1.3%+4.4%+6.9%+10.6%
Neutral429+1.2%+1.7%+3.8%+10.6%
Distribution50−1.1%0.0%+2.4%+15.5%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average VIRT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the VIRT price, zone by zone.Track VIRT in Gekko

Is Virtu Financial stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Virtu Financial trades 16.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $62.51, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Virtu Financial shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$62.51

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

16.9% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open VIRT in Gekko

Virtu Financial insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Virtu Financial, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for VIRT in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every VIRT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VIRT in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in VIRT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for VIRT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VIRT in Gekko

Buybacks

Virtu Financial has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$55.79M
As a share of market cap
0.50%
Trailing four quarters
$142.8M

From company filings.

Virtu Financial earnings: next date and track record

Virtu Financial reports on Nov 4, 2026, before the open (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.5%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−4.3%Oct ’24+1.9%Jan ’25−0.1%Apr ’25+0.2%Jul ’25+0.1%Oct ’25+10.7%Jan ’26+1.5%Apr ’26+1.4%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Virtu Financial's Q2 2026 earnings call emphasized the company's pivot to growth over the last year, with investments in technology, talent, and capital expansion. Management highlighted increases in trading capital (now $3.4B, up from $2B a year ago after a $500M term loan), record trailing 12-month metrics (ANT per day $10.4M, adjusted EBITDA $1.7B, adjusted EPS $6.96), and robust quarterly results (ANT $11.6M per day, adjusted EBITDA $437M, 61% margin, adjusted EPS $1.82). The firm reiterated its strategy to continue hiring across engineering, quant, trading and to deploy capital opportunistically across markets (crypto, options, block ETFs, global equities, retail/proprietary). Management noted low attrition, sustained VES performance, and a disciplined approach to leverage (trailing debt/EBITDA ~1.5x) while maintaining a quarterly dividend of $0.24 per share. Q&A covered capital deployment, compensation ratios (guidance to low-to-mid 20s on a cash basis), hiring pace, business mix, and potential opportunities from regulated perpetual futures in the U.S. Management tone was confident and measured, emphasizing operational flexibility and readiness to trade new products as liquidity and market structure evolve.
Guidance
Cash compensation ratio guidance: low-to-mid 20s on a cash basis (management referenced ~23% YTD and said 25% near term may be expected). Quarterly dividend maintained at $0.24 per share. Capital accumulation strategy: continue building trading capital via free cash flow and opportunistic debt when attractive (recent $500M term loan); near-to-mid term leverage is expected to remain modest (trailing debt/EBITDA ~1.5x). No explicit revenue or EPS numeric guidance was provided for future quarters.
Risks flagged
Forward-looking statements subject to risks and uncertainties as noted in the company's filings. Operational results remain dependent on market conditions, volumes and volatility; mix- and instrument-dependent costs (e.g., brokerage and transaction costs) can fluctuate; leverage and capital deployment carry execution and market risk; talent acquisition and retention could impact growth plans. The company directed listeners to its 10-K and public filings for a fuller description of risk factors.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$1.44
est $1.55
−7.1%$717.9M
est $687.2M
+4.5%+1.4%
Apr 29, 2026$2.24
est $1.65
+35.8%$786.5M
est $613.1M
+28.3%+1.5%
Jan 29, 2026$1.85
est $1.28
+44.5%$613.4M
est $519.1M
+18.2%+10.7%
Oct 29, 2025$1.05
est $0.89
+17.8%$824.8M
est $434.2M
+90.0%+0.1%
Jul 30, 2025$1.53
est $1.36
+12.5%$999.6M
est $437.7M
+128.4%+0.2%
Apr 23, 2025$1.30
est $1.19
+9.2%$837.9M
est $401.2M
+108.8%−0.1%
Jan 29, 2025$1.14
est $0.89
+28.1%$834.3M
est $398.4M
+109.4%+1.9%
Oct 24, 2024$0.82
est $0.79
+3.8%$706.8M
est $379.2M
+86.4%−4.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Virtu Financial stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Virtu Financial is $66.71, +28.4% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$66.71consensus 12-month target, +28.4% from the last close
Low $57High $72
Buy2
Hold2
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 20Piper SandlerBuy, maintained$70+34.7%
Aug 5Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained$72+38.5%
Aug 4J.P. MorganHold, maintained$61+17.4%
Aug 3Goldman SachsHold, maintained$64+23.1%
Jul 28J.P. MorganHold, maintained$59+13.5%
+0.9%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+2.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Virtu Financial seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Virtu Financial averaged +2.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+5.3%2021+6.6%2022+5.9%2023+1.6%2024−5.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.0%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.8%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.5%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.5%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+6.6%5 of 5

For scale, VIRT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.5%.

Virtu Financial market cap and key statistics

Virtu Financial’s market cap is $11.06B, with a P/E ratio of 8.8 and revenue of $3.26B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$11.06B
P/E ratio
8.8
Forward P/E
8.4
EPS, TTM
$5.98
Gekko Fair Value
$62.51

Trading

Volume
1.19M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.03M
52-week high
$68.76
52-week low
$31.55
Shares outstanding
88.30M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.26B
Profit margin
16.9%
Return on equity
53.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−1.2%

Risk and income

Beta
0.62
Typical daily move
±3.6%
Typical 20-day move
±6.5%
Dividend yield
1.81%

Virtu Financial stock news this week

4 headlines about Virtu Financial from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Virtu Financial peers

Virtu Financial’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GSGoldman Sachs−1.6%Accumulation13.7% below
SCHWCharles Schwab−0.5%Buying13.9% below
IBKRInteractive Brokers−0.8%Accumulation10.2% below
HOODRobinhood Markets−1.3%Neutral1.5% above
BNYBank of New York Mellon−0.8%Accumulation8.6% below
CMECME−1.1%Accumulation4.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Virtu Financial stock FAQ

What is Virtu Financial’s market cap?

Virtu Financial’s market cap is $11.06B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $51.97, with 88.30M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 8.8.

What is the Virtu Financial stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Virtu Financial is $66.71, +28.4% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Virtu Financial stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Virtu Financial is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $51.97 is 16.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $62.51. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Virtu Financial report earnings next?

Virtu Financial is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, before the market opens (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.51 per share on revenue of $622.6M. Virtu Financial beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.5% on average across the report.

What is Virtu Financial’s 52-week high and low?

Virtu Financial’s 52-week high is $68.76 and its 52-week low is $31.55; it closed at $51.97 on Sep 28, 2026, +48.2% over the past year.

Is Virtu Financial stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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