NASDAQ: GLXY

Galaxy Digital (GLXY) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$23.21−1.03 (−4.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's moves for Galaxy Digital center on its treasury and stablecoin activity: the company added $100 million of Sky Protocol's sUSDS to its corporate treasury and approved it as eligible collateral for its institutional trading business, also purchasing SKY tokens in the process, making it one of the first public companies to hold sUSDS on its balance sheet. Separate reporting also noted a whale transferring 42,000 ETH, valued at approximately $112 million, to Galaxy Digital for a potential sale, while another piece pointed to a Price/Sales ratio of 0.1x as a valuation talking point.

Shares closed at $23.21, down 4.2% on the day, sitting between the 50-day average of $23.13 and the 200-day average of $24.97. The GekkoIndex reads 59.9, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Price sits 22.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $29.83. Over the past month the stock is down 8.2%, and over three months down 18.6%, though the six-month return remains positive at 28.9%.

Over the next 20 trading days, earnings are due on 20 October 2026, falling inside that window; the prior quarter showed a GAAP net loss of $0.09 per share against a $0.36 estimate, with an $11.7% reaction. In the last 90 days there were 2 insider purchases totaling $358,545, while the last 30 days saw 5 unusual options signals, with put premium of $6,696,504 against call premium of $868,378. Seasonality over 5 years shows a 22.6% average 20-day return from this point, with gains in 4 of those years.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Galaxy Digital price vs fair value

$29.83$23.21Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $23.21200-day averageGekko Fair Value $29.83

Galaxy Digital quick facts

Market cap
$7.70B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
125
EPS, TTM
−$0.43
Revenue, TTM
$58.37B
Profit margin
-0.4%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
3.68
Volume
3.83M avg 4.89M
1-year return
−27.7%
Typical daily move
±7.2%
Typical 20-day move
±16.4%
50-day average
$23.13
200-day average
$24.97
Next earnings
Oct 20
Shares outstanding
194.3M
52-week range
$16.43$45.92

Galaxy Digital swing-trade checklist

Galaxy Digital scores 2 supportive, 3 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive3 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $23.21 sits between the 50-day ($23.13) and 200-day ($24.97) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    59.9, Neutral

    Reading 59.9 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    22.2% below

    Price is 22.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneymixed

    Mixed

    Last 90 days: 2 open-market insider purchases. Last 30 days: 5 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 21 days

    Reports on Oct 20, 2026, 21 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +22.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +22.6% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Galaxy Digital stock chart and price history

Galaxy Digital closed at $23.21 on Sep 28, 2026, −27.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $16.43 to $45.92.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Galaxy Digital share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$25$30$35$40NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep23.21

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−8.2%
3 months
−18.6%
6 months
+28.9%
1 year
−27.7%
The full GLXY chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open GLXY in Gekko

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About Galaxy Digital

Galaxy Digital works across digital assets and data centre infrastructure, serving clients in North America and other international markets. It is perhaps best recognized for its trading and advisory services in the digital asset space, spanning over-the-counter spot and derivatives trading, lending, structured products, and mergers and acquisitions advisory, alongside equity and debt capital markets work.

The company runs through three segments. Digital Assets covers trading, lending, advisory, and blockchain-related technology such as staking, tokenization, and custodial services, while also managing investments tied to the digital asset ecosystem. Data Centers holds the Helios infrastructure assets. Treasury and Corporate oversees a mix of digital asset holdings, venture, private equity, and fund investments, runs bitcoin mining activity, and includes GalaxyOne, a retail platform built for individual investors accessing both traditional and digital markets.

Founded in 2018, Galaxy Digital is headquartered in New York, New York. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker GLXY.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Finance
Industry
Investment banks/Brokers
Website
galaxy.com

Galaxy Digital GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Galaxy Digital’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59.9, in the Neutral zone, up 5.8 points over five sessions.

010059.9Neutral

Up 5.8 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying10+5.4%+10.2%+5.6%+5.6%
Accumulation140+1.3%+3.6%+11.2%+18.3%
Neutral (current zone)161+0.4%+0.6%−1.0%−0.7%
Distribution26+0.3%−2.9%−6.7%−14.6%
Selling0Not available

Average GLXY share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GLXY price, zone by zone.Track GLXY in Gekko

Is Galaxy Digital stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Galaxy Digital trades 22.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $29.83, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Galaxy Digital shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$29.83

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

22.2% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GLXY in Gekko

Galaxy Digital insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 2 open-market purchases in Galaxy Digital worth $359K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$359Kin 2 open-market purchases

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Aug 14DEASON DOUGLAS R
Director
Purchase12,000$258K
Aug 10Steven John Bandrowczak
Director
Purchase5,100$100K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in GLXY were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for GLXY, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GLXY in Gekko

Buybacks

Galaxy Digital has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$10.86M
As a share of market cap
0.14%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

5signals, 11% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bearish flow on Sep 29, $1.98M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

3of the funds Gekko tracks hold GLXY.

0added2opened1trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Galaxy Digital earnings: next date and track record

Galaxy Digital reports on Oct 20, 2026 (21 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±12.4%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+24.2%Nov ’24−14.4%Mar ’25+12.7%May ’25−5.4%Aug ’25−5.8%Oct ’25−23.8%Feb ’26+1.5%Apr ’26−11.7%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Galaxy Digital reported Q2 2026 GAAP net loss of $85M ($0.09/share) with firm-wide adjusted EBITDA of -$77M, impacted by declining crypto prices. Combined operating businesses generated $86M adjusted gross profit. Helios Phase I data center came online with 133MW delivered to CoreWeave, generating cash flow. Galaxy completed a $3.5B high-yield financing and acquired 3 new data center sites, building a 5+ gigawatt development pipeline.
Guidance
Management expects Helios data center to meaningfully shift earnings profile going forward. Galaxy is positioned as one of the largest data center developers globally with 5+ GW pipeline. Digital assets business faces continued subdued trading but sees growing institutional infrastructure demand.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026−$0.09
est −$0.36
+75.0%$8.71B
est $8.85B
−1.6%−11.7%
Apr 28, 2026−$0.49
est −$0.44
−11.4%$10.21B
est $8.73B
+17.0%+1.5%
Feb 3, 2026−$1.08
est −$0.91
−18.6%$10.22B
est $12.01B
−14.8%−23.8%
Oct 21, 2025$1.12
est $0.38
+194.7%$29.22B
est $17.25B
+69.4%−5.8%
Aug 5, 2025$0.08
est −$0.06
+233.3%$9.06B
est $9.06B
0.0%−5.4%
May 13, 2025−$0.86
est −$0.75
−15.0%$12.86B
est $114.9M
+11,091.7%+12.7%
Mar 28, 2025$0.47
est $0.27
+75.7%$698.1M
est $202.7M
+244.5%−14.4%
Nov 7, 2024−$0.16
est −$0.05
−215.6%——+24.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Galaxy Digital stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Galaxy Digital is $40.62, +75.0% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$40.62consensus 12-month target, +75.0% from the last close
Low $26High $50
Buy8
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 9Morgan StanleyBuy, maintained$48+106.8%
Sep 8Goldman SachsHold, maintained$28+20.6%
Sep 4CitiHold, maintained$26+12.0%
Sep 3Morgan StanleyBuy, reiterated$48+106.8%
Aug 24BTIGBuy, maintained$45+93.9%
−1.0%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+22.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±7.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Galaxy Digital seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Galaxy Digital averaged +22.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+59.2%2021+17.8%2022+24.1%2023+5.0%2024+18.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+10.1%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+8.0%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+8.6%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+22.6%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+30.0%3 of 5

For scale, GLXY’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 16.4%.

Galaxy Digital market cap and key statistics

Galaxy Digital’s market cap is $7.70B and revenue of $58.37B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$7.70B
Forward P/E
125
EPS, TTM
−$0.43
Gekko Fair Value
$29.83

Trading

Volume
3.83M
Avg volume, 20 days
4.89M
52-week high
$45.92
52-week low
$16.43
Shares outstanding
194.3M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$58.37B
Profit margin
-0.4%
Return on equity
-10.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−92.7%

Risk and income

Beta
3.68
Typical daily move
±7.2%
Typical 20-day move
±16.4%

Galaxy Digital stock news this week

Coverage of Galaxy Digital this week reads positive: 8 positive, 5 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Galaxy Digital peers

Galaxy Digital’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GSGoldman Sachs−1.6%Accumulation13.7% below
SCHWCharles Schwab−0.5%Buying13.9% below
IBKRInteractive Brokers−0.8%Accumulation10.2% below
HOODRobinhood Markets−1.3%Neutral1.5% above
BNYBank of New York Mellon−0.8%Accumulation8.6% below
CMECME−1.1%Accumulation4.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Galaxy Digital stock FAQ

What is Galaxy Digital’s market cap?

Galaxy Digital’s market cap is $7.70B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $23.21, with 194.3M shares outstanding.

What is the Galaxy Digital stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Galaxy Digital is $40.62, +75.0% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Galaxy Digital stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Galaxy Digital is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $23.21 is 22.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $29.83. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Galaxy Digital report earnings next?

Galaxy Digital is expected to report on Oct 20, 2026 (21 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.03 per share on revenue of $8.76B. Galaxy Digital beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 12.4% on average across the report.

What is Galaxy Digital’s 52-week high and low?

Galaxy Digital’s 52-week high is $45.92 and its 52-week low is $16.43; it closed at $23.21 on Sep 28, 2026, −27.7% over the past year.

Is Galaxy Digital stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (fair value and seasonality), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and smart money) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Galaxy Digital?

Gekko flagged 5 unusual options signals in Galaxy Digital over the last 30 days, with $868K of flagged premium in calls and $6.70M in puts. The latest, bearish flow, was on Sep 29, 2026 with $1.98M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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