NASDAQ: BGC

BGC (BGC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$11.77−0.07 (−0.6%)

Gekko Brief

BGC closed at $11.77 on 28 September 2026, -0.6% on the day. The price sits above both the 50-day ($11.63) and 200-day ($10.54) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $8.27 to $12.89. The GekkoIndex reads 59.1, in the Neutral zone, up 12.4 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $13.17, so the price is 10.6% below it.

The next earnings report is due on 5 November 2026, 37 days away. Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 3 times, with an average move of 2.7% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +6.2% over the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

2 firms rate the stock: 2 buy, 0 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $15.50. A typical daily move is about 3.1%, and a typical 20-day move about 6%. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 items read supportive and 0 read as a headwind.

Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

BGC price vs fair value

$13.17$11.77Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $11.77200-day averageGekko Fair Value $13.17

BGC quick facts

Market cap
$5.58B
P/E ratio
30.4
Forward P/E
5.9
EPS, TTM
$0.40
Revenue, TTM
$3.16B
Profit margin
6.3%
Dividend yield
0.66%
Beta
0.96
Volume
2.57M avg 3.03M
1-year return
+22.7%
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±6%
50-day average
$11.63
200-day average
$10.54
Next earnings
Nov 5
Shares outstanding
366.0M
52-week range
$8.27$12.89

BGC swing-trade checklist

BGC scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $11.77 is above the 50-day ($11.63) and 200-day ($10.54) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    59.1, Neutral

    Reading 59.1 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    10.6% below

    Price is 10.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 37 days

    Next report Nov 5, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +6.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

BGC stock chart and price history

BGC closed at $11.77 on Sep 28, 2026, +22.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $8.27 to $12.89.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
BGC share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$9$10$11NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep11.77

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−2.7%
3 months
+12.6%
6 months
+25.2%
1 year
+22.7%
The full BGC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BGC in Gekko

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About BGC

BGC brings together buyers and sellers across a wide range of financial products, working as a broker for fixed-income instruments such as government and corporate bonds, along with related interest rate and credit derivatives. It also handles trading in equities, energy commodities, shipping, insurance products, and various futures and options. The firm is known for combining traditional brokerage work with technology built to support trading, clearing, and post-trade activities.

Beyond matching trades, BGC offers execution, connectivity, clearing, trade compression, market data, and back-office support. It builds electronic and hybrid brokerage systems along with other financial technology tools, giving clients choices between voice-assisted, hybrid, or fully electronic trading, whether over-the-counter or on exchanges. Its customers are mainly institutional, including banks, broker-dealers, investment banks, trading firms, hedge funds, other investment companies, government bodies, and large corporations.

BGC was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker BGC.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Finance
Industry
Investment banks/Brokers
Website
bgcg.com

BGC GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

BGC’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59.1, in the Neutral zone, up 12.4 points over five sessions.

010059.1Neutral

Up 12.4 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying11+7.2%+11.7%+13.1%+12.0%
Accumulation194+1.7%+3.1%+4.4%+4.2%
Neutral (current zone)411+0.1%+0.5%+1.4%+4.1%
Distribution52−2.1%−4.6%−5.7%+0.4%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average BGC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BGC price, zone by zone.Track BGC in Gekko

Is BGC stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

BGC trades 10.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $13.17, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what BGC shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$13.17

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

10.6% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BGC in Gekko

BGC insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BGC, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BGC in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every BGC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BGC in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in BGC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for BGC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BGC in Gekko

Buybacks

BGC has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$112.4M
As a share of market cap
2.02%
Trailing four quarters
$247.9M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds BGC.

1added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

BGC earnings: next date and track record

BGC reports on Nov 5, 2026 (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.7%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−2.8%Apr ’24−0.9%Jul ’24+3.9%Oct ’24+1.4%Feb ’25−2.7%May ’25−2.5%Jul ’25+1.4%Nov ’25+5.7%Feb ’26

Last earnings call, Feb 12, 2026 AI summary

What they said
BGC delivered record Q4 2025 revenues of $756.4M (+32.2% YoY) and full-year revenues approaching $3B (+30%). Growth was driven by the OTC acquisition and double-digit organic growth across all asset classes. ECS revenues surged 92% to $257.5M; Rates grew 16.4%; Equities rose 29%. FMX UST captured 40% market share, with SOFR Futures ADV up 82% QoQ. Adjusted EPS reached $1.18, up 71% since 2022.
Guidance
BGC guided Q1 2026 revenue growth of ~34% at the midpoint. A $25M annualized cost savings program phase one is set to realize in 2026, with further savings targeted. Management noted record volumes and market share gains continuing into early 2026.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Feb 12, 2026$0.31
est $0.29
+6.9%$756.4M
est $750.9M
+0.7%+5.7%
Nov 6, 2025$0.29
est $0.28
+3.6%$722.8M
est $746.9M
−3.2%+1.4%
Jul 31, 2025$0.23
est $0.31
−25.8%$784.0M
est $736.9M
+6.4%−2.5%
May 7, 2025$0.29
est $0.29
0.0%$652.6M
est $652.8M
0.0%−2.7%
Feb 14, 2025$0.25
est $0.25
0.0%$560.0M
est $646.0M
−13.3%+1.4%
Oct 31, 2024$0.26
est $0.23
+13.0%$561.1M
est $543.0M
+3.3%+3.9%
Jul 30, 2024$0.23
est $0.23
0.0%$533.6M
est $545.0M
−2.1%−0.9%
Apr 30, 2024$0.25
est $0.25
0.0%$568.9M
est $585.0M
−2.8%−2.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

BGC stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for BGC is $15.50, +31.7% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$15.50consensus 12-month target, +31.7% from the last close
Buy2
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Jul 15Piper SandlerBuy, maintained$16+35.9%
Jul 10Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained——
+1.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+6.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

BGC seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, BGC averaged +6.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+4.0%2021+21.7%2022+9.3%2023+2.0%2024−2.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+5.5%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+4.7%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.2%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+6.2%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+11.4%3 of 5

For scale, BGC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6%.

BGC market cap and key statistics

BGC’s market cap is $5.58B, with a P/E ratio of 30.4 and revenue of $3.16B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$5.58B
P/E ratio
30.4
Forward P/E
5.9
EPS, TTM
$0.40
Gekko Fair Value
$13.17

Trading

Volume
2.57M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.03M
52-week high
$12.89
52-week low
$8.27
Shares outstanding
366.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.16B
Profit margin
6.3%
Return on equity
15.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+27.7%

Risk and income

Beta
0.96
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±6%
Dividend yield
0.66%

BGC peers

BGC’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GSGoldman Sachs−1.6%Accumulation13.7% below
SCHWCharles Schwab−0.5%Buying13.9% below
IBKRInteractive Brokers−0.8%Accumulation10.2% below
HOODRobinhood Markets−1.3%Neutral1.5% above
BNYBank of New York Mellon−0.8%Accumulation8.6% below
CMECME−1.1%Accumulation4.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

BGC stock FAQ

What is BGC’s market cap?

BGC’s market cap is $5.58B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $11.77, with 366.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 30.4.

What is the BGC stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for BGC is $15.50, +31.7% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is BGC stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate BGC is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $11.77 is 10.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $13.17. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does BGC report earnings next?

BGC is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026 (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.33 per share on revenue of $821.9M. BGC beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.7% on average across the report.

What is BGC’s 52-week high and low?

BGC’s 52-week high is $12.89 and its 52-week low is $8.27; it closed at $11.77 on Sep 28, 2026, +22.7% over the past year.

Is BGC stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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