Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for ICE in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every ICE insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ICE in Gekko
NYSE: ICE
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$155.47+2.17 (+1.4%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryIntercontinental Exchange closed at $155.47, up 1.4%, with the price sitting between its 50-day average of $152.58 and its 200-day average of $155.29. The GekkoIndex reads 61.8, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, and the price stands 6.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $166.46.
This week's coverage centers on ICE's interest-rate sensitivity through its fixed-income and mortgage-technology platforms, with analysts citing mid-to-high teens percentage upside potential. Operating metrics for August showed record activity, with average daily volume up 14% and open interest rising 19% across energy, interest rates and equity options. The company also declared a $0.52 quarterly dividend, paid 30 September 2026, continuing a payment record dating to 2013 with a 12.80% annual growth rate over the past decade. Separately, ICE participated as a returning investor in a funding round for TZERO Group, and market chatter points to a potentially large Arabica coffee delivery into ICE-certified warehouses. Shares also saw a one-day decline of 1.46% to $154.10 amid a broader market pullback.
Over the next 20 trading days, attention turns to the next earnings report on 29 October 2026, 39 days out and beyond a typical holding window. Smart-money activity shows one Congressional buy and no sales in the last 90 days, alongside one billionaire holder. Seasonality is a headwind, with the next 20 trading days averaging -0.8% over 5 years, higher in 2 of those years. Consensus among 11 analysts stands at 10 buy, 1 hold, with a consensus target of $187.29.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $155.47200-day averageGekko Fair Value $166.46
Key stats
- Market cap
- $87.28B
- P/E ratio
- 21.7
- Forward P/E
- 17.8
- EPS, TTM
- $7.05
- Revenue, TTM
- $10.56B
- Profit margin
- 38.3%
- Dividend yield
- 1.30%
- Beta
- 0.93
- Volume
- 4.19M avg 3.05M
- 1-year return
- −9.7%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.5%
- 50-day average
- $152.58
- 200-day average
- $155.29
- Next earnings
- Oct 29 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 561.4M
Intercontinental Exchange swing-trade checklist
Intercontinental Exchange scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $155.47 sits between the 50-day ($152.58) and 200-day ($155.29) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
61.8, Accumulation
Reading 61.8 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
6.6% below
Price is 6.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 39 days
Next report Oct 29, 2026, 39 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−0.8% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.8% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Intercontinental Exchange stock chart and price history
Intercontinental Exchange closed at $155.47 on Sep 18, 2026, −9.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $121.79 to $176.05.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −1.1%
- 3 months
- +16.1%
- 6 months
- −1.9%
- 1 year
- −9.7%
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About Intercontinental Exchange
Intercontinental Exchange operates a collection of regulated exchanges, clearing houses and listing venues used across commodities, fixed income, equities and other financial instruments. It is widely associated with running large-scale marketplaces where derivatives, futures and options tied to sectors like energy, agriculture, metals and financials are listed, traded and cleared, alongside market data and connectivity services tied to these venues.
The company organizes its work into three areas. Its exchanges and clearing operations, which include thirteen regulated exchanges and six clearing houses, handle trading and clearing across multiple asset classes. A separate arm focuses on fixed income analytics, execution and credit default swap clearing, plus data and network services spanning several asset types. A third division builds mortgage technology, offering a platform for residential mortgage origination, closing tools that connect participants across the mortgage process, and data services that give lenders insight into origination activity. Its markets and services touch financial centers in the United States, United Kingdom, European Union, Singapore, Israel and Canada.
Intercontinental Exchange was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker ICE.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Finance
- Industry
- Investment banks/Brokers
- Website
- ice.com
Intercontinental Exchange GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Intercontinental Exchange’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.8, in the Accumulation zone, up 2.8 points over five sessions.
61.8Accumulation
Up 2.8 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 52 | +1.0% | +2.1% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 176 | −0.3% | −0.3% | ||
| Neutral | 362 | +0.2% | +1.0% | ||
| Distribution | 69 | +0.9% | +2.1% | ||
| Selling | 3 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average ICE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ICE price, zone by zone.Track ICE in Gekko
Is Intercontinental Exchange stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Intercontinental Exchange trades 6.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $166.46, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Intercontinental Exchange shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$166.46
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
6.6% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ICE in Gekko
Intercontinental Exchange insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Intercontinental Exchange, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.
| Member | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna House, CA, purchase | $15,001 - $50,000 | Aug 12 traded Jul 7 |
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Buybacks
Intercontinental Exchange has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $651.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.75%
- Trailing four quarters
- $2.10B
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds ICE.
0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Intercontinental Exchange earnings: next date and track record
Intercontinental Exchange reports on Oct 29, 2026, before the open (39 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 29, 2026
Expected before the open, 39 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.90
- Revenue estimate
- $2.69B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.8%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- ICE reported its best second quarter in company history, driven by strong market activity (notably European and U.K. rates) and growth in futures/options open interest and market data users. Management announced a definitive agreement to acquire MarketAxess for $167/share (enterprise value ~$5.7B) expected to be immediately accretive to adjusted EPS in year one and to deliver ~$100M of annualized expense synergies (1/3 in year 1, 2/3 in year 2, full run-rate by year 3). Management emphasized ICE's strategy of expanding its fixed income franchise via data, network, clearing, and distribution, and outlined opportunities in private credit, AI-driven product enhancements (ICE Aurora/Encompass/MSP), tokenization and on-chain collateral movement. The quarter saw record open interest in rates contracts and continued growth in data users. Management highlighted capex investments in GPUs to support AI, plans to finance the MarketAxess deal with cash (new bonds, term loan, commercial paper), and a focus on integration to capture revenue synergies over time. Q&A covered rationale for the acquisition, potential to accelerate MarketAxess growth, AI monetization, perpetual futures, and tokenization, with management generally confident but measured about regulatory and integration risks.
- Guidance
- Transaction guidance: MarketAxess acquisition expected to be immediately accretive to ICE adjusted EPS in the first year post-close. ICE expects ~ $100 million of annualized expense synergies (1/3 realized in year 1, 2/3 by year 2, full run-rate by year 3). Management underwrote MarketAxess valuation assuming mid-single-digit revenue growth; accretion calculations used consensus EPS as the base. No formal GAAP revenue/earnings guidance for the upcoming quarter was issued on the call.
- Risks flagged
- Risks mentioned or implied: MarketAxess has faced declining market share and fee-per-million trends; integrating MarketAxess entails execution and realization risk for revenue synergies; deal financed with debt (bond issuance, term loan, commercial paper) creating leverage/financing risk; regulatory uncertainty around perpetual futures and tokenization/on-chain securities and collateral; AI use is subject to evolving GSE/regulatory guidance (audit and governance required); competition and pricing pressure in fixed income execution; macro/regime shifts that could affect trading volumes.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | $1.90 est $1.84 | $2.67B est $2.63B | −1.2% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $2.35 est $2.26 | $2.98B est $2.88B | −0.9% |
| Feb 5, 2026 | $1.71 est $1.68 | $2.50B est $2.47B | +2.5% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $1.71 est $1.60 | $3.01B est $2.41B | −2.9% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $1.81 est $1.77 | $3.26B est $2.54B | −0.6% |
| May 1, 2025 | $1.72 est $1.70 | $3.23B est $2.46B | +3.3% |
| Feb 6, 2025 | $1.52 est $1.53 | $3.03B est $2.33B | +3.8% |
| Oct 31, 2024 | $1.55 est $1.55 | $3.03B est $2.35B | −7.1% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Intercontinental Exchange stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Intercontinental Exchange is $187.29, +20.5% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$187.29consensus 12-month target, +20.5% from the last close
Now $155.47Avg $187.29
Low $163High $195
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | UBS | $195 | +25.4% |
| Aug 31 | Jefferies | $189 | +21.6% |
| Aug 14 | Barclays | $182 | +17.1% |
| Jul 31 | Deutsche Bank | $178 | +14.5% |
| Jul 31 | Deutsche Bank | $178 | +14.5% |
−0.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−0.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Intercontinental Exchange seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Intercontinental Exchange averaged −0.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −2.7% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −3.5% | 0 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −1.6% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −0.8% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −0.3% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, ICE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.5%.
Intercontinental Exchange market cap and key statistics
Intercontinental Exchange’s market cap is $87.28B, with a P/E ratio of 21.7 and revenue of $10.56B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $87.28B
- P/E ratio
- 21.7
- Forward P/E
- 17.8
- EPS, TTM
- $7.05
- Gekko Fair Value
- $166.46
Trading
- Volume
- 4.19M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 3.05M
- 52-week high
- $176.05
- 52-week low
- $121.79
- Shares outstanding
- 561.4M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $10.56B
- Profit margin
- 38.3%
- Return on equity
- 14.1%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +14.2%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.93
- Typical daily move
- ±2.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.5%
- Dividend yield
- 1.30%
Intercontinental Exchange stock news this week
Coverage of Intercontinental Exchange this week reads positive: 5 positive, 2 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Intercontinental Exchange stock edges higher as interest-rate leverage draws analyst focusAD HOC NEWS, Sep 19
- Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (IC2) Q4 2024 Earnings Report - Results, Call & SlidesTipRanks, Sep 18
- Intercontinental Exchange Inc. stock underperforms Wednesday when compared to competitorsMarketWatch, Sep 17
- Intercontinental Exchange Inc's Dividend AnalysisYahoo! Finance Canada, Sep 16
- Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) Reports Record August Trading Activity With ADV Up 14%Yahoo Finance, Sep 15
- TZERO Group, Inc. announced that it has received funding from Intercontinental Exchange, Inc., Dinari, Inc. and other investorswww.marketscreener.com, Sep 14
Intercontinental Exchange peers
Intercontinental Exchange’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| GSGoldman Sachs | Buying | 12.7% below |
| SCHWCharles Schwab | Accumulation | 7.7% below |
| IBKRInteractive Brokers | Accumulation | 6.7% below |
| HOODRobinhood Markets | Neutral | 5.4% above |
| BNYBank of New York Mellon | Accumulation | 6.5% below |
| CMECME | Neutral | 1.0% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Intercontinental Exchange stock FAQ
What is Intercontinental Exchange’s market cap?
Intercontinental Exchange’s market cap is $87.28B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $155.47, with 561.4M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 21.7.
What is the Intercontinental Exchange stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Intercontinental Exchange is $187.29, +20.5% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Intercontinental Exchange stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Intercontinental Exchange is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $155.47 is 6.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $166.46. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Intercontinental Exchange report earnings next?
Intercontinental Exchange is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, before the market opens (39 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.90 per share on revenue of $2.69B. Intercontinental Exchange beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.8% on average across the report.
What is Intercontinental Exchange’s 52-week high and low?
Intercontinental Exchange’s 52-week high is $176.05 and its 52-week low is $121.79; it closed at $155.47 on Sep 18, 2026, −9.7% over the past year.
Is Intercontinental Exchange stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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