NYSE: ICE

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$174.92+3.99 (+2.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Intercontinental Exchange moves higher this week on the back of its Q3 2026 results, reported 29 October, which showed adjusted EPS of $2.02 versus a $1.97 estimate, up 18% year over year, with net revenues of $2.8 billion, up 15%, and record adjusted free cash flow of $3.7 billion. The company also reported October 2026 trading statistics showing average daily volume up 14% year over year and open interest up 10%. Separately, CFO Warren Gardiner is scheduled to present at the J.P. Morgan Ultimate Services Investor Conference on 17 November, and a Form 144 filing tied to a proposed sale of restricted securities was also noted.

ICE closes at $174.92, up 2.3%, sitting above both its 50-day ($158.21) and 200-day ($154.48) moving averages, with the 50-day above the 200-day, and trading near its 52-week high of $176.05. The GekkoIndex reads 45.9, placing it in the Neutral zone, down from a higher level five days prior. The stock sits 1.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $171.65.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings date falls outside this window, set for 4 February 2027. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows, and one billionaire holder is recorded. Seasonality for this calendar stretch has averaged a 4.1% return over 5 years, with gains in 4 of those years. Analyst consensus among 11 firms stands at 8 buy, 2 hold, and 1 sell, with a consensus target of $192.20.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Intercontinental Exchange price vs fair value

$174.92$171.65Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $174.92200-day averageGekko Fair Value $171.65

Intercontinental Exchange quick facts

Market cap
$97.76B
P/E ratio
23.5
Forward P/E
19.2
EPS, TTM
$7.34
Revenue, TTM
$10.91B
Profit margin
38.1%
Dividend yield
1.21%
Beta
0.84
Volume
2.66M avg 3.34M
1-year return
+20.1%
Typical daily move
±2.6%
Typical 20-day move
±4.5%
50-day average
$158.21
200-day average
$154.48
Next earnings
Feb 4 before open
Shares outstanding
558.9M
52-week range
$121.79$176.05

Intercontinental Exchange swing-trade checklist

Intercontinental Exchange scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $174.92 is above the 50-day ($158.21) and 200-day ($154.48) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    45.9, Neutral

    Reading 45.9 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    1.9% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (1.9% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 91 days

    Next report Feb 4, 2027, 91 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.1% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Intercontinental Exchange stock chart and price history

Intercontinental Exchange closed at $174.92 on Nov 4, 2026, +20.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $121.79 to $176.05.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Intercontinental Exchange share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$120$130$140$150$160$170DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct174.92

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+14.0%
3 months
+16.8%
6 months
+14.0%
1 year
+20.1%
The full ICE chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ICE in Gekko

Follow Intercontinental Exchange through every session

Put ICE on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track ICE in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Intercontinental Exchange

Intercontinental Exchange operates a collection of regulated exchanges, clearing houses and listing venues used across commodities, fixed income, equities and other financial instruments. It is widely associated with running large-scale marketplaces where derivatives, futures and options tied to sectors like energy, agriculture, metals and financials are listed, traded and cleared, alongside market data and connectivity services tied to these venues.

The company organizes its work into three areas. Its exchanges and clearing operations, which include thirteen regulated exchanges and six clearing houses, handle trading and clearing across multiple asset classes. A separate arm focuses on fixed income analytics, execution and credit default swap clearing, plus data and network services spanning several asset types. A third division builds mortgage technology, offering a platform for residential mortgage origination, closing tools that connect participants across the mortgage process, and data services that give lenders insight into origination activity. Its markets and services touch financial centers in the United States, United Kingdom, European Union, Singapore, Israel and Canada.

Intercontinental Exchange was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker ICE.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Finance
Industry
Investment banks/Brokers
Website
ice.com

Intercontinental Exchange GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Intercontinental Exchange’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 45.9, in the Neutral zone, down 12.4 points over five sessions.

010045.9Neutral

Down 12.4 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying52+1.0%+0.9%+2.1%+8.2%
Accumulation187−0.2%−0.1%0.0%+2.4%
Neutral (current zone)386+0.2%+0.4%+0.8%+0.4%
Distribution69+0.9%+1.5%+2.1%+1.6%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average ICE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ICE price, zone by zone.Track ICE in Gekko

Is Intercontinental Exchange stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Intercontinental Exchange trades 1.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $171.65, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Intercontinental Exchange shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$171.65

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

1.9% above fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 6.2% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$172$171Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ICE in Gekko

Intercontinental Exchange insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Intercontinental Exchange, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ICE in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ICE insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ICE in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ICE were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ICE, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ICE in Gekko

Buybacks

Intercontinental Exchange has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
$400.0M
As a share of market cap
0.41%
Trailing four quarters
$2.10B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds ICE.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Intercontinental Exchange earnings: next date and track record

Intercontinental Exchange reports on Feb 4, 2027, before the open (91 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.9%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+3.8%Feb ’25+3.3%May ’25−0.6%Jul ’25−2.9%Oct ’25+2.5%Feb ’26−0.9%Apr ’26−1.2%Jul ’26+8.3%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
ICE reported Q3 2026 adjusted EPS of $2.02, up 18% YoY, the best Q3 in company history. Net revenues of $2.8B grew 15% YoY, with adjusted operating income up 19% to $1.7B. Recurring revenues hit a record $1.4B (+7%) while transaction revenues surged 23%. Year-to-date adjusted EPS of $6.27 is up 20%, and adjusted free cash flow reached a record $3.7B. ICE received DOJ approval for the MarketAxess acquisition.
Guidance
Q4 adjusted operating expenses expected at $1.082B-$1.092B, placing full-year at top of prior range. Full-year CapEx guided to ~$1.05B. MarketAxess acquisition now expected to close Q1 2027, ahead of prior first-half 2027 timeline.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 29, 2026$2.02
est $1.97
+2.5%$3.63B
est $2.74B
+32.3%+8.3%
Jul 30, 2026$1.90
est $1.84
+3.3%$2.67B
est $2.63B
+1.3%−1.2%
Apr 30, 2026$2.35
est $2.26
+4.0%$2.98B
est $2.88B
+3.4%−0.9%
Feb 5, 2026$1.71
est $1.68
+1.8%$2.50B
est $2.47B
+1.3%+2.5%
Oct 30, 2025$1.71
est $1.60
+6.9%$3.01B
est $2.41B
+24.6%−2.9%
Jul 31, 2025$1.81
est $1.77
+2.3%$3.26B
est $2.54B
+28.6%−0.6%
May 1, 2025$1.72
est $1.70
+1.2%$3.23B
est $2.46B
+31.3%+3.3%
Feb 6, 2025$1.52
est $1.53
−0.7%$3.03B
est $2.33B
+30.2%+3.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Intercontinental Exchange stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Intercontinental Exchange is $192.20, +9.9% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$192.20consensus 12-month target, +9.9% from the last close
Low $167High $245
Buy8
Hold2
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 2Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$245+40.1%
Oct 30TD CowenHold, maintained$182+4.0%
Oct 30Wells FargoSell, reiterated$167−4.5%
Oct 30Piper SandlerBuy, reiterated$195+11.5%
Oct 30KBWBuy, maintained$190+8.6%
+0.8%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+4.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Intercontinental Exchange seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Intercontinental Exchange averaged +4.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−4.6%2021+10.8%2022+5.8%2023+1.1%2024+6.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.6%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.3%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.6%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.1%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+4.9%3 of 5

For scale, ICE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.5%.

Intercontinental Exchange market cap and key statistics

Intercontinental Exchange’s market cap is $97.76B, with a P/E ratio of 23.5 and revenue of $10.91B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$97.76B
P/E ratio
23.5
Forward P/E
19.2
EPS, TTM
$7.34
Gekko Fair Value
$171.65

Trading

Volume
2.66M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.34M
52-week high
$176.05
52-week low
$121.79
Shares outstanding
558.9M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$10.91B
Profit margin
38.1%
Return on equity
14.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+17.6%

Risk and income

Beta
0.84
Typical daily move
±2.6%
Typical 20-day move
±4.5%
Dividend yield
1.21%

Intercontinental Exchange stock news this week

Coverage of Intercontinental Exchange this week reads positive: 10 positive, 5 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Intercontinental Exchange peers

Intercontinental Exchange’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GSGoldman Sachs+0.8%Neutral5.1% below
SCHWCharles Schwab+2.6%Accumulation12.3% below
IBKRInteractive Brokers+0.2%Accumulation17.4% below
CMECME+1.4%Neutral4.3% above
BNYBank of New York Mellon+0.4%Neutral2.2% below
HOODRobinhood Markets+4.1%Accumulation25.2% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Investment banks/Brokers

Intercontinental Exchange stock FAQ

What is Intercontinental Exchange’s market cap?

Intercontinental Exchange’s market cap is $97.76B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $174.92, with 558.9M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 23.5.

What is the Intercontinental Exchange stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Intercontinental Exchange is $192.20, +9.9% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Intercontinental Exchange stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Intercontinental Exchange is about fair value: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $174.92 is 1.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $171.65. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Intercontinental Exchange report earnings next?

Intercontinental Exchange is expected to report on Feb 4, 2027, before the market opens (91 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.94 per share on revenue of $2.73B. Intercontinental Exchange beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.9% on average across the report.

What is Intercontinental Exchange’s 52-week high and low?

Intercontinental Exchange’s 52-week high is $176.05 and its 52-week low is $121.79; it closed at $174.92 on Nov 4, 2026, +20.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $189.35 on Aug 8, 2025.

Is Intercontinental Exchange stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Intercontinental Exchange the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,461 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.