NASDAQ: NDAQ

Nasdaq (NDAQ) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$109.70+2.73 (+2.6%)

Gekko Brief

Nov 4 close

Nasdaq closed at $109.70 on 4 November 2026, +2.6% on the day. The price sits above both the 50-day ($96.30) and 200-day ($90.74) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $76.55 to $110.23. The GekkoIndex reads 41.3, in the Distribution zone, down 0.6 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $103.80, so the price is 5.7% above it.

The next earnings report is due on 4 February 2027, 91 days away (before open). Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 8 times, with an average move of 3.3% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +5.4% over the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

17 firms rate the stock: 15 buy, 2 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $115.38. A typical daily move is about 2.3%, and a typical 20-day move about 4.7%. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 items read supportive and 2 read as a headwind (gekkoindex, fair value).

A plain summary of the figures as of the Nov 4, 2026 close.

Nasdaq price vs fair value

$109.70$103.80Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $109.70200-day averageGekko Fair Value $103.80

Nasdaq quick facts

Market cap
$61.32B
P/E ratio
29.7
Forward P/E
22.7
EPS, TTM
$3.66
Revenue, TTM
$5.78B
Profit margin
36.1%
Dividend yield
1.09%
Beta
0.96
Volume
4.60M avg 3.39M
1-year return
+27.0%
Typical daily move
±2.3%
Typical 20-day move
±4.7%
50-day average
$96.30
200-day average
$90.74
Next earnings
Feb 4 before open
Shares outstanding
559.0M
52-week range
$76.55$110.23

Nasdaq swing-trade checklist

Nasdaq scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $109.70 is above the 50-day ($96.30) and 200-day ($90.74) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexheadwind

    41.3, Distribution

    Reading 41.3 is in the Distribution zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    5.7% above

    Price is 5.7% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 91 days

    Next report Feb 4, 2027, 91 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.4% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Nasdaq stock chart and price history

Nasdaq closed at $109.70 on Nov 4, 2026, +27.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $76.55 to $110.23.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Nasdaq share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$80$90$100DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct109.70

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+18.9%
3 months
+15.8%
6 months
+23.0%
1 year
+27.0%
The full NDAQ chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NDAQ in Gekko

Follow Nasdaq through every session

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About Nasdaq

Nasdaq provides technology and services that support financial markets and related industries around the world. It is widely recognized for operating The Nasdaq Stock Market, where thousands of companies have their shares listed, alongside tools that help detect and prevent financial crime, such as trade surveillance and anti-money laundering software used by brokers and other market participants.

The company works through several divisions. One focuses on monitoring and compliance products, covering assets from equities to digital currencies. Another gathers and licenses market data, builds financial indexes, and offers investment research and workflow tools. A corporate platforms unit supports listed companies with investor relations and governance services, while a market services division handles trading, clearing, and settlement across equities, derivatives, fixed income, and commodities through its various exchanges.

The company took its present name, Nasdaq, Inc., in September 2015, after previously operating as The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc. Shares of Nasdaq are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker NDAQ.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Finance
Industry
Investment banks/Brokers
Website
nasdaq.com

Nasdaq GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Nasdaq’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 41.3, in the Distribution zone, down 0.6 points over five sessions.

010041.3Distribution

Down 0.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying36+1.3%+3.5%+4.7%+10.4%
Accumulation158+0.5%+1.0%+3.4%+8.8%
Neutral426+0.6%+0.7%+1.0%+2.4%
Distribution (current zone)66+0.1%+1.3%+1.8%+3.0%
Selling11−1.4%−1.2%−1.5%+6.6%

Average NDAQ share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NDAQ price, zone by zone.Track NDAQ in Gekko

Is Nasdaq stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Nasdaq trades 5.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $103.80, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Nasdaq shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$103.80

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

5.7% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 4.6% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$104$107Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NDAQ in Gekko

Nasdaq insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Nasdaq, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NDAQ in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every NDAQ insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NDAQ in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in NDAQ were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for NDAQ, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NDAQ in Gekko

Buybacks

Nasdaq has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
$323.0M
As a share of market cap
0.53%
Trailing four quarters
$1.51B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold NDAQ.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Nasdaq earnings: next date and track record

Nasdaq reports on Feb 4, 2027, before the open (91 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.3%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+1.3%Jan ’25+2.5%Apr ’25+7.4%Jul ’25−1.6%Oct ’25−1.8%Jan ’26+4.1%Apr ’26+1.3%Jul ’26+6.7%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 22, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Nasdaq delivered Q3 2026 net revenue of $1.5 billion, up 14% YoY, with solutions revenue of $1.2 billion, up 18%. ARR grew 14% to $3.4 billion. Diluted EPS grew 19%, driven by 16% operating income growth and share buybacks. Capital Access Platforms grew 20%, Financial Technology 16%, and Market Services 2%. Listings achieved a 74% YTD win rate with $144 billion in proceeds raised.
Guidance
Management noted a modest softening in the IPO environment with some companies reevaluating timing, but described the listings pipeline as robust. The economic environment is characterized as constructive, supported by strong corporate earnings and AI investment.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 22, 2026$1.04
est $1.02
+2.0%$1.48B
est $1.47B
+1.0%+6.7%
Jul 23, 2026$1.07
est $0.98
+9.2%$1.50B
est $1.46B
+3.1%+1.3%
Apr 23, 2026$0.96
est $0.93
+3.2%$1.41B
est $1.37B
+2.6%+4.1%
Jan 29, 2026$0.96
est $0.92
+4.1%$1.39B
est $1.37B
+1.9%−1.8%
Oct 21, 2025$0.88
est $0.85
+3.3%$1.96B
est $1.30B
+50.2%−1.6%
Jul 24, 2025$0.85
est $0.81
+4.4%$2.09B
est $1.28B
+63.6%+7.4%
Apr 24, 2025$0.79
est $0.77
+2.5%$2.09B
est $1.23B
+69.8%+2.5%
Jan 29, 2025$0.76
est $0.74
+2.7%$2.03B
est $1.23B
+65.5%+1.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Nasdaq stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Nasdaq is $115.38, +5.2% from the last close, from 17 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$115.38consensus 12-month target, +5.2% from the last close
Low $106.97High $135
Buy15
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 17 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 2Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$135+23.1%
Oct 30Erste GroupBuy, initiated——
Oct 23BarclaysBuy, maintained$121+10.3%
Oct 23UBSBuy, reiterated$120+9.4%
Oct 23Clear StreetBuy, maintained$118+7.6%
+1.8%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
+5.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Nasdaq seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Nasdaq averaged +5.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−5.7%2021+9.6%2022+9.8%2023+8.3%2024+2.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.4%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.4%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+5.1%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.4%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.6%3 of 5

For scale, NDAQ’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.7%.

Nasdaq market cap and key statistics

Nasdaq’s market cap is $61.32B, with a P/E ratio of 29.7 and revenue of $5.78B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$61.32B
P/E ratio
29.7
Forward P/E
22.7
EPS, TTM
$3.66
Gekko Fair Value
$103.80

Trading

Volume
4.60M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.39M
52-week high
$110.23
52-week low
$76.55
Shares outstanding
559.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$5.78B
Profit margin
36.1%
Return on equity
17.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+31.5%

Risk and income

Beta
0.96
Typical daily move
±2.3%
Typical 20-day move
±4.7%
Dividend yield
1.09%

Nasdaq peers

Nasdaq’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GSGoldman Sachs+0.8%Neutral5.1% below
SCHWCharles Schwab+2.6%Accumulation12.3% below
IBKRInteractive Brokers+0.2%Accumulation17.4% below
CMECME+1.4%Neutral4.3% above
BNYBank of New York Mellon+0.4%Neutral2.2% below
ICEIntercontinental Exchange+0.8%Neutral1.9% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

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Nasdaq stock FAQ

What is Nasdaq’s market cap?

Nasdaq’s market cap is $61.32B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $109.70, with 559.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 29.7.

What is the Nasdaq stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Nasdaq is $115.38, +5.2% from the last close. Of the 17 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 15 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Nasdaq stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Nasdaq is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $109.70 is 5.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $103.80. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Nasdaq report earnings next?

Nasdaq is expected to report on Feb 4, 2027, before the market opens (91 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.08 per share on revenue of $1.54B. Nasdaq beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.3% on average across the report.

What is Nasdaq’s 52-week high and low?

Nasdaq’s 52-week high is $110.23 and its 52-week low is $76.55; it closed at $109.70 on Nov 4, 2026, +27.0% over the past year.

Is Nasdaq stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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