NYSE: STT

State Street (STT) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$173.41+3.70 (+2.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

This week's news around State Street centers on its asset-management and servicing operations rather than core earnings. Its Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF added to positions including Apple, Nvidia and Microsoft, part of a broader $479.0 million net inflow across its holdings. On the leadership side, Barb Morgan, formerly of Temenos, was named chief technology officer of State Street's Alpha platform. Separate filings show the company ceasing to be a substantial holder in Kingsgate Consolidated while becoming a substantial holder in Core Lithium with 5.31% voting power, and State Street also commented publicly on growing AI adoption in finance.

State Street shares closed at $173.41, up 2.2% on the day, sitting below the 50-day average of $179.01 but above the 200-day average of $159.53. The GekkoIndex reads 59.2, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Price stands 6.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $184.69.

The next earnings date falls on 15 January 2027, 71 days out, beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has historically averaged a 2.7% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Analyst coverage from 13 firms currently shows 8 buy and 5 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $192.63.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

State Street price vs fair value

$184.69$173.41Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $173.41200-day averageGekko Fair Value $184.69

State Street quick facts

Market cap
$47.18B
P/E ratio
13.8
Forward P/E
10.9
EPS, TTM
$12.24
Revenue, TTM
$15.50B
Profit margin
23.8%
Dividend yield
2.03%
Beta
1.37
Volume
1.52M avg 2.17M
1-year return
+48.6%
Typical daily move
±2.2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.2%
50-day average
$179.01
200-day average
$159.53
Next earnings
Jan 15
Shares outstanding
272.1M
52-week range
$111.63$195.93

State Street swing-trade checklist

State Street scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $173.41 sits between the 50-day ($179.01) and 200-day ($159.53) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    59.2, Neutral

    Reading 59.2 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    6.1% below

    Price is 6.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 71 days

    Next report Jan 15, 2027, 71 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.7% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

State Street stock chart and price history

State Street closed at $173.41 on Nov 4, 2026, +48.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $111.63 to $195.93.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
State Street share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$100$120$140$160$180DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct173.41

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−1.3%
3 months
−6.2%
6 months
+14.7%
1 year
+48.6%
The full STT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open STT in Gekko

Follow State Street through every session

Put STT on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About State Street

State Street works with institutional investors globally, handling the behind-the-scenes tasks that keep large investment portfolios running smoothly. This includes holding assets securely, tracking their value day to day, keeping accounting records, and managing related functions like currency exchange, brokerage activity, lending, and short-term cash placement. The firm is widely recognized for its SPDR line of exchange-traded funds.

Beyond these administrative functions, State Street runs an investment management business that builds products spanning index tracking, multi-asset portfolios, quantitative and fundamental stock picking, and alternative strategies, with some offerings built around environmental, social, and governance themes. It helps manage retirement plans, both defined benefit and defined contribution, and offers outsourced operations, fiduciary guidance, and risk and compliance analytics to other investment managers. Its client base includes mutual funds, pooled investment vehicles, pension plans, insurers, foundations, and endowments.

The company dates back to 1792 and operates out of Boston, Massachusetts. Shares of State Street trade on the NYSE under the ticker STT.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Finance
Industry
Investment banks/Brokers
Website
statestreet.com

State Street GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

State Street’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59.2, in the Neutral zone, up 0.1 points over five sessions.

010059.2Neutral

Up 0.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying33+0.7%+2.3%+0.6%+9.4%
Accumulation137+0.2%+0.9%+4.6%+12.5%
Neutral (current zone)447+0.8%+1.4%+2.4%+6.3%
Distribution76+0.7%+1.1%+2.5%+7.5%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average STT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the STT price, zone by zone.Track STT in Gekko

Is State Street stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

State Street trades 6.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $184.69, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what State Street shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$184.69

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

6.1% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 1.2% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$185$170Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open STT in Gekko

State Street insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for State Street, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for STT in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every STT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open STT in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in STT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for STT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open STT in Gekko

Buybacks

State Street has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
$426.0M
As a share of market cap
0.90%
Trailing four quarters
$1.75B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds STT.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

State Street earnings: next date and track record

State Street reports on Jan 15, 2027 (71 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.7%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−1.5%Jan ’25+1.3%Apr ’25−4.5%Jul ’25+2.1%Oct ’25−8.1%Jan ’26+5.8%Apr ’26−2.2%Jul ’26−3.7%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 14, 2026 AI summary

What they said
State Street reported Q3 2026 EPS of $3.69, up 33% year-over-year, with record quarterly servicing and management fees and record FX client volumes. Assets under custody/administration reached a record $59 trillion. The company achieved its 11th consecutive quarter of positive year-over-year operating leverage, a 35% pretax margin, and 25% return on tangible common equity. A Santander CACEIS Latin American Securities acquisition was announced.
Guidance
Management introduced new medium-term financial targets in July alongside strategic growth initiatives. Leadership expressed confidence in sustainable growth driven by One State Street integration, established leadership positions, and deepening client relationships across Investment Services, Investment Management, and Markets.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 14, 2026$3.69
est $3.68
+0.3%$4.00B
est $4.03B
−0.8%−3.7%
Jul 16, 2026$3.65
est $3.34
+9.3%$4.05B
est $3.88B
+4.3%−2.2%
Apr 17, 2026$2.84
est $2.64
+7.6%$3.80B
est $3.67B
+3.6%+5.8%
Jan 16, 2026$2.97
est $2.84
+4.6%$3.67B
est $3.60B
+1.8%−8.1%
Oct 17, 2025$2.78
est $2.64
+5.3%$5.75B
est $3.46B
+66.1%+2.1%
Jul 15, 2025$2.53
est $2.35
+7.7%$5.80B
est $3.35B
+72.8%−4.5%
Apr 17, 2025$2.04
est $2.00
+2.0%$5.49B
est $3.32B
+65.4%+1.3%
Jan 17, 2025$2.60
est $2.44
+6.6%$5.67B
est $3.33B
+70.5%−1.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

State Street stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for State Street is $192.63, +11.1% from the last close, from 13 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$192.63consensus 12-month target, +11.1% from the last close
Low $171High $230
Buy8
Hold5
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 13 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 30J.P. MorganHold, reiterated$192.50+11.0%
Oct 29BarclaysHold, maintained$200+15.3%
Oct 19BMO CapitalBuy, maintained$185+6.7%
Oct 19CitiBuy, maintained$190+9.6%
Oct 16Bank of America SecuritiesHold, reiterated$186+7.3%
+2.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+2.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

State Street seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, State Street averaged +2.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−6.8%2021+1.0%2022+8.9%2023+6.0%2024+4.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.3%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.8%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.8%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.7%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.7%4 of 5

For scale, STT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.2%.

State Street market cap and key statistics

State Street’s market cap is $47.18B, with a P/E ratio of 13.8 and revenue of $15.50B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$47.18B
P/E ratio
13.8
Forward P/E
10.9
EPS, TTM
$12.24
Gekko Fair Value
$184.69

Trading

Volume
1.52M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.17M
52-week high
$195.93
52-week low
$111.63
Shares outstanding
272.1M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$15.50B
Profit margin
23.8%
Return on equity
13.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+32.7%

Risk and income

Beta
1.37
Typical daily move
±2.2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.2%
Dividend yield
2.03%

State Street peers

State Street’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GSGoldman Sachs+0.8%Neutral5.1% below
SCHWCharles Schwab+2.6%Accumulation12.3% below
IBKRInteractive Brokers+0.2%Accumulation17.4% below
CMECME+1.4%Neutral4.3% above
BNYBank of New York Mellon+0.4%Neutral2.2% below
ICEIntercontinental Exchange+0.8%Neutral1.9% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

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State Street stock FAQ

What is State Street’s market cap?

State Street’s market cap is $47.18B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $173.41, with 272.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 13.8.

What is the State Street stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for State Street is $192.63, +11.1% from the last close. Of the 13 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is State Street stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate State Street is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $173.41 is 6.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $184.69. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does State Street report earnings next?

State Street is expected to report on Jan 15, 2027 (71 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.66 per share on revenue of $4.07B. State Street beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.7% on average across the report.

What is State Street’s 52-week high and low?

State Street’s 52-week high is $195.93 and its 52-week low is $111.63; it closed at $173.41 on Nov 4, 2026, +48.6% over the past year.

Is State Street stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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