NYSE: STT

State Street (STT) Stock Analysis & Forecast

State Street Corporation. Finance sector, investment banks/brokers industry. Market cap $50.61B.

$182.87−0.20 (−0.1%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:17 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

State Street (STT) closes at $182.87, down 0.1%, sitting below its 50-day average of $187.04 but well above its 200-day average of $152.23. The GekkoIndex reads 66.6, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, up 14.3 over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value stands at $192.02, leaving price 4.8% below that level. Over the past year the stock has returned 63.7%, though the one-month return is -1.6%.

This week's coverage centers on two threads. The Department of Justice is weighing whether to join a Texas-led antitrust suit against BlackRock and State Street, alleging the firms used market power and climate coalition ties to restrict coal output and raise energy prices. Separately, State Street has been active on the corporate and business-development front: it disclosed a stake above 5% in Foresight Solar Fund Limited, ceased to be a substantial holder in PWR Holdings, took a 5.10% stake in Develop Global Limited, named Mostapha Tahiri and Ann Fogarty to new leadership roles, and launched a new RIA custody business aimed at larger RIAs using a minority investment in Apex Fintech Solutions' platform.

State Street next reports earnings on 14 October 2026, 24 days out, inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; its last print beat estimates ($2.97 versus $2.84) but drew an 8.1% reaction, with an average absolute move of 3.6% across the last eight quarters. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged 1% across five years, rising in two of them. Analyst coverage from 15 firms shows 9 buy and 6 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $199.50.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $182.87200-day averageGekko Fair Value $192.02

Key stats

Market cap
$50.61B
P/E ratio
16.2
Forward P/E
12.1
EPS, TTM
$11.33
Revenue, TTM
$15.02B
Profit margin
23%
Dividend yield
1.84%
Beta
1.42
Volume
5.57M avg 1.62M
1-year return
+63.7%
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±5.1%
50-day average
$187.04
200-day average
$152.23
Next earnings
Oct 14
Shares outstanding
274.7M
52-week range
$104.64$195.93

State Street swing-trade checklist

State Street scores 1 supportive, 3 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive3 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $182.87 sits between the 50-day ($187.04) and 200-day ($152.23) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    66.6, Accumulation

    Reading 66.6 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    4.8% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.8% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 24 days

    Reports on Oct 14, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +1.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

State Street stock chart and price history

State Street closed at $182.87 on Sep 18, 2026, +63.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $104.64 to $195.93.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−1.6%
3 months
+8.7%
6 months
+51.2%
1 year
+63.7%
The full STT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open STT in Gekko

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About State Street

State Street works with institutional investors globally, handling the behind-the-scenes tasks that keep large investment portfolios running smoothly. This includes holding assets securely, tracking their value day to day, keeping accounting records, and managing related functions like currency exchange, brokerage activity, lending, and short-term cash placement. The firm is widely recognized for its SPDR line of exchange-traded funds.

Beyond these administrative functions, State Street runs an investment management business that builds products spanning index tracking, multi-asset portfolios, quantitative and fundamental stock picking, and alternative strategies, with some offerings built around environmental, social, and governance themes. It helps manage retirement plans, both defined benefit and defined contribution, and offers outsourced operations, fiduciary guidance, and risk and compliance analytics to other investment managers. Its client base includes mutual funds, pooled investment vehicles, pension plans, insurers, foundations, and endowments.

The company dates back to 1792 and operates out of Boston, Massachusetts. Shares of State Street trade on the NYSE under the ticker STT.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Finance
Industry
Investment banks/Brokers
Website
statestreet.com

State Street GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

State Street’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.6, in the Accumulation zone, up 14.3 points over five sessions.

010066.6Accumulation

Up 14.3 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying28+0.5%+2.2%+0.6%+9.4%
Accumulation (current zone)113+0.6%+1.8%+6.0%+12.5%
Neutral441+0.9%+1.6%+2.8%+7.2%
Distribution76+0.7%+1.1%+2.5%+7.8%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average STT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the STT price, zone by zone.Track STT in Gekko

Is State Street stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

State Street trades 4.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $192.02, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what State Street shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$192.02

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

4.8% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open STT in Gekko

State Street insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for State Street, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for STT in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every STT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open STT in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in STT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for STT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open STT in Gekko

Buybacks

State Street has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$422.0M
As a share of market cap
0.83%
Trailing four quarters
$1.74B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds STT.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

State Street earnings: next date and track record

State Street reports on Oct 14, 2026 (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.6%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+1.4%Apr ’24+8.1%Jul ’24+2.1%Oct ’24−1.5%Jan ’25+1.3%Apr ’25−4.5%Jul ’25+2.1%Oct ’25−8.1%Jan ’26

Last earnings call, Jan 16, 2026 AI summary

What they said
State Street Corporation's Q4 and FY2025 earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, strategic investments, and continued transformation. Management emphasized positive operating leverage, margin expansion, record revenues and fee revenues, growth in AUM/AUCA, and strong capital and liquidity. The company delivered EPS growth, pretax margin improvement, and productivity savings of ~$500M in 2025 with more planned for 2026. Management stressed investments in AI, digital assets, tokenization, SaaS transition for software, wealth services, and private markets, and balance sheet optimization. Guidance for 2026 assumes flat markets and implies fee revenue growth of 4-6% (with midpoint guidance and sensitivity notes), NII and NIM to grow modestly, expenses up ~3-4% driven by investments, and continued productivity offsetting run-the-bank costs. Risks noted include market sensitivity, timing uncertainty of digital asset adoption, regulatory and Basel III changes, deposit mix seasonality, terminated hedge lumpiness, and capital/leverage constraints. Overall sentiment is moderately positive, reflecting confidence in strategy and execution but tempered by cautious guidance and investment spending.
Guidance
Management provided 2026 guidance: Fee revenue growth guide of 4-6% (assuming flat markets; +5% markets would push to upper end), net interest income/net interest margin expected to rise modestly from 2025 levels though 4Q run-rate likely higher than full-year run-rate; expenses expected to increase (3-4%) driven by strategic investments while productivity savings (~$500M in 2025 and similar planned for 2026) will offset run-the-bank costs; implied full-year pretax margin around ~30%; deposit base assumed near $150B with ~10% non-interest bearing (~$25B); expectation of continued capital returns (~80% payout ratio target) while retaining capital for growth and RWA deployment. No specific numeric revenue/earnings figures beyond ranges and ratios were newly issued in the call.
Risks flagged
Mentioned risks: market level sensitivity (guidance assumes flat markets), seasonality and deposit mix affecting NII, lumpiness in terminated hedges, uncertainty and timing of digital asset adoption and revenue realization, regulatory/regulatory capital (Basel III / GSIB) impacts and leverage constraints, execution risks around SaaS transition and technology transformation, potential macro and geopolitical uncertainties.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jan 16, 2026$2.97
est $2.84
+4.6%$3.67B
est $3.60B
+1.8%−8.1%
Oct 17, 2025$2.78
est $2.64
+5.3%$5.75B
est $3.46B
+66.1%+2.1%
Jul 15, 2025$2.53
est $2.35
+7.7%$5.80B
est $3.35B
+72.8%−4.5%
Apr 17, 2025$2.04
est $2.00
+2.0%$5.49B
est $3.32B
+65.4%+1.3%
Jan 17, 2025$2.60
est $2.44
+6.6%$5.67B
est $3.33B
+70.5%−1.5%
Oct 15, 2024$2.26
est $2.12
+6.6%$5.54B
est $3.19B
+73.4%+2.1%
Jul 16, 2024$2.15
est $2.02
+6.4%$5.45B
est $3.15B
+73.3%+8.1%
Apr 12, 2024$1.69
est $1.50
+12.7%$5.31B
est $3.06B
+73.5%+1.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

State Street stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for State Street is $199.50, +9.1% from the last close, from 15 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$199.50consensus 12-month target, +9.1% from the last close
Low $168High $215
Buy9
Hold6
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 15 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 15BarclaysHold, maintained$200+9.4%
Sep 8Morgan StanleyBuy, maintained$195+6.6%
Aug 4J.P. MorganHold, maintained$187+2.3%
Jul 31BarclaysHold, maintained$200+9.4%
Jul 20Evercore ISIBuy, maintained$200+9.4%
+6.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+1.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

State Street seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, State Street averaged +1.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+15.0%2021−10.0%2022−4.7%2023+3.6%2024−1.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.2%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.7%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−2.0%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.0%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.0%4 of 5

For scale, STT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.1%.

State Street market cap and key statistics

State Street’s market cap is $50.61B, with a P/E ratio of 16.2 and revenue of $15.02B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$50.61B
P/E ratio
16.2
Forward P/E
12.1
EPS, TTM
$11.33
Gekko Fair Value
$192.02

Trading

Volume
5.57M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.62M
52-week high
$195.93
52-week low
$104.64
Shares outstanding
274.7M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$15.02B
Profit margin
23%
Return on equity
12.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+68.2%

Risk and income

Beta
1.42
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±5.1%
Dividend yield
1.84%

State Street peers

State Street’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GSGoldman Sachs−0.7%Buying12.7% below
SCHWCharles Schwab+0.5%Accumulation7.7% below
IBKRInteractive Brokers+0.9%Accumulation6.7% below
HOODRobinhood Markets+5.7%Neutral5.4% above
BNYBank of New York Mellon+1.0%Accumulation6.5% below
CMECME+1.5%Neutral1.0% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

State Street stock FAQ

What is State Street’s market cap?

State Street’s market cap is $50.61B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $182.87, with 274.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 16.2.

What is the State Street stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for State Street is $199.50, +9.1% from the last close. Of the 15 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is State Street stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate State Street is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $182.87 is 4.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $192.02. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does State Street report earnings next?

State Street is expected to report on Oct 14, 2026 (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.62 per share on revenue of $4.00B. State Street beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.6% on average across the report.

What is State Street’s 52-week high and low?

State Street’s 52-week high is $195.93 and its 52-week low is $104.64; it closed at $182.87 on Sep 18, 2026, +63.7% over the past year.

Is State Street stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex), 3 as mixed (trend, fair value and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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