NASDAQ: COIN

Coinbase Global (COIN) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Coinbase Global, Inc. - 3. Finance sector, investment banks/brokers industry. Market cap $51.25B.

$194.25+20.28 (+11.7%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Coinbase Global closes at $194.25, up 11.7% on the day, with the stock positioned between its 50-day average of $166.66 and its 200-day average of $189.22. The GekkoIndex reading sits at 54.9, placing it in the Neutral zone, down 2.8 points over the past five sessions. Price stands 7.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $180.80, a gap that bears watching.

Crypto-linked equities move sharply this week as Bitcoin tops $80,000, lifting Coinbase alongside peers such as Strategy and MARA Holdings. The rally coincides with regulatory developments, including a CFTC proposal this week to regulate crypto asset transactions and markets and an SEC move easing tokenized trading. Separately, Better Mortgage and Coinbase highlight a HELOC rebate offer of up to $10,000 for Coinbase One members, and commentary points to a transformation beneath the surface following what was described as one of the company's weaker quarterly reports in years.

The next earnings date falls on 29 October 2026, after the close, 39 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. The prior report on 30 July showed EPS of $0.12 against a $0.15 estimate, with an 8.6% reaction; Coinbase has beaten estimates in 2 of the last 8 quarters, averaging an 8.3% absolute move. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 2 buys and 0 sells, while the last 30 days show 7 unusual options signals, with call premium of $78.5 million against put premium of $39.4 million. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged 9.9% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $194.25200-day averageGekko Fair Value $180.80

Key stats

Market cap
$51.25B
P/E ratio
Forward P/E
46.3
EPS, TTM
−$4.09
Revenue, TTM
$6.04B
Profit margin
-16.3%
Dividend yield
Beta
3.39
Volume
21.78M avg 10.92M
1-year return
−39.4%
Typical daily move
±6.6%
Typical 20-day move
±15.2%
50-day average
$166.66
200-day average
$189.22
Next earnings
Oct 29 after close
Shares outstanding
222.8M
52-week range
$139.11$402.16

Coinbase Global swing-trade checklist

Coinbase Global scores 2 supportive, 3 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive3 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $194.25 sits between the 50-day ($166.66) and 200-day ($189.22) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    54.9, Neutral

    Reading 54.9 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    7.4% above

    Price is 7.4% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 2 buys / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 7 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 39 days

    Next report Oct 29, 2026, 39 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +9.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +9.9% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Coinbase Global stock chart and price history

Coinbase Global closed at $194.25 on Sep 18, 2026, −39.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $139.11 to $402.16.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+21.3%
3 months
+19.0%
6 months
−4.3%
1 year
−39.4%
The full COIN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open COIN in Gekko

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About Coinbase Global

Coinbase Global provides the technology and financial infrastructure that underpins much of the growing crypto economy, serving both American and overseas markets. Everyday users rely on it as an entry point for buying, holding and managing digital assets, while the company is particularly recognized for making that access straightforward.

Beyond individual accountholders, Coinbase runs a trading venue built for institutional participants, offering the liquidity needed to move larger cryptocurrency positions. It also gives software developers tools and services to build crypto-linked applications and to add digital asset payment options into their own products, extending its reach across consumer, institutional and developer segments.

The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Delaware. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker COIN.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Finance
Industry
Investment banks/Brokers
Website
coinbase.com

Coinbase Global GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Coinbase Global’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 54.9, in the Neutral zone, down 2.8 points over five sessions.

010054.9Neutral

Down 2.8 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying35+0.6%+2.5%+16.3%+34.3%
Accumulation275+0.8%+1.8%+2.8%+9.5%
Neutral (current zone)312+0.2%+0.5%+0.5%−2.9%
Distribution34+6.6%+8.6%+17.2%+9.4%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average COIN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the COIN price, zone by zone.Track COIN in Gekko

Is Coinbase Global stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Coinbase Global trades 7.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $180.80, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Coinbase Global shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$180.80

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

7.4% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open COIN in Gekko

Coinbase Global insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Coinbase Global, and members of Congress disclosed 2 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for COIN in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every COIN insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open COIN in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

2trades disclosed: 2 purchases and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Gilbert Ray Cisneros
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 7
traded Jul 17
Gilbert Ray Cisneros
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 7
traded Jul 16

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Coinbase Global has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$181.3M
As a share of market cap
0.35%
Trailing four quarters
$1.83B

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

7signals, 67% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 19, $59.55M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold COIN.

2added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Coinbase Global earnings: next date and track record

Coinbase Global reports on Oct 29, 2026, after the close (39 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.3%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−18.4%Oct ’24−11.2%Feb ’25+1.4%May ’25−16.6%Jul ’25−1.4%Oct ’25+7.3%Feb ’26+1.6%May ’26−8.6%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Coinbase held a Q2 2026 earnings call focused on regulatory developments, product strategy, stablecoin support, and customer engagement. Management emphasized optimism around the CLARITY Act progressing through the Senate but acknowledged regulatory uncertainty if it fails. Coinbase reiterated its multi-stablecoin approach, confirmed the automatic renewal of its Circle/USDC contract on the same terms, and defended partnerships (e.g., Onyx USD, Hyperliquid) as ways to grow USDC network effects. Product strategy highlights included strong product velocity, cross-product adoption, growth in derivatives and prediction markets, new offerings (pre-IPO perpetual futures for non-US traders), and an all-time high in Coinbase One paid subscribers. Management stressed diversification of revenue away from Bitcoin trading toward trading fees across multiple products and subscription & services, and noted early traction in agentic/AI-driven finance (AIFI) and Base L2 traction. Leadership transitions were framed as routine with strong internal bench and succession planning. Overall tone was confident and constructive, with clear emphasis on product expansion, USDC/network growth, and customer retention via Coinbase One.
Risks flagged
Regulatory uncertainty around the CLARITY Act and potential SEC/CFTC rulemaking if CLARITY does not pass; early-stage nature of some new product initiatives (agentic finance, pre-IPO perps) leading to uncertain near-term monetization; competition and potential fragmentation in L2/blockchain ecosystem; leadership transitions (though framed as managed).
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$0.12
est $0.15
−20.0%$1.22B
est $1.29B
−5.6%−8.6%
May 7, 2026−$1.49
est $1.18
−226.3%$1.41B
est $1.49B
−4.9%+1.6%
Feb 12, 2026−$2.49
est $0.99
−350.5%$1.78B
est $1.81B
−1.5%+7.3%
Oct 30, 2025$1.50
est $1.18
+27.1%$1.87B
est $1.77B
+5.5%−1.4%
Jul 31, 2025$0.12
est $1.25
−90.4%$1.50B
est $1.59B
−5.7%−16.6%
May 8, 2025$1.94
est $1.94
0.0%$2.03B
est $2.07B
−1.8%+1.4%
Feb 14, 2025$4.66
est $2.26
+106.2%$2.27B
est $1.84B
+23.4%−11.2%
Oct 30, 2024$0.28
est $0.38
−26.3%$1.13B
est $1.26B
−10.5%−18.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Coinbase Global stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Coinbase Global is $202.00, +4.0% from the last close, from 28 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$202.00consensus 12-month target, +4.0% from the last close
Low $95High $330
Buy18
Hold9
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 28 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 16BTIGBuy, maintained$240+23.6%
Sep 14Compass PointHold, upgraded$177−8.9%
Sep 14Goldman SachsBuy, maintained$219+12.7%
Sep 11CitiBuy, maintained$210+8.1%
Sep 10Morgan StanleyHold, initiated$250+28.7%
+0.5%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+9.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±6.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Coinbase Global seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Coinbase Global averaged +9.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+24.0%2021−1.1%2022−0.9%2023+21.4%2024−1.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−5.7%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.8%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.6%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+9.9%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+12.8%3 of 5

For scale, COIN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 15.2%.

Coinbase Global market cap and key statistics

Coinbase Global’s market cap is $51.25B and revenue of $6.04B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$51.25B
Forward P/E
46.3
EPS, TTM
−$4.09
Gekko Fair Value
$180.80

Trading

Volume
21.78M
Avg volume, 20 days
10.92M
52-week high
$402.16
52-week low
$139.11
Shares outstanding
222.8M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$6.04B
Profit margin
-16.3%
Return on equity
-7.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+430.6%

Risk and income

Beta
3.39
Typical daily move
±6.6%
Typical 20-day move
±15.2%

Coinbase Global stock news this week

6 headlines about Coinbase Global from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Coinbase Global peers

Coinbase Global’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GSGoldman Sachs−0.7%Buying12.7% below
SCHWCharles Schwab+0.5%Accumulation7.7% below
IBKRInteractive Brokers+0.9%Accumulation6.7% below
HOODRobinhood Markets+5.7%Neutral5.4% above
BNYBank of New York Mellon+1.0%Accumulation6.5% below
CMECME+1.5%Neutral1.0% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Coinbase Global stock FAQ

What is Coinbase Global’s market cap?

Coinbase Global’s market cap is $51.25B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $194.25, with 222.8M shares outstanding.

What is the Coinbase Global stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Coinbase Global is $202.00, +4.0% from the last close. Of the 28 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 18 rate it a buy, 9 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Coinbase Global stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Coinbase Global is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $194.25 is 7.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $180.80. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Coinbase Global report earnings next?

Coinbase Global is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, after the market closes (39 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.36 per share on revenue of $1.17B. Coinbase Global beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.3% on average across the report.

What is Coinbase Global’s 52-week high and low?

Coinbase Global’s 52-week high is $402.16 and its 52-week low is $139.11; it closed at $194.25 on Sep 18, 2026, −39.4% over the past year.

Is Coinbase Global stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (smart money and earnings risk), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Coinbase Global?

Gekko flagged 7 unusual options signals in Coinbase Global over the last 30 days, with $78.53M of flagged premium in calls and $39.43M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 19, 2026 with $59.55M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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