NASDAQ: COIN

Coinbase Global (COIN) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$151.50+6.05 (+4.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Coinbase shares swung sharply this week after the company's 29 October earnings report, which showed flat quarter-over-quarter revenue even as overall crypto spot trading volume declined 10%, offset by growth in prediction markets, which crossed a $200 million annualized run rate since their February launch. Subscription and services revenue made up roughly 49% of total net revenues, with prediction markets and derivatives combined reaching about 25% of transaction revenue. The stock initially sold off on the results before bouncing alongside other crypto names such as Riot and Marathon, a move tied partly to CFTC approval of perpetual futures on individual stocks, while Morgan Stanley downgraded the shares and Cathie Wood's ARK Invest added about $9 million in Coinbase stock during the same stretch.

The stock closed at $151.50, up 4.2% on the day, but still sits well below both its 50-day average of $177.37 and 200-day average of $176.88, reflecting a one-month return of -18.4% and a one-year return of -54.1%. The GekkoIndex reads 65.5, placing it in the Accumulation zone, up 3.7 over five days. Fair value sits at $186.22, leaving price 18.6% below that mark.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings date falls on 11 February 2027, outside this window. Congress recorded 2 buys and 0 sells in the past 90 days, and 6 unusual options signals appeared in the past 30 days, with call premium of $75.0 million against put premium of $22.4 million. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 15.2% return over 5 years, though gains occurred in only 2 of those years, worth noting given recent volatility, with a typical 20-day move of 15.2%.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Coinbase Global price vs fair value

$186.22$151.50Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $151.50200-day averageGekko Fair Value $186.22

Coinbase Global quick facts

Market cap
$40.14B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
48.1
EPS, TTM
−$2.77
Revenue, TTM
$5.44B
Profit margin
-12.9%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
3.35
Volume
9.04M avg 8.54M
1-year return
−54.1%
Typical daily move
±6.7%
Typical 20-day move
±15.2%
50-day average
$177.37
200-day average
$176.88
Next earnings
Feb 11 after close
Shares outstanding
223.7M
52-week range
$135.46$325.45

Coinbase Global swing-trade checklist

Coinbase Global scores 4 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $151.50 sits between the 50-day ($177.37) and 200-day ($176.88) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    65.5, Accumulation

    Reading 65.5 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    18.6% below

    Price is 18.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 2 buys / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 6 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 98 days

    Next report Feb 11, 2027, 98 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +15.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +15.2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Coinbase Global stock chart and price history

Coinbase Global closed at $151.50 on Nov 4, 2026, −54.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $135.46 to $325.45.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Coinbase Global share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$200$250$300DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct151.50

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−18.4%
3 months
+4.2%
6 months
−23.5%
1 year
−54.1%
The full COIN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open COIN in Gekko

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About Coinbase Global

Coinbase Global provides the technology and financial infrastructure that underpins much of the growing crypto economy, serving both American and overseas markets. Everyday users rely on it as an entry point for buying, holding and managing digital assets, while the company is particularly recognized for making that access straightforward.

Beyond individual accountholders, Coinbase runs a trading venue built for institutional participants, offering the liquidity needed to move larger cryptocurrency positions. It also gives software developers tools and services to build crypto-linked applications and to add digital asset payment options into their own products, extending its reach across consumer, institutional and developer segments.

The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Delaware. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker COIN.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Finance
Industry
Investment banks/Brokers
Website
coinbase.com

Coinbase Global GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Coinbase Global’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 65.5, in the Accumulation zone, up 3.7 points over five sessions.

010065.5Accumulation

Up 3.7 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying35+0.6%+2.5%+16.3%+34.3%
Accumulation (current zone)284+0.8%+1.7%+3.0%+10.0%
Neutral3380.0%+0.2%+0.2%−2.3%
Distribution34+6.6%+8.6%+17.2%+9.4%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average COIN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the COIN price, zone by zone.Track COIN in Gekko

Is Coinbase Global stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Coinbase Global trades 18.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $186.22, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Coinbase Global shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$186.22

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

18.6% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 2.2% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$186$145Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open COIN in Gekko

Coinbase Global insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Coinbase Global, and members of Congress disclosed 2 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for COIN in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every COIN insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open COIN in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

2trades disclosed: 2 purchases and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 9
traded Sep 11
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 9
traded Sep 4

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Coinbase Global has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
$5.32M
As a share of market cap
0.01%
Trailing four quarters
$1.73B

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

6signals, 77% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 31, $49.25M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold COIN.

2added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Coinbase Global earnings: next date and track record

Coinbase Global reports on Feb 11, 2027, after the close (98 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.5%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−11.2%Feb ’25+1.4%May ’25−16.6%Jul ’25−1.4%Oct ’25+7.3%Feb ’26+1.6%May ’26−8.6%Jul ’26−11.6%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Coinbase reported flat quarter-over-quarter revenue despite a 10% decline in overall crypto spot trading volume, offset by strong growth in prediction markets, which crossed $200M annualized run rate since launching in February. Subscription and services revenue represented approximately 49% of total net revenues. Prediction markets plus derivatives combined reached ~25% of transaction revenue, highlighting successful diversification. Coinbase holds 18,000 Bitcoin on its balance sheet and saw significant Bitcoin ETF inflows this quarter.
Guidance
Management expressed optimism about rebounding trading volumes and increasing institutional onboarding. Prediction markets remain a fast-growing revenue driver expected to offset spot trading volatility. No specific financial targets were provided in this excerpt.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 29, 2026$2.51
est −$0.23
+1,189.2%$1.22B
est $1.22B
0.0%−11.6%
Jul 30, 2026$0.12
est $0.15
−20.0%$1.22B
est $1.29B
−5.6%−8.6%
May 7, 2026−$1.49
est $1.18
−226.3%$1.41B
est $1.49B
−4.9%+1.6%
Feb 12, 2026−$2.49
est $0.99
−350.5%$1.78B
est $1.81B
−1.5%+7.3%
Oct 30, 2025$1.50
est $1.18
+27.1%$1.87B
est $1.77B
+5.5%−1.4%
Jul 31, 2025$0.12
est $1.25
−90.4%$1.50B
est $1.59B
−5.7%−16.6%
May 8, 2025$1.94
est $1.94
0.0%$2.03B
est $2.07B
−1.8%+1.4%
Feb 14, 2025$4.66
est $2.26
+106.2%$2.27B
est $1.84B
+23.4%−11.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Coinbase Global stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Coinbase Global is $198.44, +31.0% from the last close, from 27 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$198.44consensus 12-month target, +31.0% from the last close
Low $100High $330
Buy17
Hold7
Sell3

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 27 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 4MonnessSell, reiterated$100−34.0%
Nov 3KBWBuy, maintained$221+45.9%
Nov 2Morgan StanleySell, downgraded$120−20.8%
Nov 2Cantor FitzgeraldBuy, maintained$200+32.0%
Nov 2Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$177+16.8%
+3.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+15.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±6.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Coinbase Global seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Coinbase Global averaged +15.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−22.9%2021−21.8%2022+62.3%2023+66.1%2024−9.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+15.3%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+9.2%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+10.0%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+15.2%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+11.2%2 of 5

For scale, COIN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 15.2%.

Coinbase Global market cap and key statistics

Coinbase Global’s market cap is $40.14B and revenue of $5.44B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$40.14B
Forward P/E
48.1
EPS, TTM
−$2.77
Gekko Fair Value
$186.22

Trading

Volume
9.04M
Avg volume, 20 days
8.54M
52-week high
$325.45
52-week low
$135.46
Shares outstanding
223.7M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$5.44B
Profit margin
-12.9%
Return on equity
-4.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+67.4%

Risk and income

Beta
3.35
Typical daily move
±6.7%
Typical 20-day move
±15.2%

Coinbase Global stock news this week

Coverage of Coinbase Global this week reads neutral: 0 positive, 2 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Coinbase Global peers

Coinbase Global’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GSGoldman Sachs+0.8%Neutral5.1% below
SCHWCharles Schwab+2.6%Accumulation12.3% below
IBKRInteractive Brokers+0.2%Accumulation17.4% below
CMECME+1.4%Neutral4.3% above
BNYBank of New York Mellon+0.4%Neutral2.2% below
ICEIntercontinental Exchange+0.8%Neutral1.9% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Investment banks/Brokers

Coinbase Global stock FAQ

What is Coinbase Global’s market cap?

Coinbase Global’s market cap is $40.14B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $151.50, with 223.7M shares outstanding.

What is the Coinbase Global stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Coinbase Global is $198.44, +31.0% from the last close. Of the 27 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 17 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 3 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Coinbase Global stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Coinbase Global is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $151.50 is 18.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $186.22. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Coinbase Global report earnings next?

Coinbase Global is expected to report on Feb 11, 2027, after the market closes (98 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.08 per share on revenue of $1.29B. Coinbase Global beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.5% on average across the report.

What is Coinbase Global’s 52-week high and low?

Coinbase Global’s 52-week high is $325.45 and its 52-week low is $135.46; it closed at $151.50 on Nov 4, 2026, −54.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $444.65 on Jul 18, 2025.

Is Coinbase Global stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Coinbase Global?

Gekko flagged 6 unusual options signals in Coinbase Global over the last 30 days, with $75.01M of flagged premium in calls and $22.44M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 31, 2026 with $49.25M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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