Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for BBAI in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every BBAI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BBAI in Gekko
NYSE: BBAI
BigBear.ai (BBAI) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$2.30−0.09 (−3.8%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeBigBear.ai draws attention this week after chief executive Kevin McAleenan appeared at the American Growth Summit, offering fresh context on the stock following its recent underperformance against the broader market. Coverage also highlights BigBear.ai's heavy short interest, framing the shares as a potential short-squeeze candidate amid technically oversold conditions, alongside continued comparisons to peers such as Innodata on growth prospects into 2027. Separate reporting notes BigBear.ai shares slipping even as the broader market advanced.
BigBear.ai closed at $2.30, down 3.8% on the day and down 19.9% over the past month. The close sits below both the 50-day average of $2.92 and the 200-day average of $3.86, with the shorter average also below the longer one, pointing to a sustained downtrend. The GekkoIndex reads 75.4, placing the stock in the Buying zone. Against this, Gekko Fair Value stands at $3.35, putting the current price 31.3% below that level.
Looking ahead, BigBear.ai's next earnings date is set for 9 November 2026, 28 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding period. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 6.3% decline over five years, with gains in three of those years, a mixed historical pattern worth noting alongside the upcoming earnings timing.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
BigBear.ai price vs fair value
Close $2.30200-day averageGekko Fair Value $3.35
BigBear.ai quick facts
- Market cap
- $1.10B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- —
- EPS, TTM
- −$0.15
- Revenue, TTM
- $131.6M
- Profit margin
- -65.2%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 3.26
- Volume
- 14.72M avg 16.01M
- 1-year return
- −69.3%
- Typical daily move
- ±5.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±17.4%
- 50-day average
- $2.92
- 200-day average
- $3.86
- Next earnings
- Nov 9 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 479.5M
BigBear.ai swing-trade checklist
BigBear.ai scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $2.30 is below the 50-day ($2.92) and 200-day ($3.86) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
75.4, Buying
Reading 75.4 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
31.3% below
Price is 31.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 28 days
Reports on Nov 9, 2026, 28 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitymixed
−6.3% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −6.3% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
BigBear.ai stock chart and price history
BigBear.ai closed at $2.30 on Oct 12, 2026, −69.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $2.28 to $9.39.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −19.9%
- 3 months
- −25.8%
- 6 months
- −31.3%
- 1 year
- −69.3%
The full BBAI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BBAI in Gekko
Follow BigBear.ai through every session
Put BBAI on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Track BBAI in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.
About BigBear.ai
BigBear.ai builds artificial intelligence and machine learning tools that help organizations make sense of complex data and act on it in real time. The company is known for turning large volumes of information into decision support that clients can use for informed, real-time choices, rather than offering a single product line.
Its work is split into two main areas. The Cyber & Engineering side handles higher-level technology and management consulting, covering cloud infrastructure, enterprise IT, cybersecurity, network operations including wireless systems, systems engineering, and strategic program development. The Analytics side focuses on processing large-scale data sets and building predictive and prescriptive models, paired with advisory services that help clients interpret and act on the results.
BigBear.ai is headquartered in Columbia, Maryland. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker BBAI.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Technology services
- Industry
- Packaged software
- Website
- bigbear.ai
BigBear.ai GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
BigBear.ai’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 75.4, in the Buying zone, up 7 points over five sessions.
75.4Buying
Up 7 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 25 | +4.4% | +31.2% | ||
| Accumulation | 294 | −0.7% | +0.9% | ||
| Neutral | 316 | +3.6% | +11.7% | ||
| Distribution | 42 | +0.8% | −7.2% | ||
| Selling | 5 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average BBAI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BBAI price, zone by zone.Track BBAI in Gekko
Is BigBear.ai stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
BigBear.ai trades 31.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $3.35, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what BigBear.ai shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$3.35
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
31.3% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 18.0% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BBAI in Gekko
BigBear.ai insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for BigBear.ai, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in BBAI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for BBAI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BBAI in Gekko
Buybacks
BigBear.ai has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2023
- $499K
- As a share of market cap
- 0.05%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds BBAI.
0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
BigBear.ai earnings: next date and track record
BigBear.ai reports on Nov 9, 2026, after the close (28 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 9, 2026
Expected after the close, 28 days away
- EPS estimate
- −$0.05
- Revenue estimate
- $38.78M
4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.1%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- BigBear.ai reported Q2 2026 revenue growth of 13% year-over-year with gross margin improvement of 781 basis points. The company won over 20 new contracts in Q2, with values up to $5 million each, following a $53 million intelligence contract in Q1. Backlog grew 9% since year-end. Management highlighted product deployments across cargo inspection, generative AI, and drone swarm orchestration.
- Guidance
- Full-year 2026 revenue guidance maintained at $135 million to $165 million. Management expressed confidence in meeting top-line targets, citing healthy pipeline, growing backlog, and favorable macro trends in defense, security, and global trade.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | −$0.04 est −$0.05 | $36.75M est $36.37M | +7.7% |
| May 5, 2026 | −$0.08 est −$0.08 | $34.44M est $33.60M | +4.8% |
| Mar 2, 2026 | −$0.04 est −$0.05 | $27.30M est $33.32M | −4.0% |
| Nov 10, 2025 | $0.01 est −$0.06 | $33.14M est $31.81M | +6.7% |
| Aug 11, 2025 | −$0.71 est −$0.07 | $32.47M est $41.00M | −16.4% |
| May 1, 2025 | −$0.25 est −$0.06 | $34.76M est $36.26M | −1.5% |
| Mar 6, 2025 | −$0.43 est −$0.05 | $43.83M est $54.61M | −30.4% |
| Nov 5, 2024 | −$0.05 est −$0.07 | $41.51M est $53.55M | −1.2% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
BigBear.ai stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for BigBear.ai is $4.00, +73.9% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$4.00consensus 12-month target, +73.9% from the last close
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31 | Northland Securities | $4 | +73.9% |
| Jul 30 | Cantor Fitzgerald | $4 | +73.9% |
+31.2%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−6.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
BigBear.ai seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, BigBear.ai averaged −6.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.3% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −5.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −2.0% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −6.3% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +0.5% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, BBAI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 17.4%.
BigBear.ai market cap and key statistics
BigBear.ai’s market cap is $1.10B and revenue of $131.6M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $1.10B
- EPS, TTM
- −$0.15
- Gekko Fair Value
- $3.35
Trading
- Volume
- 14.72M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 16.01M
- 52-week high
- $9.39
- 52-week low
- $2.28
- Shares outstanding
- 479.5M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $131.6M
- Profit margin
- -65.2%
- Return on equity
- -16.6%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- 0.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 3.26
- Typical daily move
- ±5.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±17.4%
BigBear.ai stock news this week
Coverage of BigBear.ai this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 3 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
- BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI) CEO Appears At Growth Summit, Where Does Fair Value Sit?Yahoo! Finance Canada, Oct 10
- BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) Stock Slides as Market Rises: Facts to Know Before You TradeZacks Investment Research, Oct 9
- BigBear.ai to Report Third Quarter 2026 Results on October 27, 2026Business Wire, Oct 9
- BigBear.ai vs. Innodata: Which Small-Cap Tech Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?The Motley Fool, Oct 9
- Can BigBear.ai Build Stronger Growth Heading Into 2027?TradingView, Oct 9
- Gorilla Tumbles 10% on Non-Binding Letter of Intent for First US Data Center; Palantir Inches Higher, BigBear.ai Unmoved24/7 Wall Street, Oct 9
BigBear.ai peers
BigBear.ai’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| MSFTMicrosoft | Neutral | 21.7% above |
| PLTRPalantir Technologies | Distribution | 22.3% above |
| ORCLOracle | Neutral | 24.3% below |
| PANWPalo Alto Networks | Neutral | 21.6% above |
| CRWDCrowdStrike | Neutral | 23.7% above |
| CRMSalesforce | Neutral | 3.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
BigBear.ai stock FAQ
What is BigBear.ai’s market cap?
BigBear.ai’s market cap is $1.10B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $2.30, with 479.5M shares outstanding.
What is the BigBear.ai stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for BigBear.ai is $4.00, +73.9% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is BigBear.ai stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate BigBear.ai is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $2.30 is 31.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $3.35. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does BigBear.ai report earnings next?
BigBear.ai is expected to report on Nov 9, 2026, after the market closes (28 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.05 per share on revenue of $38.78M. BigBear.ai beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.1% on average across the report.
What is BigBear.ai’s 52-week high and low?
BigBear.ai’s 52-week high is $9.39 and its 52-week low is $2.28; it closed at $2.30 on Oct 12, 2026, −69.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $16.12 on Apr 6, 2022.
Is BigBear.ai stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
See BigBear.ai the way Gekko members do
Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.
Join 1,408 other traders using Gekko
Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.