NYSE: WM

Waste Management (WM) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$238.49+3.82 (+1.6%)

Gekko Brief

Nov 4 close

Waste Management closed at $238.49 on 4 November 2026, +1.6% on the day. The price sits between the 50-day ($218.60) and 200-day ($225.48) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $197.46 to $248.13. The GekkoIndex reads 49.6, in the Neutral zone, down 2.2 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $235.62, so the price is 1.2% above it.

The next earnings report is due on 27 January 2027, 83 days away. Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 4 times, with an average move of 3% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +5.2% over the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

20 firms rate the stock: 13 buy, 7 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $255.36. A typical daily move is about 2.4%, and a typical 20-day move about 3.5%. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 items read supportive and 0 read as a headwind.

A plain summary of the figures as of the Nov 4, 2026 close.

Waste Management price vs fair value

$238.49$235.62Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $238.49200-day averageGekko Fair Value $235.62

Waste Management quick facts

Market cap
$94.83B
P/E ratio
31.2
Forward P/E
25.5
EPS, TTM
$7.62
Revenue, TTM
$26.07B
Profit margin
11.8%
Dividend yield
1.57%
Beta
0.39
Volume
2.10M avg 2.50M
1-year return
+21.2%
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±3.5%
50-day average
$218.60
200-day average
$225.48
Next earnings
Jan 27
Shares outstanding
397.6M
52-week range
$197.46$248.13

Waste Management swing-trade checklist

Waste Management scores 2 supportive, 3 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive3 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $238.49 sits between the 50-day ($218.60) and 200-day ($225.48) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    49.6, Neutral

    Reading 49.6 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    1.2% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (1.2% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 83 days

    Next report Jan 27, 2027, 83 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.2% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Waste Management stock chart and price history

Waste Management closed at $238.49 on Nov 4, 2026, +21.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $197.46 to $248.13.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Waste Management share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$200$210$220$230DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct238.49

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+14.7%
3 months
+4.1%
6 months
+8.1%
1 year
+21.2%
The full WM chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open WM in Gekko

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About Waste Management

Waste Management provides waste collection, transfer, and disposal services across North America, working with households, businesses, industrial sites, and local governments. It picks up trash and recyclable materials and moves them to transfer stations, recovery facilities, or landfills, and it is recognized for this collection-to-disposal chain that spans the continent.

The company runs and develops its own landfill sites, including facilities that convert landfill gas into energy, along with a large number of transfer stations and material recovery facilities. Its work goes beyond basic pickup and dumping: it processes recyclable commodities, brokers recyclables on behalf of other companies, takes on construction and remediation work, handles residue from coal and fuel combustion such as fly ash, offers consulting-style in-plant waste management support, and provides disposal services tailored to oil and gas exploration and production operations.

The company traces back to 1987, when it was incorporated as USA Waste Services, Inc., before taking the Waste Management name in 1998. It is headquartered in Houston, Texas, and its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker WM.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Industrial services
Industry
Environmental services
Website
wm.com

Waste Management GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Waste Management’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 49.6, in the Neutral zone, down 2.2 points over five sessions.

010049.6Neutral

Down 2.2 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying30+0.5%+2.8%+8.4%+10.2%
Accumulation215+0.4%+0.6%+0.7%+1.8%
Neutral (current zone)396+0.1%+0.1%−0.3%−0.3%
Distribution44−0.6%+0.4%+2.4%+1.7%
Selling12+1.4%+2.0%+6.8%+8.9%

Average WM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the WM price, zone by zone.Track WM in Gekko

Is Waste Management stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Waste Management trades 1.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $235.62, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Waste Management shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$235.62

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

1.2% above fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 19.7% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$236$235Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open WM in Gekko

Waste Management insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Waste Management, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for WM in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every WM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open WM in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in WM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for WM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open WM in Gekko

Buybacks

Waste Management has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
$580.0M
As a share of market cap
0.61%
Trailing four quarters
$1.58B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds WM.

0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Waste Management earnings: next date and track record

Waste Management reports on Jan 27, 2027 (83 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+4.1%Jan ’25+0.2%Apr ’25+2.6%Jul ’25−4.9%Oct ’25−3.5%Jan ’26+1.8%Apr ’26−0.5%Jul ’26−6.6%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 27, 2026 AI summary

What they said
WM reported Q3 2026 results with revenue growth of 6.3% and operating EBITDA growth of 5.8%, maintaining EBITDA margins at 31% despite fuel headwinds. Free cash flow grew 20% year-over-year while SG&A was reduced to 9.3%. The healthcare solutions segment showed a strong turnaround with revenue up year-over-year and operating EBITDA growing 33%. CEO Jim Fish announced retirement in early January, with President John Morris set to succeed him.
Guidance
Full-year revenue and free cash flow are expected to finish at the high end of guidance ranges. Management expressed confidence in achieving or beating original operating EBITDA guidance for the year, consistent with performance in every year except 2020.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 27, 2026$2.15
est $2.18
−1.4%$6.85B
est $6.81B
+0.5%−6.6%
Jul 28, 2026$2.02
est $1.99
+1.5%$6.68B
est $6.71B
−0.4%−0.5%
Apr 28, 2026$1.81
est $1.75
+3.4%$6.23B
est $6.28B
−0.8%+1.8%
Jan 28, 2026$1.93
est $1.95
−1.0%$6.31B
est $6.39B
−1.2%−3.5%
Oct 27, 2025$1.98
est $2.03
−2.5%$6.44B
est $6.49B
−0.8%−4.9%
Jul 28, 2025$1.92
est $1.89
+1.6%$6.43B
est $6.36B
+1.1%+2.6%
Apr 28, 2025$1.67
est $1.59
+5.0%$6.02B
est $6.11B
−1.5%+0.2%
Jan 29, 2025$1.70
est $1.80
−5.6%$5.89B
est $5.84B
+1.0%+4.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Waste Management stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Waste Management is $255.36, +7.1% from the last close, from 20 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$255.36consensus 12-month target, +7.1% from the last close
Low $220High $283
Buy13
Hold7
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 20 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 30UBSBuy, reiterated$280+17.4%
Oct 29Wells FargoBuy, reiterated$268+12.4%
Oct 29BernsteinBuy, maintained$270+13.2%
Oct 29OppenheimerBuy, maintained$263+10.3%
Oct 29Truist FinancialBuy, maintained$260+9.0%
−0.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+5.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Waste Management seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Waste Management averaged +5.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+1.6%2021+7.7%2022+2.3%2023+5.0%2024+7.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.9%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.9%5 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.5%5 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.2%5 of 5
Next 30 trading days+2.9%4 of 5

For scale, WM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.5%.

Waste Management market cap and key statistics

Waste Management’s market cap is $94.83B, with a P/E ratio of 31.2 and revenue of $26.07B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$94.83B
P/E ratio
31.2
Forward P/E
25.5
EPS, TTM
$7.62
Gekko Fair Value
$235.62

Trading

Volume
2.10M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.50M
52-week high
$248.13
52-week low
$197.46
Shares outstanding
397.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$26.07B
Profit margin
11.8%
Return on equity
31.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+37.6%

Risk and income

Beta
0.39
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±3.5%
Dividend yield
1.57%

Waste Management stock news this week

Coverage of Waste Management this week reads neutral: 8 positive, 10 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Waste Management peers

Waste Management’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
RSGRepublic Services+0.1%Neutral1.9% below
WCNWaste Connections+1.6%Distribution25.9% above
GFLGFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value−2.5%Neutral16.2% above
CLHClean Harbors−2.6%Buying6.1% above
CWSTCasella Waste Systems+0.4%Neutral24.1% below
NVRIEnviri+5.5%Neutral13.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Waste Management stock FAQ

What is Waste Management’s market cap?

Waste Management’s market cap is $94.83B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $238.49, with 397.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 31.2.

What is the Waste Management stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Waste Management is $255.36, +7.1% from the last close. Of the 20 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 13 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Waste Management stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Waste Management is about fair value: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $238.49 is 1.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $235.62. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Waste Management report earnings next?

Waste Management is expected to report on Jan 27, 2027 (83 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.06 per share on revenue of $6.71B. Waste Management beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 3% on average across the report.

What is Waste Management’s 52-week high and low?

Waste Management’s 52-week high is $248.13 and its 52-week low is $197.46; it closed at $238.49 on Nov 4, 2026, +21.2% over the past year.

Is Waste Management stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk and seasonality), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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