NASDAQ: CWST

Casella Waste Systems (CWST) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$81.60−0.64 (−0.8%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Casella Waste Systems releases its 2026 Sustainability Report this week, pointing to progress in employee, infrastructure and service investment, while broader coverage recaps the stock's price history and financial metrics. A fund's 13F filing also shows a new position taken in the stock, though this remains background to the sustainability update.

CWST closes at $81.60, down 0.8%, sitting below both its 50-day ($90.47) and 200-day ($91.63) moving averages, with the shorter average also under the longer one, reflecting a downward trend. The stock has fallen 12.3% over one month and 13.4% over three months, though it remains up 8.8% over six months. The GekkoIndex reads 72.8, placing it in the Buying zone, up 4.8 over five days. Price sits 35.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $126.61, within a 52-week range of $74.05 to $107.96.

Earnings are scheduled for 4 November 2026, 36 days out, falling outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging a 1.1% gain, positive in 3 of those years. Analyst coverage from 8 firms shows 6 buy, 1 hold and 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $111.80. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows, leaving smart-money positioning without a recent signal to note.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Casella Waste Systems price vs fair value

$126.61$81.60Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $81.60200-day averageGekko Fair Value $126.61

Casella Waste Systems quick facts

Market cap
$5.11B
P/E ratio
1028
Forward P/E
56.2
EPS, TTM
$0.08
Revenue, TTM
$1.96B
Profit margin
0.3%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.74
Volume
557,231 avg 509,932
1-year return
−7.5%
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±4.7%
50-day average
$90.47
200-day average
$91.63
Next earnings
Nov 4
Shares outstanding
62.65M
52-week range
$74.05$107.96

Casella Waste Systems swing-trade checklist

Casella Waste Systems scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $81.60 is below the 50-day ($90.47) and 200-day ($91.63) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    72.8, Buying

    Reading 72.8 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    35.6% below

    Price is 35.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 36 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Casella Waste Systems stock chart and price history

Casella Waste Systems closed at $81.60 on Sep 28, 2026, −7.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $74.05 to $107.96.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Casella Waste Systems share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$90$100$110NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep81.60

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−12.3%
3 months
−13.4%
6 months
+8.8%
1 year
−7.5%
The full CWST chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CWST in Gekko

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About Casella Waste Systems

Casella Waste Systems manages solid waste for communities and businesses across the northeastern United States. Its work spans collecting, transferring, disposing of, and recycling waste, along with handling organic waste streams. Customers include households, companies, municipalities, institutions, and industrial sites, and the company is known for running this full chain of waste handling as a single, connected operation rather than separate pieces.

The business is built around a network of facilities that carry waste from pickup through to final disposal, including collection operations, transfer stations, recycling centers, landfills, and landfill gas-to-energy sites, plus a facility for construction and demolition debris. Beyond managing waste directly, Casella sells recovered materials such as metals, plastics, and paper products like cardboard, drawing on output from its own recycling facilities as well as material bought from other suppliers. It also brokers waste-related commodities as part of its operations.

Casella Waste Systems was founded in 1975 and is based in Rutland, Vermont. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker CWST.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Industrial services
Industry
Environmental services
Website
casella.com

Casella Waste Systems GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Casella Waste Systems’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 72.8, in the Buying zone, up 4.8 points over five sessions.

010072.8Buying

Up 4.8 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)21+2.3%+3.7%−4.1%−1.9%
Accumulation196+0.3%0.0%+0.7%+3.3%
Neutral409−0.2%0.0%+0.1%−0.8%
Distribution37+0.4%+0.8%+2.0%+1.4%
Selling9Too few readings yet

Average CWST share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CWST price, zone by zone.Track CWST in Gekko

Is Casella Waste Systems stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Casella Waste Systems trades 35.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $126.61, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Casella Waste Systems shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$126.61

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

35.6% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CWST in Gekko

Casella Waste Systems insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Casella Waste Systems, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CWST in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CWST insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CWST in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CWST were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CWST, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CWST in Gekko

Casella Waste Systems earnings: next date and track record

Casella Waste Systems reports on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away).

Casella Waste Systems stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Casella Waste Systems is $111.80, +37.0% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$111.80consensus 12-month target, +37.0% from the last close
Low $104High $130
Buy6
Hold1
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 1Goldman SachsBuy, maintained$120+47.1%
Aug 12JefferiesBuy, maintained$120+47.1%
Aug 10TD CowenBuy, reiterated$130+59.3%
Aug 10J.P. MorganHold, reiterated$105+28.7%
Aug 10BarclaysBuy, maintained$104+27.5%
−4.1%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+1.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Casella Waste Systems seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Casella Waste Systems averaged +1.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+6.0%20210.0%2022−2.4%2023+4.0%2024−1.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.8%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.3%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.3%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.1%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+4.4%4 of 5

For scale, CWST’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.7%.

Casella Waste Systems market cap and key statistics

Casella Waste Systems’s market cap is $5.11B, with a P/E ratio of 1028 and revenue of $1.96B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$5.11B
P/E ratio
1028
Forward P/E
56.2
EPS, TTM
$0.08
Gekko Fair Value
$126.61

Trading

Volume
557,231
Avg volume, 20 days
509,932
52-week high
$107.96
52-week low
$74.05
Shares outstanding
62.65M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.96B
Profit margin
0.3%
Return on equity
0.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−25.9%

Risk and income

Beta
0.74
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±4.7%

Casella Waste Systems stock news this week

3 headlines about Casella Waste Systems from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Casella Waste Systems peers

Casella Waste Systems’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
WMWaste Management−0.3%Buying16.7% below
RSGRepublic Services+0.4%Accumulation9.5% below
WCNWaste Connections+0.3%Buying6.1% above
CLHClean Harbors0.0%Neutral15.3% above
GFLGFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value−1.7%Neutral10.0% above
PCTPureCycle Technologies−4.7%Buying40.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Casella Waste Systems stock FAQ

What is Casella Waste Systems’s market cap?

Casella Waste Systems’s market cap is $5.11B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $81.60, with 62.65M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 1028.

What is the Casella Waste Systems stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Casella Waste Systems is $111.80, +37.0% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Casella Waste Systems stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Casella Waste Systems is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $81.60 is 35.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $126.61. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Casella Waste Systems report earnings next?

Casella Waste Systems is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.37 per share on revenue of $563.1M.

What is Casella Waste Systems’s 52-week high and low?

Casella Waste Systems’s 52-week high is $107.96 and its 52-week low is $74.05; it closed at $81.60 on Sep 28, 2026, −7.5% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $121.24 on May 7, 2025.

Is Casella Waste Systems stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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