Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for WCN in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every WCN insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open WCN in Gekko
NYSE: WCN
Waste Connections (WCN) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$155.33+0.10 (+0.1%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:16 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
Waste Connections closed at $155.33 on 18 September 2026, +0.1% on the day. The price sits between the 50-day ($166.14) and 200-day ($164.86) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $146.89 to $179.74. The GekkoIndex reads 72.9, in the Buying zone, up 7.3 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $149.76, so the price is 3.7% above it.
The next earnings report is due on 20 October 2026, 30 days away. Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 7 times, with an average move of 2.8% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged -2% over the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
A typical daily move is about 1.9%, and a typical 20-day move about 3.2%. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 items read supportive and 1 reads as a headwind (seasonality).
Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $155.33200-day averageGekko Fair Value $149.76
Key stats
- Market cap
- $39.15B
- P/E ratio
- 37.8
- Forward P/E
- 18.2
- EPS, TTM
- $4.11
- Revenue, TTM
- $9.76B
- Profit margin
- 10.9%
- Dividend yield
- 0.87%
- Beta
- 0.47
- Volume
- 1.18M avg 912,465
- 1-year return
- −10.4%
- Typical daily move
- ±1.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.2%
- 50-day average
- $166.14
- 200-day average
- $164.86
- Next earnings
- Oct 20
- Shares outstanding
- 251.6M
Waste Connections swing-trade checklist
Waste Connections scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $155.33 sits between the 50-day ($166.14) and 200-day ($164.86) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
72.9, Buying
Reading 72.9 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
3.7% above
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3.7% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 30 days
Next report Oct 20, 2026, 30 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−2.0% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Waste Connections stock chart and price history
Waste Connections closed at $155.33 on Sep 18, 2026, −10.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $146.89 to $179.74.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −8.0%
- 3 months
- +0.9%
- 6 months
- −5.8%
- 1 year
- −10.4%
The full WCN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open WCN in Gekko
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About Waste Connections
Waste Connections handles non-hazardous waste across the United States and Canada, covering collection, transfer, disposal and recovery of materials. It works with households, businesses, municipalities, industrial sites, and oil and gas exploration and production operations, and it is known for combining everyday waste collection with specialized handling of drilling and production byproducts such as fluids, cuttings and contaminated soils.
Its operations run through landfills that take in waste for final disposal, transfer stations that consolidate and move material by truck, rail or barge, and recycling facilities that process items like paper, plastics, glass, compostables and metals. In the Pacific Northwest it also runs intermodal services, moving cargo and waste containers by rail. On top of these core services, the company leases equipment to its customer base, which spans residential, commercial, municipal, industrial and energy-sector clients.
Waste Connections was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Woodbridge, Canada. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker WCN.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Industrial services
- Industry
- Environmental services
- Website
- wasteconnections.com
Waste Connections GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Waste Connections’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 72.9, in the Buying zone, up 7.3 points over five sessions.
72.9Buying
Up 7.3 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 26 | +0.8% | +3.5% | ||
| Accumulation | 218 | +0.8% | +1.2% | ||
| Neutral | 382 | −0.4% | −0.7% | ||
| Distribution | 32 | +0.3% | +2.6% | ||
| Selling | 4 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average WCN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the WCN price, zone by zone.Track WCN in Gekko
Is Waste Connections stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Waste Connections trades 3.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $149.76, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Waste Connections shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$149.76
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
3.7% above fair value · About fair value
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open WCN in Gekko
Waste Connections insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Waste Connections, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in WCN were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for WCN, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open WCN in Gekko
Buybacks
Waste Connections has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $330.5M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.84%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds WCN.
0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Waste Connections earnings: next date and track record
Waste Connections reports on Oct 20, 2026 (30 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 20, 2026
30 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.51
- Revenue estimate
- $2.61B
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.8%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Waste Connections reported strong Q2 2026 results with revenue of $2.562 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $840.1 million, both ahead of expectations. Management highlighted over 6% growth in revenue and EBITDA year-over-year, adjusted EBITDA margin expansion to 32.8% (70 bps underlying expansion), and solid organic core pricing (~5.6% core price, total price 6.7%) that outpaced expectations. Volumes were down ~1.9% due to macroeconomic uncertainty and a rapid spike in fuel costs that increased churn and paused some construction-related activity. Management raised its full-year 2026 outlook and emphasized drivers including improved employee retention, record safety performance, AI investments (pricing, routing, customer service), and ongoing M&A. Key capital items include RNG spend (about $75 million this year), Chiquita Canyon closure cash outflows guidance of $100–$150 million in 2026, opportunistic land purchases, and ordinary course CapEx in fleet and landfills. Management reiterated expectations for continued margin expansion (50–70 bps for solid waste) and projected double-digit adjusted free cash flow per share growth in 2026 with an expectation of further improvement in 2027 as RNG and Chiquita spending abate.
- Guidance
- Increased full-year 2026 outlook (company did not provide a single consolidated numeric EPS or revenue target on the call). Specific forward-looking items disclosed: full-year core price expected at or above 5.5%; maintained underlying solid waste margin expansion expectation of 50–70 basis points; expect to fully recover higher fuel costs over time via surcharges; acquisition rollover contribution to 2027 about $30 million (incremental contribution included ~$50 million to 2026 outlook); Chiquita Canyon cash outflows guidance of $100–$150 million in 2026 (stepping down in 2027 and 2028); RNG-related capital spend of ~$75 million in 2026 with remaining spend in 2027 de minimis; expect double-digit adjusted free cash flow per share growth in 2026 and similar momentum into 2027; normalized free cash flow conversion expected in the 48–50% range once lumpy items abate; AI investments of ~$100 million across programs targeting ~ $100 million EBITDA improvement by 2028–2029 (pricing AI ~ $20M run-rate already realized; routing AI expected $40–50M by 2028–29; customer-facing AI ~$20–35M).
- Risks flagged
- Fuel price volatility and related surcharge timing/impact; lower commodity values versus prior year; macroeconomic/geopolitical uncertainty and demand softness (construction, industrial activity) that depress volumes; increased churn driven by customer price sensitivity to surcharges; regulatory risks including PFAS related leachate treatment requirements; Chiquita Canyon closure cash outflows and related accounting/impairments; interest-rate and macro impacts on M&A and volume demand; timing risk on M&A closings; lumpy capital projects (RNG, landfill development) and execution risk on AI projects; reliance on non-GAAP measures and forward-looking assumptions.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | $1.50 est $1.35 | $2.54B est $2.51B | −0.3% |
| Apr 22, 2026 | $1.23 est $1.19 | $2.33B est $2.32B | +6.9% |
| Feb 11, 2026 | $1.29 est $1.28 | $2.35B est $2.38B | −7.7% |
| Oct 21, 2025 | $1.44 est $1.38 | $2.46B est $2.37B | +2.6% |
| Jul 23, 2025 | $1.29 est $1.25 | $2.45B est $2.49B | +1.9% |
| Apr 23, 2025 | $1.13 est $1.08 | $2.23B est $2.41B | −0.6% |
| Feb 12, 2025 | $1.16 est $1.19 | $2.26B est $2.24B | −0.6% |
| Oct 23, 2024 | $1.35 est $1.29 | $2.34B est $2.25B | −1.5% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Waste Connections stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Waste Connections is $201.08, +29.5% from the last close.
$201.08consensus 12-month target, +29.5% from the last close
+3.5%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−2.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Waste Connections seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Waste Connections averaged −2.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −1.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −2.7% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −2.4% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −2.0% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −3.0% | 1 of 5 |
For scale, WCN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.2%.
Waste Connections market cap and key statistics
Waste Connections’s market cap is $39.15B, with a P/E ratio of 37.8 and revenue of $9.76B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $39.15B
- P/E ratio
- 37.8
- Forward P/E
- 18.2
- EPS, TTM
- $4.11
- Gekko Fair Value
- $149.76
Trading
- Volume
- 1.18M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 912,465
- 52-week high
- $179.74
- 52-week low
- $146.89
- Shares outstanding
- 251.6M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $9.76B
- Profit margin
- 10.9%
- Return on equity
- 13%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +4.4%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.47
- Typical daily move
- ±1.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.2%
- Dividend yield
- 0.87%
Waste Connections stock news this week
Coverage of Waste Connections this week reads positive: 3 positive, 0 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Here's Why Investors Must Hold WCN Stock in Their Portfolios NowTradingView, Sep 18
- Waste Connections stock gains on UBS upgrade and solid second-quarter figuresAD HOC NEWS, Sep 18
- Waste Connections, Inc. Stock Slips 0.91%: Landfill Integration Dynamics, Secondary Market Pricing Scrutiny, and Valuation Multiple Discipline Weigh on Market Sentimentkalkine.ca, Sep 18
- UBS upgrades Waste Connections stock rating on valuation, cash flow outlookInvesting.com, Sep 18
- Reviewing Knightscope (NASDAQ:KSCP) & Waste Connections (NYSE:WCN)Defense World, Sep 16
Waste Connections peers
Waste Connections’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| WMWaste Management | Accumulation | 18.4% below |
| RSGRepublic Services | Accumulation | 10.4% below |
| CLHClean Harbors | Neutral | 16.4% above |
| GFLGFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value | Neutral | 12.8% above |
| CWSTCasella Waste Systems | Accumulation | 31.5% below |
| NVRIEnviri | Accumulation | 16.3% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Waste Connections stock FAQ
What is Waste Connections’s market cap?
Waste Connections’s market cap is $39.15B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $155.33, with 251.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 37.8.
What is the Waste Connections stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Waste Connections is $201.08, +29.5% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Waste Connections stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Waste Connections is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $155.33 is 3.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $149.76. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Waste Connections report earnings next?
Waste Connections is expected to report on Oct 20, 2026 (30 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.51 per share on revenue of $2.61B. Waste Connections beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.8% on average across the report.
What is Waste Connections’s 52-week high and low?
Waste Connections’s 52-week high is $179.74 and its 52-week low is $146.89; it closed at $155.33 on Sep 18, 2026, −10.4% over the past year.
Is Waste Connections stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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