Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for WCN in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every WCN insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open WCN in Gekko
NYSE: WCN
Waste Connections (WCN) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$191.81+5.15 (+2.8%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeWaste Connections touches a fresh 52-week high this week, with shares reaching $192.64 before closing at $191.81, up 2.8%. Argus raised its target price on the stock to $200.00, citing the company's standing as the third-largest integrated provider of solid waste and recycling services in North America. A cash dividend of $0.385 was also announced, with an ex-date of November 5, 2026.
The stock trades well above both its 50-day average of $164.56 and its 200-day average of $163.80, consistent with a strong uptrend that has produced a one-month return of 24.1% and a six-month return of 25%. The GekkoIndex reading sits at 43.5, placing the stock in the Distribution zone, down 2 points over the last five readings. Against this, Gekko Fair Value stands at $152.31, putting the current price 25.9% above that level.
The next earnings date falls on 10 February 2027, 97 days away, placing it outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the last report on 21 October 2026 beat estimates ($1.58 against $1.52) and triggered a 9.1% reaction, part of a run of 7 beats in the last 8 quarters. Over the last 30 days there has been 1 unusual options signal, with call premium of $780,690 against no put premium. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 3.8% return over 5 years, rising in 4 of them. The consensus target sits at $206.48, implying 7.6% upside from current levels.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Waste Connections price vs fair value
Close $191.81200-day averageGekko Fair Value $152.31
Waste Connections quick facts
- Market cap
- $48.00B
- P/E ratio
- 42.2
- Forward P/E
- 29.8
- EPS, TTM
- $4.46
- Revenue, TTM
- $9.94B
- Profit margin
- 11.4%
- Dividend yield
- 0.76%
- Beta
- 0.42
- Volume
- 4.58M avg 2.18M
- 1-year return
- +15.7%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.4%
- 50-day average
- $164.56
- 200-day average
- $163.80
- Next earnings
- Feb 10
- Shares outstanding
- 250.2M
Waste Connections swing-trade checklist
Waste Connections scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $191.81 is above the 50-day ($164.56) and 200-day ($163.80) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexheadwind
43.5, Distribution
Reading 43.5 is in the Distribution zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
25.9% above
Price is 25.9% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 97 days
Next report Feb 10, 2027, 97 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+3.8% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.8% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Waste Connections stock chart and price history
Waste Connections closed at $191.81 on Nov 4, 2026, +15.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $146.89 to $192.64.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +24.1%
- 3 months
- +14.6%
- 6 months
- +25.0%
- 1 year
- +15.7%
The full WCN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open WCN in Gekko
Follow Waste Connections through every session
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About Waste Connections
Waste Connections handles non-hazardous waste across the United States and Canada, covering collection, transfer, disposal and recovery of materials. It works with households, businesses, municipalities, industrial sites, and oil and gas exploration and production operations, and it is known for combining everyday waste collection with specialized handling of drilling and production byproducts such as fluids, cuttings and contaminated soils.
Its operations run through landfills that take in waste for final disposal, transfer stations that consolidate and move material by truck, rail or barge, and recycling facilities that process items like paper, plastics, glass, compostables and metals. In the Pacific Northwest it also runs intermodal services, moving cargo and waste containers by rail. On top of these core services, the company leases equipment to its customer base, which spans residential, commercial, municipal, industrial and energy-sector clients.
Waste Connections was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Woodbridge, Canada. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker WCN.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Industrial services
- Industry
- Environmental services
- Website
- wasteconnections.com
Waste Connections GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Waste Connections’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 43.5, in the Distribution zone, down 2 points over five sessions.
43.5Distribution
Down 2 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 38 | +0.4% | +6.9% | ||
| Accumulation | 232 | +0.8% | +1.0% | ||
| Neutral | 388 | −0.3% | −0.9% | ||
| Distribution (current zone) | 35 | +0.5% | +2.6% | ||
| Selling | 4 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average WCN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the WCN price, zone by zone.Track WCN in Gekko
Is Waste Connections stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Waste Connections trades 25.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $152.31, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Waste Connections shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$152.31
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
25.9% Overvalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 8.2% above the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open WCN in Gekko
Waste Connections insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Waste Connections, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in WCN were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for WCN, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open WCN in Gekko
Buybacks
Waste Connections has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
- $329.9M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.69%
- Trailing four quarters
- $1.01B
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
1signal, 100% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 16, $781K in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds WCN.
0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
Waste Connections earnings: next date and track record
Waste Connections reports on Feb 10, 2027 (97 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Feb 10, 2027
97 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.40
- Revenue estimate
- $2.53B
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.7%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | $1.58 est $1.52 | $2.60B est $2.60B | +9.1% |
| Jul 22, 2026 | $1.50 est $1.35 | $2.54B est $2.51B | −0.3% |
| Apr 22, 2026 | $1.23 est $1.19 | $2.33B est $2.32B | +6.9% |
| Feb 11, 2026 | $1.29 est $1.28 | $2.35B est $2.38B | −7.7% |
| Oct 21, 2025 | $1.44 est $1.38 | $2.46B est $2.37B | +2.6% |
| Jul 23, 2025 | $1.29 est $1.25 | $2.45B est $2.49B | +1.9% |
| Apr 23, 2025 | $1.13 est $1.08 | $2.23B est $2.41B | −0.6% |
| Feb 12, 2025 | $1.16 est $1.19 | $2.26B est $2.24B | −0.6% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Waste Connections stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Waste Connections is $206.48, +7.6% from the last close.
$206.48consensus 12-month target, +7.6% from the last close
+2.6%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
+3.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Waste Connections seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Waste Connections averaged +3.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.2% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +2.5% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.2% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +3.8% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +1.5% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, WCN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.4%.
Waste Connections market cap and key statistics
Waste Connections’s market cap is $48.00B, with a P/E ratio of 42.2 and revenue of $9.94B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $48.00B
- P/E ratio
- 42.2
- Forward P/E
- 29.8
- EPS, TTM
- $4.46
- Gekko Fair Value
- $152.31
Trading
- Volume
- 4.58M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.18M
- 52-week high
- $192.64
- 52-week low
- $146.89
- Shares outstanding
- 250.2M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $9.94B
- Profit margin
- 11.4%
- Return on equity
- 14.2%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +28.8%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.42
- Typical daily move
- ±2.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.4%
- Dividend yield
- 0.76%
Waste Connections stock news this week
Coverage of Waste Connections this week reads positive: 6 positive, 5 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
- Waste Connections Inc (UI51.HA) Seasonal returns chart - Yahoo FinanceYahoo Finance Singapore, Nov 3
- Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) Stock ForecastsYahoo! Finance Canada, Nov 3
- Waste Connections Inc. stock rises Monday, outperforms marketMarketWatch, Nov 2
- Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) Stock Price, News, Quote & HistoryYahoo! Finance Canada, Oct 31
- Waste Connections Inc. stock rises Friday, outperforms marketMarketWatch, Oct 30
- Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN.TO) Stock Price, News, Quote & HistoryYahoo! Finance Canada, Oct 30
Waste Connections peers
Waste Connections’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| WMWaste Management | Neutral | 1.2% above |
| RSGRepublic Services | Neutral | 1.9% below |
| GFLGFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value | Neutral | 16.2% above |
| CLHClean Harbors | Buying | 6.1% above |
| CWSTCasella Waste Systems | Neutral | 24.1% below |
| NVRIEnviri | Neutral | 13.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Waste Connections stock FAQ
What is Waste Connections’s market cap?
Waste Connections’s market cap is $48.00B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $191.81, with 250.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 42.2.
What is the Waste Connections stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Waste Connections is $206.48, +7.6% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Waste Connections stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Waste Connections is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $191.81 is 25.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $152.31. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Waste Connections report earnings next?
Waste Connections is expected to report on Feb 10, 2027 (97 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.40 per share on revenue of $2.53B. Waste Connections beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.7% on average across the report.
What is Waste Connections’s 52-week high and low?
Waste Connections’s 52-week high is $192.64 and its 52-week low is $146.89; it closed at $191.81 on Nov 4, 2026, +15.7% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $201.66 on Apr 3, 2025.
Is Waste Connections stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in Waste Connections?
Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Waste Connections over the last 30 days, with $781K of flagged premium in calls and $0 in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 16, 2026 with $781K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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