Nov 4 close
Republic Services reported Q3 2026 results with an EPS beat and raised full-year guidance, with revenue growth of 8.2% and adjusted EPS of $1.94 against an estimate of $1.93, prompting comparisons with Waste Management that flagged Republic's stronger momentum. Coverage also pointed to statutory earnings of $1.93 per share and revenue of $4.6 billion, exceeding predictions by 3.2%, alongside updated 2026 revenue guidance of $17.425 billion to $17.475 billion, with small and large container volumes each up 50 basis points. Analyst commentary following the results was described as bullish, and a Morningstar note cited fuel surcharges and environmental services as drivers of the top line.
RSG closed at $245.41, up 1% on the day, sitting above both its 50-day average of $223.82 and 200-day average of $217.28, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reading of 46.6 places the stock in the Neutral zone, down 3.6 over the past five readings. Price sits 1.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $250.23, and the stock trades near its 52-week high of $249.37.
The next earnings date is 16 February 2027, 103 days away, outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Over the last 90 days, insider activity shows 85 open-market purchases and Congress shows 1 buy against 0 sales. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 5% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in all 5. The consensus among 21 firms shows 12 buy and 9 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $255.79.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Republic Services scores 4 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $245.41 is above the 50-day ($223.82) and 200-day ($217.28) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart46.6, Neutral
Reading 46.6 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex1.9% below
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (1.9% below).
See fair valueLeans bullish
Last 90 days: 85 open-market insider purchases; Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.
See smart moneyReports in 103 days
Next report Feb 16, 2027, 103 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings+5.0% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
See seasonalityA description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Republic Services closed at $245.41 on Nov 4, 2026, +19.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $196.41 to $249.37.
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Put RSG on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Republic Services helps households and businesses across the country get rid of trash and recover usable materials. Crews pick up waste at the curb and haul it to sorting yards, dumps, or recycling plants, while the company also rents out bins and compacting equipment. It has built a strong reputation for combining routine garbage pickup with the recovery of items like cardboard, paper, metal, and glass for resale.
Its operations extend into running landfill sites and transfer points, taking in commodities to clean and resell, and handling disposal of industrial waste that isn't classified as hazardous, including liquid waste and the logistics needed to move it. The company also runs projects that turn landfill gas into usable energy. Customers range from individual homes to small businesses and larger commercial operations needing bigger containers.
Republic Services traces its start to 1996 and runs its main offices out of Phoenix, Arizona. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker RSG.
Republic Services’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 46.6, in the Neutral zone, down 3.6 points over five sessions.
Down 3.6 points over five sessions.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 18 | +0.9% | +4.7% |
| Accumulation | 207 | +0.5% | +0.6% |
| Neutral (current zone) | 408 | +0.1% | +0.6% |
| Distribution | 53 | +0.5% | +2.3% |
| Selling | 11 | +1.5% | +7.4% |
Average RSG share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
Republic Services trades 1.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $250.23, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Republic Services shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$250.23
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
1.9% below fair value · About fair value
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 13.5% below the estimate.
Insiders filed 85 open-market purchases in Republic Services worth $1.38B, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
$1.38Bin 85 open-market purchases
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14 | CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C. 10 percent owner | Purchase | $39.40M |
| Sep 14 | CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C. 10 percent owner | Purchase | $30.16M |
| Sep 14 | CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C. 10 percent owner | Purchase | $23.96M |
| Sep 14 | CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C. 10 percent owner | Purchase | $21.81M |
| Sep 14 | CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C. 10 percent owner | Purchase | $10.68M |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.
| Member | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Gottheimer House, NJ, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Sep 15 traded Aug 6 |
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Republic Services has been buying back its own shares.
From company filings.
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold RSG.
Republic Services reports on Feb 16, 2027, after the close (103 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Feb 16, 2027
Expected after the close, 103 days away
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | $1.94 est $1.93 | $4.56B est $4.42B | +4.6% |
| Aug 6, 2026 | $1.85 est $1.81 | $4.43B est $4.36B | +3.6% |
| May 7, 2026 | $1.70 est $1.64 | $4.11B est $4.10B | +0.2% |
| Feb 17, 2026 | $1.76 est $1.62 | $4.14B est $4.21B | −2.8% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $1.90 est $1.83 | $4.21B est $4.24B | −1.1% |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $1.77 est $1.77 | $4.24B est $4.26B | −4.0% |
| Apr 24, 2025 | $1.58 est $1.53 | $4.01B est $4.05B | +1.0% |
| Feb 13, 2025 | $1.58 est $1.40 | $4.05B est $4.07B | +3.5% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Republic Services is $255.79, +4.2% from the last close, from 21 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 21 firms.
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | Bernstein | $230 | −6.3% |
| Nov 2 | Barclays | $254 | +3.5% |
| Nov 2 | Wells Fargo | $270 | +10.0% |
| Nov 2 | Citi | $281 | +14.5% |
| Oct 30 | Barclays | $254 | +3.5% |
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Republic Services averaged +5.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.8% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +3.3% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +4.8% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +5.0% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +2.7% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, RSG’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.4%.
Republic Services’s market cap is $75.15B, with a P/E ratio of 33.8 and revenue of $17.24B over the last twelve months.
Coverage of Republic Services this week reads positive: 12 positive, 10 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
Republic Services’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| WMWaste Management | Neutral | 1.2% above |
| WCNWaste Connections | Distribution | 25.9% above |
| GFLGFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value | Neutral | 16.2% above |
| CLHClean Harbors | Buying | 6.1% above |
| CWSTCasella Waste Systems | Neutral | 24.1% below |
| NVRIEnviri | Neutral | 13.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Republic Services’s market cap is $75.15B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $245.41, with 304.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 33.8.
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Republic Services is $255.79, +4.2% from the last close. Of the 21 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 12 rate it a buy, 9 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
On Gekko’s estimate Republic Services is about fair value: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $245.41 is 1.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $250.23. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
Republic Services is expected to report on Feb 16, 2027, after the market closes (103 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.78 per share on revenue of $4.37B. Republic Services beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.6% on average across the report.
Republic Services’s 52-week high is $249.37 and its 52-week low is $196.41; it closed at $245.41 on Nov 4, 2026, +19.5% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $258.75 on Jun 3, 2025.
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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