NYSE: RSG

Republic Services (RSG) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Republic Services, Inc. Industrial services sector, environmental services industry. Market cap $67.09B.

$218.07−0.86 (−0.4%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Republic Services closes at $218.07, down 0.4%, with the close sitting between its 50-day average of $218.37 and 200-day average of $215.23. The GekkoIndex reads 62.2, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price stands 10.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $243.48.

Coverage this week centers on Republic Services' Q2 results and how it compares against waste management peers including Waste Management, Clean Harbors, and Quest Resource. Commentary points to strong pricing, margin expansion, and cash flow, alongside raised 2026 guidance for revenue of $17.2 to $17.3 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $5.525 to $5.55 billion, and adjusted free cash flow of $2.54 to $2.575 billion. Wolfe Research reiterated a peer perform rating, while other coverage describes a hold stance given valuation. Separately, Cascade Investment made multiple purchases, including 580,810 shares for $129.31 million and 256,000 shares for $56.9 million, and Bank of America Corp DE reported a new stake of 3,203,365 shares valued near $682.5 million.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings date falls on 29 October 2026, after the close, 39 days out. In the last 90 days there were 85 insider purchases and 1 Congress buy with 0 sales. Seasonally, this point in the calendar has averaged a 1.6% decline over 5 years, rising in 2 of them, worth noting against the current gap to fair value.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $218.07200-day averageGekko Fair Value $243.48

Key stats

Market cap
$67.09B
P/E ratio
31.1
Forward P/E
27.2
EPS, TTM
$7.03
Revenue, TTM
$16.89B
Profit margin
12.9%
Dividend yield
1.14%
Beta
0.40
Volume
3.45M avg 1.64M
1-year return
−3.6%
Typical daily move
±1.7%
Typical 20-day move
±3.3%
50-day average
$218.37
200-day average
$215.23
Next earnings
Oct 29 after close
Shares outstanding
306.2M
52-week range
$196.41$233.42

Republic Services swing-trade checklist

Republic Services scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $218.07 sits between the 50-day ($218.37) and 200-day ($215.23) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    62.2, Accumulation

    Reading 62.2 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    10.4% below

    Price is 10.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 85 open-market insider purchases; Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 39 days

    Next report Oct 29, 2026, 39 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −1.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.6% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Republic Services stock chart and price history

Republic Services closed at $218.07 on Sep 18, 2026, −3.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $196.41 to $233.42.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−1.3%
3 months
+6.4%
6 months
−2.2%
1 year
−3.6%
The full RSG chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open RSG in Gekko

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About Republic Services

Republic Services helps households and businesses across the country get rid of trash and recover usable materials. Crews pick up waste at the curb and haul it to sorting yards, dumps, or recycling plants, while the company also rents out bins and compacting equipment. It has built a strong reputation for combining routine garbage pickup with the recovery of items like cardboard, paper, metal, and glass for resale.

Its operations extend into running landfill sites and transfer points, taking in commodities to clean and resell, and handling disposal of industrial waste that isn't classified as hazardous, including liquid waste and the logistics needed to move it. The company also runs projects that turn landfill gas into usable energy. Customers range from individual homes to small businesses and larger commercial operations needing bigger containers.

Republic Services traces its start to 1996 and runs its main offices out of Phoenix, Arizona. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker RSG.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Industrial services
Industry
Environmental services
Website
republicservices.com

Republic Services GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Republic Services’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62.2, in the Accumulation zone, up 5.2 points over five sessions.

010062.2Accumulation

Up 5.2 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying17+0.7%+2.2%+4.1%+6.2%
Accumulation (current zone)194+0.5%+0.4%+0.1%+0.4%
Neutral393+0.1%+0.3%+0.8%+1.8%
Distribution47+0.3%+1.1%+2.3%+4.0%
Selling11+1.5%+2.5%+7.4%+11.8%

Average RSG share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the RSG price, zone by zone.Track RSG in Gekko

Is Republic Services stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Republic Services trades 10.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $243.48, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Republic Services shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$243.48

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

10.4% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open RSG in Gekko

Republic Services insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 85 open-market purchases in Republic Services worth $1.38B, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$1.38Bin 85 open-market purchases

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Sep 14CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C.
10 percent owner
Purchase176,547$39.40M
Sep 14CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C.
10 percent owner
Purchase135,482$30.16M
Sep 14CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C.
10 percent owner
Purchase108,147$23.96M
Sep 14CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C.
10 percent owner
Purchase97,992$21.81M
Sep 14CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C.
10 percent owner
Purchase47,819$10.68M

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Josh Gottheimer
House, NJ, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 15
traded Aug 6

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Republic Services has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$659.0M
As a share of market cap
0.98%
Trailing four quarters
$1.76B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold RSG.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Republic Services earnings: next date and track record

Republic Services reports on Oct 29, 2026, after the close (39 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.1%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.8%Oct ’24+3.5%Feb ’25+1.0%Apr ’25−4.0%Jul ’25−1.1%Oct ’25−2.8%Feb ’26+0.2%May ’26+3.6%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
RSG reported Q2 2026 revenue growth of 4.6% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 4.5%, maintaining EBITDA margin at 32.1%. Adjusted EPS was $1.85 with $1.58 billion year-to-date adjusted free cash flow. Average yield on total revenue was 3.4%, while organic volume declined 1.9% partly due to prior-year landfill event comps. Customer retention exceeded 94%, and the company continued advancing AI-driven pricing, digital platform deployment, and sustainability initiatives including RNG projects and Polymer Centers.
Guidance
Management expects Environmental Solutions to return to year-over-year revenue growth in H2 2026. Two additional RNG projects are expected to commence operations by year-end, and the third Polymer Center in Allentown is expected to begin commissioning early next year.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026$1.85
est $1.81
+2.2%$4.43B
est $4.36B
+1.5%+3.6%
May 7, 2026$1.70
est $1.64
+3.7%$4.11B
est $4.10B
+0.4%+0.2%
Feb 17, 2026$1.76
est $1.62
+8.6%$4.14B
est $4.21B
−1.7%−2.8%
Oct 30, 2025$1.90
est $1.83
+3.8%$4.21B
est $4.24B
−0.6%−1.1%
Jul 29, 2025$1.77
est $1.77
0.0%$4.24B
est $4.26B
−0.5%−4.0%
Apr 24, 2025$1.58
est $1.53
+3.3%$4.01B
est $4.05B
−0.9%+1.0%
Feb 13, 2025$1.58
est $1.40
+12.9%$4.05B
est $4.07B
−0.7%+3.5%
Oct 29, 2024$1.81
est $1.61
+12.4%$4.08B
est $4.12B
−1.1%−0.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Republic Services stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Republic Services is $245.92, +12.8% from the last close, from 18 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$245.92consensus 12-month target, +12.8% from the last close
Low $227High $272
Buy10
Hold8
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 18 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 17Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained$241+10.5%
Sep 16Wells FargoBuy, maintained$234+7.3%
Sep 15Wolfe ResearchHold, initiated
Sep 8BernsteinHold, maintained$227+4.1%
Sep 2BernsteinHold, maintained$227+4.1%
+0.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−1.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Republic Services seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Republic Services averaged −1.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+3.1%2021−10.4%2022−0.8%2023+2.3%2024−3.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.8%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.5%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.7%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−1.6%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−2.1%1 of 5

For scale, RSG’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.3%.

Republic Services market cap and key statistics

Republic Services’s market cap is $67.09B, with a P/E ratio of 31.1 and revenue of $16.89B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$67.09B
P/E ratio
31.1
Forward P/E
27.2
EPS, TTM
$7.03
Gekko Fair Value
$243.48

Trading

Volume
3.45M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.64M
52-week high
$233.42
52-week low
$196.41
Shares outstanding
306.2M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$16.89B
Profit margin
12.9%
Return on equity
18.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+5.1%

Risk and income

Beta
0.40
Typical daily move
±1.7%
Typical 20-day move
±3.3%
Dividend yield
1.14%

Republic Services stock news this week

Coverage of Republic Services this week reads positive: 10 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Republic Services peers

Republic Services’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
WMWaste Management−0.6%Accumulation18.4% below
WCNWaste Connections−0.8%Buying3.7% above
CLHClean Harbors−0.4%Neutral16.4% above
GFLGFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value−1.5%Neutral12.8% above
CWSTCasella Waste Systems0.0%Accumulation31.5% below
NVRIEnviri+0.6%Accumulation16.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Republic Services stock FAQ

What is Republic Services’s market cap?

Republic Services’s market cap is $67.09B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $218.07, with 306.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 31.1.

What is the Republic Services stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Republic Services is $245.92, +12.8% from the last close. Of the 18 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 8 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Republic Services stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Republic Services is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $218.07 is 10.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $243.48. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Republic Services report earnings next?

Republic Services is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, after the market closes (39 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.92 per share on revenue of $4.40B. Republic Services beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.1% on average across the report.

What is Republic Services’s 52-week high and low?

Republic Services’s 52-week high is $233.42 and its 52-week low is $196.41; it closed at $218.07 on Sep 18, 2026, −3.6% over the past year.

Is Republic Services stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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