NYSE: GFL

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value (GFL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$41.40−0.87 (−2.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

GFL confirms it will release third-quarter 2026 financial results after market close on 28 October, setting the stage for the next earnings update. There is no other company-specific news this week beyond the scheduling announcement.

GFL closed at $41.40, down 2.1%, sitting between its 50-day average of $41.43 and 200-day average of $40.77, a mixed trend picture. The GekkoIndex reads 58, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, up 4.6 over the past five sessions. Price sits 10% above Gekko Fair Value of $37.63, a gap that bears watching. Over the past year the stock is down 11.3%, though three-month returns stand at 12.4% and six-month returns at 6.3%.

The next earnings date falls on 28 October, 29 days away and outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw EPS of $0.08 against a $0.12 estimate, with a -0.1% reaction. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality over five years shows an average 20-day return of 0.1% from this point in the calendar, rising in 3 of those years. Consensus analyst targets sit at $51.05, implying 23.3% upside from current levels. One billionaire holder is recorded in current positioning.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value price vs fair value

$41.40$37.63Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $41.40200-day averageGekko Fair Value $37.63

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value quick facts

Market cap
$14.45B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
37.5
EPS, TTM
−$0.41
Revenue, TTM
$6.97B
Profit margin
-2.9%
Dividend yield
0.20%
Beta
0.49
Volume
2.62M avg 2.85M
1-year return
−11.3%
Typical daily move
±2.9%
Typical 20-day move
±4.9%
50-day average
$41.43
200-day average
$40.77
Next earnings
Oct 28 after close
Shares outstanding
349.1M
52-week range
$33.33$47.66

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value swing-trade checklist

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $41.40 sits between the 50-day ($41.43) and 200-day ($40.77) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    58, Neutral

    Reading 58 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    10.0% above

    Price is 10% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 29 days

    Next report Oct 28, 2026, 29 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +0.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value stock chart and price history

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value closed at $41.40 on Sep 28, 2026, −11.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $33.33 to $47.66.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$35$40$45NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep41.40

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+0.9%
3 months
+12.4%
6 months
+6.3%
1 year
−11.3%
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About GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value

GFL Environmental provides a range of environmental services across Canada and the United States. It is best known for its work in non-hazardous solid waste, covering the full cycle of collection, transport, transfer, recycling and disposal, alongside services in contaminated site cleanup and liquid waste handling.

The business is organised into three main areas. Its solid waste operations serve municipalities, households, and commercial and industrial customers. The infrastructure and soil remediation side focuses on restoring polluted land and also offers civil works, demolition, and excavation and shoring services. Its liquid waste segment collects, transports, treats and disposes of industrial and commercial liquid effluents, and also resells certain byproducts recovered from that process.

GFL was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Vaughan, Canada. Its subordinate voting shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker GFL.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Industrial services
Industry
Environmental services
Website
gflenv.com

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58, in the Neutral zone, up 4.6 points over five sessions.

010058Neutral

Up 4.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying30+3.3%+5.0%+3.7%+3.0%
Accumulation229+0.4%+0.6%+1.8%+4.5%
Neutral (current zone)3840.0%+0.1%+0.1%+0.3%
Distribution28−0.6%+0.3%+0.9%−2.2%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average GFL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GFL price, zone by zone.Track GFL in Gekko

Is GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value trades 10.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $37.63, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$37.63

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

10.0% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GFL in Gekko

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for GFL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every GFL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GFL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in GFL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for GFL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GFL in Gekko

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds GFL.

0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value earnings: next date and track record

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value reports on Oct 28, 2026, after the close (29 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.7%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+4.7%Jul ’24+8.3%Nov ’24+0.2%Feb ’25−0.1%Apr ’25+3.3%Jul ’25+0.5%Nov ’25−4.2%Feb ’26−0.1%Apr ’26

Last earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
GFL reported Q1 2026 adjusted EBITDA margins of 29.1%, expanding 180 basis points and marking the highest Q1 margin in company history. Pricing exceeded plan driven by strong customer retention and EPR tailwinds, while volumes rose 80 basis points year-over-year excluding prior-period one-time items. The company completed 8 acquisitions year-to-date including Frontier Waste Solutions in Texas, and announced the proposed acquisition of SECURE Waste Infrastructure.
Guidance
GFL raised full-year guidance by approximately 5% based on completed acquisitions, with an additional $300-500 million in M&A deployment targeted before year-end representing further upside. Management reaffirmed its long-term goal of low-to-mid-30s adjusted EBITDA margins by 2028.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Apr 29, 2026$0.08
est $0.12
−33.3%$1.18B
est $1.17B
+1.0%−0.1%
Feb 11, 2026$0.36
est $0.19
+89.5%$1.23B
est $1.21B
+1.2%−4.2%
Nov 5, 2025$0.17
est $0.19
−10.5%$1.21B
est $1.67B
−27.1%+0.5%
Jul 30, 2025$0.26
est $0.22
+18.2%$1.23B
est $1.69B
−27.2%+3.3%
Apr 30, 2025−$0.09
est $0.04
−325.0%$1.10B
est $1.52B
−28.1%−0.1%
Feb 18, 2025$0.22
est $0.23
−2.7%$1.38B
est $1.98B
−30.3%+0.2%
Nov 6, 2024$0.24
est $0.25
−4.0%$1.48B
est $1.98B
−25.0%+8.3%
Jul 31, 2024$0.29
est $0.30
−3.3%$1.51B
est $1.49B
+1.4%+4.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value is $51.05, +23.3% from the last close.

$51.05consensus 12-month target, +23.3% from the last close
+0.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+0.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value averaged +0.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+10.5%2021+1.2%2022−12.0%2023+3.9%2024−2.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−2.0%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.1%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.1%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+0.1%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−1.7%2 of 5

For scale, GFL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.9%.

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value market cap and key statistics

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value’s market cap is $14.45B and revenue of $6.97B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$14.45B
Forward P/E
37.5
EPS, TTM
−$0.41
Gekko Fair Value
$37.63

Trading

Volume
2.62M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.85M
52-week high
$47.66
52-week low
$33.33
Shares outstanding
349.1M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$6.97B
Profit margin
-2.9%
Return on equity
-2.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+22.2%

Risk and income

Beta
0.49
Typical daily move
±2.9%
Typical 20-day move
±4.9%
Dividend yield
0.20%

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value stock news this week

1 headline about GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value peers

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
WMWaste Management−0.3%Buying16.7% below
RSGRepublic Services+0.4%Accumulation9.5% below
WCNWaste Connections+0.3%Buying6.1% above
CLHClean Harbors0.0%Neutral15.3% above
CWSTCasella Waste Systems−0.8%Buying35.6% below
PCTPureCycle Technologies−4.7%Buying40.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value stock FAQ

What is GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value’s market cap?

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value’s market cap is $14.45B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $41.40, with 349.1M shares outstanding.

What is the GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value is $51.05, +23.3% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $41.40 is 10.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $37.63. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value report earnings next?

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026, after the market closes (29 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.20 per share on revenue of $1.40B. GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.7% on average across the report.

What is GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value’s 52-week high and low?

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value’s 52-week high is $47.66 and its 52-week low is $33.33; it closed at $41.40 on Sep 28, 2026, −11.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $52.00 on May 5, 2025.

Is GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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