Welltower (WELL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Welltower Inc. Finance sector. Market cap $164.9B.

$228.87−3.39 (−1.5%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:18 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Welltower closes at $228.87, down 1.5% on the day, sitting between its 50-day average of $237.56 and 200-day average of $212.35. The GekkoIndex reads 68.2, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, up 8.7 over the last five readings. Gekko Fair Value stands at $231.77, putting the current price 1.3% below that level. Over the past year the stock has returned 37.9%, with three-month and six-month returns of 10.8% and 11.1% respectively, against a 52-week range of $163.75 to $255.20.

This week's coverage centers on analyst and institutional activity alongside continued senior housing momentum. Jefferies upgraded the stock to Buy and raised its price target to $275 from $261, citing demographics and limited new supply in senior housing. Nykredit A/S disclosed a purchase of 324,783 shares worth approximately $73.7 million, while Bank of America Corp DE reported a new position of over 19 million shares valued at approximately $4.4 billion, equal to about 2.71% of the company. Separately, Welltower completed a $40.6 million acquisition of Arcadia At Limerick Pointe from Vantage Point Retirement Living and Signature Realty Advisors, and reports point to continued double-digit NOI growth in the senior housing portfolio.

The next earnings date falls on 26 October 2026, 36 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the prior report on 27 July showed EPS of $1.60 against an estimate of $1.55, with a subsequent reaction of -3.4%. Insider activity over the last 90 days includes 2 open-market purchases totaling $1,203,825. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -1.4% across 5 years, with gains in 3 of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside 14 of 16 covering analysts rating the stock Buy and a consensus target of $262.23.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $228.87200-day averageGekko Fair Value $231.77

Key stats

Market cap
$164.9B
P/E ratio
104.2
Forward P/E
79.4
EPS, TTM
$2.23
Revenue, TTM
$12.76B
Profit margin
12.1%
Dividend yield
1.31%
Beta
0.76
Volume
7.68M avg 2.66M
1-year return
+37.9%
Typical daily move
±2.2%
Typical 20-day move
±4.4%
50-day average
$237.56
200-day average
$212.35
Next earnings
Oct 26
Shares outstanding
720.6M
52-week range
$163.75$255.20

Welltower swing-trade checklist

Welltower scores 3 supportive, 3 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive3 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $228.87 sits between the 50-day ($237.56) and 200-day ($212.35) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    68.2, Accumulation

    Reading 68.2 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    1.3% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (1.3% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 2 open-market insider purchases.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 36 days

    Next report Oct 26, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    −1.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.4% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Welltower stock chart and price history

Welltower closed at $228.87 on Sep 18, 2026, +37.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $163.75 to $255.20.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−2.9%
3 months
+10.8%
6 months
+11.1%
1 year
+37.9%
The full WELL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open WELL in Gekko

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About Welltower

Welltower funds and owns the buildings where healthcare and elder care actually happen, rather than delivering that care itself. It teams up with established operators who run senior living communities, rehabilitation and recovery facilities, and hospital-linked services, supplying the real estate those groups depend on.

As a real estate investment trust, Welltower makes money by acquiring and leasing out properties used for senior living, recovery care, and outpatient medical treatment. Its tenants are the operating companies that manage day-to-day care on site, and its buildings are concentrated in growing regions spread across America, Canada, and Britain.

The company is headquartered in Toledo, Ohio, and belongs to the S&P 500 index. Its stock is listed on the NYSE under the ticker WELL.

Sector
Finance
Website
welltower.com

Welltower GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Welltower’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68.2, in the Accumulation zone, up 8.7 points over five sessions.

010068.2Accumulation

Up 8.7 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying11+2.3%+3.8%+9.0%+17.0%
Accumulation (current zone)99+1.5%+3.1%+6.5%+12.4%
Neutral454+0.7%+1.4%+3.1%+8.2%
Distribution50+0.2%+0.4%−1.3%+2.0%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average WELL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the WELL price, zone by zone.Track WELL in Gekko

Is Welltower stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Welltower trades 1.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $231.77, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Welltower shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$231.77

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

1.3% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open WELL in Gekko

Welltower insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 2 open-market purchases in Welltower worth $1.20M, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$1.20Min 2 open-market purchases

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Aug 27Gundlach Andrew
director
Purchase2,500$605K
Aug 27Gundlach Andrew
director
Purchase2,500$599K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in WELL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for WELL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open WELL in Gekko

Buybacks

Welltower has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2020
$7.66M
As a share of market cap
0.00%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold WELL.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Welltower earnings: next date and track record

Welltower reports on Oct 26, 2026 (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.1%average move across the report
7 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+5.5%Oct ’24+2.4%Feb ’25+3.1%Apr ’25+2.7%Jul ’25+1.0%Oct ’25+5.4%Feb ’26+1.0%Apr ’26−3.4%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 27, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Welltower's Q2 2026 earnings call highlighted a record quarter driven by the company's shift toward senior housing operating portfolio, strong per-share FFO growth, and significant same-store NOI expansion. Management emphasized their strategic transformation from a spread-investing REIT to an operations and technology-first owner-operator (Welltower 3.0 and Welltower Business System - WBS). Key financials: 25% year-over-year per-share FFO growth, organic revenue growth of 9.2%, total portfolio same-store NOI growth of 15.5%, SHOP portfolio growth of 20.5%, and normalized FFO of $1.60 in Q2; full-year FFO midpoint increased by $0.12 to $6.40 per share. Capital activity included $6.2B of transactions in Q2, $15.5B of investment activity YTD (with ~$9.5B completed), $3.9B raised during the quarter, $6.3B gross investments funded, nearly $1B of senior unsecured notes repaid, and ending net debt/adjusted EBITDA of 2.99x. S&P and Moody's revised outlooks to positive. Management reiterated focus on WBS rollout, talent acquisition, operator alignment (some taking compensation in stock), and margin expansion potential (flow-through margins ~65%). They discussed acquisitions at ~20% below replacement cost with average in-place occupancy ~75%, and expectation for non-same-store assets to season and drive NOI/margin upside. Leadership framed risks (macro/geopolitical uncertainty, labor availability, inflation, interest rates) while expressing confidence in secular demand tailwinds (aging population, wealthy baby-boomer cohort).
Guidance
Management increased full-year 2026 FFO midpoint by $0.12 to a $6.40 per-share midpoint. They also provided operational cadence expectations: WBS rollout timeline ~3 years for current portfolio, expectation to fund ~$6B of incremental investment activity, and ended the quarter with net debt/adjusted EBITDA of ~2.99x. No other explicit numerical guidance beyond FFO update and liquidity/portfolio investment capacity.
Risks flagged
Mentioned risks include macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty (Middle East war, rising rates), inflationary pressures, tightening central bank policy, labor availability and rising labor costs/scarcity, construction cost pressures affecting development economics, and potential execution risks integrating acquisitions and WBS. Also noted disposition-related short-term dilution from asset sales.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 27, 2026$1.60
est $1.55
+3.2%$3.54B
est $3.40B
+4.2%−3.4%
Apr 28, 2026$0.55
est $0.50
+10.0%$3.35B
est $3.12B
+7.4%+1.0%
Feb 10, 2026$0.55
est $0.59
−6.8%$3.18B
est $2.86B
+11.3%+5.4%
Oct 27, 2025$1.34
est $1.30
+3.1%$2.69B
est $2.96B
−9.2%+1.0%
Jul 28, 2025$1.28
est $1.22
+4.9%$2.52B
est $2.72B
−7.3%+2.7%
Apr 28, 2025$1.20
est $1.15
+4.3%$2.39B
est $2.52B
−5.4%+3.1%
Feb 11, 2025$0.34
est $0.41
−17.6%$2.22B
est $2.19B
+1.4%+2.4%
Oct 28, 2024$0.73
est $0.38
+92.1%$2.01B
est $2.07B
−3.0%+5.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Welltower stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Welltower is $262.23, +14.6% from the last close, from 16 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$262.23consensus 12-month target, +14.6% from the last close
Low $6.16High $292
Buy14
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 16 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 15JefferiesBuy, initiated$275+20.2%
Sep 3J.P. MorganHold, maintained$260+13.6%
Sep 2Morgan StanleyBuy, maintained$251+9.7%
Sep 2ScotiabankBuy, maintained$251+9.7%
Sep 1Wells FargoBuy, reiterated$266+16.2%
+6.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−1.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Welltower seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Welltower averaged −1.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−2.8%2021−15.8%2022+3.4%2023+4.3%2024+6.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.5%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.1%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−5.0%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−1.4%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.1%2 of 5

For scale, WELL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.4%.

Welltower market cap and key statistics

Welltower’s market cap is $164.9B, with a P/E ratio of 104.2 and revenue of $12.76B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$164.9B
P/E ratio
104.2
Forward P/E
79.4
EPS, TTM
$2.23
Gekko Fair Value
$231.77

Trading

Volume
7.68M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.66M
52-week high
$255.20
52-week low
$163.75
Shares outstanding
720.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$12.76B
Profit margin
12.1%
Return on equity
3.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+35.6%

Risk and income

Beta
0.76
Typical daily move
±2.2%
Typical 20-day move
±4.4%
Dividend yield
1.31%

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Welltower stock FAQ

What is Welltower’s market cap?

Welltower’s market cap is $164.9B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $228.87, with 720.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 104.2.

What is the Welltower stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Welltower is $262.23, +14.6% from the last close. Of the 16 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 14 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Welltower stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Welltower is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $228.87 is 1.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $231.77. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Welltower report earnings next?

Welltower is expected to report on Oct 26, 2026 (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.64 per share on revenue of $3.63B. Welltower beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.1% on average across the report.

What is Welltower’s 52-week high and low?

Welltower’s 52-week high is $255.20 and its 52-week low is $163.75; it closed at $228.87 on Sep 18, 2026, +37.9% over the past year.

Is Welltower stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, smart money and earnings risk), 3 as mixed (trend, fair value and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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