Welltower (WELL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$247.99+6.82 (+2.8%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Welltower gained this week after third-quarter results showed strength in its senior housing operations, prompting management to raise its 2026 normalized FFO outlook to a range of $6.47 to $6.53 per diluted share. Normalized FFO reached $1.67 per diluted share, with senior housing operating same-store NOI increasing significantly. Analyst reaction was mixed: Welltower drew a "Strong Buy" consensus with Bank of America Securities reiterating a Buy rating and Freedom Broker upgrading to Buy, while Raymond James and Cantor Fitzgerald adjusted price targets downward.

The stock closed at $247.99, up 2.8%, and sits above both its 50-day ($233.61) and 200-day ($219.29) moving averages, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 47.3, placing it in the Neutral zone, down from a higher level five days prior. Price trades 6.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $233.06, a gap that exceeds the 5% threshold typically flagged.

The next earnings date falls on 9 February 2027, 96 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Over the last 90 days, insiders made 2 open-market purchases totaling $1,203,825. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 5% return over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 3 of those years. Consensus analyst target sits at $260.68, implying 5.1% upside. The gap to Gekko Fair Value bears watching given the current Neutral reading.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Welltower price vs fair value

$247.99$233.06Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $247.99200-day averageGekko Fair Value $233.06

Welltower quick facts

Market cap
$181.9B
P/E ratio
101.3
Forward P/E
79.4
EPS, TTM
$2.36
Revenue, TTM
$13.79B
Profit margin
12.1%
Dividend yield
1.36%
Beta
0.79
Volume
4.01M avg 2.83M
1-year return
+36.0%
Typical daily move
±2.6%
Typical 20-day move
±4.4%
50-day average
$233.61
200-day average
$219.29
Next earnings
Feb 9
Shares outstanding
733.6M
52-week range
$180.97$255.20

Welltower swing-trade checklist

Welltower scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $247.99 is above the 50-day ($233.61) and 200-day ($219.29) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    47.3, Neutral

    Reading 47.3 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    6.4% above

    Price is 6.4% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 2 open-market insider purchases.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 96 days

    Next report Feb 9, 2027, 96 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Welltower stock chart and price history

Welltower closed at $247.99 on Nov 4, 2026, +36.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $180.97 to $255.20.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Welltower share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$160$180$200$220$240DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct247.99

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+9.8%
3 months
+5.1%
6 months
+14.6%
1 year
+36.0%
The full WELL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open WELL in Gekko

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About Welltower

Welltower funds and owns the buildings where healthcare and elder care actually happen, rather than delivering that care itself. It teams up with established operators who run senior living communities, rehabilitation and recovery facilities, and hospital-linked services, supplying the real estate those groups depend on.

As a real estate investment trust, Welltower makes money by acquiring and leasing out properties used for senior living, recovery care, and outpatient medical treatment. Its tenants are the operating companies that manage day-to-day care on site, and its buildings are concentrated in growing regions spread across America, Canada, and Britain.

The company is headquartered in Toledo, Ohio, and belongs to the S&P 500 index. Its stock is listed on the NYSE under the ticker WELL.

Sector
Finance
Website
welltower.com

Welltower GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Welltower’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 47.3, in the Neutral zone, down 17.1 points over five sessions.

010047.3Neutral

Down 17.1 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying11+2.3%+3.8%+9.0%+17.0%
Accumulation117+1.3%+2.7%+5.9%+12.0%
Neutral (current zone)471+0.7%+1.3%+2.8%+7.5%
Distribution50+0.2%+0.4%−1.3%+1.5%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average WELL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the WELL price, zone by zone.Track WELL in Gekko

Is Welltower stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Welltower trades 6.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $233.06, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Welltower shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$233.06

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

6.4% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 0.0% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$233$241Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open WELL in Gekko

Welltower insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 2 open-market purchases in Welltower worth $1.20M, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$1.20Min 2 open-market purchases

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Aug 27Gundlach Andrew
director
Purchase2,500$605K
Aug 27Gundlach Andrew
director
Purchase2,500$599K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in WELL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for WELL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open WELL in Gekko

Buybacks

Welltower has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2020
$7.66M
As a share of market cap
0.00%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold WELL.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Welltower earnings: next date and track record

Welltower reports on Feb 9, 2027 (96 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.9%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+2.4%Feb ’25+3.1%Apr ’25+2.7%Jul ’25+1.0%Oct ’25+5.4%Feb ’26+1.0%Apr ’26−3.4%Jul ’26−4.5%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 26, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Welltower reported Q3 2026 revenue growth of 38% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 35%, with FFO per share growth of nearly 25%. Total portfolio same-store NOI increased 16%, the second-highest in company history. SHOP segment delivered 9.1% organic revenue growth with 120bps sequential occupancy gain and 300bps margin expansion, driven by 5.3% RevPOR growth and contained expense growth of 4.3%.
Guidance
Management raised full-year FFO midpoint by $0.10 to $6.50, representing 23% year-over-year growth. Continued occupancy growth expected in 2024, with gradual shift from occupancy to pricing as the primary revenue driver. Sustained margin expansion anticipated as WBS initiatives continue.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 26, 2026$0.54
est $0.64
−15.8%$3.72B
est $3.64B
+2.0%−4.5%
Jul 27, 2026$1.60
est $1.55
+3.2%$3.54B
est $3.40B
+4.2%−3.4%
Apr 28, 2026$0.55
est $0.50
+10.0%$3.35B
est $3.12B
+7.4%+1.0%
Feb 10, 2026$0.55
est $0.59
−6.8%$3.18B
est $2.86B
+11.3%+5.4%
Oct 27, 2025$1.34
est $1.30
+3.1%$2.69B
est $2.96B
−9.2%+1.0%
Jul 28, 2025$1.28
est $1.22
+4.9%$2.52B
est $2.72B
−7.3%+2.7%
Apr 28, 2025$1.20
est $1.15
+4.3%$2.39B
est $2.52B
−5.4%+3.1%
Feb 11, 2025$0.34
est $0.41
−17.6%$2.22B
est $2.19B
+1.4%+2.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Welltower stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Welltower is $260.68, +5.1% from the last close, from 13 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$260.68consensus 12-month target, +5.1% from the last close
Low $246High $275
Buy12
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 13 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 29Cantor FitzgeraldBuy, reiterated$258+4.0%
Oct 29Raymond JamesBuy, maintained$263+6.1%
Oct 28Freedom Capital MarketsBuy, upgraded$255+2.8%
Oct 27Morgan StanleyBuy, maintained$251+1.2%
Oct 27Wells FargoBuy, maintained$268+8.1%
+2.8%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+5.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Welltower seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Welltower averaged +5.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−0.1%2021+15.2%2022+2.0%2023−1.1%2024+9.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+5.5%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+5.4%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+5.0%5 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.0%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+1.7%4 of 5

For scale, WELL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.4%.

Welltower market cap and key statistics

Welltower’s market cap is $181.9B, with a P/E ratio of 101.3 and revenue of $13.79B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$181.9B
P/E ratio
101.3
Forward P/E
79.4
EPS, TTM
$2.36
Gekko Fair Value
$233.06

Trading

Volume
4.01M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.83M
52-week high
$255.20
52-week low
$180.97
Shares outstanding
733.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$13.79B
Profit margin
12.1%
Return on equity
3.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+30.3%

Risk and income

Beta
0.79
Typical daily move
±2.6%
Typical 20-day move
±4.4%
Dividend yield
1.36%

Welltower stock news this week

Coverage of Welltower this week reads positive: 18 positive, 7 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

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Welltower stock FAQ

What is Welltower’s market cap?

Welltower’s market cap is $181.9B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $247.99, with 733.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 101.3.

What is the Welltower stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Welltower is $260.68, +5.1% from the last close. Of the 13 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 12 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Welltower stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Welltower is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $247.99 is 6.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $233.06. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Welltower report earnings next?

Welltower is expected to report on Feb 9, 2027 (96 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.69 per share on revenue of $3.84B. Welltower beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.9% on average across the report.

What is Welltower’s 52-week high and low?

Welltower’s 52-week high is $255.20 and its 52-week low is $180.97; it closed at $247.99 on Nov 4, 2026, +36.0% over the past year.

Is Welltower stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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