Banco Santander (SAN) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Banco Santander, S.A. Sponsored. Finance sector. Market cap $210.0B.

$14.31−0.51 (−3.4%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:14 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Banco Santander shares close at $14.31, down 3.4% on the day, sitting between the 50-day average of $14.33 and the 200-day average of $12.68. The GekkoIndex reads 59, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, up 4.3 over five days. Price sits about 1.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $14.51. Returns over the past six months and year run 30.8% and 42.1%, with the 52-week range spanning $9.62 to $15.05.

This week's news centers on capital actions and legal outcomes. Santander repurchased 7.1 million shares between 10 and 16 September for €558.9 million, about 30.6% of its buyback program's maximum. Separately, Santander won a UK appeal against a ruling that had ordered payment of $912 million to AXA over US PPI mis-selling costs. Santander Holdings USA also announced redemption of its Series I preferred depositary shares on 15 October. Morgan Stanley maintained a Buy rating and raised its target to $17.03, while consensus target stands at $14.79, implying 3.4% upside.

Looking ahead, the next earnings report falls on 28 October, 38 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the last report on 22 July showed EPS of $0.27 against a $0.29 estimate, with a -3.2% reaction, and 2 beats over the last 8 quarters. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 1.3% gain over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $14.31200-day averageGekko Fair Value $14.51

Key stats

Market cap
$210.0B
P/E ratio
14.1
Forward P/E
10.1
EPS, TTM
$1.05
Revenue, TTM
$48.53B
Profit margin
33.5%
Dividend yield
0.87%
Beta
0.93
Volume
5.25M avg 9.81M
1-year return
+42.1%
Typical daily move
±2.2%
Typical 20-day move
±6.3%
50-day average
$14.33
200-day average
$12.68
Next earnings
Oct 28 before open
Shares outstanding
14.51B
52-week range
$9.62$15.05

Banco Santander swing-trade checklist

Banco Santander scores 1 supportive, 4 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive4 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $14.31 sits between the 50-day ($14.33) and 200-day ($12.68) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    59, Neutral

    Reading 59 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    1.4% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (1.4% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 38 days

    Next report Oct 28, 2026, 38 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +1.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.3% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Banco Santander stock chart and price history

Banco Santander closed at $14.31 on Sep 18, 2026, +42.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $9.62 to $15.05.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+1.0%
3 months
+6.0%
6 months
+30.8%
1 year
+42.1%
The full SAN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SAN in Gekko

Follow Banco Santander through every session

Put SAN on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track SAN in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Banco Santander

Banco Santander provides banking products and services to individuals, small and medium-sized businesses, and large corporations around the world. Its work spans everyday retail banking, including checking, savings, and fixed-term deposit accounts, as well as lending in the form of mortgages, consumer finance, syndicated loans, and structured financing.

Beyond consumer banking, Santander supports business clients with cash management, trade and working capital financing, export and agency finance, and corporate finance, along with insurance products. It also runs asset and wealth management, private banking, corporate banking, treasury and risk-hedging services, foreign trade support, confirming, custody, and investment banking. This wide range of services reaches customers through a network of 9,879 branches.

The bank traces its founding to 1856 and is headquartered in Madrid, Spain. It took on its present name, Banco Santander, S.A., in June 2007, after previously operating as Banco Santander Central Hispano S.A. Its shares trade under the ticker SAN.

Sector
Finance
Website
santander.com

Banco Santander GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Banco Santander’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59, in the Neutral zone, up 4.3 points over five sessions.

010059Neutral

Up 4.3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying10+3.0%+6.1%+8.9%+12.8%
Accumulation106+2.2%+3.3%+5.3%+15.4%
Neutral (current zone)435+0.7%+1.5%+3.4%+9.2%
Distribution64+0.6%+2.8%+6.0%+9.8%
Selling0Not available

Average SAN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SAN price, zone by zone.Track SAN in Gekko

Is Banco Santander stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Banco Santander trades 1.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $14.51, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Banco Santander shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$14.51

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

1.4% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SAN in Gekko

Banco Santander insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Banco Santander, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SAN in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SAN insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SAN in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in SAN were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for SAN, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SAN in Gekko

Buybacks

Banco Santander has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 29, 2025
$591.0M
As a share of market cap
0.28%

From company filings.

Banco Santander earnings: next date and track record

Banco Santander reports on Oct 28, 2026, before the open (38 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.8%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−2.4%Oct ’24+12.5%Feb ’25−5.8%Apr ’25−3.5%Jul ’25+1.8%Oct ’250.0%Feb ’26+1.0%Apr ’26−3.2%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Santander reported a record Q2 2026 quarterly profit of EUR 3.8 billion, making H1 2026 the best half in company history. Revenue grew 6% in constant Euro, with NII up 6% and record fees up 7%. Underlying profit grew 14% YoY, with efficiency improving 3 percentage points and underlying RoTE reaching 15.6%. CET1 ratio stands at 14% post-TSB acquisition. TNAV plus dividend per share grew 19%, reflecting strong shareholder value creation.
Guidance
Management targets continued progress toward Investor Day goals, with underlying RoTE adjusted for excess capital approaching 17%. TSB integration and ONE Transformation program expected to drive further efficiency gains and operational leverage across global businesses.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 22, 2026$0.27
est $0.29
−6.9%$17.92B
est $17.90B
+0.1%−3.2%
Apr 29, 2026$0.27
est $0.29
−6.9%$17.71B
est $17.66B
+0.3%+1.0%
Feb 4, 2026$0.30
est $0.26
+14.8%$19.01B
est $18.45B
+3.0%0.0%
Oct 29, 2025$0.23
est $0.25
−8.0%$14.18B
est $15.89B
−10.8%+1.8%
Jul 30, 2025$0.25
est $0.25
0.0%$16.88B
est $15.25B
+10.6%−3.5%
Apr 30, 2025$0.22
est $0.22
0.0%$13.70B
est $15.68B
−12.6%−5.8%
Feb 5, 2025$0.21
est $0.19
+10.5%$16.37B
est $15.53B
+5.5%+12.5%
Oct 29, 2024$0.22
est $0.22
0.0%$16.51B
est $16.61B
−0.6%−2.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Banco Santander stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Banco Santander is $14.79, +3.4% from the last close.

$14.79consensus 12-month target, +3.4% from the last close
+3.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+1.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Banco Santander seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Banco Santander averaged +1.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+14.1%2021−4.2%2022+1.6%2023−2.5%2024−4.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.4%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.6%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.3%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.3%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+1.9%1 of 5

For scale, SAN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.3%.

Banco Santander market cap and key statistics

Banco Santander’s market cap is $210.0B, with a P/E ratio of 14.1 and revenue of $48.53B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$210.0B
P/E ratio
14.1
Forward P/E
10.1
EPS, TTM
$1.05
Gekko Fair Value
$14.51

Trading

Volume
5.25M
Avg volume, 20 days
9.81M
52-week high
$15.05
52-week low
$9.62
Shares outstanding
14.51B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$48.53B
Profit margin
33.5%
Return on equity
13.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+8.7%

Risk and income

Beta
0.93
Typical daily move
±2.2%
Typical 20-day move
±6.3%
Dividend yield
0.87%

More stocks

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Banco Santander stock FAQ

What is Banco Santander’s market cap?

Banco Santander’s market cap is $210.0B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $14.31, with 14.51B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 14.1.

What is the Banco Santander stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Banco Santander is $14.79, +3.4% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Banco Santander stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Banco Santander is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $14.31 is 1.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $14.51. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Banco Santander report earnings next?

Banco Santander is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026, before the market opens (38 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.31 per share on revenue of $18.85B. Banco Santander beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.8% on average across the report.

What is Banco Santander’s 52-week high and low?

Banco Santander’s 52-week high is $15.05 and its 52-week low is $9.62; it closed at $14.31 on Sep 18, 2026, +42.1% over the past year.

Is Banco Santander stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk), 4 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Banco Santander the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,349 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.