Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for STWD in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every STWD insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open STWD in Gekko
Starwood Property Trust (STWD) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$14.32−0.04 (−0.3%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryStarwood Property Trust fell this week after its dividend update showed Q2 distributable earnings of $0.40 per share falling short of its $0.48 payout, with shares dropping 2.31% to $14.36 and separately 2.65% to $14.70, missing a $0.41 consensus estimate. The stock also touched a 52-week low of $14.89, a 24.84% decline over the past year, even as it carries a 12.7% dividend yield and is viewed as undervalued by some outside analysts, with price targets cited in a range of $17 to $24.
STWD closed at $14.32, down 0.3% on the day, and sits below both its 50-day average of $15.90 and 200-day average of $17.23, with the shorter average also below the longer one, reflecting a broader downtrend that shows returns of -10.2% over one month, -15.6% over three months and -28.3% over one year. The GekkoIndex reads 75.1, placing STWD in the Buying zone, up 1.6 over five days. The stock trades 44% below Gekko Fair Value of $25.56.
The next earnings date falls on 9 November 2026, 41 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 6 August 2026 showed EPS of $0.40 against a $0.40 estimate, with a 1.5% reaction and 5 beats in the last 8 quarters. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -2.2% across 5 years, rising in 2 of them. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity was recorded in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Analyst consensus stands at 3 buy and 1 hold across 4 firms, with a consensus target of $19.88.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Starwood Property Trust price vs fair value
Close $14.32200-day averageGekko Fair Value $25.56
Starwood Property Trust quick facts
- Market cap
- $5.31B
- P/E ratio
- 24.8
- Forward P/E
- 10
- EPS, TTM
- $0.58
- Revenue, TTM
- $597.3M
- Profit margin
- 38.2%
- Dividend yield
- 13.10%
- Beta
- 1.03
- Volume
- 5.92M avg 4.53M
- 1-year return
- −28.3%
- Typical daily move
- ±2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.6%
- 50-day average
- $15.90
- 200-day average
- $17.23
- Next earnings
- Nov 9
- Shares outstanding
- 370.2M
Starwood Property Trust swing-trade checklist
Starwood Property Trust scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $14.32 is below the 50-day ($15.90) and 200-day ($17.23) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
75.1, Buying
Reading 75.1 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
44.0% below
Price is 44% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 41 days
Next report Nov 9, 2026, 41 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−2.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Starwood Property Trust stock chart and price history
Starwood Property Trust closed at $14.32 on Sep 28, 2026, −28.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $14.15 to $20.14.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −10.2%
- 3 months
- −15.6%
- 6 months
- −16.0%
- 1 year
- −28.3%
The full STWD chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open STWD in Gekko
Follow Starwood Property Trust through every session
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About Starwood Property Trust
Starwood Property Trust operates as a real estate investment trust with activities spanning both the United States and international markets. It is known for financing and managing a wide range of real estate debt, including commercial and residential mortgages, mezzanine loans, preferred equity positions, and mortgage-backed securities, along with holdings that extend into distressed or non-performing loans.
The company runs its business across four areas: commercial and residential lending, infrastructure lending, property ownership, and investing and servicing. Through these segments it originates and acquires loans tied to infrastructure projects, holds equity stakes in stabilized commercial properties such as multifamily buildings and net lease medical or single-tenant assets, and handles the workout of troubled assets while also acquiring rated and unrated CMBS interests and originating conduit loans meant for securitization. As a REIT, it distributes a large share of its taxable income to shareholders and is exempt from federal corporate income tax on that basis.
Starwood Property Trust was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Miami Beach, Florida. Its shares are listed under the ticker STWD.
- Sector
- Finance
- Website
- starwoodpropertytrust.com
Starwood Property Trust GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Starwood Property Trust’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 75.1, in the Buying zone, up 1.6 points over five sessions.
75.1Buying
Up 1.6 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 35 | +0.2% | +0.3% | ||
| Accumulation | 263 | −0.1% | +0.3% | ||
| Neutral | 322 | −0.3% | −1.5% | ||
| Distribution | 5 | Too few readings yet | |||
| Selling | 0 | Not available | |||
Average STWD share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the STWD price, zone by zone.Track STWD in Gekko
Is Starwood Property Trust stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Starwood Property Trust trades 44.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $25.56, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Starwood Property Trust shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$25.56
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
44.0% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open STWD in Gekko
Starwood Property Trust insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Starwood Property Trust, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in STWD were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for STWD, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open STWD in Gekko
Buybacks
Starwood Property Trust has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $29.94M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.56%
From company filings.
Starwood Property Trust earnings: next date and track record
Starwood Property Trust reports on Nov 9, 2026 (41 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 9, 2026
41 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.32
- Revenue estimate
- $537.0M
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.5%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | $0.40 est $0.40 | $513.7M est $521.7M | +1.5% |
| May 8, 2026 | $0.39 est $0.43 | $512.5M est $496.3M | −4.5% |
| Feb 25, 2026 | $0.46 est $0.42 | $492.9M est $503.2M | +2.4% |
| Nov 10, 2025 | $0.40 est $0.45 | $489.9M est $469.5M | −1.9% |
| Aug 7, 2025 | $0.43 est $0.40 | $475.9M est $475.6M | +2.5% |
| May 9, 2025 | $0.45 est $0.45 | $418.2M est $477.0M | +3.3% |
| Feb 27, 2025 | $0.48 est $0.47 | $448.3M est $466.4M | +2.7% |
| Nov 6, 2024 | $0.48 est $0.47 | $487.9M est $466.4M | −1.1% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Starwood Property Trust stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Starwood Property Trust is $19.88, +38.8% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$19.88consensus 12-month target, +38.8% from the last close
Now $14.32Avg $19.88
Low $17High $20
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18 | J.P. Morgan | $18.50 | +29.2% |
| Aug 17 | Bank of America Securities | $17 | +18.7% |
| Aug 14 | Wells Fargo | $20 | +39.7% |
| Aug 14 | Bank of America Securities | $17 | +18.7% |
| Aug 7 | KBW | $18.50 | +29.2% |
+0.3%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−2.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Starwood Property Trust seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Starwood Property Trust averaged −2.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −1.6% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −1.5% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −1.8% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −2.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +0.5% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, STWD’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.6%.
Starwood Property Trust market cap and key statistics
Starwood Property Trust’s market cap is $5.31B, with a P/E ratio of 24.8 and revenue of $597.3M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $5.31B
- P/E ratio
- 24.8
- Forward P/E
- 10
- EPS, TTM
- $0.58
- Gekko Fair Value
- $25.56
Trading
- Volume
- 5.92M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 4.53M
- 52-week high
- $20.14
- 52-week low
- $14.15
- Shares outstanding
- 370.2M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $597.3M
- Profit margin
- 38.2%
- Return on equity
- 3.7%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −97.4%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.03
- Typical daily move
- ±2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.6%
- Dividend yield
- 13.10%
Starwood Property Trust stock news this week
Coverage of Starwood Property Trust this week reads negative: 2 positive, 2 neutral and 3 negative headlines.
- Starwood Property Trust stock falls 2.31 percent after dividend updateAD HOC NEWS, Sep 25
- Starwood Property Trust, Inc. $STWD Shares Newly Purchased by Bank of America Corp DEMarketBeat, Sep 25
- Starwood Property Trust, Inc. $STWD Stock Holdings Increased by QRG Capital Management Inc.MarketBeat, Sep 25
- STARWOOD PROPERTY TRUST, INC. S (STWD) Stock forecastsYahoo Finance UK, Sep 24
- Starwood Property Trust stock falls as dividend stays at USD 0.48AD HOC NEWS, Sep 23
- Starwood Property Trust stock hits 52-week low at 14.89 USDInvesting.com Canada, Sep 23
Starwood Property Trust stock FAQ
What is Starwood Property Trust’s market cap?
Starwood Property Trust’s market cap is $5.31B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $14.32, with 370.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 24.8.
What is the Starwood Property Trust stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Starwood Property Trust is $19.88, +38.8% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Starwood Property Trust stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Starwood Property Trust is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $14.32 is 44.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $25.56. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Starwood Property Trust report earnings next?
Starwood Property Trust is expected to report on Nov 9, 2026 (41 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.32 per share on revenue of $537.0M. Starwood Property Trust beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.5% on average across the report.
What is Starwood Property Trust’s 52-week high and low?
Starwood Property Trust’s 52-week high is $20.14 and its 52-week low is $14.15; it closed at $14.32 on Sep 28, 2026, −28.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $26.36 on Nov 10, 2021.
Is Starwood Property Trust stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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