Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for VALE in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every VALE insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VALE in Gekko
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeVale's week centers on its Q3 2026 results and a mine expansion approval. The company reported pro forma EBITDA of $3.5 billion, down 20% year over year, as lower realized iron ore prices, higher fuel costs and a stronger Brazilian real weighed on the core iron ore business, though free cash flow stood at $1.373 billion and copper strength in Base Metals offered some offset. Iron ore production fell amid Serra Norte issues, with sales at 86.3 million tonnes and guidance expected at the low end of the annual range. Separately, Vale received authorization to expand its Fazendao iron ore operation in Minas Gerais, adding processing capacity for up to 12.6 million tonnes of pellet feed concentrate annually. Analysts have also adjusted price targets lower following the results, with ratings split between Buy and Hold and one Sell.
VALE closed at $11.43, up 4.1% on the day but down 18.8% over one month, 22.4% over three months and 30.7% over six months, trading below both its 50-day average of $13.65 and 200-day average of $15.21. The GekkoIndex reads 68.4, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. The current price sits 45.3% below the Gekko Fair Value of $20.88.
The next earnings date falls on 11 February 2027, outside a typical 20-day holding window. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging a 5.1% move, positive in 4 of those years. The consensus analyst target stands at $15.68, implying a 37.2% upside from current levels.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
VALE price vs fair value
Close $11.43200-day averageGekko Fair Value $20.88
VALE quick facts
- Market cap
- $48.64B
- P/E ratio
- 70.9
- Forward P/E
- 6.4
- EPS, TTM
- $0.16
- Revenue, TTM
- $215.8B
- Profit margin
- 1%
- Dividend yield
- 49.30%
- Beta
- 0.73
- Volume
- 38.74M avg 35.97M
- 1-year return
- −6.3%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.7%
- 50-day average
- $13.65
- 200-day average
- $15.21
- Next earnings
- Feb 11
- Shares outstanding
- 4.26B
VALE swing-trade checklist
VALE scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $11.43 is below the 50-day ($13.65) and 200-day ($15.21) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
68.4, Accumulation
Reading 68.4 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
45.3% below
Price is 45.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 98 days
Next report Feb 11, 2027, 98 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+5.1% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.1% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
VALE stock chart and price history
VALE closed at $11.43 on Nov 4, 2026, −6.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $10.96 to $17.94.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −18.8%
- 3 months
- −22.4%
- 6 months
- −30.7%
- 1 year
- −6.3%
The full VALE chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open VALE in Gekko
Follow VALE through every session
Put VALE on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Track VALE in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.
About VALE
Vale mines and sells materials that feed into heavy industry worldwide, drawing most of its business from iron ore and its pellet form, along with nickel and copper. It runs operations both inside Brazil and abroad, and it has built its reputation chiefly around supplying iron ore to global markets.
The company splits its work into two divisions. One is centered on digging up and processing iron ore and pellets, plus other ferrous goods, and it also arranges the shipping and handling these products require. The second division mines nickel and, in doing so, produces side materials such as gold, silver, and cobalt, while also supplying copper that gets used in building wiring and pipes.
Vale got its start in 1942 under a different name, Companhia Vale do Rio Doce, before switching to its present title in May 2009. Its home base is Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, and its stock can be found trading under the ticker VALE.
- Sector
- Non-energy minerals
- Website
- vale.com
VALE GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
VALE’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68.4, in the Accumulation zone, down 7.5 points over five sessions.
68.4Accumulation
Down 7.5 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 33 | +0.4% | +0.6% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 225 | +0.3% | +1.0% | ||
| Neutral | 353 | −0.2% | −0.1% | ||
| Distribution | 39 | +0.3% | +3.2% | ||
| Selling | 0 | Not available | |||
Average VALE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the VALE price, zone by zone.Track VALE in Gekko
Is VALE stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
VALE trades 45.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $20.88, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what VALE shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$20.88
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
45.3% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 39.2% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open VALE in Gekko
VALE insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for VALE, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in VALE were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for VALE, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VALE in Gekko
Buybacks
VALE has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
- $619K
- As a share of market cap
- 0.00%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds VALE.
0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
VALE earnings: next date and track record
VALE reports on Feb 11, 2027 (98 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Feb 11, 2027
98 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.40
- Revenue estimate
- $10.71B
2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.7%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Oct 29, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Vale's Q3 2026 saw iron ore production decline 6% YoY due to Serra Norte performance issues, though sales remained solid at 86.3 million tonnes. The company's freight strategy generated over $3 billion in savings versus spot market rates, with 75% of shipping needs covered by long-term fixed contracts. Vale expects to deliver at the low end of annual production guidance, supported by S11D and resumed operations at Fábrica and Viga.
- Guidance
- Vale targets low-end of full-year production guidance, expecting Q4 YoY production growth at Serra Norte via newly licensed areas. For 2027, over 80% of freight needs are already secured, providing cost predictability amid volatile spot markets.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | $0.29 est $0.38 | — est $10.45B | −0.7% |
| Jul 30, 2026 | $0.36 est $0.41 | $10.50B est $10.47B | +2.8% |
| Apr 28, 2026 | $0.44 est $0.45 | $9.26B est $9.53B | −7.1% |
| Feb 12, 2026 | −$0.90 est $0.57 | $11.06B est $10.90B | −4.2% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $0.63 est $0.49 | $10.41B est $10.81B | +2.2% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $0.50 est $0.42 | $8.80B est $9.40B | +0.8% |
| Apr 24, 2025 | $0.35 est $0.38 | $8.12B est $9.45B | −0.5% |
| Feb 19, 2025 | $0.20 est $0.52 | $9.60B est $10.05B | +3.5% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
VALE stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for VALE is $15.68, +37.2% from the last close, from 13 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$15.68consensus 12-month target, +37.2% from the last close
Now $11.43Avg $15.68
Low $9.50High $22
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 13 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | Wells Fargo | $13 | +13.7% |
| Nov 3 | Bank of America Securities | — | — |
| Nov 2 | Freedom Capital Markets | $9.50 | −16.9% |
| Nov 2 | Bernstein | $12.50 | +9.4% |
| Nov 2 | UBS | $13.48 | +17.9% |
+1.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+5.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
VALE seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, VALE averaged +5.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.7% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −0.1% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +1.7% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +5.1% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +5.5% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, VALE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.7%.
VALE market cap and key statistics
VALE’s market cap is $48.64B, with a P/E ratio of 70.9 and revenue of $215.8B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $48.64B
- P/E ratio
- 70.9
- Forward P/E
- 6.4
- EPS, TTM
- $0.16
- Gekko Fair Value
- $20.88
Trading
- Volume
- 38.74M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 35.97M
- 52-week high
- $17.94
- 52-week low
- $10.96
- Shares outstanding
- 4.26B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $215.8B
- Profit margin
- 1%
- Return on equity
- 0.3%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −55.9%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.73
- Typical daily move
- ±3.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.7%
- Dividend yield
- 49.30%
VALE stock news this week
Coverage of VALE this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 1 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Vale Wins Permit to Expand Fazendao Iron Ore Mine in Minas Gerais - News and StatisticsIndexBox, Nov 4
- Here is What to Know Beyond Why VALE S.A. (VALE) is a Trending StockZacks Investment Research, Nov 4
- Vale S.A. $VALE Shares Newly Purchased by ARGA Investment Management LPDefense World, Nov 4
- Key facts: Vale price targets lowered; analysts split on ratingsTradingView, Nov 3
- Vale Q3 Earnings Call HighlightsMarketBeat, Oct 31
- Vale: Copper strength and cash generation offset iron ore pressure as Q4 recovery nearsTradingView, Oct 30
VALE stock FAQ
What is VALE’s market cap?
VALE’s market cap is $48.64B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $11.43, with 4.26B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 70.9.
What is the VALE stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for VALE is $15.68, +37.2% from the last close. Of the 13 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 9 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is VALE stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate VALE is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $11.43 is 45.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $20.88. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does VALE report earnings next?
VALE is expected to report on Feb 11, 2027 (98 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.40 per share on revenue of $10.71B. VALE beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.7% on average across the report.
What is VALE’s 52-week high and low?
VALE’s 52-week high is $17.94 and its 52-week low is $10.96; it closed at $11.43 on Nov 4, 2026, −6.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $21.29 on Apr 4, 2022.
Is VALE stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
See VALE the way Gekko members do
Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.
Join 1,461 other traders using Gekko
Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.