Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for MT in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every MT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MT in Gekko
Arcelor Mittal (MT) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$72.53−2.65 (−3.5%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryArcelor Mittal closes at $72.53, down 3.5% on the day, though the stock remains above both its 50-day average of $71.79 and its 200-day average of $60.85, with the shorter average sitting above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 58.4, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Price sits 8.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $66.65. Over the past year the stock has returned 110.8%, with a 45.1% gain over six months and 14.4% over three months, against a typical 20-day move of 7.1%.
This week's news centers on operational disruptions. Russian missile strikes hit the ArcelorMittal Kryvyi Rih plant in Ukraine for a second time, on the night of September 11-12, killing two contractors and injuring others while halting primary steel production; nearby Zaporizhstal was also affected. Separately, a steam explosion at blast furnace A in Gijón, Spain, caused by a burst water pipe, led to a temporary shutdown on September 9th, though operations resumed by September 17th with no casualties and limited structural damage. On the strategic side, ArcelorMittal and Moeve announced a 50-50 joint decarbonization platform, Green Molecules to Green Steel.
Looking ahead, the next earnings report is scheduled for 5 November 2026, 46 days out and beyond a typical 20-day holding window. The prior quarter showed EPS of $0.89 against an estimate of $1.18, with a 6.8% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 3 of the last 8 quarters. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged a 2% gain across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst coverage stands at 3 buy and 2 hold ratings among 5 firms, with a consensus target of $77.89.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $72.53200-day averageGekko Fair Value $66.65
Key stats
- Market cap
- $55.20B
- P/E ratio
- 31.6
- Forward P/E
- 11.5
- EPS, TTM
- $2.38
- Revenue, TTM
- $62.85B
- Profit margin
- 2.9%
- Dividend yield
- 0.82%
- Beta
- 1.76
- Volume
- 1.35M avg 1.19M
- 1-year return
- +110.8%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.1%
- 50-day average
- $71.79
- 200-day average
- $60.85
- Next earnings
- Nov 5
- Shares outstanding
- 752.4M
Arcelor Mittal swing-trade checklist
Arcelor Mittal scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $72.53 is above the 50-day ($71.79) and 200-day ($60.85) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
58.4, Neutral
Reading 58.4 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
8.8% above
Price is 8.8% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 46 days
Next report Nov 5, 2026, 46 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+2.0% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Arcelor Mittal stock chart and price history
Arcelor Mittal closed at $72.53 on Sep 18, 2026, +110.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $34.70 to $79.68.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −2.8%
- 3 months
- +14.4%
- 6 months
- +45.1%
- 1 year
- +110.8%
The full MT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MT in Gekko
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About Arcelor Mittal
Arcelor Mittal makes steel and runs the mining operations that feed it, working across sites in Europe, the Americas, Asia and Africa. The steel side stretches from flat items like slabs, plates, and rolled or galvanized coils and sheets to long items such as bars, wire-rods, structural beams, rails and sheet piles, plus pipes and tubes in seamless and welded forms.
Its mining arm pulls iron ore out of the ground in several shapes, including lumps, fines, concentrates, pellets and sinter feed, and also handles coking coal, thermal coal and coal meant for pulverized injection. The iron ore comes from mines in Brazil, Bosnia, Canada, Kazakhstan, Liberia, Mexico, South Africa and Ukraine, while coal mining takes place only in Kazakhstan. Buyers of these materials include firms in autos, appliances, engineering, construction, energy and heavy equipment, served through the company's own marketing unit together with outside distributors.
Founded in 1976, Arcelor Mittal keeps its head office in Luxembourg City, Luxembourg, and its stock trades under the ticker MT.
- Sector
- Non-energy minerals
- Website
- corporate.arcelormittal.com
Arcelor Mittal GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Arcelor Mittal’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58.4, in the Neutral zone, up 2.5 points over five sessions.
58.4Neutral
Up 2.5 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 16 | +3.9% | +12.1% | ||
| Accumulation | 150 | +0.6% | +5.1% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 396 | +1.2% | +3.6% | ||
| Distribution | 53 | −0.6% | +1.7% | ||
| Selling | 0 | Not available | |||
Average MT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MT price, zone by zone.Track MT in Gekko
Is Arcelor Mittal stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Arcelor Mittal trades 8.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $66.65, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Arcelor Mittal shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$66.65
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
8.8% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MT in Gekko
Arcelor Mittal insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Arcelor Mittal, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in MT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for MT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MT in Gekko
Buybacks
Arcelor Mittal has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $483.5M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.88%
From company filings.
Arcelor Mittal earnings: next date and track record
Arcelor Mittal reports on Nov 5, 2026 (46 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 5, 2026
46 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.25
- Revenue estimate
- $17.30B
3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.1%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- ArcelorMittal reported Q2 2026 EBITDA of $2.1 billion ($155/ton margin), above through-the-cycle averages. European segment achieved a three-year high of $98/ton EBITDA. Underlying free cash flow annualizes at $2.5 billion in H1. Production restarts announced in Spain, Poland, and France. Strategic growth projects expected to contribute $1.8 billion incremental EBITDA from 2026 onwards.
- Guidance
- Q3 shipments guided stable to higher than Q2, a counterseasonal outcome. Long-term India capacity target of 40 million tons. Second EAF at Calvert under study; growth projects targeting returns well above cost of capital.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | $0.89 est $1.18 | $16.76B est $17.30B | +6.8% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $0.75 est $1.03 | $15.46B est $17.04B | +1.7% |
| Feb 5, 2026 | $0.86 est $0.62 | $14.97B est $16.21B | +9.5% |
| Nov 6, 2025 | $0.62 est $0.62 | $15.66B est $15.60B | +4.6% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $1.32 est $1.81 | $15.93B est $15.88B | −4.7% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $1.04 est $0.73 | $14.80B est $15.53B | −1.6% |
| Feb 6, 2025 | $0.52 est $0.73 | $14.71B est $15.48B | +9.3% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | $0.63 est $0.48 | $15.20B est $15.25B | +2.6% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Arcelor Mittal stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Arcelor Mittal is $77.89, +7.4% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$77.89consensus 12-month target, +7.4% from the last close
Now $72.53Avg $77.89
Low $69High $93
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24 | Morgan Stanley | $82 | +13.1% |
| Aug 21 | Morgan Stanley | $82 | +13.1% |
| Aug 13 | KeyBanc | — | — |
| Aug 11 | Bank of America Securities | $93 | +28.2% |
| Jul 31 | Deutsche Bank | $75 | +3.4% |
+3.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+2.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Arcelor Mittal seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Arcelor Mittal averaged +2.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −0.4% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +1.1% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +0.4% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +2.0% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +3.5% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, MT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.1%.
Arcelor Mittal market cap and key statistics
Arcelor Mittal’s market cap is $55.20B, with a P/E ratio of 31.6 and revenue of $62.85B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $55.20B
- P/E ratio
- 31.6
- Forward P/E
- 11.5
- EPS, TTM
- $2.38
- Gekko Fair Value
- $66.65
Trading
- Volume
- 1.35M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.19M
- 52-week high
- $79.68
- 52-week low
- $34.70
- Shares outstanding
- 752.4M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $62.85B
- Profit margin
- 2.9%
- Return on equity
- 3.3%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −61.7%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.76
- Typical daily move
- ±2.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.1%
- Dividend yield
- 0.82%
Arcelor Mittal stock news this week
Coverage of Arcelor Mittal this week reads negative: 1 positive, 2 neutral and 4 negative headlines.
- ArcelorMittal has resumed operations at blast furnace A in Gijón following a steam explosionGMK Center, Sep 17
- Russian Missile Strikes ArcelorMittal Kryvyi Rih in Ukraine for Second Timeenergynews.pro, Sep 14
- Missile Strike Kills Two at ArcelorMittal Ukraine Steel PlantGlobal Banking & Finance Review, Sep 14
- Two killed in missile strike on ArcelorMittal Ukraine plant, company saysmarketscreener.com, Sep 14
- Russian missile attacks hit Zaporizhstal and ArcelorMittal Kryvyi Rih again, disrupting Ukrainian steelmakingSteelOrbis, Sep 14
- Moeve and ArcelorMittal will launch a joint innovation platform for industrial decarbonizationWebWire, Sep 12
Arcelor Mittal stock FAQ
What is Arcelor Mittal’s market cap?
Arcelor Mittal’s market cap is $55.20B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $72.53, with 752.4M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 31.6.
What is the Arcelor Mittal stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Arcelor Mittal is $77.89, +7.4% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Arcelor Mittal stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Arcelor Mittal is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $72.53 is 8.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $66.65. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Arcelor Mittal report earnings next?
Arcelor Mittal is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026 (46 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.25 per share on revenue of $17.30B. Arcelor Mittal beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.1% on average across the report.
What is Arcelor Mittal’s 52-week high and low?
Arcelor Mittal’s 52-week high is $79.68 and its 52-week low is $34.70; it closed at $72.53 on Sep 18, 2026, +110.8% over the past year.
Is Arcelor Mittal stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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