NYSE: NUE

Nucor (NUE) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$267.91−5.62 (−2.1%)

Gekko Brief

Nov 4 close

Nucor closed at $267.91 on 4 November 2026, -2.1% on the day. The price sits above both the 50-day ($255.46) and 200-day ($225.47) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $140.93 to $287.70. The GekkoIndex reads 49.5, in the Neutral zone, up 3.5 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $228.86, so the price is 17.1% above it.

The next earnings report is due on 25 January 2027, 81 days away. Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 6 times, with an average move of 5.5% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +8.9% over the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

11 firms rate the stock: 9 buy, 2 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $295.88. A typical daily move is about 3.8%, and a typical 20-day move about 7.7%. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 items read supportive and 1 reads as a headwind (fair value).

A plain summary of the figures as of the Nov 4, 2026 close.

Nucor price vs fair value

$267.91$228.86Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $267.91200-day averageGekko Fair Value $228.86

Nucor quick facts

Market cap
$60.78B
P/E ratio
17.4
Forward P/E
14.4
EPS, TTM
$15.92
Revenue, TTM
$38.83B
Profit margin
9.3%
Dividend yield
0.82%
Beta
1.82
Volume
2.32M avg 1.37M
1-year return
+80.9%
Typical daily move
±3.8%
Typical 20-day move
±7.7%
50-day average
$255.46
200-day average
$225.47
Next earnings
Jan 25
Shares outstanding
226.9M
52-week range
$140.93$287.70

Nucor swing-trade checklist

Nucor scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $267.91 is above the 50-day ($255.46) and 200-day ($225.47) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    49.5, Neutral

    Reading 49.5 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    17.1% above

    Price is 17.1% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 81 days

    Next report Jan 25, 2027, 81 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +8.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +8.9% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Nucor stock chart and price history

Nucor closed at $267.91 on Nov 4, 2026, +80.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $140.93 to $287.70.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Nucor share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$150$200$250DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct267.91

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+6.7%
3 months
−1.5%
6 months
+14.4%
1 year
+80.9%
The full NUE chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NUE in Gekko

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About Nucor

Nucor produces and sells steel across a wide range of forms, including hot-rolled, cold-rolled, and galvanized sheet, plate, structural beams, piling, and bar products such as rebar. Its mills also trade steel and move rebar into the market, reaching service centers, fabricators, and manufacturers located throughout North America. The company is known for this wide-ranging steel manufacturing operation.

Nucor runs three main lines of business. One focuses on the mill-based steel production noted above. A second, its Steel Products area, turns out tubing, electrical conduit, racking, joists, decking, fasteners, metal building systems, insulated panels, grating, and wire items, most of which go into nonresidential building projects, and it also runs a piling distribution business. The third, Raw Materials, makes direct reduced iron, brokers metals such as pig iron and hot briquetted iron, supplies ferro-alloys, recycles scrap metal, and drills for natural gas; scrap from this unit goes to electric arc furnace mills and foundries as well as aluminum makers and other metal users. Across these operations, buyers come from farming, auto manufacturing, building, energy, oil and gas, heavy machinery, infrastructure, and transport, and Nucor reaches them through its own sales staff plus its internal distribution and trading arms.

Founded in 1958, Nucor is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker NUE.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Non-energy minerals
Industry
Steel
Website
nucor.com

Nucor GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Nucor’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 49.5, in the Neutral zone, up 3.5 points over five sessions.

010049.5Neutral

Up 3.5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying39+0.2%+1.6%+5.0%+9.8%
Accumulation219+0.3%+1.1%+2.6%+4.8%
Neutral (current zone)386+0.5%+0.7%+0.7%+2.1%
Distribution52+0.9%+0.7%+1.2%+5.4%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average NUE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NUE price, zone by zone.Track NUE in Gekko

Is Nucor stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Nucor trades 17.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $228.86, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Nucor shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$228.86

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

17.1% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 28.4% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$229$274Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NUE in Gekko

Nucor insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Nucor, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NUE in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every NUE insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NUE in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in NUE were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for NUE, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NUE in Gekko

Buybacks

Nucor has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$4.00B, Apr 27, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
$506.0M
As a share of market cap
0.83%
Trailing four quarters
$1.08B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

3of the funds Gekko tracks hold NUE.

1added0opened2trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Nucor earnings: next date and track record

Nucor reports on Jan 25, 2027 (81 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.5%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−7.7%Oct ’24+3.6%Jan ’25+2.6%Apr ’25−3.6%Jul ’25+9.6%Oct ’25−4.4%Jan ’26+5.0%Apr ’26+7.3%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 27, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Nucor reported a strong Q2 2026: record steel mill shipments (7.1 million tons), a quarterly EPS beat (net earnings $1.2 billion, $5.04 per share; adjusted $4.84), and about $2 billion of EBITDA. Management emphasized safety progress, returned $479 million to shareholders via dividends and buybacks (41% of net earnings), and reiterated full-year capital expenditure guidance of ~$2.5 billion (approximately 60% toward growth projects). Operationally, demand was described as robust and broad-based across key end markets (defense, energy, data centers, reshoring-related manufacturing), with several growth projects reaching EBITDA-positive run rates (Lexington micromill, Kingman melt shop, Brandenburg plate mill). Major construction projects remain on time and on budget (West Virginia sheet mill commissioning, Berkeley galv line, Crawfordsville coating), with West Virginia expected to begin commercial ramp in early 2027 and reach ~50% utilization by the end of year one. Management expects steel mill performance to be toward the higher end of the previously guided 5%–10% range and reaffirmed an industry demand growth outlook of ~2% for 2026. Preoperating/start-up costs remain elevated ($120 million in Q2) and are expected to stay elevated through 2026 and 2027. Overall tone was confident, with management repeatedly emphasizing execution, strong market fundamentals, and multiyear tailwinds.
Guidance
- Capital expenditures: reaffirmed ~$2.5 billion for 2026 (about 60% allocated to growth projects). - Expectation for steel mills to be toward the higher end of previously guided range of 5%–10% (implied improvement vs. prior quarters). - West Virginia mill: target ~50% utilization by the end of year 1 (post-startup ramp through 2027 into 2028). - Industry demand: reaffirmed ~2% growth for 2026. - Preoperating/start-up costs: Q2 preop costs totaled $120 million; expected to remain elevated through 2026 and 2027. - No explicit revenue or EPS numeric guidance range revisions were issued beyond the commentary above.
Risks flagged
- Rising imports in certain product categories (beams, rebar) could pressure domestic volumes/pricing despite current demand. - Elevated preoperating and start-up costs (~$120M in Q2) expected to continue through 2026–2027. - Working capital build (higher inventories and receivables) due to higher backlog and higher valuations could moderate cash flow in the near term. - Seasonality and fewer fiscal shipping days in Q4 could temper sequential results despite strong demand. - Price/transfer lag issues in DRI pricing tied to pig iron index — potential margin timing risk. - Macroeconomic and policy risks (e.g., import remedies, demand variability) noted implicitly via safe-harbor language.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 27, 2026$4.84
est $4.57
+5.9%$10.40B
est $10.15B
+2.5%+7.3%
Apr 27, 2026$3.23
est $2.87
+12.5%$9.50B
est $8.88B
+6.9%+5.0%
Jan 26, 2026$1.73
est $1.91
−9.4%$7.69B
est $7.91B
−2.8%−4.4%
Oct 27, 2025$2.63
est $2.18
+20.6%$8.52B
est $8.18B
+4.2%+9.6%
Jul 28, 2025$2.60
est $2.55
+2.0%$8.46B
est $8.54B
−0.9%−3.6%
Apr 28, 2025$0.77
est $0.69
+12.1%$7.83B
est $7.22B
+8.4%+2.6%
Jan 27, 2025$1.22
est $0.64
+90.6%$7.08B
est $6.76B
+4.6%+3.6%
Oct 21, 2024$1.05
est $1.17
−10.3%$7.44B
est $7.28B
+2.2%−7.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Nucor stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Nucor is $295.88, +10.4% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$295.88consensus 12-month target, +10.4% from the last close
Low $256High $320
Buy9
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 4KeyBancBuy, maintained$301+12.4%
Oct 30Freedom Capital MarketsBuy, upgraded$304+13.5%
Oct 29Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$270+0.8%
Oct 29Morgan StanleyHold, maintained$300+12.0%
Oct 28BarclaysBuy, maintained$320+19.4%
+0.7%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+8.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Nucor seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Nucor averaged +8.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−1.2%2021+13.1%2022+8.2%2023+8.7%2024+14.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.4%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.1%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+6.8%5 of 5
Next 20 trading days+8.9%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.0%3 of 5

For scale, NUE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.7%.

Nucor market cap and key statistics

Nucor’s market cap is $60.78B, with a P/E ratio of 17.4 and revenue of $38.83B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$60.78B
P/E ratio
17.4
Forward P/E
14.4
EPS, TTM
$15.92
Gekko Fair Value
$228.86

Trading

Volume
2.32M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.37M
52-week high
$287.70
52-week low
$140.93
Shares outstanding
226.9M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$38.83B
Profit margin
9.3%
Return on equity
17.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+120.5%

Risk and income

Beta
1.82
Typical daily move
±3.8%
Typical 20-day move
±7.7%
Dividend yield
0.82%

Nucor stock news this week

Coverage of Nucor this week reads positive: 12 positive, 8 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Nucor peers

Nucor’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
STLDSteel Dynamics−4.1%Neutral15.9% above
RSReliance−2.0%Neutral20.7% above
CLFCleveland-Cliffs−10.5%Neutral20.8% below
CMCCommercial Metals−2.7%Neutral15.7% above
WSWorthington Steel−2.3%Neutral9.3% above
RYZRyerson−1.3%Distribution33.1% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Nucor stock FAQ

What is Nucor’s market cap?

Nucor’s market cap is $60.78B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $267.91, with 226.9M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 17.4.

What is the Nucor stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Nucor is $295.88, +10.4% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Nucor stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Nucor is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $267.91 is 17.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $228.86. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Nucor report earnings next?

Nucor is expected to report on Jan 25, 2027 (81 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $5.62 per share on revenue of $10.25B. Nucor beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.5% on average across the report.

What is Nucor’s 52-week high and low?

Nucor’s 52-week high is $287.70 and its 52-week low is $140.93; it closed at $267.91 on Nov 4, 2026, +80.9% over the past year.

Is Nucor stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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