Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for NUE in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every NUE insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NUE in Gekko
NYSE: NUE
Nucor (NUE) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$248.38−16.76 (−6.3%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:17 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNucor trades at $248.38 after a 6.3% decline, sitting between its 50-day average of $254.28 and 200-day average of $210.67. The GekkoIndex reads 61.5, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price remains 12.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $220.87, a gap that bears watching.
The week's activity centers on Q3 2026 guidance that missed both Freedom Broker's estimates and Street consensus, prompting Freedom Broker to downgrade Nucor from Buy to Hold and lower its price target. Wells Fargo also adjusted its price target to $280 from $285 while keeping an Overweight rating. Steel Dynamics fell alongside Nucor on the same guidance concerns, with commentary framing the issue as cost pressures rather than demand weakness. Separately, Nucor declared its 214th consecutive quarterly cash dividend of $0.56 per share, payable 10 November 2026 to holders of record as of 30 September 2026. Q2 2026 results, referenced in recent coverage, showed $10.4 billion in revenue, up 23% year over year, and adjusted EPS of $4.84 against a $4.57 estimate, with record steel mill shipments of 7.1 million tons.
Nucor's next earnings report is scheduled for 26 October 2026, 36 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. One billionaire holder and two trailblazer holders are noted. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 2% gain over five years, rising in three of those years. Analyst coverage from 11 firms shows 9 Buy and 2 Hold ratings, with a consensus target of $285.31.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $248.38200-day averageGekko Fair Value $220.87
Key stats
- Market cap
- $56.57B
- P/E ratio
- 20.8
- Forward P/E
- 12.1
- EPS, TTM
- $12.75
- Revenue, TTM
- $36.10B
- Profit margin
- 8%
- Dividend yield
- 0.86%
- Beta
- 1.88
- Volume
- 3.19M avg 1.25M
- 1-year return
- +73.9%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.9%
- 50-day average
- $254.28
- 200-day average
- $210.67
- Next earnings
- Oct 26
- Shares outstanding
- 226.9M
Nucor swing-trade checklist
Nucor scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $248.38 sits between the 50-day ($254.28) and 200-day ($210.67) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
61.5, Accumulation
Reading 61.5 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
12.5% above
Price is 12.5% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 36 days
Next report Oct 26, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+2.0% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Nucor stock chart and price history
Nucor closed at $248.38 on Sep 18, 2026, +73.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $131.32 to $280.11.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −0.1%
- 3 months
- +1.9%
- 6 months
- +53.4%
- 1 year
- +73.9%
The full NUE chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NUE in Gekko
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About Nucor
Nucor produces and sells steel across a wide range of forms, including hot-rolled, cold-rolled, and galvanized sheet, plate, structural beams, piling, and bar products such as rebar. Its mills also trade steel and move rebar into the market, reaching service centers, fabricators, and manufacturers located throughout North America. The company is known for this wide-ranging steel manufacturing operation.
Nucor runs three main lines of business. One focuses on the mill-based steel production noted above. A second, its Steel Products area, turns out tubing, electrical conduit, racking, joists, decking, fasteners, metal building systems, insulated panels, grating, and wire items, most of which go into nonresidential building projects, and it also runs a piling distribution business. The third, Raw Materials, makes direct reduced iron, brokers metals such as pig iron and hot briquetted iron, supplies ferro-alloys, recycles scrap metal, and drills for natural gas; scrap from this unit goes to electric arc furnace mills and foundries as well as aluminum makers and other metal users. Across these operations, buyers come from farming, auto manufacturing, building, energy, oil and gas, heavy machinery, infrastructure, and transport, and Nucor reaches them through its own sales staff plus its internal distribution and trading arms.
Founded in 1958, Nucor is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker NUE.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Non-energy minerals
- Industry
- Steel
- Website
- nucor.com
Nucor GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Nucor’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.5, in the Accumulation zone, up 4.2 points over five sessions.
61.5Accumulation
Up 4.2 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 39 | +0.2% | +5.0% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 207 | +0.3% | +2.2% | ||
| Neutral | 363 | +0.5% | +1.0% | ||
| Distribution | 52 | +0.9% | +1.2% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average NUE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NUE price, zone by zone.Track NUE in Gekko
Is Nucor stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Nucor trades 12.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $220.87, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Nucor shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$220.87
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
12.5% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NUE in Gekko
Nucor insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Nucor, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in NUE were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for NUE, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NUE in Gekko
Buybacks
Nucor has been buying back its own shares.
- Latest authorization
- $4.00B, Apr 27, 2026
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $350.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.62%
- Trailing four quarters
- $675.0M
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
3of the funds Gekko tracks hold NUE.
1added0opened2trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Nucor earnings: next date and track record
Nucor reports on Oct 26, 2026 (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 26, 2026
36 days away
- EPS estimate
- $5.87
- Revenue estimate
- $10.81B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.5%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 27, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Nucor reported a strong Q2 2026: record steel mill shipments (7.1 million tons), a quarterly EPS beat (net earnings $1.2 billion, $5.04 per share; adjusted $4.84), and about $2 billion of EBITDA. Management emphasized safety progress, returned $479 million to shareholders via dividends and buybacks (41% of net earnings), and reiterated full-year capital expenditure guidance of ~$2.5 billion (approximately 60% toward growth projects). Operationally, demand was described as robust and broad-based across key end markets (defense, energy, data centers, reshoring-related manufacturing), with several growth projects reaching EBITDA-positive run rates (Lexington micromill, Kingman melt shop, Brandenburg plate mill). Major construction projects remain on time and on budget (West Virginia sheet mill commissioning, Berkeley galv line, Crawfordsville coating), with West Virginia expected to begin commercial ramp in early 2027 and reach ~50% utilization by the end of year one. Management expects steel mill performance to be toward the higher end of the previously guided 5%–10% range and reaffirmed an industry demand growth outlook of ~2% for 2026. Preoperating/start-up costs remain elevated ($120 million in Q2) and are expected to stay elevated through 2026 and 2027. Overall tone was confident, with management repeatedly emphasizing execution, strong market fundamentals, and multiyear tailwinds.
- Guidance
- - Capital expenditures: reaffirmed ~$2.5 billion for 2026 (about 60% allocated to growth projects). - Expectation for steel mills to be toward the higher end of previously guided range of 5%–10% (implied improvement vs. prior quarters). - West Virginia mill: target ~50% utilization by the end of year 1 (post-startup ramp through 2027 into 2028). - Industry demand: reaffirmed ~2% growth for 2026. - Preoperating/start-up costs: Q2 preop costs totaled $120 million; expected to remain elevated through 2026 and 2027. - No explicit revenue or EPS numeric guidance range revisions were issued beyond the commentary above.
- Risks flagged
- - Rising imports in certain product categories (beams, rebar) could pressure domestic volumes/pricing despite current demand. - Elevated preoperating and start-up costs (~$120M in Q2) expected to continue through 2026–2027. - Working capital build (higher inventories and receivables) due to higher backlog and higher valuations could moderate cash flow in the near term. - Seasonality and fewer fiscal shipping days in Q4 could temper sequential results despite strong demand. - Price/transfer lag issues in DRI pricing tied to pig iron index — potential margin timing risk. - Macroeconomic and policy risks (e.g., import remedies, demand variability) noted implicitly via safe-harbor language.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2026 | $4.84 est $4.57 | $10.40B est $10.15B | +7.3% |
| Apr 27, 2026 | $3.23 est $2.87 | $9.50B est $8.88B | +5.0% |
| Jan 26, 2026 | $1.73 est $1.91 | $7.69B est $7.91B | −4.4% |
| Oct 27, 2025 | $2.63 est $2.18 | $8.52B est $8.18B | +9.6% |
| Jul 28, 2025 | $2.60 est $2.55 | $8.46B est $8.54B | −3.6% |
| Apr 28, 2025 | $0.77 est $0.69 | $7.83B est $7.22B | +2.6% |
| Jan 27, 2025 | $1.22 est $0.64 | $7.08B est $6.76B | +3.6% |
| Oct 21, 2024 | $1.05 est $1.17 | $7.44B est $7.28B | −7.7% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Nucor stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Nucor is $285.31, +14.9% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$285.31consensus 12-month target, +14.9% from the last close
Now $248.38Avg $285.31
Low $256High $308
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18 | Barclays | $295 | +18.8% |
| Sep 18 | Bank of America Securities | $280 | +12.7% |
| Sep 18 | Wells Fargo | $280 | +12.7% |
| Sep 18 | J.P. Morgan | $308 | +24.0% |
| Sep 17 | BMO Capital | $295 | +18.8% |
+2.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+2.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Nucor seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Nucor averaged +2.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −0.4% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +0.8% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +1.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +2.0% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +5.8% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, NUE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.9%.
Nucor market cap and key statistics
Nucor’s market cap is $56.57B, with a P/E ratio of 20.8 and revenue of $36.10B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $56.57B
- P/E ratio
- 20.8
- Forward P/E
- 12.1
- EPS, TTM
- $12.75
- Gekko Fair Value
- $220.87
Trading
- Volume
- 3.19M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.25M
- 52-week high
- $280.11
- 52-week low
- $131.32
- Shares outstanding
- 226.9M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $36.10B
- Profit margin
- 8%
- Return on equity
- 14.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +93.8%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.88
- Typical daily move
- ±3.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.9%
- Dividend yield
- 0.86%
Nucor stock news this week
Coverage of Nucor this week reads negative: 5 positive, 1 neutral and 6 negative headlines.
- A Look at Nucor Corp (NUE) After 6.3% Decline -- GF Value $188.4GuruFocus, Sep 19
- Freedom Broker downgrades Nucor stock rating on Q3 guidance missInvesting.com, Sep 18
- Nucor declares quarterly dividend of $0.56 per shareInvesting.com, Sep 18
- Nucor Announces 214th Consecutive Cash Dividendwww.marketscreener.com, Sep 18
- Xenon Pharmaceuticals, Steel Dynamics, Nucor And Other Big Stocks Moving Lower In Friday’s Pre-Market SesBenzinga, Sep 18
- Nucor: The Q3 Guidance Is Not A Thesis BreakerSeeking Alpha, Sep 18
Nucor peers
Nucor’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| STLDSteel Dynamics | Accumulation | 13.9% above |
| RSReliance | Accumulation | 9.5% above |
| CMCCommercial Metals | Accumulation | 2.7% below |
| CLFCleveland-Cliffs | Neutral | 24.3% below |
| WSWorthington Steel | Accumulation | 6.5% below |
| RYZRyerson | Accumulation | 45.0% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Nucor stock FAQ
What is Nucor’s market cap?
Nucor’s market cap is $56.57B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $248.38, with 226.9M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 20.8.
What is the Nucor stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Nucor is $285.31, +14.9% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Nucor stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Nucor is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $248.38 is 12.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $220.87. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Nucor report earnings next?
Nucor is expected to report on Oct 26, 2026 (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $5.87 per share on revenue of $10.81B. Nucor beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.5% on average across the report.
What is Nucor’s 52-week high and low?
Nucor’s 52-week high is $280.11 and its 52-week low is $131.32; it closed at $248.38 on Sep 18, 2026, +73.9% over the past year.
Is Nucor stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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