NYSE: RS

Reliance (RS) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$391.53+4.25 (+1.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Reliance's recent attention centers on its rebranding from Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co., which has drawn fresh investor interest with the stock trading near $384 at the time. Separately, comparisons are being drawn between Reliance and Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. as value plays, though the company continues to show strong long-term returns despite mixed recent performance.

Reliance closed at $391.53, up 1.1%, sitting between its 50-day average of $399.84 and 200-day average of $355.16. The GekkoIndex reads 60, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, though the index has slipped 3.9 over the past five sessions. Price remains 11.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $351.85, a gap that bears watching.

Reliance next reports earnings on 21 October 2026, 22 days out and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; its last report on 22 July showed non-GAAP EPS of $6.27 against an estimate of $5.38, with an average absolute reaction of 3.2% across recent quarters. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current window. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 1.5% gain over five years, rising in 2 of those years. Analyst consensus among 8 firms shows 1 buy, 6 hold, and 1 sell, with a consensus target of $408.88.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Reliance price vs fair value

$391.53$351.85Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $391.53200-day averageGekko Fair Value $351.85

Reliance quick facts

Market cap
$19.99B
P/E ratio
22.4
Forward P/E
16.5
EPS, TTM
$17.24
Revenue, TTM
$15.81B
Profit margin
5.7%
Dividend yield
1.27%
Beta
0.96
Volume
188,523 avg 302,952
1-year return
+39.5%
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5.2%
50-day average
$399.84
200-day average
$355.16
Next earnings
Oct 21
Shares outstanding
51.05M
52-week range
$260.31$433.02

Reliance swing-trade checklist

Reliance scores 1 supportive, 2 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive2 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $391.53 sits between the 50-day ($399.84) and 200-day ($355.16) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    60, Accumulation

    Reading 60 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    11.3% above

    Price is 11.3% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 22 days

    Reports on Oct 21, 2026, 22 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +1.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.5% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Reliance stock chart and price history

Reliance closed at $391.53 on Sep 28, 2026, +39.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $260.31 to $433.02.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Reliance share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$300$350NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep391.53

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
0.0%
3 months
+4.6%
6 months
+30.7%
1 year
+39.5%
The full RS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open RS in Gekko

Follow Reliance through every session

Put RS on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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Reliance GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Reliance’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60, in the Accumulation zone, down 3.9 points over five sessions.

010060Accumulation

Down 3.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying21+0.1%+0.9%+5.5%+4.9%
Accumulation (current zone)229+0.1%+0.7%+1.5%+5.7%
Neutral368+0.3%+0.4%+0.7%+0.8%
Distribution50+1.3%+2.1%+2.2%+0.3%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average RS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the RS price, zone by zone.Track RS in Gekko

Is Reliance stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Reliance trades 11.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $351.85, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Reliance shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$351.85

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

11.3% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open RS in Gekko

Reliance insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Reliance, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for RS in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every RS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RS in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in RS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for RS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RS in Gekko

Buybacks

Reliance has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$5.50M
As a share of market cap
0.03%
Trailing four quarters
$500.7M

From company filings.

Reliance earnings: next date and track record

Reliance reports on Oct 21, 2026 (22 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.2%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+0.3%Oct ’24+1.1%Feb ’25+1.8%Apr ’25−11.4%Jul ’25−1.8%Oct ’25−3.8%Feb ’26+2.5%Apr ’26+3.1%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Reliance reported a strong second quarter 2026 driven by record tons sold, higher pricing and favorable market conditions. The company delivered its second-highest quarterly revenue, record quarterly tons, and a 40% year-over-year increase in non-GAAP pretax income; non-GAAP EPS was $6.27. Management highlighted sustained outperformance versus the broader industry, benefits from domestic mill partnerships, and contributions from a U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) border wall contract that accelerated volumes and delivered pretax margin accretion. Cost and margin commentary included a modest FIFO gross margin expansion to 30.5% and an outsized LIFO expense driven by elevated aluminum costs; management raised its full-year LIFO expense outlook to ~$300 million (from $150 million) and recorded $112.5 million of LIFO expense in Q2 with an expected ~$75 million LIFO charge in Q3. Inventory turns were above target (~5x), and the balance sheet/ liquidity were emphasized as competitive advantages. Management expressed confidence in demand across nonresidential construction, manufacturing (including aerospace and semiconductor), and the ability to support large contract opportunities while noting some supply allocation and extended lead times across specific product categories.
Guidance
Updated full-year LIFO expense outlook: ~$300 million (previously ~$150 million). Q2 LIFO expense: $112.5 million; expected Q3 LIFO expense: ~$75 million. Q3 shipments (excluding DHS contract) guided down ~2% to 4% quarter-over-quarter (typical seasonality). DHS border wall contract: Phase 1 expected to add ~$1.4 billion of sales through mid-2027 with current shipments expected to ramp to a near run-rate in Q3 and be sustained through mid-2027; an optional Phase 2 opportunity of roughly $800–$900 million may extend the contract beyond mid-2027 (not guaranteed). No formal consolidated revenue or EPS numeric guidance beyond these items was provided on the call.
Risks flagged
Primary risks mentioned include supply constraints and allocation from domestic mills (leading to limited availability for some products), volatile and elevated aluminum prices driving outsized LIFO expense and margin distortion, potential variability in DHS contract timing/shipments (customer pull-through and metal supply dependency), and broader market uncertainties that could affect project timing or demand. Consolidation/competition dynamics were discussed as potentially creating a more disciplined pricing environment but also reflect industry uncertainty.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 22, 2026$6.27
est $5.38
+16.5%$4.63B
est $4.26B
+8.7%+3.1%
Apr 22, 2026$5.16
est $4.66
+10.7%$4.03B
est $3.89B
+3.5%+2.5%
Feb 18, 2026$2.40
est $2.80
−14.3%$3.50B
est $3.45B
+1.5%−3.8%
Oct 22, 2025$3.64
est $3.68
−1.1%$3.65B
est $3.44B
+6.0%−1.8%
Jul 23, 2025$4.43
est $4.68
−5.3%$3.66B
est $3.66B
0.0%−11.4%
Apr 23, 2025$3.77
est $3.64
+3.6%$3.48B
est $3.44B
+1.4%+1.8%
Feb 19, 2025$2.22
est $2.73
−18.5%$3.13B
est $3.06B
+2.3%+1.1%
Oct 24, 2024$3.64
est $3.66
−0.5%$3.42B
est $3.09B
+10.6%+0.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Reliance stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Reliance is $408.88, +4.4% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$408.88consensus 12-month target, +4.4% from the last close
Low $379High $420
Buy1
Hold6
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 9J.P. MorganHold, maintained$390−0.4%
Aug 24Wells FargoHold, reiterated$391−0.1%
Aug 24Wolfe ResearchHold, maintained$398+1.7%
Jul 29CitiHold, maintained$420+7.3%
Jul 28J.P. MorganHold, maintained$398+1.7%
+1.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+1.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Reliance seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Reliance averaged +1.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−0.5%2021+14.6%2022−5.3%2023+2.9%2024+0.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days0.0%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.9%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.6%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.5%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+8.6%4 of 5

For scale, RS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.2%.

Reliance market cap and key statistics

Reliance’s market cap is $19.99B, with a P/E ratio of 22.4 and revenue of $15.81B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$19.99B
P/E ratio
22.4
Forward P/E
16.5
EPS, TTM
$17.24
Gekko Fair Value
$351.85

Trading

Volume
188,523
Avg volume, 20 days
302,952
52-week high
$433.02
52-week low
$260.31
Shares outstanding
51.05M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$15.81B
Profit margin
5.7%
Return on equity
12.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+42.3%

Risk and income

Beta
0.96
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5.2%
Dividend yield
1.27%

Reliance stock news this week

2 headlines about Reliance from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Reliance peers

Reliance’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NUENucor−0.2%Accumulation10.6% above
STLDSteel Dynamics+0.2%Accumulation11.5% above
CMCCommercial Metals0.0%Accumulation2.5% below
CLFCleveland-Cliffs−4.4%Accumulation33.3% below
WSWorthington Steel+3.4%Neutral1.9% above
RYZRyerson+2.0%Accumulation44.0% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Reliance stock FAQ

What is Reliance’s market cap?

Reliance’s market cap is $19.99B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $391.53, with 51.05M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 22.4.

What is the Reliance stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Reliance is $408.88, +4.4% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Reliance stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Reliance is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $391.53 is 11.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $351.85. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Reliance report earnings next?

Reliance is expected to report on Oct 21, 2026 (22 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $6.79 per share on revenue of $4.71B. Reliance beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.2% on average across the report.

What is Reliance’s 52-week high and low?

Reliance’s 52-week high is $433.02 and its 52-week low is $260.31; it closed at $391.53 on Sep 28, 2026, +39.5% over the past year.

Is Reliance stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex), 2 as mixed (trend and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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