Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for UNP in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every UNP insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open UNP in Gekko
NYSE: UNP
Union Pacific (UNP) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$308.53+5.10 (+1.7%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeUnion Pacific shares have been choppy this week, trading between roughly $303.43 and $308.53 amid continued commentary on its record quarterly results and valuation. A technical analyst at Phases & Cycles noted the stock formed a two-stage base and broke out to a 52-week high of $315.99, while other coverage questioned whether shares trade at a premium to cash flow and whether the company can sustain its record performance given rising fuel costs and mixed customer service scores. A filing also showed Aware Super increased its UNP holdings during the third quarter.
UNP closed at $308.53, up 1.7%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $287.30 and 200-day average of $271.57, consistent with a supportive longer-term trend. The GekkoIndex reads 47.4, placing it in the Neutral zone. Against this, Gekko Fair Value stands at $254.47, meaning the current price sits 21.2% above that level.
Union Pacific's next earnings report is scheduled for 26 January 2027, 82 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality data show the next 20 trading days have historically averaged a 5.7% gain over 5 years, rising in 5 of those years, which is worth noting alongside the wide gap to Gekko Fair Value.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Union Pacific price vs fair value
Close $308.53200-day averageGekko Fair Value $254.47
Union Pacific quick facts
- Market cap
- $183.3B
- P/E ratio
- 23.7
- Forward P/E
- 21.3
- EPS, TTM
- $12.95
- Revenue, TTM
- $26.36B
- Profit margin
- 28.9%
- Dividend yield
- 1.83%
- Beta
- 0.85
- Volume
- 2.86M avg 2.47M
- 1-year return
- +41.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.1%
- 50-day average
- $287.30
- 200-day average
- $271.57
- Next earnings
- Jan 26 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 594.1M
Union Pacific swing-trade checklist
Union Pacific scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $308.53 is above the 50-day ($287.30) and 200-day ($271.57) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
47.4, Neutral
Reading 47.4 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
21.2% above
Price is 21.2% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 82 days
Next report Jan 26, 2027, 82 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+5.7% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.7% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Union Pacific stock chart and price history
Union Pacific closed at $308.53 on Nov 4, 2026, +41.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $216.32 to $315.99.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +11.5%
- 3 months
- +4.5%
- 6 months
- +15.0%
- 1 year
- +41.0%
The full UNP chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open UNP in Gekko
Follow Union Pacific through every session
Put UNP on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
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About Union Pacific
Union Pacific moves freight by rail across a wide range of goods, from farm products such as grain and fertilizer to energy shipments like coal, petroleum and renewable-related materials. It also carries industrial goods including chemicals, plastics, metals, ores, sand and forest products, along with finished vehicles, auto parts and general merchandise packed into intermodal containers. The company is recognized for the scale of its rail network, which links Pacific and Gulf Coast ports with major shipping points across the Midwest and Eastern United States.
The business runs through its subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company, and its customers include agricultural processors, energy producers and industrial manufacturers who rely on it to transport raw materials and finished products across the country. As of the end of 2021, its tracks covered roughly 32,452 route miles.
Union Pacific traces its founding back to 1862 and operates out of Omaha, Nebraska. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker UNP.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Transportation
- Industry
- Railroads
- Website
- up.com
Union Pacific GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Union Pacific’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 47.4, in the Neutral zone, down 1.3 points over five sessions.
47.4Neutral
Down 1.3 points over five sessions.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 20 | +1.9% | +5.2% | ||
| Accumulation | 247 | +0.2% | +2.4% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 373 | +0.1% | −0.5% | ||
| Distribution | 50 | −0.1% | −1.4% | ||
| Selling | 7 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average UNP share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the UNP price, zone by zone.Track UNP in Gekko
Is Union Pacific stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Union Pacific trades 21.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $254.47, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Union Pacific shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$254.47
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
21.2% Overvalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 16.7% above the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open UNP in Gekko
Union Pacific insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Union Pacific, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in UNP were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for UNP, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open UNP in Gekko
Buybacks
Union Pacific has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $26.00M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.01%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30
3of the funds Gekko tracks hold UNP.
2added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Union Pacific earnings: next date and track record
Union Pacific reports on Jan 26, 2027, before the open (82 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Jan 26, 2027
Expected before the open, 82 days away
- EPS estimate
- $3.31
- Revenue estimate
- $7.13B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.2%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 23, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- UNP reported record Q2 2026 financial results with net income of $2 billion and adjusted EPS of $3.41. Operating revenue grew 12% to $6.9 billion, with freight revenue also up 12% to $6.5 billion, driven by 2% volume growth and a $460 million fuel surcharge tailwind. Operating ratio improved to 59.2%, roughly 10 basis points better year-over-year on a core basis. Cash from operations rose 21% to $5.5 billion. Eight consecutive quarters of record workforce productivity helped offset wage inflation.
- Guidance
- Management now expects full-year compensation per employee to increase approximately 6%, up from prior estimates. Core pricing continues to exceed inflation dollars. Management expressed confidence in sustaining productivity gains despite wage and benefit cost pressures.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | $3.41 est $3.20 | $6.86B est $6.72B | +5.0% |
| Apr 23, 2026 | $2.87 est $2.86 | $6.22B est $6.23B | +7.7% |
| Jan 27, 2026 | $3.11 est $2.86 | $6.09B est $6.11B | −1.4% |
| Oct 23, 2025 | $3.08 est $2.99 | $6.24B est $6.25B | −3.8% |
| Jul 24, 2025 | $3.03 est $2.91 | $6.15B est $6.16B | −2.7% |
| Apr 24, 2025 | $2.70 est $2.74 | $6.03B est $6.07B | −3.0% |
| Jan 23, 2025 | $2.91 est $2.76 | $6.12B est $6.15B | +5.5% |
| Oct 24, 2024 | $2.75 est $2.78 | $6.09B est $6.14B | −4.6% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Union Pacific stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Union Pacific is $331.38, +7.4% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$331.38consensus 12-month target, +7.4% from the last close
Now $308.53Avg $331.38
Low $321High $350
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | Susquehanna | $345 | +11.8% |
| Oct 23 | Citi | $348 | +12.8% |
| Oct 23 | Barclays | $350 | +13.4% |
| Oct 23 | Bank of America Securities | $338 | +9.6% |
| Oct 23 | Bernstein | $347 | +12.5% |
−0.5%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+5.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Union Pacific seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Union Pacific averaged +5.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +3.7% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +2.7% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +4.6% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +5.7% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +5.6% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, UNP’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.1%.
Union Pacific market cap and key statistics
Union Pacific’s market cap is $183.3B, with a P/E ratio of 23.7 and revenue of $26.36B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $183.3B
- P/E ratio
- 23.7
- Forward P/E
- 21.3
- EPS, TTM
- $12.95
- Gekko Fair Value
- $254.47
Trading
- Volume
- 2.86M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.47M
- 52-week high
- $315.99
- 52-week low
- $216.32
- Shares outstanding
- 594.1M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $26.36B
- Profit margin
- 28.9%
- Return on equity
- 38.8%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +15.9%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.85
- Typical daily move
- ±2.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.1%
- Dividend yield
- 1.83%
Union Pacific stock news this week
Coverage of Union Pacific this week reads neutral: 5 positive, 6 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Union Pacific Corporation $UNP Stock: Aware Super Pty Ltd as trustee of Aware Super Grows HoldingsDefense World, Nov 4
- Bullish on Union Pacific Corp.The Globe and Mail, Nov 3
- Union Pacific Corp. stock outperforms competitors despite losses on the dayMarketWatch, Nov 3
- Union Pacific Corp Shs Unsponsored Brazilian Depositary Receipt Repr 0.041667 ShTradingView, Nov 2
- Mirae Asset Global Investments Co. Ltd. Acquires New Holdings in Union Pacific Corporation $UNPMarketBeat, Nov 2
- Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) stock price, news, quote and historyYahoo Finance Australia, Nov 1
Union Pacific peers
Union Pacific’s 5 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| CSXCSX | Neutral | 25.1% above |
| CPCanadian Pacific Kansas City | Neutral | 19.2% above |
| CNICanadian National Railway | Distribution | 24.0% above |
| NSCNorfolk Southern | Neutral | 23.3% above |
| GATXGATX | Distribution | 1.2% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Union Pacific stock FAQ
What is Union Pacific’s market cap?
Union Pacific’s market cap is $183.3B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $308.53, with 594.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 23.7.
What is the Union Pacific stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Union Pacific is $331.38, +7.4% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 11 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Union Pacific stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Union Pacific is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $308.53 is 21.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $254.47. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Union Pacific report earnings next?
Union Pacific is expected to report on Jan 26, 2027, before the market opens (82 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.31 per share on revenue of $7.13B. Union Pacific beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.2% on average across the report.
What is Union Pacific’s 52-week high and low?
Union Pacific’s 52-week high is $315.99 and its 52-week low is $216.32; it closed at $308.53 on Nov 4, 2026, +41.0% over the past year.
Is Union Pacific stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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