Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for UNP in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every UNP insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open UNP in Gekko
NYSE: UNP
Union Pacific (UNP) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$279.37−3.11 (−1.1%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:18 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryUnion Pacific trades at $279.37, down 1.1% on the day and sitting between its 50-day average of $294.59 and 200-day average of $262.87. The stock has fallen 7.4% over the past month but remains up 8.8% over three months, 19.3% over six months and 28.6% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 71.1, placing UNP in the Buying zone, while the price sits 9.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $254.58.
This week's news centers on an UBS upgrade to Buy from Neutral, with the firm raising its price target to $339 and citing a stronger 2027 growth outlook, excluding potential benefits from a proposed merger with Norfolk Southern (NSC). Separately, more than 500 customers have publicly backed the proposed Union Pacific–Norfolk Southern combination. Union Pacific also noted that high diesel prices are shifting freight from trucks to rail, and CEO Jim Vena pointed to broad-based volume growth this quarter, though he flagged that rising fuel prices could pressure the operating ratio near term.
Union Pacific's next earnings report is set for 22 October 2026, before the open, 32 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw EPS of $3.41 versus a $3.20 estimate and a 5% reaction. Of 19 covering analysts, 16 rate the stock Buy, 3 Hold, none Sell, with a consensus target of $330.46. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 1.4% gain over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $279.37200-day averageGekko Fair Value $254.58
Key stats
- Market cap
- $166.0B
- P/E ratio
- 22.7
- Forward P/E
- 19.8
- EPS, TTM
- $12.43
- Revenue, TTM
- $25.41B
- Profit margin
- 28.8%
- Dividend yield
- 1.96%
- Beta
- 0.97
- Volume
- 4.77M avg 2.25M
- 1-year return
- +28.6%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.1%
- 50-day average
- $294.59
- 200-day average
- $262.87
- Next earnings
- Oct 22 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 594.1M
Union Pacific swing-trade checklist
Union Pacific scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $279.37 sits between the 50-day ($294.59) and 200-day ($262.87) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
71.1, Buying
Reading 71.1 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
9.7% above
Price is 9.7% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 32 days
Next report Oct 22, 2026, 32 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitymixed
+1.4% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.4% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Union Pacific stock chart and price history
Union Pacific closed at $279.37 on Sep 18, 2026, +28.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $215.53 to $315.99.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −7.4%
- 3 months
- +8.8%
- 6 months
- +19.3%
- 1 year
- +28.6%
The full UNP chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open UNP in Gekko
Follow Union Pacific through every session
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About Union Pacific
Union Pacific moves freight by rail across a wide range of goods, from farm products such as grain and fertilizer to energy shipments like coal, petroleum and renewable-related materials. It also carries industrial goods including chemicals, plastics, metals, ores, sand and forest products, along with finished vehicles, auto parts and general merchandise packed into intermodal containers. The company is recognized for the scale of its rail network, which links Pacific and Gulf Coast ports with major shipping points across the Midwest and Eastern United States.
The business runs through its subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company, and its customers include agricultural processors, energy producers and industrial manufacturers who rely on it to transport raw materials and finished products across the country. As of the end of 2021, its tracks covered roughly 32,452 route miles.
Union Pacific traces its founding back to 1862 and operates out of Omaha, Nebraska. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker UNP.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Transportation
- Industry
- Railroads
- Website
- up.com
Union Pacific GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Union Pacific’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 71.1, in the Buying zone, up 4.2 points over five sessions.
71.1Buying
Up 4.2 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 17 | +2.2% | +5.3% | ||
| Accumulation | 225 | +0.3% | +2.5% | ||
| Neutral | 364 | +0.1% | −0.3% | ||
| Distribution | 49 | −0.1% | −1.4% | ||
| Selling | 7 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average UNP share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the UNP price, zone by zone.Track UNP in Gekko
Is Union Pacific stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Union Pacific trades 9.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $254.58, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Union Pacific shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$254.58
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
9.7% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open UNP in Gekko
Union Pacific insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Union Pacific, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in UNP were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for UNP, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open UNP in Gekko
Buybacks
Union Pacific has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $26.00M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.02%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
6of the funds Gekko tracks hold UNP.
3added1opened2trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Union Pacific earnings: next date and track record
Union Pacific reports on Oct 22, 2026, before the open (32 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 22, 2026
Expected before the open, 32 days away
- EPS estimate
- $3.43
- Revenue estimate
- $6.97B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.2%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 23, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- UNP reported record Q2 2026 financial results with net income of $2 billion and adjusted EPS of $3.41. Operating revenue grew 12% to $6.9 billion, with freight revenue also up 12% to $6.5 billion, driven by 2% volume growth and a $460 million fuel surcharge tailwind. Operating ratio improved to 59.2%, roughly 10 basis points better year-over-year on a core basis. Cash from operations rose 21% to $5.5 billion. Eight consecutive quarters of record workforce productivity helped offset wage inflation.
- Guidance
- Management now expects full-year compensation per employee to increase approximately 6%, up from prior estimates. Core pricing continues to exceed inflation dollars. Management expressed confidence in sustaining productivity gains despite wage and benefit cost pressures.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | $3.41 est $3.20 | $6.86B est $6.72B | +5.0% |
| Apr 23, 2026 | $2.87 est $2.86 | $6.22B est $6.23B | +7.7% |
| Jan 27, 2026 | $3.11 est $2.86 | $6.09B est $6.11B | −1.4% |
| Oct 23, 2025 | $3.08 est $2.99 | $6.24B est $6.25B | −3.8% |
| Jul 24, 2025 | $3.03 est $2.91 | $6.15B est $6.16B | −2.7% |
| Apr 24, 2025 | $2.70 est $2.74 | $6.03B est $6.07B | −3.0% |
| Jan 23, 2025 | $2.91 est $2.76 | $6.12B est $6.15B | +5.5% |
| Oct 24, 2024 | $2.75 est $2.78 | $6.09B est $6.14B | −4.6% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Union Pacific stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Union Pacific is $330.46, +18.3% from the last close, from 19 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$330.46consensus 12-month target, +18.3% from the last close
Now $279.37Avg $330.46
Low $294High $363
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 19 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16 | UBS | $339 | +21.3% |
| Sep 3 | Bernstein | $346 | +23.9% |
| Aug 27 | Erste Group | — | — |
| Aug 26 | Bank of America Securities | $343 | +22.8% |
| Aug 24 | Bernstein | $346 | +23.9% |
+5.3%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+1.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Union Pacific seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Union Pacific averaged +1.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −0.6% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −0.6% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −1.5% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +1.4% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +0.5% | 1 of 5 |
For scale, UNP’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.1%.
Union Pacific market cap and key statistics
Union Pacific’s market cap is $166.0B, with a P/E ratio of 22.7 and revenue of $25.41B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $166.0B
- P/E ratio
- 22.7
- Forward P/E
- 19.8
- EPS, TTM
- $12.43
- Gekko Fair Value
- $254.58
Trading
- Volume
- 4.77M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.25M
- 52-week high
- $315.99
- 52-week low
- $215.53
- Shares outstanding
- 594.1M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $25.41B
- Profit margin
- 28.8%
- Return on equity
- 39.7%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +6.6%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.97
- Typical daily move
- ±2.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.1%
- Dividend yield
- 1.96%
Union Pacific stock news this week
Coverage of Union Pacific this week reads positive: 12 positive, 2 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Union Pacific stock gains after UBS upgrade and solid second quarter figuresAD HOC NEWS, Sep 19
- For Veterans Seeking Their Next Mission, Union Pacific Delivers OpportunityUnion Pacific, Sep 18
- Steaming Up for the Holidays: Union Pacific's Big Boy to Embark on First-Ever Holiday Tour for Make-A-Wish FoundationBusiness Wire, Sep 17
- Union Pacific upgraded to Buy by UBS on stronger 2027 growth outlookProactive Investors, Sep 17
- More Than 500 Customers Back Union Pacific–Norfolk Southern Combination as a Catalyst for American GrowthUnion Pacific, Sep 17
- Union Pacific says high diesel prices shifting freight from trucks to rail By ReutersInvesting.com, Sep 16
Union Pacific peers
Union Pacific’s 5 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| CSXCSX | Buying | 11.6% above |
| CPCanadian Pacific Kansas City | Accumulation | 7.8% above |
| CNICanadian National Railway | Accumulation | 13.6% above |
| NSCNorfolk Southern | Buying | 12.0% above |
| GATXGATX | Neutral | 8.9% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Union Pacific stock FAQ
What is Union Pacific’s market cap?
Union Pacific’s market cap is $166.0B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $279.37, with 594.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 22.7.
What is the Union Pacific stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Union Pacific is $330.46, +18.3% from the last close. Of the 19 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 16 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Union Pacific stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Union Pacific is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $279.37 is 9.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $254.58. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Union Pacific report earnings next?
Union Pacific is expected to report on Oct 22, 2026, before the market opens (32 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.43 per share on revenue of $6.97B. Union Pacific beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.2% on average across the report.
What is Union Pacific’s 52-week high and low?
Union Pacific’s 52-week high is $315.99 and its 52-week low is $215.53; it closed at $279.37 on Sep 18, 2026, +28.6% over the past year.
Is Union Pacific stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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