NYSE: GATX

GATX (GATX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$181.26−2.47 (−1.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's news centers on Goldman Sachs, which reiterated a Buy rating on GATX and raised its price target to $223, citing a positive outlook on the company. The firm's note referenced GATX's last closing price of $197.87 at the time.

GATX closed at $181.26, down 1.3%, sitting between its 50-day average of $179.32 and 200-day average of $179.59. The GekkoIndex reads 53.2, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, with the index down 1.4 over the past five sessions. Price stands 7.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $195.29. Returns have been modest, up 1.6% over one and three months, 8.2% over six months, and 3.9% over the past year, with the 52-week range spanning $150.42 to $205.56.

Earnings are scheduled for 20 October 2026, 21 days away, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 19 February showed EPS of $2.44 against a $2.42 estimate, with a 4.3% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 5 of the last 8 quarters. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 1.1% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst coverage from 3 firms is unanimously rated Buy, with a consensus target of $219.25, implying 21% upside from current levels.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

GATX price vs fair value

$195.29$181.26Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $181.26200-day averageGekko Fair Value $195.29

GATX quick facts

Market cap
$6.44B
P/E ratio
18.2
Forward P/E
19.1
EPS, TTM
$10.11
Revenue, TTM
$2.05B
Profit margin
17.9%
Dividend yield
1.39%
Beta
1.18
Volume
289,089 avg 240,412
1-year return
+3.9%
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±4.8%
50-day average
$179.32
200-day average
$179.59
Next earnings
Oct 20
Shares outstanding
35.31M
52-week range
$150.42$205.56

GATX swing-trade checklist

GATX scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $181.26 sits between the 50-day ($179.32) and 200-day ($179.59) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    53.2, Neutral

    Reading 53.2 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    7.2% below

    Price is 7.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 21 days

    Reports on Oct 20, 2026, 21 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

GATX stock chart and price history

GATX closed at $181.26 on Sep 28, 2026, +3.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $150.42 to $205.56.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
GATX share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$150$160$170$190$200NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep181.26

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+1.6%
3 months
+1.6%
6 months
+8.2%
1 year
+3.9%
The full GATX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open GATX in Gekko

Follow GATX through every session

Put GATX on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About GATX

GATX leases railcars and locomotives to businesses across North America and other regions, serving industries such as petroleum, chemicals, food and agriculture, and transportation. Alongside supplying this equipment, the company handles the upkeep of its rail fleet, covering tasks like interior cleaning, body and safety repairs, wheelset replacement, interior lining, exterior painting and car stenciling, while also working to keep its equipment compliant with regulatory standards.

The business is structured into three segments: Rail North America, Rail International, and Portfolio Management. In addition to its rail operations, GATX leases spare aircraft engines, some of which it owns outright, and operates a small fleet of five vessels built to carry liquefied gas. It also manages equipment portfolios for outside parties. Its holdings include roughly 147,000 railcars and 568 locomotives, split between 539 four-axle and 29 six-axle units, together with the five specialized vessels.

GATX traces its origins to Chicago, Illinois, where it was founded in 1898. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker GATX.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Transportation
Industry
Railroads
Website
gatx.com

GATX GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

GATX’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 53.2, in the Neutral zone, down 1.4 points over five sessions.

010053.2Neutral

Down 1.4 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying22+2.3%+2.6%+8.4%+5.8%
Accumulation191+0.7%+2.1%+4.4%+7.1%
Neutral (current zone)402+0.3%+0.1%+0.1%+1.8%
Distribution50−1.0%−0.4%−2.5%−3.2%
Selling7Too few readings yet

Average GATX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GATX price, zone by zone.Track GATX in Gekko

Is GATX stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

GATX trades 7.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $195.29, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what GATX shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$195.29

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

7.2% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GATX in Gekko

GATX insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for GATX, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for GATX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every GATX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GATX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in GATX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for GATX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GATX in Gekko

Buybacks

GATX has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$300.0M, Feb 19, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$110.7M
As a share of market cap
1.72%
Trailing four quarters
$162.4M

From company filings.

GATX earnings: next date and track record

GATX reports on Oct 20, 2026 (21 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.8%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−3.2%Apr ’24−7.3%Jul ’24+5.7%Oct ’24+8.3%Jan ’25−2.9%Apr ’25+1.8%Jul ’25−4.8%Oct ’25+4.3%Feb ’26

Last earnings call, Feb 19, 2026 AI summary

What they said
GATX reported strong Q4 2025 results with net income of $97 million ($2.66 per share) versus $76.5 million ($2.10 per share) in Q4 2024. Full year 2025 net income reached $333.3 million ($9.12 per share) compared to $284.2 million ($7.78 per share) in 2024, representing 11% EPS growth. The company maintained ROE above 12% and deployed $1.3 billion in capital investments, including the Wells Fargo Rail acquisition. Rail North America maintained 99% utilization while Rail International faced challenging economic conditions but secured a 6,000 railcar acquisition from DD cargo.
Guidance
Management expected 8% EPS growth for 2025 but delivered 11% growth. The company is positioning for a solid 2026 with ongoing Wells Fargo Rail integration expected to drive future earnings growth and returns for shareholders.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Feb 19, 2026$2.44
est $2.42
+0.8%$449.0M
est $445.2M
+0.9%+4.3%
Oct 21, 2025$2.10
est $2.32
−9.5%$439.3M
est $435.8M
+0.8%−4.8%
Jul 29, 2025$2.06
est $2.31
−10.8%$430.5M
est $430.2M
+0.1%+1.8%
Apr 23, 2025$2.15
est $2.09
+2.9%$421.6M
est $423.1M
−0.3%−2.9%
Jan 23, 2025$1.93
est $1.68
+14.9%$413.5M
est $416.7M
−0.8%+8.3%
Oct 22, 2024$2.50
est $1.85
+35.1%$405.4M
est $391.7M
+3.5%+5.7%
Jul 23, 2024$1.43
est $1.78
−19.7%$386.7M
est $385.5M
+0.3%−7.3%
Apr 23, 2024$2.01
est $1.76
+14.2%$379.9M
est $375.8M
+1.1%−3.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

GATX stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for GATX is $219.25, +21.0% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$219.25consensus 12-month target, +21.0% from the last close
Low $215High $223
Buy3
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 21Goldman SachsBuy, reiterated$223+23.0%
Aug 3CitiBuy, maintained$215+18.6%
Jul 31SusquehannaBuy, maintained$220+21.4%
Jul 22Goldman SachsBuy, maintained$222+22.5%
Jul 13CitiBuy, maintained$214+18.1%
+0.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+1.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

GATX seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, GATX averaged +1.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+2.6%2021+15.9%2022−6.6%2023+5.0%2024−9.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.4%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.9%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.9%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.1%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+8.3%3 of 5

For scale, GATX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.8%.

GATX market cap and key statistics

GATX’s market cap is $6.44B, with a P/E ratio of 18.2 and revenue of $2.05B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$6.44B
P/E ratio
18.2
Forward P/E
19.1
EPS, TTM
$10.11
Gekko Fair Value
$195.29

Trading

Volume
289,089
Avg volume, 20 days
240,412
52-week high
$205.56
52-week low
$150.42
Shares outstanding
35.31M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.05B
Profit margin
17.9%
Return on equity
11.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+37.9%

Risk and income

Beta
1.18
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±4.8%
Dividend yield
1.39%

GATX stock news this week

1 headline about GATX from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

GATX peers

GATX’s 5 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
UNPUnion Pacific+0.3%Accumulation9.6% above
CSXCSX+0.2%Accumulation11.3% above
CPCanadian Pacific Kansas City−0.3%Accumulation7.0% above
CNICanadian National Railway+0.4%Accumulation16.2% above
NSCNorfolk Southern0.0%Accumulation11.6% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

GATX stock FAQ

What is GATX’s market cap?

GATX’s market cap is $6.44B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $181.26, with 35.31M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 18.2.

What is the GATX stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for GATX is $219.25, +21.0% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is GATX stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate GATX is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $181.26 is 7.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $195.29. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does GATX report earnings next?

GATX is expected to report on Oct 20, 2026 (21 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.45 per share on revenue of $592.7M. GATX beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.8% on average across the report.

What is GATX’s 52-week high and low?

GATX’s 52-week high is $205.56 and its 52-week low is $150.42; it closed at $181.26 on Sep 28, 2026, +3.9% over the past year.

Is GATX stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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