Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for NSC in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every NSC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NSC in Gekko
NYSE: NSC
Norfolk Southern (NSC) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$314.16−4.81 (−1.5%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:17 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNorfolk Southern closes at $314.16, down 1.5% on the day, sitting between its 50-day average of $335.40 and 200-day average of $310.50. The GekkoIndex reads 72.3, placing the stock in the Buying zone, up 4.2 over the past five readings. Price stands 12% above Gekko Fair Value of $280.54.
This week's coverage centers on the proposed Union Pacific–Norfolk Southern combination, with more than 500 customers, South Carolina Governor Henry McMaster, and Union Pacific CEO Jim Vena voicing public support, citing expanded market access and supply chain benefits. Separately, Norfolk Southern flagged that higher fuel prices are expected to weigh on its operating ratio and third-quarter results, even as management points to freight share gains from trucking. A lawsuit tied to a scooter crash at a rail crossing was also reported.
The next earnings date falls on 22 October, 32 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the prior quarter's report on 23 July topped estimates ($3.29 versus $3.23) and produced a 6% reaction, part of a run of 7 beats in the last 8 quarters. Seasonality from this point in the calendar shows a 5-year average 20-day return of 2.9%, positive in 4 of those years. Analyst coverage spans 14 firms, with 4 buy and 10 hold ratings and a consensus target of $365.28. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $314.16200-day averageGekko Fair Value $280.54
Key stats
- Market cap
- $70.56B
- P/E ratio
- 27
- Forward P/E
- 22.5
- EPS, TTM
- $11.80
- Revenue, TTM
- $12.54B
- Profit margin
- 21%
- Dividend yield
- 1.70%
- Beta
- 1.27
- Volume
- 1.84M avg 961,239
- 1-year return
- +13.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±1.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5%
- 50-day average
- $335.40
- 200-day average
- $310.50
- Next earnings
- Oct 22
- Shares outstanding
- 224.6M
Norfolk Southern swing-trade checklist
Norfolk Southern scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $314.16 sits between the 50-day ($335.40) and 200-day ($310.50) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
72.3, Buying
Reading 72.3 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
12.0% above
Price is 12% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 32 days
Next report Oct 22, 2026, 32 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+2.9% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.9% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Norfolk Southern stock chart and price history
Norfolk Southern closed at $314.16 on Sep 18, 2026, +13.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $277.76 to $358.60.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −9.1%
- 3 months
- +4.7%
- 6 months
- +12.9%
- 1 year
- +13.0%
The full NSC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NSC in Gekko
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About Norfolk Southern
Norfolk Southern moves freight by rail across the United States, carrying everything from raw materials to finished goods for businesses that need cargo shipped over land. Its trains haul agricultural products such as grains, animal feed, and processed foods, along with lumber, paper, and a wide array of chemicals including plastics, sulfur, and petroleum-based compounds. The railroad also transports metals, construction materials, heavy equipment, motor vehicles and their parts, and coal, making it a carrier for a broad mix of industrial and consumer supply chains.
Beyond hauling freight point to point, Norfolk Southern links inland shippers to overseas markets by connecting with ports along the Atlantic and Gulf coasts. It also runs an intermodal network that combines rail with other transport modes, and it provides passenger rail service for commuters. Its rail lines stretch across roughly 19,300 route miles, reaching 22 states plus the District of Columbia, which places its customer base largely among manufacturers, agricultural producers, and other shippers throughout that region.
The company was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker NSC.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Transportation
- Industry
- Railroads
- Website
- norfolksouthern.com
Norfolk Southern GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Norfolk Southern’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 72.3, in the Buying zone, up 4.2 points over five sessions.
72.3Buying
Up 4.2 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 26 | +0.4% | +4.1% | ||
| Accumulation | 192 | +0.1% | +2.2% | ||
| Neutral | 395 | +0.5% | +0.9% | ||
| Distribution | 48 | −0.4% | −1.6% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average NSC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NSC price, zone by zone.Track NSC in Gekko
Is Norfolk Southern stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Norfolk Southern trades 12.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $280.54, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Norfolk Southern shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$280.54
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
12.0% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NSC in Gekko
Norfolk Southern insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Norfolk Southern, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in NSC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for NSC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NSC in Gekko
Buybacks
Norfolk Southern has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $11.00M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.02%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
2of the funds Gekko tracks hold NSC.
2added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Norfolk Southern earnings: next date and track record
Norfolk Southern reports on Oct 22, 2026 (32 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 22, 2026
32 days away
- EPS estimate
- $3.56
- Revenue estimate
- $3.45B
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.9%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 23, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Norfolk Southern reported a strong Q2 2026 with volume and revenue growth driven by energy, intermodal, and industrial products. Management highlighted record revenue ex-fuel, 4% volume growth, and 7% net income and EPS growth. Operationally, the company acknowledged network pressure from higher volumes and winter disruptions but reported recent acceleration in July and improvements in originations, velocity, terminal performance and safety metrics. Financially, adjusted operating ratio was 65.5%, operating income rose ~5%, and adjusted EPS was $3.52. Management updated full-year operating expense guidance to $8.8–$8.9 billion to reflect an incremental $400–$500 million fuel cost increase; CapEx remains about $1.9 billion. Management expressed cautious optimism about sustained demand (domestic intermodal, chemicals, coal) but flagged fuel and inflation as key headwinds. Q&A tone was confident and constructive with management asserting progress on service recovery and pricing opportunities from tighter truck markets.
- Guidance
- Updated 2026 operating expense outlook: $8.8B–$8.9B (previously $8.2B–$8.4B) reflecting ~$400–$500M incremental fuel expense. CapEx guidance unchanged at approx. $1.9B. Adjusted operating ratio for the quarter: 65.5%. Adjusted EPS: $3.52. Management expects a sequential margin benefit from fuel in Q3 and believes they can outperform normal seasonality by up to ~100 bps; noted a ~4% wage increase effective in July that will temper some benefit.
- Risks flagged
- Sustained higher fuel prices that could depress end-demand; inflationary pressures (compensation, purchased services, materials); wage increases (approx. 4% effective July) impacting margins; merger-related uncertainty and prior business loss/recovery dynamics; operational headwinds from absorbing higher volumes and winter disruptions; Eastern Ohio incident and merger-related expenses (disclosed $15M and $51M respectively).
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | $3.29 est $3.23 | $3.50B est $3.38B | +6.0% |
| Apr 24, 2026 | $2.65 est $2.49 | $3.00B est $3.00B | −0.8% |
| Jan 29, 2026 | $3.22 est $2.76 | $2.97B est $3.00B | +2.4% |
| Oct 23, 2025 | $3.30 est $3.19 | $3.10B est $3.11B | −2.8% |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $3.29 est $3.31 | $3.11B est $3.13B | −2.6% |
| Apr 23, 2025 | $2.69 est $2.66 | $2.99B est $2.97B | +3.0% |
| Jan 29, 2025 | $3.04 est $2.94 | $3.02B est $3.01B | +1.9% |
| Oct 22, 2024 | $3.25 est $3.11 | $3.05B est $3.09B | +3.6% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Norfolk Southern stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Norfolk Southern is $365.28, +16.3% from the last close, from 14 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$365.28consensus 12-month target, +16.3% from the last close
Now $314.16Avg $365.28
Low $325High $400
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 14 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3 | Bernstein | $396 | +26.1% |
| Aug 24 | Bernstein | $396 | +26.1% |
| Aug 14 | Wells Fargo | $385 | +22.5% |
| Aug 13 | Wells Fargo | $385 | +22.5% |
| Aug 7 | Citi | $376 | +19.7% |
+4.1%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+2.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Norfolk Southern seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Norfolk Southern averaged +2.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −1.3% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −1.1% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −0.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +2.9% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +2.4% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, NSC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5%.
Norfolk Southern market cap and key statistics
Norfolk Southern’s market cap is $70.56B, with a P/E ratio of 27 and revenue of $12.54B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $70.56B
- P/E ratio
- 27
- Forward P/E
- 22.5
- EPS, TTM
- $11.80
- Gekko Fair Value
- $280.54
Trading
- Volume
- 1.84M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 961,239
- 52-week high
- $358.60
- 52-week low
- $277.76
- Shares outstanding
- 224.6M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $12.54B
- Profit margin
- 21%
- Return on equity
- 17%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −4.4%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.27
- Typical daily move
- ±1.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5%
- Dividend yield
- 1.70%
Norfolk Southern stock news this week
Coverage of Norfolk Southern this week reads positive: 3 positive, 1 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
- Norfolk Southern Sees Fuel Hit but Eyes Freight Share Gains From TruckingMarketBeat, Sep 17
- More Than 500 Customers Back Union Pacific–Norfolk Southern Combination as a Catalyst for American GrowthUnion Pacific, Sep 17
- Wayne County man sues Norfolk Southern over scooter crash at crossingPal-Item, Sep 16
- More Than 500 Customers Back Union Pacific-Norfolk Southern Combination as a Catalyst for American GrowthPRNewsWire, Sep 16
- Union Pacific’s Vena urges support for UP-Norfolk Southern rail mergerAmerican Journal of Transportation, Sep 16
- Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) Presents at Morgan Stanley's 14th Annual Laguna Conference TranscriptSeeking Alpha, Sep 16
Norfolk Southern peers
Norfolk Southern’s 5 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| UNPUnion Pacific | Buying | 9.7% above |
| CSXCSX | Buying | 11.6% above |
| CPCanadian Pacific Kansas City | Accumulation | 7.8% above |
| CNICanadian National Railway | Accumulation | 13.6% above |
| GATXGATX | Neutral | 8.9% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Norfolk Southern stock FAQ
What is Norfolk Southern’s market cap?
Norfolk Southern’s market cap is $70.56B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $314.16, with 224.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 27.
What is the Norfolk Southern stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Norfolk Southern is $365.28, +16.3% from the last close. Of the 14 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 10 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Norfolk Southern stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Norfolk Southern is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $314.16 is 12.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $280.54. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Norfolk Southern report earnings next?
Norfolk Southern is expected to report on Oct 22, 2026 (32 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.56 per share on revenue of $3.45B. Norfolk Southern beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.9% on average across the report.
What is Norfolk Southern’s 52-week high and low?
Norfolk Southern’s 52-week high is $358.60 and its 52-week low is $277.76; it closed at $314.16 on Sep 18, 2026, +13.0% over the past year.
Is Norfolk Southern stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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