NYSE: CNI

Canadian National Railway (CNI) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$128.97+2.67 (+2.1%)

Gekko Brief

Nov 4 close

Canadian National Railway closed at $128.97 on 4 November 2026, +2.1% on the day. The price sits above both the 50-day ($121.61) and 200-day ($115.89) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $90.74 to $131.55. The GekkoIndex reads 44.4, in the Distribution zone, down 4.4 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $104.00, so the price is 24% above it.

The next earnings report is due on 29 January 2027, 85 days away. Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 5 times, with an average move of 2.6% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +2.9% over the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

A typical daily move is about 2.1%, and a typical 20-day move about 3.4%. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 items read supportive and 2 read as a headwind (gekkoindex, fair value).

A plain summary of the figures as of the Nov 4, 2026 close.

Canadian National Railway price vs fair value

$128.97$104.00Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $128.97200-day averageGekko Fair Value $104.00

Canadian National Railway quick facts

Market cap
$78.05B
P/E ratio
21.6
Forward P/E
19.3
EPS, TTM
$5.88
Revenue, TTM
$18.37B
Profit margin
26.4%
Dividend yield
2.94%
Beta
0.95
Volume
1.52M avg 1.02M
1-year return
+34.9%
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±3.4%
50-day average
$121.61
200-day average
$115.89
Next earnings
Jan 29
Shares outstanding
599.7M
52-week range
$90.74$131.55

Canadian National Railway swing-trade checklist

Canadian National Railway scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $128.97 is above the 50-day ($121.61) and 200-day ($115.89) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexheadwind

    44.4, Distribution

    Reading 44.4 is in the Distribution zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    24.0% above

    Price is 24% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 85 days

    Next report Jan 29, 2027, 85 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.9% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Canadian National Railway stock chart and price history

Canadian National Railway closed at $128.97 on Nov 4, 2026, +34.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $90.74 to $131.55.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Canadian National Railway share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$90$100$110$120DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct128.97

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+8.9%
3 months
+2.0%
6 months
+15.0%
1 year
+34.9%
The full CNI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CNI in Gekko

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About Canadian National Railway

Canadian National Railway moves freight across a large rail network, carrying goods such as petroleum and chemicals, grain and fertilizers, coal and metals, timber and paper products, intermodal containers, and finished vehicles. Its customers span exporters and importers, retailers, farmers and growers, and manufacturers who rely on rail to move goods over long distances.

Beyond hauling freight, the company runs supporting operations tied to its rail business. These include managing marine terminals and docks, handling transshipment and distribution of cargo, offering logistics support tailored to the auto industry, and providing broader freight management and forwarding services. Together with its subsidiaries, the company operates roughly 19,500 miles of track spanning Canada and the United States.

Canadian National Railway was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker CNI.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Transportation
Industry
Railroads
Website
cn.ca

Canadian National Railway GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Canadian National Railway’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 44.4, in the Distribution zone, down 4.4 points over five sessions.

010044.4Distribution

Down 4.4 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying31+0.2%+0.2%+1.3%−1.3%
Accumulation247+0.4%+0.8%+0.8%+0.5%
Neutral399−0.2%−0.4%−0.5%−0.5%
Distribution (current zone)19+0.5%0.0%−1.7%+0.9%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average CNI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CNI price, zone by zone.Track CNI in Gekko

Is Canadian National Railway stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Canadian National Railway trades 24.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $104.00, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Canadian National Railway shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$104.00

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

24.0% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 18.6% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$104$126Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CNI in Gekko

Canadian National Railway insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Canadian National Railway, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CNI in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CNI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CNI in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CNI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CNI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CNI in Gekko

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds CNI.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Canadian National Railway earnings: next date and track record

Canadian National Railway reports on Jan 29, 2027 (85 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.6%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.2%Oct ’24−1.0%Jan ’25+4.7%May ’25−3.3%Jul ’25+2.5%Oct ’25−5.3%Jan ’26−2.4%Apr ’26−1.3%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 24, 2026 AI summary

What they said
CN reported Q2 2026 EPS growth of 12% FX-adjusted on 5% volume growth, driven by improved fuel efficiency (record H1 performance), labor productivity, and commercial intensity across metals, energy, and domestic intermodal. CN announced two strategic agreements with Union Pacific: a commercial agreement granting CN Mexico access via Memphis and a merger-contingent settlement securing Kansas City access and Neff Yard rights, largely neutralizing merger risk.
Guidance
CN raised full-year 2026 guidance to mid- to high single-digit earnings growth, supported by low single-digit volume growth. Management cited strong operational momentum and strategic UP agreements as catalysts for long-term growth.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 24, 2026$1.50
est $1.39
+7.9%$3.35B
est $3.26B
+2.6%−1.3%
Apr 29, 2026$1.80
est $1.81
−0.6%$3.15B
est $3.15B
0.0%−2.4%
Jan 30, 2026$1.49
est $1.43
+4.2%$3.25B
est $3.25B
+0.1%−5.3%
Oct 31, 2025$1.33
est $1.28
+3.9%$2.14B
est $4.43B
−51.6%+2.5%
Jul 22, 2025$1.35
est $1.37
−1.5%$3.14B
est $4.17B
−24.8%−3.3%
May 1, 2025$1.29
est $1.26
+2.4%$3.09B
est $4.36B
−29.1%+4.7%
Jan 30, 2025$1.82
est $1.93
−5.7%$3.03B
est $4.37B
−30.6%−1.0%
Oct 22, 2024$1.72
est $1.70
+1.2%——−0.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Canadian National Railway stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Canadian National Railway is $136.36, +5.7% from the last close.

$136.36consensus 12-month target, +5.7% from the last close
−1.7%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
+2.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Canadian National Railway seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Canadian National Railway averaged +2.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−2.9%2021+6.3%2022+6.0%2023+1.1%2024+3.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.1%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.0%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.6%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.9%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+0.6%3 of 5

For scale, CNI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.4%.

Canadian National Railway market cap and key statistics

Canadian National Railway’s market cap is $78.05B, with a P/E ratio of 21.6 and revenue of $18.37B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$78.05B
P/E ratio
21.6
Forward P/E
19.3
EPS, TTM
$5.88
Gekko Fair Value
$104.00

Trading

Volume
1.52M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.02M
52-week high
$131.55
52-week low
$90.74
Shares outstanding
599.7M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$18.37B
Profit margin
26.4%
Return on equity
22.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+9.3%

Risk and income

Beta
0.95
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±3.4%
Dividend yield
2.94%

Canadian National Railway peers

Canadian National Railway’s 5 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
UNPUnion Pacific+0.7%Neutral21.2% above
CSXCSX+1.5%Neutral25.1% above
CPCanadian Pacific Kansas City+2.1%Neutral19.2% above
NSCNorfolk Southern0.0%Neutral23.3% above
GATXGATX+0.7%Distribution1.2% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Canadian National Railway stock FAQ

What is Canadian National Railway’s market cap?

Canadian National Railway’s market cap is $78.05B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $128.97, with 599.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 21.6.

What is the Canadian National Railway stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Canadian National Railway is $136.36, +5.7% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Canadian National Railway stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Canadian National Railway is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $128.97 is 24.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $104.00. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Canadian National Railway report earnings next?

Canadian National Railway is expected to report on Jan 29, 2027 (85 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.55 per share on revenue of $3.54B. Canadian National Railway beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.6% on average across the report.

What is Canadian National Railway’s 52-week high and low?

Canadian National Railway’s 52-week high is $131.55 and its 52-week low is $90.74; it closed at $128.97 on Nov 4, 2026, +34.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $137.19 on Mar 30, 2022.

Is Canadian National Railway stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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