NYSE: CNI

Canadian National Railway (CNI) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Canadian National Railway Company. Transportation sector, railroads industry. Market cap $71.95B.

$118.95−0.92 (−0.8%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

CNI closes at $118.95, down 0.8%, sitting between its 50-day average of $125.66 and 200-day average of $112.15, reflecting a mixed trend. The GekkoIndex reads 69.8, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price stands 13.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $104.73, a gap that bears watching.

This week's coverage centers on network and growth initiatives. Canadian National signed an eight-year deal with Amtrak covering schedules, payments and disputes to support rail safety and reliability in U.S. operations. Separately, at Morgan Stanley's Laguna Conference, CNI outlined a growth strategy emphasizing network expansion, productivity improvements and normalized capital spending. Coverage also noted that CNR shares on the Toronto exchange crossed above their 200-day moving average, reaching C$171.35 before closing at C$169.81, while remaining below the 50-day average.

Looking ahead, CNI's next earnings report is set for 30 October 2026, 40 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. The prior quarter showed EPS of $1.50 against an estimate of $1.39, with a -1.3% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 5 of the last 8 quarters, averaging a 2.6% absolute move on results. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged 0% across 5 years, rising in 2 of those years. One billionaire holder is recorded, while insider, Congress and options activity show no data in their respective windows. Consensus analyst target sits at $138.70, implying 16.6% upside.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $118.95200-day averageGekko Fair Value $104.73

Key stats

Market cap
$71.95B
P/E ratio
21.7
Forward P/E
19.1
EPS, TTM
$5.51
Revenue, TTM
$17.76B
Profit margin
26.9%
Dividend yield
2.96%
Beta
0.99
Volume
752,675 avg 1.19M
1-year return
+25.7%
Typical daily move
±1.8%
Typical 20-day move
±3.5%
50-day average
$125.66
200-day average
$112.15
Next earnings
Oct 30
Shares outstanding
604.9M
52-week range
$90.74$131.55

Canadian National Railway swing-trade checklist

Canadian National Railway scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $118.95 sits between the 50-day ($125.66) and 200-day ($112.15) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    69.8, Accumulation

    Reading 69.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    13.6% above

    Price is 13.6% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 40 days

    Next report Oct 30, 2026, 40 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    0.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged 0% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Canadian National Railway stock chart and price history

Canadian National Railway closed at $118.95 on Sep 18, 2026, +25.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $90.74 to $131.55.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−6.8%
3 months
+4.9%
6 months
+20.0%
1 year
+25.7%
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About Canadian National Railway

Canadian National Railway moves freight across a large rail network, carrying goods such as petroleum and chemicals, grain and fertilizers, coal and metals, timber and paper products, intermodal containers, and finished vehicles. Its customers span exporters and importers, retailers, farmers and growers, and manufacturers who rely on rail to move goods over long distances.

Beyond hauling freight, the company runs supporting operations tied to its rail business. These include managing marine terminals and docks, handling transshipment and distribution of cargo, offering logistics support tailored to the auto industry, and providing broader freight management and forwarding services. Together with its subsidiaries, the company operates roughly 19,500 miles of track spanning Canada and the United States.

Canadian National Railway was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker CNI.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Transportation
Industry
Railroads
Website
cn.ca

Canadian National Railway GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Canadian National Railway’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 69.8, in the Accumulation zone, up 4.5 points over five sessions.

010069.8Accumulation

Up 4.5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying30+0.1%+0.2%+1.3%−1.3%
Accumulation (current zone)220+0.5%+0.9%+0.9%+0.6%
Neutral392−0.3%−0.4%−0.4%−0.2%
Distribution19+0.5%0.0%−1.7%+4.1%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average CNI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CNI price, zone by zone.Track CNI in Gekko

Is Canadian National Railway stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Canadian National Railway trades 13.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $104.73, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Canadian National Railway shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$104.73

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 18, 2026

13.6% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CNI in Gekko

Canadian National Railway insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Canadian National Railway, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CNI in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CNI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CNI in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CNI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CNI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CNI in Gekko

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds CNI.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Canadian National Railway earnings: next date and track record

Canadian National Railway reports on Oct 30, 2026 (40 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.6%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.2%Oct ’24−1.0%Jan ’25+4.7%May ’25−3.3%Jul ’25+2.5%Oct ’25−5.3%Jan ’26−2.4%Apr ’26−1.3%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 24, 2026 AI summary

What they said
CN reported Q2 2026 EPS growth of 12% FX-adjusted on 5% volume growth, driven by improved fuel efficiency (record H1 performance), labor productivity, and commercial intensity across metals, energy, and domestic intermodal. CN announced two strategic agreements with Union Pacific: a commercial agreement granting CN Mexico access via Memphis and a merger-contingent settlement securing Kansas City access and Neff Yard rights, largely neutralizing merger risk.
Guidance
CN raised full-year 2026 guidance to mid- to high single-digit earnings growth, supported by low single-digit volume growth. Management cited strong operational momentum and strategic UP agreements as catalysts for long-term growth.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 24, 2026$1.50
est $1.39
+7.9%$3.35B
est $3.26B
+2.6%−1.3%
Apr 29, 2026$1.80
est $1.81
−0.6%$3.15B
est $3.15B
0.0%−2.4%
Jan 30, 2026$1.49
est $1.43
+4.2%$3.25B
est $3.25B
+0.1%−5.3%
Oct 31, 2025$1.33
est $1.28
+3.9%$2.14B
est $4.43B
−51.6%+2.5%
Jul 22, 2025$1.35
est $1.37
−1.5%$3.14B
est $4.17B
−24.8%−3.3%
May 1, 2025$1.29
est $1.26
+2.4%$3.09B
est $4.36B
−29.1%+4.7%
Jan 30, 2025$1.82
est $1.93
−5.7%$3.03B
est $4.37B
−30.6%−1.0%
Oct 22, 2024$1.72
est $1.70
+1.2%−0.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Canadian National Railway stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Canadian National Railway is $138.70, +16.6% from the last close.

$138.70consensus 12-month target, +16.6% from the last close
+0.9%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
0.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Canadian National Railway seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Canadian National Railway averaged 0.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+8.4%2021−5.7%2022−4.1%2023−3.8%2024+2.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.7%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.2%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−2.2%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days0.0%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+1.4%3 of 5

For scale, CNI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.5%.

Canadian National Railway market cap and key statistics

Canadian National Railway’s market cap is $71.95B, with a P/E ratio of 21.7 and revenue of $17.76B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$71.95B
P/E ratio
21.7
Forward P/E
19.1
EPS, TTM
$5.51
Gekko Fair Value
$104.73

Trading

Volume
752,675
Avg volume, 20 days
1.19M
52-week high
$131.55
52-week low
$90.74
Shares outstanding
604.9M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$17.76B
Profit margin
26.9%
Return on equity
22%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+10.2%

Risk and income

Beta
0.99
Typical daily move
±1.8%
Typical 20-day move
±3.5%
Dividend yield
2.96%

Canadian National Railway stock news this week

4 headlines about Canadian National Railway from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Canadian National Railway peers

Canadian National Railway’s 5 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
UNPUnion Pacific−0.7%Buying9.7% above
CSXCSX−1.1%Buying11.6% above
CPCanadian Pacific Kansas City−0.8%Accumulation7.8% above
NSCNorfolk Southern−1.4%Buying12.0% above
GATXGATX−0.8%Neutral8.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Canadian National Railway stock FAQ

What is Canadian National Railway’s market cap?

Canadian National Railway’s market cap is $71.95B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $118.95, with 604.9M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 21.7.

What is the Canadian National Railway stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Canadian National Railway is $138.70, +16.6% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Canadian National Railway stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Canadian National Railway is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $118.95 is 13.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $104.73. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Canadian National Railway report earnings next?

Canadian National Railway is expected to report on Oct 30, 2026 (40 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.50 per share on revenue of $3.28B. Canadian National Railway beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.6% on average across the report.

What is Canadian National Railway’s 52-week high and low?

Canadian National Railway’s 52-week high is $131.55 and its 52-week low is $90.74; it closed at $118.95 on Sep 18, 2026, +25.7% over the past year.

Is Canadian National Railway stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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