NASDAQ: CSX

CSX (CSX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

CSX Corporation. Transportation sector, railroads industry. Market cap $87.25B.

$47.10−0.80 (−1.7%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:17 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

CSX closes at $47.10, down 1.7% on the day, with the stock sitting between its 50-day average of $50.14 and its 200-day average of $43.79. The GekkoIndex reading of 72.8 places the stock in the Buying zone, while the price stands 11.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $42.21. Over the past year the stock has returned 43.7%, though the past month shows a decline of 7.1%.

Recent coverage centers on analyst positioning and valuation debate. Bank of America lowered its price target on CSX from $56 to $55 while maintaining a buy rating, citing a potential upside of 16.27%, with an analyst consensus average target cited at $51.28. Separately, a DCF-based analysis put intrinsic value at $32.48 on an earnings basis and $39.13 on a free cash flow basis, against a referenced price of $48.92, characterizing the stock as overvalued by that measure. Filings also show Bank of America Corp DE taking a new position of 33,641,111 shares valued at approximately $1.6 billion, and Engineers Gate Manager LP purchasing 32,731 shares, both disclosed via 13F filings.

CSX next reports earnings on 15 October 2026 after the close, 25 days out and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter beat estimates with EPS of $0.43 versus $0.41 expected, followed by a 6.5% reaction. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 5.2% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Analyst coverage overall stands at 14 buy, 6 hold and 1 sell among 21 firms, with a consensus target of $53.14.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $47.10200-day averageGekko Fair Value $42.21

Key stats

Market cap
$87.25B
P/E ratio
27.9
Forward P/E
21.6
EPS, TTM
$1.72
Revenue, TTM
$14.51B
Profit margin
22.2%
Dividend yield
1.11%
Beta
1.21
Volume
25.17M avg 9.99M
1-year return
+43.7%
Typical daily move
±2.2%
Typical 20-day move
±4.6%
50-day average
$50.14
200-day average
$43.79
Next earnings
Oct 15 after close
Shares outstanding
1.85B
52-week range
$32.71$53.60

CSX swing-trade checklist

CSX scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $47.10 sits between the 50-day ($50.14) and 200-day ($43.79) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    72.8, Buying

    Reading 72.8 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    11.6% above

    Price is 11.6% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 25 days

    Reports on Oct 15, 2026, 25 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.2% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

CSX stock chart and price history

CSX closed at $47.10 on Sep 18, 2026, +43.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $32.71 to $53.60.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−7.1%
3 months
+3.2%
6 months
+22.4%
1 year
+43.7%
The full CSX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CSX in Gekko

Follow CSX through every session

Put CSX on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About CSX

CSX moves freight by rail across a large stretch of the eastern United States, working through its subsidiaries to carry goods for shippers rather than passengers. Its services span standard rail freight, container and trailer transport, and bulk handling, covering everything from chemicals, grain and food items to vehicles and auto parts, timber, minerals, fertilizer, metals and heavy machinery. It also supports energy-related shipping, hauling coal, coke and iron ore to plants and mills, and arranges coal exports through deep-water ports.

Much of its business runs through intermodal operations, using roughly 30 terminals to shuffle containers of consumer goods and handling the drayage that gets freight to and from rail lines. Automotive customers get dedicated storage and distribution sites, while companies without rail access can still ship through CSX by way of rail-to-truck transfers for items such as plastics and ethanol. The network itself covers about 19,500 route miles connecting cities in 23 eastern states, Washington D.C., and into Ontario and Quebec, supported by a locomotive fleet of roughly 3,500 units.

CSX was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker CSX.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Transportation
Industry
Railroads
Website
csx.com

CSX GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

CSX’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 72.8, in the Buying zone, up 7.8 points over five sessions.

010072.8Buying

Up 7.8 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)22+0.4%+0.3%+0.5%+2.7%
Accumulation191+0.2%+0.7%+2.6%+3.6%
Neutral408+0.4%+0.6%+0.8%+3.0%
Distribution39+0.3%+0.7%−0.4%+0.2%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average CSX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CSX price, zone by zone.Track CSX in Gekko

Is CSX stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

CSX trades 11.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $42.21, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what CSX shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$42.21

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 18, 2026

11.6% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CSX in Gekko

CSX insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CSX, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CSX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CSX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CSX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CSX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CSX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CSX in Gekko

Buybacks

CSX has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$5.00B, May 14, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$296.0M
As a share of market cap
0.34%
Trailing four quarters
$742.0M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold CSX.

1added1opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

CSX earnings: next date and track record

CSX reports on Oct 15, 2026, after the close (25 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.3%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.6%Aug ’24−6.8%Oct ’24−1.7%Jan ’25−0.8%Apr ’25−0.7%Jul ’25+1.0%Oct ’25+0.3%Jan ’26+6.5%Apr ’26

Last earnings call, Apr 22, 2026 AI summary

What they said
CSX delivered strong Q1 2026 results with 3% volume growth and 2% revenue increase. Operating expenses dropped 6% due to cost structure improvements and network efficiency gains. Operating income jumped 20% and EPS grew 26%, driving higher free cash flow. Safety metrics improved significantly with 13% better FRA injury rate and 30% reduction in train accidents.
Guidance
Management expressed optimism about building momentum through 2026 while noting market uncertainty from Middle East conflict and rising energy prices affecting customer sentiment and creating mixed opportunities.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Apr 22, 2026$0.43
est $0.41
+3.7%$3.48B
est $3.49B
−0.2%+6.5%
Jan 22, 2026$0.39
est $0.41
−5.1%$3.51B
est $3.54B
−0.9%+0.3%
Oct 16, 2025$0.44
est $0.42
+3.7%$4.46B
est $3.57B
+24.9%+1.0%
Jul 23, 2025$0.44
est $0.42
+5.8%$3.57B
est $3.58B
−0.1%−0.7%
Apr 16, 2025$0.34
est $0.37
−6.8%$3.42B
est $3.45B
−0.8%−0.8%
Jan 23, 2025$0.42
est $0.44
−4.5%$3.54B
est $3.56B
−0.5%−1.7%
Oct 16, 2024$0.46
est $0.48
−4.2%$3.62B
est $3.68B
−1.5%−6.8%
Aug 5, 2024$0.49
est $0.48
+2.1%$3.70B
est $3.70B
+0.1%−0.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

CSX stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for CSX is $53.14, +12.8% from the last close, from 21 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$53.14consensus 12-month target, +12.8% from the last close
Low $32High $60
Buy14
Hold6
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 21 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 10Wells FargoBuy, maintained$54+14.6%
Sep 3BernsteinHold, maintained$48+1.9%
Aug 31BernsteinHold, maintained$48+1.9%
Aug 26Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained$56+18.9%
Aug 24BernsteinHold, maintained$48+1.9%
+0.5%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+5.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

CSX seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, CSX averaged +5.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+15.0%2021−5.8%2022+1.5%2023−4.9%2024+11.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.0%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.7%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.7%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.2%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+4.3%2 of 5

For scale, CSX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.6%.

CSX market cap and key statistics

CSX’s market cap is $87.25B, with a P/E ratio of 27.9 and revenue of $14.51B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$87.25B
P/E ratio
27.9
Forward P/E
21.6
EPS, TTM
$1.72
Gekko Fair Value
$42.21

Trading

Volume
25.17M
Avg volume, 20 days
9.99M
52-week high
$53.60
52-week low
$32.71
Shares outstanding
1.85B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$14.51B
Profit margin
22.2%
Return on equity
24.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+22.7%

Risk and income

Beta
1.21
Typical daily move
±2.2%
Typical 20-day move
±4.6%
Dividend yield
1.11%

CSX peers

CSX’s 5 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
UNPUnion Pacific−0.7%Buying9.7% above
CPCanadian Pacific Kansas City−0.8%Accumulation7.8% above
CNICanadian National Railway−0.2%Accumulation13.6% above
NSCNorfolk Southern−1.4%Buying12.0% above
GATXGATX−0.8%Neutral8.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

CSX stock FAQ

What is CSX’s market cap?

CSX’s market cap is $87.25B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $47.10, with 1.85B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 27.9.

What is the CSX stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for CSX is $53.14, +12.8% from the last close. Of the 21 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 14 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is CSX stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate CSX is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $47.10 is 11.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $42.21. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does CSX report earnings next?

CSX is expected to report on Oct 15, 2026, after the market closes (25 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.54 per share on revenue of $3.93B. CSX beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.3% on average across the report.

What is CSX’s 52-week high and low?

CSX’s 52-week high is $53.60 and its 52-week low is $32.71; it closed at $47.10 on Sep 18, 2026, +43.7% over the past year.

Is CSX stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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