NASDAQ: CSX

CSX (CSX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$52.05+1.33 (+2.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

CSX raised its 2026 revenue-growth outlook to a high-single-digit range, up from a prior mid- to high-single-digit view, following a strong first nine months and expectations for the fourth quarter, with operating-margin expansion targeted above 350 basis points. The move raises the execution bar, as analysts and investors are focused on service reliability, network capacity, and crew availability to sustain growth. Separately, CSX restored most systems after a days-long technology outage beginning 27 October that disrupted rail operations and dropped freight traffic 46% against its 30-day average. CSX's CFO Kevin Boone is scheduled to speak at the 2026 Baird Global Industrial Conference on 11 November.

CSX closed at $52.05, up 2.6%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $48.86 and 200-day average of $45.84, with the 50-day above the 200-day, a configuration that points to an established uptrend. The GekkoIndex reads 49.3, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Price stands 25.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $41.62, a gap that bears watching.

The next earnings date falls on 28 January 2027, 84 days away and outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Smart-money data shows no insider, Congress, or unusual options activity logged in their respective windows, though one billionaire holder and one trailblazer holder are noted. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 5.2% return over 5 years, rising in 5 of them, worth noting alongside the current gap to fair value.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

CSX price vs fair value

$52.05$41.62Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $52.05200-day averageGekko Fair Value $41.62

CSX quick facts

Market cap
$96.42B
P/E ratio
26.9
Forward P/E
22.9
EPS, TTM
$1.92
Revenue, TTM
$14.94B
Profit margin
24%
Dividend yield
1.06%
Beta
1.11
Volume
15.47M avg 11.47M
1-year return
+45.3%
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±4.5%
50-day average
$48.86
200-day average
$45.84
Next earnings
Jan 28 after close
Shares outstanding
1.85B
52-week range
$33.63$53.60

CSX swing-trade checklist

CSX scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $52.05 is above the 50-day ($48.86) and 200-day ($45.84) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    49.3, Neutral

    Reading 49.3 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    25.1% above

    Price is 25.1% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 84 days

    Next report Jan 28, 2027, 84 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.2% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

CSX stock chart and price history

CSX closed at $52.05 on Nov 4, 2026, +45.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $33.63 to $53.60.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
CSX share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$35$40$45$50DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct52.05

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+9.6%
3 months
+2.7%
6 months
+14.1%
1 year
+45.3%
The full CSX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CSX in Gekko

Follow CSX through every session

Put CSX on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About CSX

CSX moves freight by rail across a large stretch of the eastern United States, working through its subsidiaries to carry goods for shippers rather than passengers. Its services span standard rail freight, container and trailer transport, and bulk handling, covering everything from chemicals, grain and food items to vehicles and auto parts, timber, minerals, fertilizer, metals and heavy machinery. It also supports energy-related shipping, hauling coal, coke and iron ore to plants and mills, and arranges coal exports through deep-water ports.

Much of its business runs through intermodal operations, using roughly 30 terminals to shuffle containers of consumer goods and handling the drayage that gets freight to and from rail lines. Automotive customers get dedicated storage and distribution sites, while companies without rail access can still ship through CSX by way of rail-to-truck transfers for items such as plastics and ethanol. The network itself covers about 19,500 route miles connecting cities in 23 eastern states, Washington D.C., and into Ontario and Quebec, supported by a locomotive fleet of roughly 3,500 units.

CSX was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker CSX.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Transportation
Industry
Railroads
Website
csx.com

CSX GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

CSX’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 49.3, in the Neutral zone, up 4.5 points over five sessions.

010049.3Neutral

Up 4.5 points over five sessions, from the Distribution zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying25+0.4%+0.5%+0.8%+2.7%
Accumulation214+0.1%+0.6%+2.5%+3.6%
Neutral (current zone)415+0.5%+0.6%+0.6%+2.5%
Distribution41+0.4%+0.7%−0.4%−0.8%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average CSX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CSX price, zone by zone.Track CSX in Gekko

Is CSX stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

CSX trades 25.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $41.62, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what CSX shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$41.62

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

25.1% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 33.8% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$42$51Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CSX in Gekko

CSX insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CSX, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CSX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CSX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CSX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CSX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CSX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CSX in Gekko

Buybacks

CSX has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$5.00B, May 14, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
$543.0M
As a share of market cap
0.56%
Trailing four quarters
$1.17B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold CSX.

1added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

CSX earnings: next date and track record

CSX reports on Jan 28, 2027, after the close (84 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.1%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−1.7%Jan ’25−0.8%Apr ’25−0.7%Jul ’25+1.0%Oct ’25+0.3%Jan ’26+6.5%Apr ’26+5.9%Jul ’26+7.5%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 21, 2026 AI summary

What they said
CSX reported Q3 earnings of $0.57 per share, up 30% year-over-year on an adjusted basis. Revenue grew 12% driven by 5% volume growth, fuel surcharge, and pricing gains across merchandise, intermodal, and coal. Operating margin expanded 420 basis points to 39.1%. The company achieved record fuel efficiency, reduced FRA injury rates 17%, and cut nonfuel costs 3% despite handling 5% more volume.
Guidance
Management expressed confidence heading into 2027, citing strong October service metrics with velocity exceeding 19 mph and dwell approaching 10 hours. Labor costs expected to see typical sequential increase in Q4. No specific revenue or EPS targets were provided in this excerpt.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 21, 2026$0.57
est $0.53
+7.3%$4.02B
est $3.96B
+1.5%+7.5%
Jul 22, 2026$0.54
est $0.52
+4.2%$3.94B
est $3.89B
+1.0%+5.9%
Apr 22, 2026$0.43
est $0.41
+3.7%$3.48B
est $3.49B
−0.2%+6.5%
Jan 22, 2026$0.39
est $0.41
−5.1%$3.51B
est $3.54B
−0.9%+0.3%
Oct 16, 2025$0.44
est $0.42
+3.7%$4.46B
est $3.57B
+24.9%+1.0%
Jul 23, 2025$0.44
est $0.42
+5.8%$3.57B
est $3.58B
−0.1%−0.7%
Apr 16, 2025$0.34
est $0.37
−6.8%$3.42B
est $3.45B
−0.8%−0.8%
Jan 23, 2025$0.42
est $0.44
−4.5%$3.54B
est $3.56B
−0.5%−1.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

CSX stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for CSX is $53.81, +3.4% from the last close, from 15 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$53.81consensus 12-month target, +3.4% from the last close
Low $32High $60
Buy10
Hold4
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 15 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 30Wells FargoBuy, maintained$54+3.7%
Oct 29Robert W. BairdBuy, maintained$53+1.8%
Oct 27SusquehannaBuy, maintained$60+15.3%
Oct 23Wells FargoBuy, maintained$54+3.7%
Oct 23Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$57+9.5%
+0.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+5.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

CSX seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, CSX averaged +5.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+1.2%2021+5.8%2022+9.6%2023+7.9%2024+0.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.0%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.0%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.9%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.2%5 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.9%4 of 5

For scale, CSX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.5%.

CSX market cap and key statistics

CSX’s market cap is $96.42B, with a P/E ratio of 26.9 and revenue of $14.94B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$96.42B
P/E ratio
26.9
Forward P/E
22.9
EPS, TTM
$1.92
Gekko Fair Value
$41.62

Trading

Volume
15.47M
Avg volume, 20 days
11.47M
52-week high
$53.60
52-week low
$33.63
Shares outstanding
1.85B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$14.94B
Profit margin
24%
Return on equity
26.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+53.8%

Risk and income

Beta
1.11
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±4.5%
Dividend yield
1.06%

CSX peers

CSX’s 5 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
UNPUnion Pacific+0.7%Neutral21.2% above
CPCanadian Pacific Kansas City+2.1%Neutral19.2% above
CNICanadian National Railway+0.6%Distribution24.0% above
NSCNorfolk Southern0.0%Neutral23.3% above
GATXGATX+0.7%Distribution1.2% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

CSX stock FAQ

What is CSX’s market cap?

CSX’s market cap is $96.42B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $52.05, with 1.85B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 26.9.

What is the CSX stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for CSX is $53.81, +3.4% from the last close. Of the 15 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is CSX stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate CSX is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $52.05 is 25.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $41.62. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does CSX report earnings next?

CSX is expected to report on Jan 28, 2027, after the market closes (84 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.52 per share on revenue of $3.98B. CSX beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.1% on average across the report.

What is CSX’s 52-week high and low?

CSX’s 52-week high is $53.60 and its 52-week low is $33.63; it closed at $52.05 on Nov 4, 2026, +45.3% over the past year.

Is CSX stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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