UMH Properties (UMH) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$15.32+0.15 (+1.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

UMH trades at $15.32, up 1% on the day, sitting between its 50-day average of $15.82 and 200-day average of $15.52, with returns essentially flat over one and three months and down 1.2% over the past month. Shares remain well off their 52-week high of $16.77 and above the 52-week low of $13.93, with a one-year return of 7.9%. The GekkoIndex reads 61.7, placing UMH in the Accumulation zone, down 2.8 over the past five sessions. The gap to Gekko Fair Value of $23.73 stands at -35.4%, with price well below that mark.

Over the next 20 trading days, the main event is the earnings report due 2 November 2026. The prior quarter saw normalized FFO of $0.23 per share, with an EPS actual of $0.03 matching the $0.03 estimate and producing a 2.1% reaction; across the last 8 quarters, 2 beats have been recorded, with an average absolute reaction of 1.2%. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point in the calendar have averaged a 6% gain across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Three covering analysts currently rate the stock a buy, with a consensus price target of $18.88, implying 23.2% upside from current levels.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

UMH Properties price vs fair value

▲$23.73$15.32Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $15.32200-day averageGekko Fair Value $23.73

UMH Properties quick facts

Market cap
$1.30B
P/E ratio
125.8
Forward P/E
142.9
EPS, TTM
$0.12
Revenue, TTM
$271.1M
Profit margin
11.6%
Dividend yield
5.99%
Beta
0.97
Volume
408,231 avg 682,825
1-year return
+7.9%
Typical daily move
±1.8%
Typical 20-day move
±4.2%
50-day average
$15.82
200-day average
$15.52
Next earnings
Nov 2
Shares outstanding
85.17M
52-week range
$13.93$16.77

UMH Properties swing-trade checklist

UMH Properties scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $15.32 sits between the 50-day ($15.82) and 200-day ($15.52) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    61.7, Accumulation

    Reading 61.7 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    35.4% below

    Price is 35.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 21 days

    Reports on Nov 2, 2026, 21 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +6.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

UMH Properties stock chart and price history

UMH Properties closed at $15.32 on Oct 12, 2026, +7.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $13.93 to $16.77.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
UMH Properties share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$14$15$16$17NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct15.32

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−1.2%
3 months
−0.3%
6 months
0.0%
1 year
+7.9%
The full UMH chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open UMH in Gekko

Follow UMH Properties through every session

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About UMH Properties

UMH Properties owns and operates manufactured housing communities, renting out developed homesites to residents across a multi-state footprint. Across its 124 communities, the company maintains roughly 23,400 homesites, making residential land leasing within manufactured housing its core activity.

As a real estate investment trust, UMH Properties earns income through ownership and management of these communities rather than through building or selling homes outright. Alongside its property holdings, the company also maintains an investment portfolio made up of securities in other REITs. Its communities are spread across several states, including New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Indiana, Michigan, and Maryland.

UMH Properties was established in 1968. Shares of the company trade under the ticker UMH.

Sector
Finance
Website
umh.reit

UMH Properties GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

UMH Properties’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.7, in the Accumulation zone, down 2.8 points over five sessions.

010061.7Accumulation

Down 2.8 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying31+0.2%+0.4%+1.9%+3.3%
Accumulation (current zone)250+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%+0.8%
Neutral333−0.3%−0.2%−0.4%−0.2%
Distribution21+0.3%+0.9%+5.1%+2.2%
Selling0Not available

Average UMH share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the UMH price, zone by zone.Track UMH in Gekko

Is UMH Properties stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

UMH Properties trades 35.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $23.73, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what UMH Properties shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$23.73

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

35.4% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 40.1% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$24$15Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open UMH in Gekko

UMH Properties insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for UMH Properties, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for UMH in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every UMH insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open UMH in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in UMH were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for UMH, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open UMH in Gekko

Buybacks

UMH Properties has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2025
$4.82M
As a share of market cap
0.37%

From company filings.

UMH Properties earnings: next date and track record

UMH Properties reports on Nov 2, 2026 (21 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±1.2%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+1.4%Nov ’24+1.3%Feb ’25+0.8%Apr ’25+0.6%May ’25−0.7%Aug ’25+0.1%Nov ’25−2.8%Feb ’26+2.1%Apr ’26

Last earnings call, Apr 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
UMH Properties reported Q1 2026 normalized FFO of $0.23 per share, flat year-over-year, impacted by higher interest costs and seasonal headwinds. Rental and related income grew 9% to $59.5 million, same-property NOI increased 7.1% ($2.3M), and home sales rose 6% to $7.1 million. Overall occupancy improved by 184 units to ~88%, driven by 166 rental home conversions. Same-property revenue grew 7.6%, supported by 5% site rent increases.
Guidance
Management tightened NFFO guidance to $0.98–$1.04 per share (midpoint $1.01), narrowed from prior $0.97–$1.05 range. Earnings growth expected to accelerate as rental homes fill and current investments in expansions and acquisitions become accretive.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Apr 30, 2026$0.03
est $0.03
+9.1%$65.84M
est $59.35M
+10.9%+2.1%
Feb 25, 2026−$0.01
est $0.05
−120.0%$58.20M
est $68.70M
−15.3%−2.8%
Nov 3, 2025$0.25
est $0.25
0.0%$66.92M
est $68.70M
−2.6%+0.1%
Aug 6, 2025$0.23
est $0.25
−8.0%$66.64M
est $67.60M
−1.4%−0.7%
May 1, 2025$0.23
est $0.23
0.0%$61.23M
est $65.40M
−6.4%+0.6%
Apr 30, 2025$0.00
est $0.04
−108.2%$61.23M
est $65.40M
−6.4%+0.8%
Feb 26, 2025$0.24
est $0.03
+700.0%$240.6M
est $59.73M
+302.7%+1.3%
Nov 6, 2024$0.24
est $0.24
0.0%$8.73M
est $58.17M
−85.0%+1.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

UMH Properties stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for UMH Properties is $18.88, +23.2% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$18.88consensus 12-month target, +23.2% from the last close
Low $18High $20.50
Buy3
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 7Maxim GroupBuy, reiterated$20.50+33.8%
Aug 6Colliers SecuritiesBuy, maintained$18+17.5%
Aug 6Alliance Global PartnersBuy, reiterated$18+17.5%
+0.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+6.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

UMH Properties seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, UMH Properties averaged +6.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+6.8%2021+11.2%2022+4.3%2023+1.7%2024+7.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.4%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.7%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.5%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+6.0%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.2%4 of 5

For scale, UMH’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.2%.

UMH Properties market cap and key statistics

UMH Properties’s market cap is $1.30B, with a P/E ratio of 125.8 and revenue of $271.1M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.30B
P/E ratio
125.8
Forward P/E
142.9
EPS, TTM
$0.12
Gekko Fair Value
$23.73

Trading

Volume
408,231
Avg volume, 20 days
682,825
52-week high
$16.77
52-week low
$13.93
Shares outstanding
85.17M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$271.1M
Profit margin
11.6%
Return on equity
3.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+66.7%

Risk and income

Beta
0.97
Typical daily move
±1.8%
Typical 20-day move
±4.2%
Dividend yield
5.99%

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UMH Properties stock FAQ

What is UMH Properties’s market cap?

UMH Properties’s market cap is $1.30B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $15.32, with 85.17M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 125.8.

What is the UMH Properties stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for UMH Properties is $18.88, +23.2% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is UMH Properties stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate UMH Properties is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $15.32 is 35.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $23.73. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does UMH Properties report earnings next?

UMH Properties is expected to report on Nov 2, 2026 (21 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.04 per share on revenue of $62.23M. UMH Properties beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 1.2% on average across the report.

What is UMH Properties’s 52-week high and low?

UMH Properties’s 52-week high is $16.77 and its 52-week low is $13.93; it closed at $15.32 on Oct 12, 2026, +7.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $27.50 on Dec 31, 2021.

Is UMH Properties stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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