United Microelectronics (UMC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

United Microelectronics Corporation (NEW). Electronic technology sector. Market cap $61.39B.

$24.61+0.14 (+0.6%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

UMC closes at $24.61, up 0.6%, holding well above both its 50-day average of $20.42 and 200-day average of $14.96, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 41.3, placing the stock in the Distribution zone, down 8.4 over the last five readings. Price sits 44.8% above the Gekko Fair Value of $17, a gap the checklist flags as a headwind.

Coverage this week centers on UMC's twelve-month rally of 250.1%, attributed to rising utilization, strong 22/28nm demand and expanding AI-related opportunities, alongside sharply higher earnings estimates. A separate piece notes an upgrade to Strong Buy, while other commentary references a GF Score of 83 following a 4.3% share move to $22.53, and a DCF analysis putting intrinsic value at $29 against a $22 price. A StockInvest.us note carries a Hold/Accumulate rating with a 0.60 technical score and cites a 14.40% gain since a hold signal that began 28 August 2026.

Looking ahead, UMC next reports earnings on 28 October 2026, before the open, which falls outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; its last report on 29 July 2026 produced a 9.1% reaction, with EPS of $0.54 beating a $0.16 estimate. Options activity over the past 30 days shows one unusual signal, with call premium of $5,445,344 against put premium of $192,280. Seasonality over five years shows the next 20 trading days averaging -2.6%, positive in 2 of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the current consensus target of $18.49 from 2 firms, both rated sell.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $24.61200-day averageGekko Fair Value $17.00

Key stats

Market cap
$61.39B
P/E ratio
21.7
Forward P/E
20.8
EPS, TTM
$1.13
Revenue, TTM
$250.7B
Profit margin
33.3%
Dividend yield
1.64%
Beta
1.70
Volume
28.98M avg 11.74M
1-year return
+256.7%
Typical daily move
±3.9%
Typical 20-day move
±6.7%
50-day average
$20.42
200-day average
$14.96
Next earnings
Oct 28 before open
Shares outstanding
2.51B
52-week range
$6.90$28.96

United Microelectronics swing-trade checklist

United Microelectronics scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed3 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $24.61 is above the 50-day ($20.42) and 200-day ($14.96) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexheadwind

    41.3, Distribution

    Reading 41.3 is in the Distribution zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    44.8% above

    Price is 44.8% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 38 days

    Next report Oct 28, 2026, 38 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −2.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.6% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

United Microelectronics stock chart and price history

United Microelectronics closed at $24.61 on Sep 18, 2026, +256.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $6.90 to $28.96.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+35.8%
3 months
+2.2%
6 months
+165.8%
1 year
+256.7%
The full UMC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open UMC in Gekko

Follow United Microelectronics through every session

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About United Microelectronics

United Microelectronics manufactures semiconductor wafers on a contract basis for other companies rather than designing chips under its own brand. Its work spans the early stages of circuit layout and mask production through to wafer fabrication, assembly, and testing, making it a full-service partner for firms that need chips physically produced.

The company serves two broad types of customers: integrated device manufacturers that handle both design and production internally, and fabless firms that focus only on chip design and rely on outside partners for manufacturing. United Microelectronics runs operations across several regions, including Taiwan, Singapore, China, Hong Kong, Japan, the United States, and Europe, supporting this global customer base.

United Microelectronics was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan. Its shares trade under the ticker UMC.

Sector
Electronic technology
Website
umc.com

United Microelectronics GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

United Microelectronics’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 41.3, in the Distribution zone, down 8.4 points over five sessions.

010041.3Distribution

Down 8.4 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying52+1.1%+1.3%+3.3%+4.9%
Accumulation194−0.8%−0.2%+1.9%+18.2%
Neutral308+1.7%+2.5%+3.2%+10.4%
Distribution (current zone)59+3.7%+8.3%+18.1%+14.1%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average UMC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the UMC price, zone by zone.Track UMC in Gekko

Is United Microelectronics stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

United Microelectronics trades 44.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $17.00, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what United Microelectronics shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$17.00

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

44.8% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open UMC in Gekko

United Microelectronics insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for United Microelectronics, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for UMC in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every UMC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open UMC in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in UMC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for UMC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open UMC in Gekko

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 97% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 17, $5.64M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold UMC.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

United Microelectronics earnings: next date and track record

United Microelectronics reports on Oct 28, 2026, before the open (38 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 6 reports.

4 of 6reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.5%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−7.7%Oct ’24−8.9%Jan ’25+1.6%Apr ’25−3.9%Jul ’25−1.3%Oct ’25−15.2%Jan ’26+12.0%Apr ’26+9.1%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
UMC reported Q2 2026 consolidated revenue of TWD 68.73 billion, up 12.6% QoQ, with gross margin at 32.5%. Utilization improved to 85% from 79%, with wafer shipments reaching 1.13 million 12-inch equivalents. Net income hit TWD 42.26 billion (EPS TWD 3.39), boosted by TWD 30 billion in non-operating investment income. H1 2026 revenue grew 11.3% YoY to TWD 129.77 billion. CapEx budget was raised to $2 billion from $1.5 billion.
Guidance
Q3 2026 wafer shipments expected to increase by high single digits, driven by strong demand in power management ICs, sensors, and microcontrollers. Demand momentum expected to remain stable across compute, communication, and consumer segments. Singapore fab capacity to increase meaningfully to 192,000 12-inch wafers.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 29, 2026$0.54
est $0.16
+237.5%$2.12B
est $2.14B
−1.3%+9.1%
Apr 29, 2026$0.20
est $0.13
+51.8%$1.93B
est $1.92B
+0.2%+12.0%
Jan 28, 2026$0.13
est $0.12
+8.3%$1.98B
est $1.94B
+1.8%−15.2%
Oct 29, 2025$0.20
est $0.12
+66.7%$59.13B
est $1.93B
+2,967.7%−1.3%
Jul 30, 2025$0.12$2.03B−3.9%
Apr 23, 2025$0.09$1.74B+1.6%
Jan 21, 2025$0.10
est $0.15
−33.3%−8.9%
Oct 30, 2024$0.18
est $0.18
0.0%$1.92B
est $58.99M
+3,147.2%−7.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

United Microelectronics stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for United Microelectronics is $18.49, −24.9% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$18.49consensus 12-month target, −24.9% from the last close
Low $7.40High $18.97
Buy0
Hold0
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Jul 28Bank of America SecuritiesSell, reiterated$18.97−22.9%
Jul 13BernsteinSell, maintained$7.40−69.9%
+18.1%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
−2.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

United Microelectronics seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, United Microelectronics averaged −2.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−9.1%2021−7.3%2022+3.2%2023−6.1%2024+4.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.2%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−4.0%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−4.2%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−2.6%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−5.0%2 of 5

For scale, UMC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.7%.

United Microelectronics market cap and key statistics

United Microelectronics’s market cap is $61.39B, with a P/E ratio of 21.7 and revenue of $250.7B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$61.39B
P/E ratio
21.7
Forward P/E
20.8
EPS, TTM
$1.13
Gekko Fair Value
$17.00

Trading

Volume
28.98M
Avg volume, 20 days
11.74M
52-week high
$28.96
52-week low
$6.90
Shares outstanding
2.51B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$250.7B
Profit margin
33.3%
Return on equity
21.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+374.6%

Risk and income

Beta
1.70
Typical daily move
±3.9%
Typical 20-day move
±6.7%
Dividend yield
1.64%

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United Microelectronics stock FAQ

What is United Microelectronics’s market cap?

United Microelectronics’s market cap is $61.39B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $24.61, with 2.51B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 21.7.

What is the United Microelectronics stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for United Microelectronics is $18.49, −24.9% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is United Microelectronics stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate United Microelectronics is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $24.61 is 44.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $17.00. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does United Microelectronics report earnings next?

United Microelectronics is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026, before the market opens (38 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.23 per share on revenue of $2.34B. United Microelectronics beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 6 reports, moving 7.5% on average across the report.

What is United Microelectronics’s 52-week high and low?

United Microelectronics’s 52-week high is $28.96 and its 52-week low is $6.90; it closed at $24.61 on Sep 18, 2026, +256.7% over the past year.

Is United Microelectronics stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, smart money and earnings risk) and 3 as headwinds (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in United Microelectronics?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in United Microelectronics over the last 30 days, with $5.45M of flagged premium in calls and $192K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 17, 2026 with $5.64M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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