STMicroelectronics (STM) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$45.60−2.94 (−6.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

This week STMicroelectronics unveiled a broad "strategic evolution" of its STM32 microcontroller family, unifying the platform around the Arm Cortex-M core for use across automotive, industrial and robotics designs. The announcements included new STM32H7P and STM32G5 chips aimed at edge AI, digital power and motor control, an updated ST Edge AI Suite for embedded machine-learning deployment, and a new MCU incorporating hardware for post-quantum cryptography, all tied to the STM32 Summit 2026 event addressing convergence across physical AI applications.

The stock closed at $45.60, down 6.1% on the day, and sits below both its 50-day average of $50.14 and its 200-day average of $50.40, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Shorter-term returns show a 1-month decline of 22.3% and a 3-month decline of 14.4%, though the 1-year return remains up 86.9%. The GekkoIndex reads 62.4, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while price sits 14.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $53.42.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings report is scheduled for 28 January 2027, 84 days away, outside a typical holding window. In the last 30 days there has been 1 unusual options signal, with call premium of $1,779,769 against put premium of $20,520. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 7.9% move over 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Four analyst firms maintain buy ratings, with a consensus target of $71.62.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

STMicroelectronics price vs fair value

$53.42$45.60Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $45.60200-day averageGekko Fair Value $53.42

STMicroelectronics quick facts

Market cap
$40.79B
P/E ratio
82.8
Forward P/E
17.8
EPS, TTM
$0.57
Revenue, TTM
$13.67B
Profit margin
3.8%
Dividend yield
0.76%
Beta
1.54
Volume
15.54M avg 10.48M
1-year return
+86.9%
Typical daily move
±5.2%
Typical 20-day move
±8.2%
50-day average
$50.14
200-day average
$50.40
Next earnings
Jan 28 before open
Shares outstanding
894.4M
52-week range
$21.11$81.42

STMicroelectronics swing-trade checklist

STMicroelectronics scores 5 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

5 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $45.60 is below the 50-day ($50.14) and 200-day ($50.40) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    62.4, Accumulation

    Reading 62.4 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    14.6% below

    Price is 14.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 84 days

    Next report Jan 28, 2027, 84 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +7.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +7.9% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

STMicroelectronics stock chart and price history

STMicroelectronics closed at $45.60 on Nov 4, 2026, +86.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $21.11 to $81.42.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
STMicroelectronics share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$40$60$80DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct45.60

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−22.3%
3 months
−14.4%
6 months
−21.3%
1 year
+86.9%
The full STM chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open STM in Gekko

Follow STMicroelectronics through every session

Put STM on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About STMicroelectronics

STMicroelectronics designs, builds and sells semiconductor components, covering analog chips, discrete power devices, microcontrollers and sensors. Its products are used across a wide range of electronic systems, and the company has a notable footprint supplying parts for automotive and industrial applications. It is recognized for the breadth of its chip lineup rather than a single flagship product.

The company operates on a global scale, handling everything from design through manufacturing and distribution of its semiconductor lines. Its customer base spans automotive and industrial equipment makers, reflecting the two areas where its chips see particularly strong use, though its broader product mix reaches other electronics markets as well.

Shares of STMicroelectronics trade under the ticker STM.

Sector
Electronic technology
Website
st.com

STMicroelectronics GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

STMicroelectronics’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62.4, in the Accumulation zone, up 2.3 points over five sessions.

010062.4Accumulation

Up 2.3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying33+0.6%+4.7%+4.5%+5.6%
Accumulation (current zone)2620.0%+0.1%+0.1%+0.5%
Neutral309+0.2%−0.4%+0.2%+7.8%
Distribution41+2.4%+7.7%+17.4%+17.6%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average STM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the STM price, zone by zone.Track STM in Gekko

Is STMicroelectronics stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

STMicroelectronics trades 14.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $53.42, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what STMicroelectronics shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$53.42

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

14.6% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 28.1% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$53$49Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open STM in Gekko

STMicroelectronics insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for STMicroelectronics, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for STM in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every STM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open STM in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in STM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for STM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open STM in Gekko

Buybacks

STMicroelectronics has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
$184.0M
As a share of market cap
0.45%
Trailing four quarters
$479.0M

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 99% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 30, $1.80M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

5of the funds Gekko tracks hold STM.

1added3opened1trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

STMicroelectronics earnings: next date and track record

STMicroelectronics reports on Jan 28, 2027, before the open (84 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±11.7%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−3.2%Oct ’24−9.3%Jan ’25+6.9%Apr ’25−17.2%Jul ’25−14.6%Oct ’25−8.0%Jan ’26+12.5%Apr ’26−21.6%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 23, 2026 AI summary

What they said
STM reported Q2 2026 net revenues of $3.49 billion, exceeding midpoint guidance, with gross margin at 34.8% and non-GAAP EPS of $0.31. Automotive revenues surged 14% sequentially and 16% YoY, while Industrial grew 20% sequentially and 34% YoY. Book-to-bill approached 2.0 overall, with Communication Equipment significantly above 2.0 driven by silicon photonics. Distribution inventory fell below standard target levels, and free cash flow was positive at $75 million.
Guidance
Management signaled improved visibility and tightening supply in several product categories. Strong bookings and book-to-bill near 2.0 suggest continued revenue momentum into Q3 2026. No specific revenue or EPS targets were provided in this excerpt.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 23, 2026$0.31
est $0.26
+19.2%$3.49B
est $3.46B
+0.7%−21.6%
Apr 23, 2026$0.13
est $0.15
−13.3%$3.10B
est $3.06B
+1.2%+12.5%
Jan 29, 2026$0.11
est $0.27
−59.3%$3.33B
est $3.28B
+1.4%−8.0%
Oct 23, 2025$0.29
est $0.22
+31.8%$3.17B
est $3.29B
−3.6%−14.6%
Jul 24, 2025$0.06
est $0.10
−40.0%$2.80B
est $3.18B
−11.9%−17.2%
Apr 24, 2025$0.07
est $0.05
+40.0%$2.52B
est $2.65B
−4.9%+6.9%
Jan 30, 2025$0.37
est $0.37
0.0%$3.32B
est $2.85B
+16.7%−9.3%
Oct 31, 2024$0.37
est $0.32
+15.6%$3.25B
est $3.25B
+0.1%−3.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

STMicroelectronics stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for STMicroelectronics is $71.62, +57.1% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$71.62consensus 12-month target, +57.1% from the last close
Low $70High $90
Buy4
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 2Robert W. BairdBuy, reiterated$90+97.4%
Oct 29Mizuho SecuritiesBuy, maintained$70+53.5%
Oct 29Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained——
Oct 29SusquehannaBuy, reiterated$75+64.5%
Oct 21SusquehannaBuy, maintained$75+64.5%
+0.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+7.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

STMicroelectronics seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, STMicroelectronics averaged +7.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−6.4%2021+21.2%2022+15.8%2023−0.7%2024+10.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+4.9%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+5.3%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.3%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+7.9%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+7.6%3 of 5

For scale, STM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.2%.

STMicroelectronics market cap and key statistics

STMicroelectronics’s market cap is $40.79B, with a P/E ratio of 82.8 and revenue of $13.67B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$40.79B
P/E ratio
82.8
Forward P/E
17.8
EPS, TTM
$0.57
Gekko Fair Value
$53.42

Trading

Volume
15.54M
Avg volume, 20 days
10.48M
52-week high
$81.42
52-week low
$21.11
Shares outstanding
894.4M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$13.67B
Profit margin
3.8%
Return on equity
2.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+19.2%

Risk and income

Beta
1.54
Typical daily move
±5.2%
Typical 20-day move
±8.2%
Dividend yield
0.76%

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STMicroelectronics stock FAQ

What is STMicroelectronics’s market cap?

STMicroelectronics’s market cap is $40.79B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $45.60, with 894.4M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 82.8.

What is the STMicroelectronics stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for STMicroelectronics is $71.62, +57.1% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is STMicroelectronics stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate STMicroelectronics is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $45.60 is 14.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $53.42. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does STMicroelectronics report earnings next?

STMicroelectronics is expected to report on Jan 28, 2027, before the market opens (84 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.53 per share on revenue of $4.15B. STMicroelectronics beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 11.7% on average across the report.

What is STMicroelectronics’s 52-week high and low?

STMicroelectronics’s 52-week high is $81.42 and its 52-week low is $21.11; it closed at $45.60 on Nov 4, 2026, +86.9% over the past year.

Is STMicroelectronics stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in STMicroelectronics?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in STMicroelectronics over the last 30 days, with $1.78M of flagged premium in calls and $21K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 30, 2026 with $1.80M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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