STMicroelectronics (STM) Stock Analysis & Forecast

STMicroelectronics N.V. Electronic technology sector. Market cap $44.79B.

$50.18+1.57 (+3.2%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

STM closes at $50.18, up 3.2% on the day, sitting between its 50-day average of $54.17 and 200-day average of $46.54. The GekkoIndex reads 64.5, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, up 3.1 over five sessions. Price stands 11.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $56.86.

Coverage this week centers on a broadening chip rebound reaching embedded and power applications, with STM's automotive and industrial semiconductor focus cited as a beneficiary. Wall Street Zen downgraded the stock from Buy to Hold, though the broader analyst consensus remains a Moderate Buy with an average target near $76.17. Product news includes new SLLIMM intelligent power modules for air conditioners, heat pumps, and appliances, and the ST SafeSense VD56GA image sensor for automotive in-cabin monitoring. Revere Asset Management disclosed a new position of 112,662 shares valued at approximately $8.44 million.

Earnings are set for 29 October 2026, before the open, 39 days out and outside a typical 20-trading-day hold; the prior report on 23 July showed EPS of $0.31 against a $0.26 estimate, with a -21.6% reaction. In the last 30 days, 3 unusual options signals appeared, with call premium of $3,740,226 against put premium of $3,479,983. Two billionaire holders and three trailblazer holders are noted. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -3% over 5 years, positive in just 1 of them, a pattern worth noting against the current Fair Value gap.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $50.18200-day averageGekko Fair Value $56.86

Key stats

Market cap
$44.79B
P/E ratio
Forward P/E
18.4
EPS, TTM
−$0.06
Revenue, TTM
$13.10B
Profit margin
3.6%
Dividend yield
0.75%
Beta
1.51
Volume
13.43M avg 7.33M
1-year return
+84.6%
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±8.2%
50-day average
$54.17
200-day average
$46.54
Next earnings
Oct 29 before open
Shares outstanding
892.1M
52-week range
$21.11$81.42

STMicroelectronics swing-trade checklist

STMicroelectronics scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $50.18 sits between the 50-day ($54.17) and 200-day ($46.54) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    64.5, Accumulation

    Reading 64.5 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    11.7% below

    Price is 11.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 30 days: 3 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 39 days

    Next report Oct 29, 2026, 39 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −3.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −3% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

STMicroelectronics stock chart and price history

STMicroelectronics closed at $50.18 on Sep 18, 2026, +84.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $21.11 to $81.42.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−0.5%
3 months
−36.0%
6 months
+54.8%
1 year
+84.6%
The full STM chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open STM in Gekko

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Put STM on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About STMicroelectronics

STMicroelectronics designs, builds and sells semiconductor components, covering analog chips, discrete power devices, microcontrollers and sensors. Its products are used across a wide range of electronic systems, and the company has a notable footprint supplying parts for automotive and industrial applications. It is recognized for the breadth of its chip lineup rather than a single flagship product.

The company operates on a global scale, handling everything from design through manufacturing and distribution of its semiconductor lines. Its customer base spans automotive and industrial equipment makers, reflecting the two areas where its chips see particularly strong use, though its broader product mix reaches other electronics markets as well.

Shares of STMicroelectronics trade under the ticker STM.

Sector
Electronic technology
Website
st.com

STMicroelectronics GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

STMicroelectronics’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.5, in the Accumulation zone, up 3.1 points over five sessions.

010064.5Accumulation

Up 3.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying32+0.8%+4.7%+4.5%+5.1%
Accumulation (current zone)242−0.1%−0.2%0.0%+2.1%
Neutral296+0.2%−0.1%+0.5%+8.6%
Distribution40+2.9%+8.5%+17.4%+17.6%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average STM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the STM price, zone by zone.Track STM in Gekko

Is STMicroelectronics stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

STMicroelectronics trades 11.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $56.86, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what STMicroelectronics shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$56.86

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

11.7% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open STM in Gekko

STMicroelectronics insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for STMicroelectronics, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for STM in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every STM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open STM in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in STM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for STM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open STM in Gekko

Buybacks

STMicroelectronics has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
$184.0M
As a share of market cap
0.41%
Trailing four quarters
$479.0M

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

3signals, 52% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 18, $1.06M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

5of the funds Gekko tracks hold STM.

1added3opened1trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

STMicroelectronics earnings: next date and track record

STMicroelectronics reports on Oct 29, 2026, before the open (39 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±11.7%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−3.2%Oct ’24−9.3%Jan ’25+6.9%Apr ’25−17.2%Jul ’25−14.6%Oct ’25−8.0%Jan ’26+12.5%Apr ’26−21.6%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 23, 2026 AI summary

What they said
STM reported Q2 2026 net revenues of $3.49 billion, exceeding midpoint guidance, with gross margin at 34.8% and non-GAAP EPS of $0.31. Automotive revenues surged 14% sequentially and 16% YoY, while Industrial grew 20% sequentially and 34% YoY. Book-to-bill approached 2.0 overall, with Communication Equipment significantly above 2.0 driven by silicon photonics. Distribution inventory fell below standard target levels, and free cash flow was positive at $75 million.
Guidance
Management signaled improved visibility and tightening supply in several product categories. Strong bookings and book-to-bill near 2.0 suggest continued revenue momentum into Q3 2026. No specific revenue or EPS targets were provided in this excerpt.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 23, 2026$0.31
est $0.26
+19.2%$3.49B
est $3.46B
+0.7%−21.6%
Apr 23, 2026$0.13
est $0.15
−13.3%$3.10B
est $3.06B
+1.2%+12.5%
Jan 29, 2026$0.11
est $0.27
−59.3%$3.33B
est $3.28B
+1.4%−8.0%
Oct 23, 2025$0.29
est $0.22
+31.8%$3.17B
est $3.29B
−3.6%−14.6%
Jul 24, 2025$0.06
est $0.10
−40.0%$2.80B
est $3.18B
−11.9%−17.2%
Apr 24, 2025$0.07
est $0.05
+40.0%$2.52B
est $2.65B
−4.9%+6.9%
Jan 30, 2025$0.37
est $0.37
0.0%$3.32B
est $2.85B
+16.7%−9.3%
Oct 31, 2024$0.37
est $0.32
+15.6%$3.25B
est $3.25B
+0.1%−3.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

STMicroelectronics stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for STMicroelectronics is $75.04, +49.5% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$75.04consensus 12-month target, +49.5% from the last close
Low $55High $98.03
Buy5
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 13Mizuho SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$80+59.4%
Jul 31William BlairHold, maintained
Jul 31SusquehannaBuy, reiterated$75+49.5%
Jul 28Mizuho SecuritiesBuy, maintained$80+59.4%
Jul 28Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$98.03+95.4%
0.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−3.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

STMicroelectronics seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, STMicroelectronics averaged −3.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−4.3%2021−12.1%2022−1.2%2023−5.3%2024+5.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.6%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.8%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−3.5%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−3.0%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−6.6%1 of 5

For scale, STM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.2%.

STMicroelectronics market cap and key statistics

STMicroelectronics’s market cap is $44.79B and revenue of $13.10B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$44.79B
Forward P/E
18.4
EPS, TTM
−$0.06
Gekko Fair Value
$56.86

Trading

Volume
13.43M
Avg volume, 20 days
7.33M
52-week high
$81.42
52-week low
$21.11
Shares outstanding
892.1M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$13.10B
Profit margin
3.6%
Return on equity
2.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−33.3%

Risk and income

Beta
1.51
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±8.2%
Dividend yield
0.75%

STMicroelectronics stock news this week

Coverage of STMicroelectronics this week reads positive: 6 positive, 2 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

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STMicroelectronics stock FAQ

What is STMicroelectronics’s market cap?

STMicroelectronics’s market cap is $44.79B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $50.18, with 892.1M shares outstanding.

What is the STMicroelectronics stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for STMicroelectronics is $75.04, +49.5% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is STMicroelectronics stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate STMicroelectronics is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $50.18 is 11.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $56.86. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does STMicroelectronics report earnings next?

STMicroelectronics is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, before the market opens (39 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.40 per share on revenue of $3.73B. STMicroelectronics beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 11.7% on average across the report.

What is STMicroelectronics’s 52-week high and low?

STMicroelectronics’s 52-week high is $81.42 and its 52-week low is $21.11; it closed at $50.18 on Sep 18, 2026, +84.6% over the past year.

Is STMicroelectronics stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in STMicroelectronics?

Gekko flagged 3 unusual options signals in STMicroelectronics over the last 30 days, with $3.74M of flagged premium in calls and $3.48M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 18, 2026 with $1.06M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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