NYSE: TRGP

Targa Resources (TRGP) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$285.00−13.56 (−4.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Targa Resources heads into its third-quarter results amid a sector-wide pullback in energy midstream names, with shares falling 6.43% on Monday to $294.73 and then another 6.2% to $295.57 as peers Williams Companies, Cheniere Energy and ONEOK also sold off. Analysts are looking for earnings of $2.70 per share on revenue of $4.74 billion, with attention on whether strong Permian Basin activity can offset anticipated weakness in the logistics and transportation business. Some recent commentary has flagged renewed earnings optimism and pointed to a possible undervaluation case following the pullback.

The stock closed at $285.00, down 4.5%, sitting between its 50-day average of $290.28 and 200-day average of $261.23, a mixed trend picture. The GekkoIndex reads 60.2, placing Targa in the Accumulation zone, up 10.6 over the past five readings. Price sits 6.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $306.27.

Targa reports third-quarter results on 5 November, with the prior quarter showing EPS of $3.54 against an estimate of $2.83 and a last reaction of -1.2%; across the trailing eight quarters it has beaten estimates 5 times. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality from this point has averaged +5.1% over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Consensus among 17 covering firms stands at buy, with a target of $330.19.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Targa Resources price vs fair value

$306.27$285.00Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $285.00200-day averageGekko Fair Value $306.27

Targa Resources quick facts

Market cap
$61.11B
P/E ratio
30.1
Forward P/E
25.5
EPS, TTM
$9.79
Revenue, TTM
$16.74B
Profit margin
13.6%
Dividend yield
1.43%
Beta
0.74
Volume
2.05M avg 1.16M
1-year return
+82.6%
Typical daily move
±3.4%
Typical 20-day move
±5.9%
50-day average
$290.28
200-day average
$261.23
Next earnings
Nov 5
Shares outstanding
214.4M
52-week range
$152.22$316.60

Targa Resources swing-trade checklist

Targa Resources scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $285.00 sits between the 50-day ($290.28) and 200-day ($261.23) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    60.2, Accumulation

    Reading 60.2 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    6.9% below

    Price is 6.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports today

    Reports on Nov 5, 2026, today — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.1% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Targa Resources stock chart and price history

Targa Resources closed at $285.00 on Nov 4, 2026, +82.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $152.22 to $316.60.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Targa Resources share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$150$200$250$300DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct285.00

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−0.3%
3 months
+6.3%
6 months
+14.2%
1 year
+82.6%
The full TRGP chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TRGP in Gekko

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About Targa Resources

Targa Resources works across the middle of the North American energy chain, handling infrastructure that gathers, processes, transports and stores natural gas, natural gas liquids and crude oil. Its work includes collecting and treating natural gas, fractionating and moving NGLs, and gathering and selling crude oil, alongside wholesale propane distribution and services for LPG exporters. The company is also known for the scale of its network, which includes roughly 28,400 miles of natural gas pipelines, 42 processing plants, and 34 storage wells with about 76 million barrels of gross capacity.

Operations are organized into two segments, Gathering and Processing, and Logistics and Transportation. Through these, Targa serves a mix of customers that includes multi-state retailers, independent businesses, end-users, and refineries and petrochemical companies along the Gulf Coast, while also buying, marketing and reselling natural gas and NGL products, and offering NGL balancing and transport support using a fleet of leased railcars, transport tractors and NGL barges.

Targa Resources was founded in 2005 and is based in Houston, Texas. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker TRGP.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Utilities
Industry
Gas distributors
Website
targaresources.com

Targa Resources GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Targa Resources’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60.2, in the Accumulation zone, up 10.6 points over five sessions.

010060.2Accumulation

Up 10.6 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying10+4.0%+7.1%+6.6%+7.3%
Accumulation (current zone)127+1.5%+3.2%+5.3%+4.3%
Neutral457+0.7%+1.2%+3.0%+10.6%
Distribution94+1.9%+3.7%+6.1%+12.0%
Selling9Too few readings yet

Average TRGP share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TRGP price, zone by zone.Track TRGP in Gekko

Is Targa Resources stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Targa Resources trades 6.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $306.27, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Targa Resources shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$306.27

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

6.9% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 1.1% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$306$299Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TRGP in Gekko

Targa Resources insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Targa Resources, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TRGP in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every TRGP insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TRGP in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in TRGP were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for TRGP, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TRGP in Gekko

Buybacks

Targa Resources has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$80.10M
As a share of market cap
0.13%
Trailing four quarters
$327.7M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds TRGP.

0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Targa Resources earnings: next date and track record

Targa Resources reports on Nov 5, 2026 (today), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.3%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+10.0%Nov ’24−4.7%Feb ’25−5.3%May ’25+1.3%Aug ’25+9.9%Nov ’25+1.6%Feb ’26−0.6%May ’26−1.2%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Targa reported record Q2 2026 results with adjusted EBITDA up 38% year-over-year. Permian volumes hit a record 7.2 Bcf/day, up 14% YoY and 7% QoQ, driving records across NGL transportation, fractionation, and LPG exports. Strong performance occurred despite weather challenges, gas takeaway constraints, and negative Waha pricing in H1 2026. Marketing businesses outperformed expectations amid constrained gas egress environment.
Guidance
Management now expects to finish at the top end of adjusted EBITDA guidance, implying ~$1 billion growth over 2025. Hugh Brinson Phase 1 and GCX expansion coming online are resolving Permian shut-ins, with volumes tracking above February expectations and positioning well for 2027 momentum.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026$3.54
est $2.83
+25.1%$4.44B
est $4.90B
−9.3%−1.2%
May 7, 2026$2.21
est $2.48
−10.9%$4.09B
est $4.68B
−12.4%−0.6%
Feb 19, 2026$2.51
est $2.30
+9.1%$4.06B
est $4.73B
−14.3%+1.6%
Nov 5, 2025$2.20
est $2.11
+4.3%$4.20B
est $4.56B
−7.9%+9.9%
Aug 7, 2025$2.87
est $1.86
+54.3%$4.03B
est $4.89B
−17.6%+1.3%
May 1, 2025$0.91
est $1.98
−54.0%$4.56B
est $4.90B
−6.9%−5.3%
Feb 20, 2025$1.44
est $1.92
−25.0%$4.41B
est $4.48B
−1.6%−4.7%
Nov 5, 2024$1.74
est $1.55
+12.3%$3.85B
est $4.06B
−5.1%+10.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Targa Resources stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Targa Resources is $330.19, +15.9% from the last close, from 17 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$330.19consensus 12-month target, +15.9% from the last close
Low $294High $359
Buy17
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 17 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 20Raymond JamesBuy, maintained$340+19.3%
Oct 16TD CowenBuy, maintained$345+21.1%
Oct 15ScotiabankBuy, maintained$319+11.9%
Oct 15Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained$330+15.8%
Oct 15JefferiesBuy, maintained$326+14.4%
+5.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+5.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Targa Resources seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Targa Resources averaged +5.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−8.5%2021+2.3%2022+0.2%2023+16.5%2024+13.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+5.0%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+5.0%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+5.9%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.1%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+1.9%2 of 5

For scale, TRGP’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.9%.

Targa Resources market cap and key statistics

Targa Resources’s market cap is $61.11B, with a P/E ratio of 30.1 and revenue of $16.74B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$61.11B
P/E ratio
30.1
Forward P/E
25.5
EPS, TTM
$9.79
Gekko Fair Value
$306.27

Trading

Volume
2.05M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.16M
52-week high
$316.60
52-week low
$152.22
Shares outstanding
214.4M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$16.74B
Profit margin
13.6%
Return on equity
70.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+23.3%

Risk and income

Beta
0.74
Typical daily move
±3.4%
Typical 20-day move
±5.9%
Dividend yield
1.43%

Targa Resources stock news this week

Coverage of Targa Resources this week reads neutral: 6 positive, 7 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Targa Resources peers

Targa Resources’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
ATOAtmos Energy+0.8%Neutral2.8% above
CQPCheniere Energy Partners−9.1%Buying40.1% below
NINiSource+1.4%Neutral21.4% above
SWXSouthwest Gas−0.3%Neutral0.3% below
BKHBlack Hills+1.8%Distribution6.0% above
NJRNewJersey Resources+2.2%Neutral0.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Gas distributors

Targa Resources stock FAQ

What is Targa Resources’s market cap?

Targa Resources’s market cap is $61.11B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $285.00, with 214.4M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 30.1.

What is the Targa Resources stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Targa Resources is $330.19, +15.9% from the last close. Of the 17 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 17 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Targa Resources stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Targa Resources is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $285.00 is 6.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $306.27. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Targa Resources report earnings next?

Targa Resources is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026 (today). Analysts expect earnings of $2.74 per share on revenue of $4.77B. Targa Resources beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.3% on average across the report.

What is Targa Resources’s 52-week high and low?

Targa Resources’s 52-week high is $316.60 and its 52-week low is $152.22; it closed at $285.00 on Nov 4, 2026, +82.6% over the past year.

Is Targa Resources stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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