NYSE: TRGP

Targa Resources (TRGP) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Targa Resources, Inc. Utilities sector, gas distributors industry. Market cap $62.72B.

$292.19+7.12 (+2.5%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Targa Resources (TRGP) closes at $292.19, up 2.5%, and sits above both its 50-day average of $281.48 and 200-day average of $243.25. The GekkoIndex reads 54.8, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, while price is 1.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $296.41.

This week's news centers on results and analyst response. Targa reported a record second quarter with Adjusted EBITDA of $1.60 billion, a 38% increase year-over-year, attributed to strong Permian Basin natural gas and NGL volumes. TD Cowen upgraded the stock to Buy from Hold, raising its price target to $350 from $275, and Morgan Stanley raised its target to $359 from $343 while maintaining an Overweight rating. Brokerage consensus stands at "Buy" from nineteen firms with an average target of $310.88. Separately, Nykredit A/S purchased a new position of 124,242 shares valued at approximately $33.3 million, while Corient Private Wealth LP reduced its stake by 15%, selling 7,510 shares but retaining 42,659 shares valued at $11.4 million.

Looking ahead, the next earnings date falls on 4 November 2026, 45 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. Sixteen analysts currently rate the stock Buy, with a consensus target of $318.81, implying 9.1% upside. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged a 4.7% gain across 5 years, rising in 3 of them, worth noting alongside the current gap to Gekko Fair Value.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $292.19200-day averageGekko Fair Value $296.41

Key stats

Market cap
$62.72B
P/E ratio
27.3
Forward P/E
23.2
EPS, TTM
$10.46
Revenue, TTM
$16.74B
Profit margin
13.6%
Dividend yield
1.58%
Beta
0.72
Volume
3.82M avg 1.17M
1-year return
+75.5%
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±6%
50-day average
$281.48
200-day average
$243.25
Next earnings
Nov 4
Shares outstanding
214.4M
52-week range
$144.14$307.94

Targa Resources swing-trade checklist

Targa Resources scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $292.19 is above the 50-day ($281.48) and 200-day ($243.25) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    54.8, Neutral

    Reading 54.8 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    1.4% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (1.4% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 45 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 45 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.7% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Targa Resources stock chart and price history

Targa Resources closed at $292.19 on Sep 18, 2026, +75.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $144.14 to $307.94.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−1.6%
3 months
+13.0%
6 months
+22.0%
1 year
+75.5%
The full TRGP chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TRGP in Gekko

Follow Targa Resources through every session

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About Targa Resources

Targa Resources works across the middle of the North American energy chain, handling infrastructure that gathers, processes, transports and stores natural gas, natural gas liquids and crude oil. Its work includes collecting and treating natural gas, fractionating and moving NGLs, and gathering and selling crude oil, alongside wholesale propane distribution and services for LPG exporters. The company is also known for the scale of its network, which includes roughly 28,400 miles of natural gas pipelines, 42 processing plants, and 34 storage wells with about 76 million barrels of gross capacity.

Operations are organized into two segments, Gathering and Processing, and Logistics and Transportation. Through these, Targa serves a mix of customers that includes multi-state retailers, independent businesses, end-users, and refineries and petrochemical companies along the Gulf Coast, while also buying, marketing and reselling natural gas and NGL products, and offering NGL balancing and transport support using a fleet of leased railcars, transport tractors and NGL barges.

Targa Resources was founded in 2005 and is based in Houston, Texas. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker TRGP.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Utilities
Industry
Gas distributors
Website
targaresources.com

Targa Resources GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Targa Resources’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 54.8, in the Neutral zone, down 1.6 points over five sessions.

010054.8Neutral

Down 1.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying10+4.0%+7.1%+6.6%+7.3%
Accumulation120+1.5%+3.1%+5.0%+3.7%
Neutral (current zone)429+0.7%+1.3%+3.3%+11.0%
Distribution94+1.9%+3.7%+6.3%+12.1%
Selling9Too few readings yet

Average TRGP share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TRGP price, zone by zone.Track TRGP in Gekko

Is Targa Resources stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Targa Resources trades 1.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $296.41, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Targa Resources shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$296.41

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

1.4% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TRGP in Gekko

Targa Resources insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Targa Resources, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TRGP in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every TRGP insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TRGP in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in TRGP were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for TRGP, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TRGP in Gekko

Buybacks

Targa Resources has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$80.10M
As a share of market cap
0.13%
Trailing four quarters
$327.7M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds TRGP.

0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Targa Resources earnings: next date and track record

Targa Resources reports on Nov 4, 2026 (45 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.7%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.1%May ’24−3.5%Aug ’24+10.0%Nov ’24+2.4%Feb ’25−8.9%Apr ’25+1.3%Aug ’25+9.9%Nov ’25+1.6%Feb ’26

Last earnings call, Feb 19, 2026 AI summary

What they said
TRGP delivered record 2025 performance with $4.96 billion adjusted EBITDA, up over $800 million year-over-year. Permian volumes grew 11% (600+ MMcf/d increase), NGL transport volumes up 170,000 bpd, and frac volumes increased 120,000+ bpd. Company announced two new projects: Delaware processing plant Yet II and 13th fractionator in Mont Belvieu, with plans for 8 total plants over next 2 years adding 2.2 Bcf/d processing capacity.
Guidance
Management expects another year of low double-digit Permian volume growth in 2026. Post-Speedway completion in H2 2027, annual growth capital spending expected to average $2.5 billion in sustained high single-digit to low double-digit volume growth environment.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Feb 19, 2026$2.51
est $2.30
+9.1%$4.06B
est $4.73B
−14.3%+1.6%
Nov 5, 2025$2.20
est $2.11
+4.3%$4.20B
est $4.56B
−7.9%+9.9%
Aug 7, 2025$2.87
est $1.86
+54.3%$4.03B
est $4.89B
−17.6%+1.3%
Apr 30, 2025$1.89
est $2.05
−8.0%$4.56B
est $4.90B
−6.9%−8.9%
Feb 13, 2025$1.82
est $1.83
−0.7%+2.4%
Nov 5, 2024$1.74
est $1.55
+12.3%$3.85B
est $4.06B
−5.1%+10.0%
Aug 1, 2024$1.33
est $1.27
+4.7%$3.62B
est $4.47B
−19.1%−3.5%
May 2, 2024$1.22
est $1.30
−6.2%$4.60B
est $4.30B
+6.9%−0.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Targa Resources stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Targa Resources is $318.81, +9.1% from the last close, from 16 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$318.81consensus 12-month target, +9.1% from the last close
Low $284High $359
Buy16
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 16 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 18TD CowenBuy, upgraded$350+19.8%
Sep 17Morgan StanleyBuy, maintained$359+22.9%
Sep 16Morgan StanleyBuy, reiterated$359+22.9%
Sep 11Mizuho SecuritiesBuy, maintained$320+9.5%
Sep 10Stifel NicolausBuy, initiated$340+16.4%
+3.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+4.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Targa Resources seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Targa Resources averaged +4.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+27.7%2021−4.7%2022+3.2%2023+6.4%2024−9.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.4%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.9%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.9%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.7%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.3%2 of 5

For scale, TRGP’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6%.

Targa Resources market cap and key statistics

Targa Resources’s market cap is $62.72B, with a P/E ratio of 27.3 and revenue of $16.74B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$62.72B
P/E ratio
27.3
Forward P/E
23.2
EPS, TTM
$10.46
Gekko Fair Value
$296.41

Trading

Volume
3.82M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.17M
52-week high
$307.94
52-week low
$144.14
Shares outstanding
214.4M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$16.74B
Profit margin
13.6%
Return on equity
70.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+23.3%

Risk and income

Beta
0.72
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±6%
Dividend yield
1.58%

Targa Resources stock news this week

Coverage of Targa Resources this week reads positive: 10 positive, 2 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Targa Resources peers

Targa Resources’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
SRESempra−0.2%Accumulation12.4% below
CQPCheniere Energy Partners−2.3%Accumulation32.6% below
ATOAtmos Energy−0.4%Buying9.5% below
NINiSource0.0%Buying5.0% above
SWXSouthwest Gas−0.1%Buying9.8% below
NJRNewJersey Resources−1.0%Accumulation7.1% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Targa Resources stock FAQ

What is Targa Resources’s market cap?

Targa Resources’s market cap is $62.72B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $292.19, with 214.4M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 27.3.

What is the Targa Resources stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Targa Resources is $318.81, +9.1% from the last close. Of the 16 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 16 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Targa Resources stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Targa Resources is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $292.19 is 1.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $296.41. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Targa Resources report earnings next?

Targa Resources is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (45 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.66 per share on revenue of $4.87B. Targa Resources beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.7% on average across the report.

What is Targa Resources’s 52-week high and low?

Targa Resources’s 52-week high is $307.94 and its 52-week low is $144.14; it closed at $292.19 on Sep 18, 2026, +75.5% over the past year.

Is Targa Resources stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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