Insider buying last 90 days
$50Kin 1 open-market purchase
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12 | William James Ware Director | Purchase | $50K |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
NYSE: ATO
Atmos Energy (ATO) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$176.45+2.68 (+1.5%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeAtmos Energy's week centers on its fiscal 2026 results and fiscal 2027 outlook. The company reported fiscal year 2026 diluted earnings per share of $8.49 and net income of $1.4 billion, with capital expenditures of $4.2 billion directed primarily at safety and reliability. The fourth-quarter report drew attention to the company's refreshed five-year capital plan through 2031 and its 6-8% annual growth framework, while the earnings call also reaffirmed guidance trends from earlier in the year. Alongside the results, Atmos Energy increased its quarterly dividend, and the board announced the retirement of Chairman Kim R. Cocklin, effective at the 2027 annual meeting.
Shares closed at $176.45, up 1.5%, sitting above both the 50-day average of $164.61 and the 200-day average of $174.38, with a one-month return of 10.5%. The GekkoIndex reads 46.1, placing the stock in the Neutral zone after easing 4.4 points over the past five sessions. Price trades 2.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $171.64.
No confirmed date for the next earnings report appears on the calendar. Over the last 90 days, smart-money activity includes one open-market insider purchase. Analyst coverage from 4 firms stands entirely at hold, with a consensus target of $182.45. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 3.2% gain over 5 years, positive in 3 of them, a pattern worth noting given the stock's typical 20-day move of 3.3%.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Atmos Energy price vs fair value
Close $176.45200-day averageGekko Fair Value $171.64
Atmos Energy quick facts
- Market cap
- $29.84B
- P/E ratio
- 20.8
- Forward P/E
- 19.1
- EPS, TTM
- $8.39
- Revenue, TTM
- $4.92B
- Profit margin
- 28.5%
- Dividend yield
- 2.24%
- Beta
- 0.55
- Volume
- 1.44M avg 1.00M
- 1-year return
- +2.2%
- Typical daily move
- ±1.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.3%
- 50-day average
- $164.61
- 200-day average
- $174.38
- Next earnings
- —
- Shares outstanding
- 169.0M
Atmos Energy swing-trade checklist
Atmos Energy scores 2 supportive, 3 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive3 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $176.45 sits between the 50-day ($164.61) and 200-day ($174.38) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
46.1, Neutral
Reading 46.1 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
2.8% above
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (2.8% above).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase.
See smart money - Earnings riskno data
No data
No confirmed report date on the calendar.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+3.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Atmos Energy stock chart and price history
Atmos Energy closed at $176.45 on Nov 4, 2026, +2.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $154.72 to $192.51.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +10.5%
- 3 months
- +2.6%
- 6 months
- −4.5%
- 1 year
- +2.2%
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About Atmos Energy
Atmos Energy delivers natural gas to homes, businesses, public agencies, and industrial customers across eight states in the United States. It is best known for the scale of its underground distribution and transmission network, which carries gas directly to roughly three million customers through tens of thousands of miles of buried lines.
The company runs two main divisions. Its Distribution arm handles the regulated delivery and sale of natural gas to end users, while its Pipeline and Storage arm moves gas on behalf of other companies and operates several underground storage sites in Texas. This second division also provides related services to the pipeline industry, including gas parking, lending, and inventory management, alongside a smaller network of transmission lines.
Atmos Energy traces its founding back to 1906 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker ATO.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Utilities
- Industry
- Gas distributors
- Website
- atmosenergy.com
Atmos Energy GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Atmos Energy’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 46.1, in the Neutral zone, down 4.4 points over five sessions.
46.1Neutral
Down 4.4 points over five sessions.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 29 | +0.5% | +4.3% | ||
| Accumulation | 181 | +0.3% | +0.3% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 451 | +0.4% | +1.6% | ||
| Distribution | 35 | −0.3% | −1.8% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average ATO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ATO price, zone by zone.Track ATO in Gekko
Is Atmos Energy stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Atmos Energy trades 2.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $171.64, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Atmos Energy shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$171.64
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
2.8% above fair value · About fair value
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 9.2% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ATO in Gekko
Atmos Energy insider and Congress trading
Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Atmos Energy worth $50K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in ATO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for ATO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ATO in Gekko
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold ATO.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Atmos Energy earnings: next date and track record
Atmos Energy beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 1.7% on average across the report.
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±1.7%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Atmos Energy's fiscal 26 Q3 earnings call reported year-to-date net income of $1.2 billion ($7.33 per diluted share) and reaffirmed fiscal 26 EPS guidance of $8.40–$8.50. Capital expenditures totaled $3.1 billion with 87% focused on safety and reliability. Customer additions were strong (~51k over 12 months; ~39k in Texas), including commercial and industrial gains expected to add meaningful volumes. APT performance benefited from wider spreads during fiscal 26 (average $4.66 vs $1.77 prior year), but spreads have begun to compress due to additional takeaway capacity coming online. Regulatory actions yielded $396 million in implemented annualized operating income increases, with $334 million sought in filings. Management highlighted O&M dynamics including a 4% annual O&M growth assumption in their 5-year guidance and the impact of Texas House Bill 4.38 thousand (recognized $132 million YTD). Q&A focused on guidance, APT spread outlook (narrowing), O&M cadence, rule 7.7.102 normalization, affordability, and continued monitoring of Waha pricing and takeaway capacity. Overall tone was confident but measured with reaffirmed guidance and caution about spread compression and takeaway capacity impacts.
- Guidance
- Reaffirmed fiscal 26 EPS guidance: $8.40–$8.50. 5-year O&M annual growth expectation ~4% (to be refreshed in fall). Management anticipates 6%–8% EPS growth off current range going forward due to normalization of rule 7.7.102 impacts. Also budgeted APT through-system benchmark roughly $107 million for rider recovery.
- Risks flagged
- Potential narrowing/compression of APT spreads due to additional takeaway capacity coming online; uncertainty in summer cooling/winter heating loads affecting demand; regulatory outcomes (7 pending filings seeking $334 million) and timing; macro and weather variability impacting volumes and spreads. House Bill 4.38 thousand deferrals impacted results and regulatory/timing risks remain.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | $1.43 est $1.34 | $879.1M est $900.8M | −0.4% |
| May 6, 2026 | $3.47 est $3.41 | $1.96B est $1.94B | −2.9% |
| Feb 4, 2026 | $2.44 est $2.44 | $1.34B est $1.30B | +1.6% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | $1.07 est $1.00 | $737.5M est $721.3M | +0.9% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | $1.16 est $1.14 | $838.8M est $822.1M | +3.9% |
| May 7, 2025 | $3.03 est $2.89 | $1.95B est $1.67B | −0.4% |
| Feb 4, 2025 | $2.23 est $2.21 | $1.18B est $1.35B | +1.2% |
| Nov 6, 2024 | $0.83 est $0.81 | $701.5M est $919.1M | +2.5% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Atmos Energy stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Atmos Energy is $182.45, +3.4% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$182.45consensus 12-month target, +3.4% from the last close
Now $176.45Avg $182.45
Low $167High $182
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | Morgan Stanley | $182 | +3.1% |
| Oct 15 | Truist Financial | $174 | −1.4% |
| Oct 1 | Jefferies | $167 | −5.4% |
| Sep 18 | Morgan Stanley | $179 | +1.4% |
| Sep 11 | J.P. Morgan | $180 | +2.0% |
+1.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Atmos Energy seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Atmos Energy averaged +3.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.9% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +3.4% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +4.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +3.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +3.0% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, ATO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.3%.
Atmos Energy market cap and key statistics
Atmos Energy’s market cap is $29.84B, with a P/E ratio of 20.8 and revenue of $4.92B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $29.84B
- P/E ratio
- 20.8
- Forward P/E
- 19.1
- EPS, TTM
- $8.39
- Gekko Fair Value
- $171.64
Trading
- Volume
- 1.44M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.00M
- 52-week high
- $192.51
- 52-week low
- $154.72
- Shares outstanding
- 169.0M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $4.92B
- Profit margin
- 28.5%
- Return on equity
- 9.8%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +23.3%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.55
- Typical daily move
- ±1.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.3%
- Dividend yield
- 2.24%
Atmos Energy stock news this week
Coverage of Atmos Energy this week reads neutral: 2 positive, 6 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Form 4 Atmos Energy Corp: John K. Akers (Director, PRESIDENT & CEO) For: 3 November By Investing.comInvesting.com India, Nov 4
- 4,000 Atmos Energy (ATO) shares vest for Martinez; 1,574 are withheld for taxes.Stock Titan, Nov 4
- After $1.4B in FY2026 profit, Atmos Energy (ATO) forecasts FY2027 earnings.Stock Titan, Nov 4
- Atmos Energy set to report earnings as growth outlook testedInvesting.com, Nov 4
- Atmos Energy Corporation Announces Retirement of Kim R. Cocklin and Appointment of J.Business Wire, Nov 4
- Atmos Energy Corporation Reports Earnings for Fiscal 2026; Initiates Fiscal 2027 GuidanceBusiness Wire, Nov 4
Atmos Energy peers
Atmos Energy’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| TRGPTarga Resources | Accumulation | 6.9% below |
| CQPCheniere Energy Partners | Buying | 40.1% below |
| NINiSource | Neutral | 21.4% above |
| SWXSouthwest Gas | Neutral | 0.3% below |
| BKHBlack Hills | Distribution | 6.0% above |
| NJRNewJersey Resources | Neutral | 0.7% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Atmos Energy stock FAQ
What is Atmos Energy’s market cap?
Atmos Energy’s market cap is $29.84B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $176.45, with 169.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 20.8.
What is the Atmos Energy stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Atmos Energy is $182.45, +3.4% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Atmos Energy stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Atmos Energy is about fair value: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $176.45 is 2.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $171.64. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
What is Atmos Energy’s 52-week high and low?
Atmos Energy’s 52-week high is $192.51 and its 52-week low is $154.72; it closed at $176.45 on Nov 4, 2026, +2.2% over the past year.
Is Atmos Energy stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (smart money and seasonality), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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