NYSE: NJR

NewJersey Resources (NJR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$50.40−0.21 (−0.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's coverage of NJR centers on sentiment analysis, with one piece describing weak near-term sentiment alongside longer-term strength, and noting the stock trading near $51.40 with a $0.50 dividend announced. Separate filings show State Street Corp increasing its stake by 6.8% and Corient Private Wealth LP reducing its position by 37.8% during the second quarter.

NJR closed at $50.40, down 0.4%, with the price sitting between its 50-day average of $54.96 and 200-day average of $53.80, reflecting a mixed trend. Shares are down 6.3% over one month and 11.5% over three months, though up 6.6% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 78.7, placing NJR in the Buying zone, and the stock trades 11.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $57.02.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 18 November 2026, 50 days out, which falls outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonality data shows the next 20 trading days have averaged a 2.2% gain over 5 years, with gains in 3 of those years. Analyst consensus stands at 1 buy and 1 hold among 2 firms, with a consensus target of $59.86. The gap to Gekko Fair Value and the mixed trend signal are worth noting heading into the next reporting cycle.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

NewJersey Resources price vs fair value

$57.02$50.40Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $50.40200-day averageGekko Fair Value $57.02

NewJersey Resources quick facts

Market cap
$5.09B
P/E ratio
14.5
Forward P/E
14.9
EPS, TTM
$3.53
Revenue, TTM
$2.23B
Profit margin
16.4%
Dividend yield
3.67%
Beta
0.51
Volume
709,802 avg 704,376
1-year return
+6.6%
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±3.4%
50-day average
$54.96
200-day average
$53.80
Next earnings
Nov 18
Shares outstanding
101.5M
52-week range
$43.46$60.86

NewJersey Resources swing-trade checklist

NewJersey Resources scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $50.40 sits between the 50-day ($54.96) and 200-day ($53.80) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    78.7, Buying

    Reading 78.7 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    11.6% below

    Price is 11.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 50 days

    Next report Nov 18, 2026, 50 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

NewJersey Resources stock chart and price history

NewJersey Resources closed at $50.40 on Sep 28, 2026, +6.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $43.46 to $60.86.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
NewJersey Resources share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$45$55$60NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep50.40

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−6.3%
3 months
−11.5%
6 months
−7.7%
1 year
+6.6%
The full NJR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NJR in Gekko

Follow NewJersey Resources through every session

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About NewJersey Resources

NewJersey Resources operates as an energy holding company, combining regulated natural gas distribution with retail and wholesale energy activities. It is best known for supplying regulated natural gas utility service to residential and business customers across several New Jersey counties, including Burlington, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris, Ocean, and Sussex, while also managing capacity and storage arrangements and participating in off-system sales.

The company organizes its work into four segments. Its gas distribution arm serves around 564,000 customers, while a clean energy division develops and operates solar projects for homes and businesses in New Jersey, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and New York. A separate energy services unit provides unregulated wholesale energy management to other energy firms and gas producers, trading storage and transportation assets across the United States and Canada, and a storage and transportation segment invests in related infrastructure. Beyond these, the company also offers HVAC services, commercial real estate management, solar installation, plumbing work, and water appliance sales and servicing.

NewJersey Resources was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Wall, New Jersey. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker NJR.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Utilities
Industry
Gas distributors
Website
njresources.com

NewJersey Resources GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

NewJersey Resources’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 78.7, in the Buying zone, up 9.5 points over five sessions.

010078.7Buying

Up 9.5 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)11+1.6%+0.6%+1.3%+2.7%
Accumulation219+0.6%+1.3%+2.6%+4.5%
Neutral4030.0%+0.1%+0.2%+1.6%
Distribution35−0.7%−1.6%−1.8%+0.2%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average NJR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NJR price, zone by zone.Track NJR in Gekko

Is NewJersey Resources stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

NewJersey Resources trades 11.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $57.02, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what NewJersey Resources shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$57.02

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

11.6% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NJR in Gekko

NewJersey Resources insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NewJersey Resources, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NJR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every NJR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NJR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in NJR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for NJR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NJR in Gekko

Buybacks

NewJersey Resources has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2021
$27.22M
As a share of market cap
0.54%

From company filings.

NewJersey Resources earnings: next date and track record

NewJersey Resources reports on Nov 18, 2026 (50 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 4 reports.

4 of 4reports beat the EPS estimate
±3%average move across the report
3 of 4reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−1.6%May ’25+2.0%Aug ’25+3.6%Nov ’25+4.7%Feb ’26

Last earnings call, Feb 2, 2026 AI summary

What they said
New Jersey Resources Corporation delivered fiscal 2025 results with continued earnings strength and a strong balance sheet, highlighted by exceeding initial earnings guidance for five consecutive years and a positive long-term growth outlook. The company raised its fiscal 2026 NFEPS guidance to a range of $3.28 to $3.43 per share, supported by a disciplined capital plan (~$4.8–$5.2 billion of CapEx through 2030 with ~60% directed to the utility) and a strategy to expand regulated utility earnings, Storage & Transportation, and Clean Energy Ventures. Management emphasized affordability initiatives in New Jersey, continued safe harboring of CEV projects, and robust cash flow generation that preserves financial flexibility (no block equity). The Q&A focused on weather-driven performance, Leaf River capacity expansions, regulatory backdrop and EO2 opportunities, hedging benefits, and potential upside from storage and solar opportunities outside New Jersey. Overall tone was constructive and confident, though tempered by regulatory and macro headwinds tied to affordability and permits.
Guidance
Guidance is raised for fiscal 2026 NFEPS to $3.28–$3.43 per share. Additional forward-looking elements include a five-year CapEx plan of approximately $4.8–$5.2 billion through 2030 (about 60% utility-focused), a long-term NFEPS growth target of 7–9%, and expectations that earnings will continue to be supported by regulated utility investments, capacity expansions (Leaf River, Adelphia Gateway), and Safe Harboring for CEV. Management also notes no need for block equity and ongoing emphasis on affordability and reliability. Potential upside assumes continued demand for storage capacity and progress on EO-related initiatives in New Jersey and neighboring markets.
Risks flagged
Key risks include extreme weather events impacting energy demand and prices, regulatory and political risk in New Jersey affecting affordability and pace of rate cases, execution risk on capacity expansions (Leaf River, Adelphia Gateway, and CEV safe harboring), potential delays in permitting or changes in energy policy, and macro energy price volatility that could affect project economics or demand. The company notes forward-looking statements are subject to many factors beyond control and emphasizes hedging and efficiency as mitigants.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Feb 2, 2026$1.17
est $0.95
+23.2%$604.9M
est $551.7M
+9.6%+4.7%
Nov 19, 2025$0.16
est $0.15
+6.1%$341.5M
est $299.6M
+14.0%+3.6%
Aug 4, 2025$0.06
est −$0.06
+200.0%$298.9M
est $307.3M
−2.7%+2.0%
May 5, 2025$1.76
est $1.65
+6.7%$913.0M
est $292.0M
+212.7%−1.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

NewJersey Resources stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for NewJersey Resources is $59.86, +18.8% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$59.86consensus 12-month target, +18.8% from the last close
Low $61High $63
Buy1
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 11J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$63+25.0%
Aug 19Wells FargoHold, maintained$61+21.0%
Aug 5Wells FargoHold, downgraded$61+21.0%
Jul 22Wells FargoBuy, maintained$63+25.0%
Jul 14J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$64+27.0%
+1.3%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+2.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

NewJersey Resources seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, NewJersey Resources averaged +2.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+5.5%2021+11.9%2022+0.1%2023−1.7%2024−4.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.2%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.6%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.4%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.2%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+4.2%3 of 5

For scale, NJR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.4%.

NewJersey Resources market cap and key statistics

NewJersey Resources’s market cap is $5.09B, with a P/E ratio of 14.5 and revenue of $2.23B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$5.09B
P/E ratio
14.5
Forward P/E
14.9
EPS, TTM
$3.53
Gekko Fair Value
$57.02

Trading

Volume
709,802
Avg volume, 20 days
704,376
52-week high
$60.86
52-week low
$43.46
Shares outstanding
101.5M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.23B
Profit margin
16.4%
Return on equity
14.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+6.9%

Risk and income

Beta
0.51
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±3.4%
Dividend yield
3.67%

NewJersey Resources stock news this week

4 headlines about NewJersey Resources from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

NewJersey Resources peers

NewJersey Resources’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
TRGPTarga Resources−1.2%Accumulation7.3% below
SRESempra−1.3%Buying16.1% below
CQPCheniere Energy Partners−1.1%Accumulation33.9% below
ATOAtmos Energy−0.3%Buying10.4% below
NINiSource−0.7%Buying5.1% above
SWXSouthwest Gas+0.1%Buying13.5% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

NewJersey Resources stock FAQ

What is NewJersey Resources’s market cap?

NewJersey Resources’s market cap is $5.09B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $50.40, with 101.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 14.5.

What is the NewJersey Resources stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for NewJersey Resources is $59.86, +18.8% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is NewJersey Resources stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate NewJersey Resources is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $50.40 is 11.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $57.02. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does NewJersey Resources report earnings next?

NewJersey Resources is expected to report on Nov 18, 2026 (50 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.12 per share on revenue of $340.2M. NewJersey Resources beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 4 reports, moving 3% on average across the report.

What is NewJersey Resources’s 52-week high and low?

NewJersey Resources’s 52-week high is $60.86 and its 52-week low is $43.46; it closed at $50.40 on Sep 28, 2026, +6.6% over the past year.

Is NewJersey Resources stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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